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Amazon CEO Andy Jassy speaks during an Amazon Devices launch event in New York City, Feb. 26, 2025.

Brendan McDermid | Reuters

Amazon is slated to announce its first-quarter earnings after the market close on Thursday.

Here’s what analysts are looking for:

  • Earnings per share: $1.36 expected, according to LSEG
  • Revenue: $155.04 billion expected, according to LSEG

Wall Street is also looking at other key revenue numbers:

  • Amazon Web Services: $29.42 billion expected, according to StreetAccount
  • Advertising: $13.74 billion expected, according to StreetAccount

The topic of tariffs will hover over Amazon’s earnings report. Several of the company’s businesses are exposed to President Donald Trump‘s new tariffs, especially its core retail unit. Investors will want to know whether Trump’s 145% levy on China could impact Amazon’s margins, and whether uncertainty around the tariffs has caused shoppers to be more cautious with their spending.

The results come days after the White House ripped Amazon over a report that the company planned to display tariff-related costs to shoppers. Amazon said no such change was coming, and that it only considered adding a line item to products sold via its discount storefront, called Haul.

“This was never approved and is not going to happen,” Amazon said in a blog post on Tuesday.

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Amazon CEO Andy Jassy told CNBC last month the company is working to keep prices low for consumers, including by making strategic forward inventory buys on products overseas. But he acknowledged some third-party sellers will “need to pass that cost” of tariffs to consumers.

Analysts believe Trump’s tariffs could provide a boost to Amazon’s retail business, at least in the short term, as some shoppers have stocked up on items in anticipation of price hikes.

Retail sales rose 1.4% in March, after rising 0.2% in February, according to Commerce Department data, indicating there may have been a pull forward in spending.

Investors will be keeping a close eye on Amazon’s guidance for the current quarter. Some analysts have suggested the impact of Trump’s tariffs may not show up until then, or potentially the third quarter.

“A meaningful portion of products sold on the eCommerce platform (apparel, furniture, toys, accessories, consumer electronics, etc.) come from China, which may impact forward guidance,” Canaccord analysts wrote in a note to clients this week. “That said, we think Amazon’s vast product selection and structural advantages in price and logistics should enable it to mitigate some of the impact.”

Amazon could also potentially benefit from Trump’s executive order to end the de minimis trade exemption, which is set to take effect on Friday. Discount Chinese retailers Temu and Shein have relied heavily on the loophole, which allows shipments under $800 to enter the U.S. duty-free, as a way to keep their prices low.

Both companies began raising prices last week, while Temu added “import charges” between 130% and 150% to some of its products. The prices of many of their products are more aligned with competitors like Amazon, but could still take more than a week to arrive.

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Amazon year to date stock performance

Outside of retail, Amazon’s cloud computing business and investments in AI will also be in focus. It’s been a mixed bag for Amazon’s cloud peers so far. Microsoft reported strong cloud growth in its third-quarter earnings on Wednesday, while Alphabet‘s cloud revenue fell just short of estimates last week.

For the quarter, analysts are projecting AWS revenue of $29.4 billion, according to StreetAccount. That would represent growth of 17.6%, compared to 18.9% growth in the fourth quarter.

Amazon last quarter pledged to boost capital expenditures to $100 billion this year, with the “vast majority” going toward AI services. The company has been rushing to roll out AI products across its businesses. In March, Amazon released a new AI agent for web browsers, and it began testing new AI assistants for its shopping and health platforms.

Amazon’s stock is down more than 13% year to date, while the Nasdaq has fallen less than a percent over the same stretch.

WATCH: Tariff spat reveals big tech tensions

Trump vs. Amazon: Tariff spat reveals big tech tensions

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CNBC Daily Open: Investors find cheer amid Fed’s hawkish cut

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CNBC Daily Open: Investors find cheer amid Fed's hawkish cut

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reacts while speaking during a press conference following the Federal Open Markets Committee meeting at the Federal Reserve on Dec. 10, 2025 in Washington, DC.

Chip Somodevilla | Getty Images

It ended up being a “hawkish cut,” as expected. Still, investors managed to find a few gifts tucked between the lumps of coal.

Even though the U.S. Federal Reserve lowered interest rates on Wednesday stateside, two regional bank presidents — Jeffrey Schmid of Kansas City and Austan Goolsbee of Chicago — wanted rates to stand pat.

Their cautioned was echoed in the Fed’s “dot plot” of rate projection, which showed officials penciling in just one cut in 2026 and another for 2027.

Even the Fed’s rate statement was repurposed from the December 2024 meeting, which ushered in a nine-month period without cuts until September this year.

Why, then, did U.S. markets rise after the meeting?

The biggest surprise was the Fed’s announcement that it would begin purchasing $40 billion in Treasury bills, starting Friday. That move increases the money supply in the economy. In other words, it’s a stealthy way to ease conditions, which helps support financial markets.

Next, Chair Jerome Powell dismissed speculation about future hikes.

“I don’t think that a rate hike … is anybody’s base case at this point,” Powell said. “I’m not hearing that.”

Fed officials also see the U.S economy as remaining resilient. Collectively, they increased their forecast for economic expansion in 2026 to 2.3% from an earlier estimate of 1.8% in September.

“We have an extraordinary economy,” said Powell.

And the markets may be setting up for an extraordinary finish to the year.

“The last interest rate decision of 2025 has essentially paved the way for a Santa Claus rally to end the year, and the S&P 500 is poised to exceed the 7,000 milestone in the next few weeks,” said José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers.

For investors, that would count as a very decent Christmas surprise.

— CNBC’s Jeff Cox contributed to this report.

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And finally…

U.S. President Donald Trump delivers remarks on the U.S. economy and affordability at the Mount Airy Casino Resort in Mount Pocono, Pennsylvania, U.S. Dec. 9, 2025.

Jonathan Ernst | Reuters

Trump slams European leaders as ‘weak’ — just as they’re trying to impress him

U.S. President Donald Trump has once again provoked outrage among his European allies, describing them as “weak” in an interview with Politico published Tuesday. Criticizing the region’s response to the war in Ukraine, Trump said: “I think they don’t know what to do.”

That comment will be jarring for Europe after its efforts to support Ukraine — efforts which Trump has frequently downplayed. Instead, Europe has had to watch on as U.S. officials have held talks with their Russian and Ukrainian counterparts on a draft peace plan for Ukraine, without a seat at the table. 

— Holly Ellyatt

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Night owl bitcoin traders: Soon there’ll be an ETF just for you

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Night owl bitcoin traders: Soon there'll be an ETF just for you

Cheng Xin | Getty Images

A newly proposed exchange-traded fund would offer exposure to bitcoin, much like other popular ETFs tracking the world’s oldest cryptocurrency. But, there’s a twist: The fund would trade bitcoin-linked assets while Wall Street sleeps. 

The Nicholas Bitcoin and Treasuries AfterDark ETF aims to purchase bitcoin-linked financial instruments after the U.S. financial markets close, and exit those positions shortly after the U.S. market re-opens each day, according to a December 9 filing to the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The fund would not hold bitcoin directly. Instead, the AfterDark ETF would use at least 80% of the value of its assets to trade bitcoin futures contracts, bitcoin exchange-traded products and ETFs, and options on those ETFs and ETPs. 

The offering would capitalize on bitcoin’s outsized gains in off-hours trading.

Hypothetically, an investor who had been buying shares of the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) when U.S. markets formally close, and selling them at the next day’s open, would have scored a 222% gain since January 2024, data from wealth manager Bespoke Investment Group shows. But an investor that had bought IBIT shares at the open and sold them at the close would have lost 40.5% in the same time.

Bitcoin was last trading at $92,320, down nearly 1% on the day. The leading cryptocurrency is down about 12% over the past month and little changed since the beginning of the year. 

The proposed ETF underscores jockeying among sponsors to launch ETFs tracking all kinds of cryptocurrencies, from altcoins like Aptos and Sui to memecoins such as Bonk and Dogecoin. The contest has only accelerated under President Donald Trump, who has pushed the SEC and Commodity Futures Trading Commission to soften their stances on token issuers and digital asset exchanges. 

Since being approved under the prior administration in January 2024, more than 30 bitcoin ETFs have begun trading in the U.S., according to data from ETF.com.

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Cisco’s stock closes at record for first time since dot-com peak in 2000

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Cisco's stock closes at record for first time since dot-com peak in 2000

Chuck Robbins, chief executive officer of Cisco, participates in a Bloomberg interview at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, on Jan. 17, 2024.

Stefan Wermuth | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Few companies were as hot in early 2000 as Cisco, whose networking equipment served as the backbone of the internet boom.

On Wednesday, Cisco’s stock surpassed its dot-com peak for the first time. The shares rose almost 1% to $80.25, topping their prior split-adjusted record or $80.06 reached on March 27, 2000. That’s the same day that Cisco passed Microsoft to become the most valuable publicly traded company in the world.

Back then, investors saw Cisco as a way to bet on the growth of the web, as companies that wanted to get online relied upon the hardware maker’s switches and routers. But following a half-decade boom, the dot-com bubble burst just after Cisco reached its zenith, a collapse that wiped out more than three-quarters of the Nasdaq’s value by October 2002.

While the market swoon eliminated scores of internet highflyers, Cisco survived the upheaval. Eventually it started to grow and expand, diversifying through a series of acquisitions like set-top box maker Scientific- Atlanta in 2006, followed by software companies including Webex, AppDynamics, Duo and Splunk.

With its gains on Wednesday, Cisco’s market cap sits at $317 billion, making it only the 13th most valuable U.S. tech company. In recent years, the stock has badly trailed tech’s megacaps, which have been at the center of the new boom surrounding artificial intelligence.

The AI market has reached a level of euphoria that many analysts have compared to the dot-com era. Instead of Cisco, the modern infrastructure winner is Nvidia, whose AI chips are at the heart of model development and are relied up by the other major tech companies that are all building out AI-focused data centers. Nvidia has a market cap of $4.5 trillion, roughly 14 times Cisco’s current value.

But Cisco is angling to benefit from the AI craze, with CEO Chuck Robbins in November touting $1.3 billion in quarterly AI infrastructure orders from large web companies. Total revenue approached $15 billion, which was up 7.5% year over year, compared with 66% growth in 2000.

Shares of Cisco are up about 36% so far in 2025, outperforming the Nasdaq, which has gained about 22% over the same period.

WATCH: Cisco CEO on latest quarter: AI demand from hyperscalers is accelerating

Cisco CEO on latest quarter: AI demand from hyperscalers is accelerating

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