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Lib Dems don’t tend to listen to right-wing podcasts.

But if they did, they may be heartened by some of what they hear.

Take the interview Kemi Badenoch gave to the TRIGGERnometry show in February.

Ten minutes into the episode, one of the hosts recounts a conversation with a Tory MP who said the party lost the last election to the Lib Dems because they went too far to the right.

Everyone laughs.

Then in March, in a conversation with the Canadian psychologist Jordan Peterson, the Tory leader was asked to describe a Liberal Democrat.

“Somebody who is good at fixing their church roof,” said Ms Badenoch.

She meant it as a negative.

Lib Dems now mention it every time you go near any of them with a TV camera.

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‘It’s a two-horse race!’

The pitch is clear, the stunts are naff

At times, party figures seem somewhat astonished the Tories don’t view them as more of a threat, given they were beaten by them in swathes of their traditional heartlands last year.

Going forward, the pitch is clear.

Sir Ed Davey wants to replace the Tories as the party of middle England.

Ed Davey rides on a rollercoaster during a visit to the BIG Sheep theme park in Bideford.
Pic: PA
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Sir Ed rides on a rollercoaster. Pic: PA

One way he’s trying to do that is through somewhat naff and very much twee campaign stunts.

To open this local election race, the Lib Dem leader straddled a hobbyhorse and galloped through a blue fence.

More recently, he’s brandished a sausage, hopped aboard a rollercoaster and planted wildflowers.

Senior Lib Dems say they are “constantly asking” whether this is the correct strategy, especially given the hardship being faced by many in the country.

They maintain it is helping get their message out though, according to the evidence they have.

“I think you can take the issues that matter to voters seriously while not taking yourself too seriously, and I also think it’s a way of engaging people who are turned off by politics,” said Sir Ed.

Ed Davey tries his hand at hobby horsing during the launch of the party's local election campaign in Walled Garden of Badgemore Park in Henley-on-Thames.
Pic: PA
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Sir Ed on a hobbyhorse during the launch of the party’s local election campaign in the Walled Garden of Badgemore Park in Henley-on-Thames. Pic: PA

‘What if people don’t want grown-ups?’

In that way, the Lib Dems are fishing in a similar pool of voters to Reform UK, albeit from the other side of the water’s edge.

Indeed, talk to Lib Dem MPs, and they say while some Reform supporters they meet would never vote for a party with the word “liberal” in its name, others are motivated more by generalised anger than any traditional political ideology.

These people, the MPs say, can be persuaded.

But this group also shows a broader risk to the Lib Dem approach.

Put simply, are they simply too nice for the fractured times we live in?

“The Lib Dems want to be the grown-ups in the room,” says Joe Twyman, director of Delta Poll.

“We like to think that the grown-ups in the room will be rewarded… but what if people don’t want grown-ups in the room, what if people want kids shitting on the floor?”

Liberal Democrat leader Sir Ed Davey canoeing in the River Severn in Shrewsbury with North Shropshire MP Helen Morgan, while on the local election campaign trail. Picture date: Friday April 11, 2025.
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Sir Ed canoeing in the River Severn in Shrewsbury, Shropshire. Pic: PA

A plan that looks different to the status quo

The party’s answer to this is that they are alive to the trap Lib Dems have walked into in the past of adopting a technocratic tone and blandly telling the public every issue is a “bit more complicated” than it seems.

One senior figure says the Lib Dems are trying to do something quite unusual for a progressive centre-left party in making a broader emotional argument about why the public should pick them.

This source says that approach runs through the stunts but also through the focus on care and the party leader’s personal connection to the issue.

Presenting a plan that looks different to the status quo is another way to try to stand apart.

It’s why there has been a focus on attacking Donald Trump and talking up the EU recently, two areas left unoccupied by the main parties.

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‘A snivelling cretin’: Your response?

The focus on local campaigning

But beyond the national strategy, Lib Dems believe it’s their local campaigning that really reaps rewards.

In the run-up to the last election, several more regional press officers were recruited.

Many stories pumped out by the media office now have a focus on data that can be broken down to a constituency level and given to local news outlets.

Party sources say there has also been a concerted attempt to get away from the cliche of the Lib Dems constantly calling for parliament to be recalled.

“They beat us to it,” said one staffer of the recent recall to debate British Steel.

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Steel might have been ‘under orders’ from China

‘Gail’s bakery rule’

This focus on the local is helped by the fact many Lib Dem constituencies now look somewhat similar.

That was evidenced by the apparent “Gail’s bakery rule” last year, in which any constituency with a branch of the upmarket pastry purveyor had activists heaped on it.

The similarities have helped the Lib Dems get away from another cliche – that of the somewhat opportunist targeting of different areas with very different messages.

“There is a certain consistency in where we won that helps explain that higher vote retention,” said Lib Dem president Lord Pack.

“Look at leaflets in different constituencies [last year] and they were much more consistent than previous elections… the messages are fundamentally the same in a way that was not always the case in the past.”

Ed Davey in a swan pedalo on Bude Canal in Bude, Cornwall.
Pic: PA
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Sir Ed in a swan pedalo on Bude Canal in Cornwall. Pic: PA

A bottom-up campaign machine

New MPs have also been tasked with demonstrating delivery and focusing doggedly on the issues that matter to their constituents.

One Home Counties MP says he wants to be able to send out leaflets by 2027, saying “everyone in this constituency knows someone who has been helped by their local Lib Dem”.

In the run-up to last year’s vote, strategists gave the example of the Lib Dem candidate who was invited to a local ribbon-cutting ceremony in place of the sitting Tory MP as proof of how the party can ingratiate itself into communities.

With that in mind, the aim for these local elections is to pick up councillors in the places the party now has new MPs, allowing them to dig in further and keep building a bottom-up campaign machine.

‘Anyone but Labour or Conservative’

But what of the next general election?

Senior Lib Dems are confident of holding their current 72 seats.

They also point to the fact 20 of their 27 second-place finishes currently have a Conservative MP.

Those will be the main focus, along with the 43 seats in which they finished third.

There’s also an acronym brewing to describe the approach – ABLOC or “Anyone but Labour or Conservative”.

pmqs
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Keir Starmer and Kemi Badenoch aren’t exactly flying high in the opinion polls

9% swing could make Sir Ed leader of the opposition

The hope is for the political forces to align and Reform UK to continue splitting the Tory vote while unpopularity with the Labour government and Conservative opposition triggers some to jump ship.

A recent pamphlet by Lord Pack showed if the Tories did not make progress against the other parties, just 25 gains from them by the Lib Dems – the equivalent of a 9% swing – would be enough to make Sir Ed leader of the opposition.

What’s more, a majority of these seats would be in the South East and South West, where the party has already picked up big wins.

As for the overall aim of all this, Lord Pack is candid the Lib Dems shouldn’t view a hung parliament as the best way to achieve the big prize of electoral reform because they almost always end badly for the smaller party.

Instead, the Lib Dem president suggests the potential fragmentation of politics could bring electoral reform closer in a more natural way.

“What percentage share of the vote is the most popular party going to get at the next general election, it’s quite plausible that that will be under 30%. Our political system can’t cope with that sort of world,” he said.

Whether Ms Badenoch will still be laughing then remains to be seen.

This is part of a series of local election previews with the five major parties. All five have been invited to take part.

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Palestine Action ban must be explained, Labour peer tells Starmer

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Palestine Action ban must be explained, Labour peer tells Starmer

Ministers must do “much more” to explain why Palestine Action is a proscribed terrorist group, Harriet Harman has said.

Speaking to the Sky News Electoral Dysfunction podcast, the Labour peer said the government looked like it was just “arresting octogenarian vicars who are worried about the awful situation in Gaza”.

Baroness Harman, who was a Labour MP from 1982 to 2024, said the government had a “number of incredibly important duties” with regard to the war in Gaza – including protecting the Jewish community while also permitting free speech.

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She said that as well as ensuring the safety of Jewish venues, such as schools and synagogues, the government also needed to “try and create an atmosphere where the Jewish people should not feel that they are under threat and be asking themselves whether this is the right country for them to live in and be bringing up their families”.

Baroness Harman went on: “They also have to support and uphold the right to free speech and the right of protest. And people have felt so horrified.

“We all have about the devastating loss of life and suffering in Gaza. And so it’s right that people are allowed to protest.”

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A number of protests in support of Palestine Action have been organised in recent months following the group’s proscription under anti-terrorism laws in July, after members targeted RAF Brize Norton and damaged two military aircraft.

Protests against the British government's ban on Palestine Action
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Protests against the British government’s ban on Palestine Action

Last week, there were calls for the demonstrations to be halted following the attack on Heaton Park Synagogue in Manchester, in which two people were killed – but a number took place across the country, including in London.

The Labour peer said the organisers of such protests had a responsibility not to allow people to support a “terrorist organisation” but that the government also needed to do “much, more more” to explain why Palestine Action had been proscribed.

Read more:
What does Trump’s Gaza peace plan look like?
Trump’s Gaza deal may not please everyone – but it offers hope

“At the moment, it just looks like the police are arresting octogenarian vicars who are worried about the awful situation in Gaza,” Baroness Harman said.

“So they’ve got to actually be much clearer in why Palestine Action is a terrorist group and that they’re justified in prescribing them and making them illegal.

“But also the police have got to police those marches in stopping them being about the spouting of hatred and inciting violence, with people talking about globalising the intifada, which basically means killing all Jewish people.

“And the police do actually have very wide-ranging powers, not just to arrest people, but to actually ban marches.

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Telegram’s Durov: We’re ‘running out of time to save the free internet’

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Telegram’s Durov: We’re ‘running out of time to save the free internet’

Telegram’s Durov: We’re ‘running out of time to save the free internet’

EU lawmakers have sought to introduce Chat Control, while the UK and Australia are on track for digital ID systems. Pavel Durov warns that these “dystopian” measures must be stopped.

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‘The time is now to stop Reform’ – Plaid Cymru calls on Labour voters to unite behind Welsh nationalists

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'The time is now to stop Reform' - Plaid Cymru calls on Labour voters to unite behind Welsh nationalists

One party has held court over Welsh politics for more than a century.

Welsh Labour MPs have been the largest group sent to Westminster in every general election since 1922 – and the party has been in government in the country for more than a quarter of a century.

But if the polls are accurate, Labour’s long-standing grip on politics in Wales is fading.

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Plaid Cymru and Reform UK are running almost neck and neck, while Labour trails significantly. A recent YouGov poll put Plaid Cymru on 30%, Reform UK on 29% and Labour at 14%.

Plaid Cymru, heading into its conference this weekend, can sense the mood for change in Wales – and intends to show it is ready for government.

Polling last month put Plaid Cymru and Reform UK almost neck and neck in Wales, with just one point between them - while Labour trails
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Polling last month put Plaid Cymru and Reform UK almost neck and neck in Wales, with just one point between them – while Labour trails

The party hopes to capitalise on disillusioned Labour voters feeling let down by their party under Sir Keir Starmer, and use this to tackle the rise of Reform – which is key to getting it into power.

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In his leader’s speech, Rhun ap Iorwerth is expected to position Plaid Cymru as Wales’s progressive force, and the only party capable of taking on Reform.

He will say: “We’re not here to act as Labour’s conscience. We are not here to repair Labour. We are here to replace them.

“If you’ve never voted for Plaid Cymru before, the time is now.

“The time is now to stop Reform and elect a government more radical, more ambitious, more impatient to bring about positive change than any which has gone before it. A government of progress and of progressive values.”

One in five Labour voters in Wales intend to back Plaid Cymru at the Senedd elections in 2026, according to YouGov. But almost a quarter of Labour voters remain undecided on who to endorse.

The topic of independence will no doubt be a contentious issue for voters who are angry about decisions made by Labour in Wales and Westminster, but do not want an independent Wales.

Plaid Cymru supporters outside the Senedd on 8 October
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Plaid Cymru supporters outside the Senedd on 8 October

Mr ap Iorwerth has ruled out an independence referendum if Plaid Cymru wins next year’s elections, signalling that he doesn’t want the campaign to centre on independence.

Throughout the conference, Plaid Cymru will position itself as ready to govern. But voters will expect clear plans for the NHS, education, and the economy. The question for the party, both during this conference and over the coming months, will be whether its proposals can win over Labour voters in its quest to beat Reform.

But Plaid Cymru’s challenge to Nigel Farage’s party faces a critical test sooner than May. Instead, its next battle will be in the Caerphilly Senedd by-election on 23 October.

Historically a Labour stronghold at both Senedd and Westminster levels, Caerphilly has consistently returned Labour representatives, with Plaid Cymru as the main opposition at Senedd elections.

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Farage’s coal pledge in Wales explained

However, this election introduces a new dynamic, as Reform has emerged as a credible challenger, poised to disrupt the traditional two-party contest.

Coming second at this election won’t be a total loss for Plaid Cymru.

If it can come second at the by-election, it will prove the point Mr ap Iorwerth will be making at the conference in Swansea: that his party is the only credible anti-Reform vote.

The full list of candidates standing at the Caerphilly by-election:

  • Labour – Richard Tunnicliffe

  • Plaid Cymru – Lindsay Whittle

  • Reform UK – Llŷr Powell

  • Conservative – Gareth Potter

  • Green Party – Gareth Hughes

  • Gwlad – Anthony Cook

  • UKIP – Roger Quilliam

  • Liberal Democrats – Steve Aicheler

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