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Circle’s EURC grows as trade war pushes euro higher — Analyst

The market cap of Circle’s Euro Coin (EURC), a euro-pegged stablecoin, is growing quickly as the ongoing trade war pushes the US dollar price lower.

“In recent weeks, interest in the euro has grown tremendously” and “this interest has not escaped the Circle EURC stablecoin,” Obchakevich Research founder Alex Obchakevich wrote in a recent X post.

The euro has risen by 2.2%, reaching its highest price since February 2022 at its current price of $1.13.

Obchakevich said that amid this happening, decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol Aave saw €2.3 million of Euro Coin inflows in April alone. He further highlighted that EURC’s capitalization is growing at a rapid pace.

Circle’s EURC grows as trade war pushes euro higher — Analyst

Source: Obchakevich’s

CoinMarketCap data shows EURC’s market cap rose from under $84 million at the end of 2024 to more than $198 million as of mid-April — a 136% increase year to date.

Related: ECB exec renews push for digital euro to counter US stablecoin growth

The euro grows amid an increasingly harsh trade war

The euro’s recent rally comes as the US dollar weakens on the back of escalating trade tensions. Since Dec. 31, 2024, the dollar has dropped from 0.97 euro to 0.88 euro, a 9.3% decline against the euro.

The US and European Union “are likely to reach an agreement on a trade deal that will stabilize the euro at $1.11 to the dollar,” Obchakevich said. Still, he expects the Euro Coin to keep growing:

“EURC will continue to grow through integration with various payment systems and blockchains.“

The analyst said that after launching on Ethereum, Euro Coin was also deployed on Avalanche, Base, Stellar, Sonic and Solana, leading to a growing supply. He shared his outlook on future market developments:

“I predict EURC to grow to 400 million euros by the end of this year. This will be further impacted by MiCa regulatory support and economic challenges.“

Related: Digital euro to be ‘most private electronic payment option

MiCA works in Circle’s favor

Euro Coin and USDC (USDC) issuer Circle is reaping the rewards of its regulatory-friendly strategy. The firm’s products are the top euro and US dollar-pegged stablecoins that comply with the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation.

The current stablecoin market leader is Tether, with its USDt (USDT) stablecoin currently having a market cap of $144 billion according to CoinMarketCap data. This is significantly higher than leading stablecoin USDC’s $60 billion market cap.

Still, many expect this gap to shrink as the USDt keeps being pushed from the European Union’s market due to a lack of MiCA compliance. This trend culminated in the world’s leading crypto exchange, Binance, delisting USDt for its European Economic Area-based users to comply with the rules in March.

Magazine: How crypto laws are changing across the world in 2025

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Crypto’s path to legitimacy runs through the CARF regulation

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Crypto’s path to legitimacy runs through the CARF regulation

Crypto’s path to legitimacy runs through the CARF regulation

The CARF regulation, which brings crypto under global tax reporting standards akin to traditional finance, marks a crucial turning point.

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Tokenized equity still in regulatory grey zone — Attorneys

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Tokenized equity still in regulatory grey zone — Attorneys

Tokenized equity still in regulatory grey zone — Attorneys

The nascent real-world tokenized assets track prices but do not provide investors the same legal rights as holding the underlying instruments.

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Rachel Reeves hints at tax rises in autumn budget after welfare bill U-turn

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Rachel Reeves hints at tax rises in autumn budget after welfare bill U-turn

Rachel Reeves has hinted that taxes are likely to be raised this autumn after a major U-turn on the government’s controversial welfare bill.

Sir Keir Starmer’s Universal Credit and Personal Independent Payment Bill passed through the House of Commons on Tuesday after multiple concessions and threats of a major rebellion.

MPs ended up voting for only one part of the plan: a cut to universal credit (UC) sickness benefits for new claimants from £97 a week to £50 from 2026/7.

Initially aimed at saving £5.5bn, it now leaves the government with an estimated £5.5bn black hole – close to breaching Ms Reeves’s fiscal rules set out last year.

Read more:
Yet another fiscal ‘black hole’? Here’s why this one matters

Success or failure: One year of Keir in nine charts

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Rachel Reeves’s fiscal dilemma

In an interview with The Guardian, the chancellor did not rule out tax rises later in the year, saying there were “costs” to watering down the welfare bill.

“I’m not going to [rule out tax rises], because it would be irresponsible for a chancellor to do that,” Ms Reeves told the outlet.

More on Rachel Reeves

“We took the decisions last year to draw a line under unfunded commitments and economic mismanagement.

“So we’ll never have to do something like that again. But there are costs to what happened.”

Meanwhile, The Times reported that, ahead of the Commons vote on the welfare bill, Ms Reeves told cabinet ministers the decision to offer concessions would mean taxes would have to be raised.

The outlet reported that the chancellor said the tax rises would be smaller than those announced in the 2024 budget, but that she is expected to have to raise tens of billions more.

It comes after Ms Reeves said she was “totally” up to continuing as chancellor after appearing tearful at Prime Minister’s Questions.

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Why was the chancellor crying at PMQs?

Criticising Sir Keir for the U-turns on benefit reform during PMQs, Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch said the chancellor looked “absolutely miserable”, and questioned whether she would remain in post until the next election.

Sir Keir did not explicitly say that she would, and Ms Badenoch interjected to say: “How awful for the chancellor that he couldn’t confirm that she would stay in place.”

In her first comments after the incident, Ms Reeves said she was having a “tough day” before adding: “People saw I was upset, but that was yesterday.

“Today’s a new day and I’m just cracking on with the job.”

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Reeves is ‘totally’ up for the job

Sir Keir also told Sky News’ political editor Beth Rigby on Thursday that he “didn’t appreciate” that Ms Reeves was crying in the Commons.

“In PMQs, it is bang, bang, bang,” he said. “That’s what it was yesterday.

“And therefore, I was probably the last to appreciate anything else going on in the chamber, and that’s just a straightforward human explanation, common sense explanation.”

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