Super Micro shares dive after server maker issues weak preliminary financials
Super Micro Computer CEO Charles Liang at the Computex conference in Taipei, Taiwan, on June 5, 2024.
Annabelle Chih | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Super Micro shares fell as much as 19% on Tuesday after the server maker announced preliminary results for the fiscal third quarter that were lower than analysts had projected.
Here’s how the company’s preliminary numbers compare with the LSEG consensus:
- Earnings per share: 29 to 31 cents per share adjusted vs. 54 cents expected
- Revenue: $4.5 billion to $4.6 billion vs. $5.50 billion expected
Super Micro lowered the ranges from earlier guidance for the quarter, which ended on March 31, according to a statement. The new revenue range implies 18% growth year over year. That’s a large step down from the 200% growth Super Micro delivered a year ago.
“During Q3 some delayed customer platform decisions moved sales into Q4,” the company said in the statement. In addition, the company faced higher inventories from older products, as well as expedite fees. The two factors narrowed Super Micro’s preliminary gross margin by 220 points from the prior quarter.
Shares of server competitor Dell were down almost 5% in after-hours trading, while Hewlett Packard Enterprise was down about 2%. Nvidia shares also fell roughly 2%.
Super Micro shares over the past year.
The pre-announcement is the latest blow for Super Micro, which has been mired in controversy for the past year due to delayed financial filings and troubling reports from short sellers. In February, the company filed its financials for its fiscal 2024 year and the first two quarters of fiscal 2025 just in time to meet Nasdaq’s deadline to stay listed. Last year, after Super Micro delayed its annual report, it lost its auditor, Ernst & Young, citing governance issues.
After more than tripling in 2023, thanks to the company’s position in the AI boom and its sales of servers packed with Nvidia’s processors, Super Micro shares plummeted in the second third and fourth quarters last year, wiping out more than 80% of its market cap.
“We have confidence that our calendar year 2025 growth could be a repeat of calendar year 2023, if not better, assuming the supply chain can keep pace with demand,” Charles Liang, Super Micro’s CEO, told analysts on a conference call in February.
Prior to Tuesday’s announcement, the stock was up 18% in 2025, rallying as the broader tech market was in decline.
Super Micro will go over the results with analysts on a conference call at 5 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May 6.
— CNBC’s Ari Levy contributed to this report.
Technology
Blip, dip, pullback or the beginning of the end? Global investors weigh in on stock sell-off
Global investor sentiment for artificial intelligence remains buoyant, despite on the ongoing stock sell-off.
European and Asia markets have seen days of consecutive losses, tracking their U.S. counterparts lower as pressures mount on AI-related stocks and their valuations. The pan-European Stoxx 600 on Tuesday notched its lowest level in a month, with major bourses opening mixed on Wednesday, while Asia-Pacific markets fell.
Stateside, stock futures were little changed overnight after major U.S. indexes extended their losses. AI-related stocks such as Nvidia, Palantir, and Microsoft are among those feeling the pressure.
“We do think this is an AI specific pullback. We don’t think this is the beginning of the bear market,” Emma Wall, head of investment analysis at Hargreaves Lansdown, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe.”
When considering whether this is the “beginning of the end” or a moment marking “the big pullback,” Wall argued that while we are overdue a “major global market correction,” the current downturn is yet to bring this shift.
Many markets outside of the U.S. — particularly in Europe and the U.K. — already reflect much of the negative news, she said, adding that she sees the pressure as sector specific.
It is, however, an opportunity to rebalance portfolios, as “even taking into consideration this week, most people have had a really good run, even in AI stocks,” Wall said.
Mike Wilson, chief U.S. equity strategist and chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley, echoed this sentiment. He said markets have been in a correction for the past six weeks but “it’s not the end of the AI cycle.”
All eyes are on Nvidia, considered the bellwether of AI, as it’s due to post third-quarter earnings after the closing bell on Wednesday.
“Whatever happens tonight is, if it is a blip, is a pullback, it’s probably a dip to be bought. But I think we are in the midst of somewhat of a correction right now,” Wilson told CNBC’s “Inside India,” adding that he thinks it’s the middle-inning.
“The credit part of this spending is just beginning, meaning we’re just starting to raise money in the credit markets. It’s not like that money is going to sit there and they’re not going to spend it, which means there’s probably time on the clock with these intermittent kind of pullbacks,” he added.
Companies and investors are engaged in a delicate dance.
On one side, AI labs and their partners are making big promises and aggressive plays, according to Jason Thomas, head of global research and investment strategy at Carlyle. “But it’s not incumbent upon investors to believe them,” he told CNBC’s Julianna Tatelbaum, from the firm’s annual conference.
“Investors, of course, have to ensure that they are getting compensated for the risk that things don’t work out quite as planned, and I think that there’s a sense that perhaps there’s been some assets in the space that have been priced to best case scenarios. So I think that that’s the reassessment that’s going on right now,” he said.
Hyperscalers’ rising capex
The sell-off comes as the pace of debt dealmaking picks up, fueling speculation that it may have unsettled investors, many of whom have remained bullish on AI as long as companies post sound earnings. Google-owner Alphabet and Meta have issued bonds, for example.
“It’s not a problem, as long as the funding markets are there, meaning they’re raising the debt,” Wilson added. “I mean, there’s investors lined up,” he said.
It does however, become a problem when this is no longer the case, but “we haven’t seen that yet,” he said.
AI has fundamentally changed the strategy for many Big Tech firms, particularly when it comes to U.S. hyperscalers, which have morphed into capex-heavy companies from once asset-light businesses. Global investors are now assessing this new dynamic. Bank of America‘s latest Global Fund Managers Survey found that, for the first time in two decades, fund managers are concerned about hyperscalers “overinvesting.“
“[Hyperscalers] traded at very high price-to-book ratios, which made a lot of sense. You don’t value a money-printing machine based on the cost of the paper or based on the cost of the printing press. And that’s essentially what they were, these massive money printing machines where most of their assets were intangible, proprietary technology, the digital platforms,” said Carlyle’s Thomas.
“Now they’ve actually started to invest so much that 70% of their cash flow is being consumed by capital spending and, if you look at their book value now, 70% actually consists of property, plant and equipment, largely data centers. That’s a four-fold increase from a decade ago,” he added.
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