Tesla stock pops after Trump comments on China tariffs and Powell, despite weak earnings
US President Donald Trump and Tesla CEO Elon Musk, alongside Musk’s son X Æ A-Xii, speak to the press as they stand next to a Tesla vehicle on the South Portico of the White House on March 11, 2025 in Washington, DC.
Mandel Ngan | AFP | Getty Images
Tesla shares popped 5% after CEO Elon Musk suggested that he will spend more time at the company and tariff optimism from the White House lifted broader investor sentiment.
Shares were initially flat postmarket, jumping on tariff optimism after President Donald Trump signaled that duties on China won’t be as high as 145% and said he has “no intention” of firing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ahead of Tesla’s earnings call.
The president had previously intensified pressure on the central bank chair, declining to rule out firing Powell before the end of his term.
The electric vehicle maker reported lackluster first-quarter results, which included a 20% year-over-year drop in automotive revenue and a 71% decline in net income. Tesla also said it would “revisit” 2025 guidance when it provides a second-quarter update.
Top and bottom line figures also fell short of estimates, with the company posting adjusted earnings of 27 cents per share adjusted on revenues of $19.34 billion. Analysts projected adjusted EPS of 39 cents on $21.11 billion in revenue.
During the company’s earnings call, Musk also said he will spend “significantly” less time at The Department of Government Efficiency starting next month.
The jump in shares comes on the heels of an oversold stretch for Tesla, with shares down about 40% since the start of 2025. Trade war fears and market volatility have further added to the losses. Tesla also reported its worst quarterly drop since 2022 in the period ending in March.
Piper Sandler called the report the “best result that TSLA bulls could’ve reasonably hoped for” adding that “management said enough to keep the dream alive. While questions linger, the report helped ease some concerns, the firm said.
Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney said he expects higher software revenue from Tesla’s full self-driving longer term can counteract some medium-term headwinds. The firm, however, kept its neutral rating and cut its price target on the stock.
But the report wasn’t enough to sway some Wall Street bears, with UBS and Wells Fargo retaining their sell and underweight ratings. Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan trimmed the firm’s price target to $120 from $130.
“Sentiment may drive the stock temporarily higher into a June robo-taxi launch, but we believe this may be a sell the news event for some investors. The potential catalyst of the low-cost vehicle launch may be removed as well,” UBS said.
WATCH: Tesla jumps after Q1 results
Technology
Blip, dip, pullback or the beginning of the end? Global investors weigh in on stock sell-off
Global investor sentiment for artificial intelligence remains buoyant, despite on the ongoing stock sell-off.
European and Asia markets have seen days of consecutive losses, tracking their U.S. counterparts lower as pressures mount on AI-related stocks and their valuations. The pan-European Stoxx 600 on Tuesday notched its lowest level in a month, with major bourses opening mixed on Wednesday, while Asia-Pacific markets fell.
Stateside, stock futures were little changed overnight after major U.S. indexes extended their losses. AI-related stocks such as Nvidia, Palantir, and Microsoft are among those feeling the pressure.
“We do think this is an AI specific pullback. We don’t think this is the beginning of the bear market,” Emma Wall, head of investment analysis at Hargreaves Lansdown, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe.”
When considering whether this is the “beginning of the end” or a moment marking “the big pullback,” Wall argued that while we are overdue a “major global market correction,” the current downturn is yet to bring this shift.
Many markets outside of the U.S. — particularly in Europe and the U.K. — already reflect much of the negative news, she said, adding that she sees the pressure as sector specific.
It is, however, an opportunity to rebalance portfolios, as “even taking into consideration this week, most people have had a really good run, even in AI stocks,” Wall said.
Mike Wilson, chief U.S. equity strategist and chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley, echoed this sentiment. He said markets have been in a correction for the past six weeks but “it’s not the end of the AI cycle.”
All eyes are on Nvidia, considered the bellwether of AI, as it’s due to post third-quarter earnings after the closing bell on Wednesday.
“Whatever happens tonight is, if it is a blip, is a pullback, it’s probably a dip to be bought. But I think we are in the midst of somewhat of a correction right now,” Wilson told CNBC’s “Inside India,” adding that he thinks it’s the middle-inning.
“The credit part of this spending is just beginning, meaning we’re just starting to raise money in the credit markets. It’s not like that money is going to sit there and they’re not going to spend it, which means there’s probably time on the clock with these intermittent kind of pullbacks,” he added.
Companies and investors are engaged in a delicate dance.
On one side, AI labs and their partners are making big promises and aggressive plays, according to Jason Thomas, head of global research and investment strategy at Carlyle. “But it’s not incumbent upon investors to believe them,” he told CNBC’s Julianna Tatelbaum, from the firm’s annual conference.
“Investors, of course, have to ensure that they are getting compensated for the risk that things don’t work out quite as planned, and I think that there’s a sense that perhaps there’s been some assets in the space that have been priced to best case scenarios. So I think that that’s the reassessment that’s going on right now,” he said.
Hyperscalers’ rising capex
The sell-off comes as the pace of debt dealmaking picks up, fueling speculation that it may have unsettled investors, many of whom have remained bullish on AI as long as companies post sound earnings. Google-owner Alphabet and Meta have issued bonds, for example.
“It’s not a problem, as long as the funding markets are there, meaning they’re raising the debt,” Wilson added. “I mean, there’s investors lined up,” he said.
It does however, become a problem when this is no longer the case, but “we haven’t seen that yet,” he said.
AI has fundamentally changed the strategy for many Big Tech firms, particularly when it comes to U.S. hyperscalers, which have morphed into capex-heavy companies from once asset-light businesses. Global investors are now assessing this new dynamic. Bank of America‘s latest Global Fund Managers Survey found that, for the first time in two decades, fund managers are concerned about hyperscalers “overinvesting.“
“[Hyperscalers] traded at very high price-to-book ratios, which made a lot of sense. You don’t value a money-printing machine based on the cost of the paper or based on the cost of the printing press. And that’s essentially what they were, these massive money printing machines where most of their assets were intangible, proprietary technology, the digital platforms,” said Carlyle’s Thomas.
“Now they’ve actually started to invest so much that 70% of their cash flow is being consumed by capital spending and, if you look at their book value now, 70% actually consists of property, plant and equipment, largely data centers. That’s a four-fold increase from a decade ago,” he added.
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