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The 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs field is down to the final four. The Carolina Hurricanes and Florida Panthers face off in a rematch of the 2023 Eastern Conference finals, while the Western Conference finals are a return bout from 2024 between the Dallas Stars and Edmonton Oilers.

Which two teams will make it to the Stanley Cup Final? Ryan S. Clark and Kristen Shilton are here with intel on all four teams, including goaltender confidence ratings, what we’ve learned so far about each team, X factors and more.


How they got here: Defeated Avalanche 4-3, defeated Jets 4-2

Goalie confidence rating: 9/10

Think about the number of teams that have had to shuffle through goaltenders this postseason — whether because of injuries or inconsistencies. It’s part of what makes Jake Oettinger so vital for the Stars.

No goalie has faced more shots, made more saves and logged more minutes than Oettinger during the 2025 playoffs. Oettinger has provided the Stars with a level of stability that has played a major role in why they’ve advanced to a third straight conference final. He has had several moments this postseason in which his value has been amplified. Maybe the strongest example of that would be the fact that the Stars are 3-0 in overtime, with two of those wins coming in series-clinching games.

What we’ve learned about the Stars so far

Other than that it was worth mortgaging the future to trade for and sign Mikko Rantanen, one of the best wingers in the game, to a long-term contract — and then watch him become the front-runner to win the Conn Smythe?

It’s the fact that the Stars have shown they are adaptable. They opened the first round with questions about getting past the Avalanche given that two of their best players, Miro Heiskanen and Jason Robertson, were out injured. Even now as they’re in the conference finals, the Stars have yet to receive consistent offensive contributions from certain players (see below), and their depth could be greatly tested against what might be the deepest team in the playoffs.

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Thomas Harley sends Stars to West finals with OT winner

The Dallas Stars crowd goes wild as Thomas Harley’s goal seals a 2-1 overtime win to clinch the series over the Winnipeg Jets.

X factor for the conference finals

Will it be the 81% — or will the 19% make its mark? There’s a reason for such a cryptic question, and it comes back to how scoring has worked for the Stars this postseason.

Five players have scored 26 of Dallas’ 32 goals (i.e. 81% of them) entering the Western Conference finals: Rantanen, Roope Hintz, Thomas Harley, Wyatt Johnston and Mikael Granlund.

The remaining 19% have come from key players such as Jamie Benn, Evgenii Dadonov, Mason Marchment and Tyler Seguin. Those four have combined to score five goals this postseason, while Matt Duchene hasn’t scored at all.

Keep in mind they are heading into a series against a defensive structure that shut out the Vegas Golden Knights for two straight games. Again, depth will matter.

Has the experience of the past two years prepared the Stars to take the next step?

A third straight conference finals appearance reaffirms that the Stars are in a championship window. But is this the year in which the Stars reach the Stanley Cup Final and possibly win it all?

The first of their three trips, in 2023, let them learn what it meant to win in overtime given they lost two games to the Golden Knights in the extra frame. Their second trip — last season against the Oilers — saw them struggle to find consistency against a team that could use the whole of its parts after falling into a 2-1 series hole.

This postseason has included winning multiple overtime games, finally winning the first game of a series, fending off an opponent trying to force a Game 7, managing without two of their best players and extending Peter DeBoer’s Game 7 streak to 9-0. But will all of that be enough? — Clark


How they got here: Defeated Kings 4-2, defeated Golden Knights 4-1

Goalie confidence rating: 8/10

Everything the Oilers’ defensive structure accomplished in the regular season was met with the disconnect of inconsistent goaltending. It appeared to be an issue through the first two games of the playoffs, which is why Kris Knoblauch had Calvin Pickard replace Stuart Skinner en route to beating the Kings in the opening round.

But when Pickard sustained an injury, Skinner returned … and shut out the Golden Knights for the final two games of the second round. For all of the criticism Skinner has faced — and continues to face — he has the Oilers four wins away from a second consecutive Stanley Cup Final appearance. But above all, whether it be Pickard or Skinner, the Oilers now have the defensive cohesion that has eluded them at times, which is helpful to any netminder.

What we’ve learned about the Oilers so far

That they might be the best and deepest team in the playoffs. There’s no denying the advantage they have with Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid, who are first and second on the team in points this postseason. But this current iteration of the Oilers continues to prove how they are more than just their generational superstars.

Waiver pickup Kasperi Kapanen went from being a healthy scratch at the outset of the postseason to scoring a second-round series-clinching goal. Corey Perry has had one of the strongest playoffs by a player in their age-39 season. More than a dozen forwards have scored at least one goal.

The Oilers once again went through goalie issues, and found solutions on multiple occasions. In total, they have nine players who have scored more than three goals, all while finding defensive cohesion at a time when Mattias Ekholm has been out of the lineup.

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Oilers call series after Kasperi Kapanen scores OT winner

Kasperi Kapanen somehow gets his stick on the puck last on a scramble in overtime as the Oilers clinch the series vs. the Golden Knights.

X factor for the conference finals

Special teams. The Oilers had the best penalty kill in the 2024 playoffs, at 94%, which is one of the best rates in Stanley Cup playoff history. Couple that with what was the second-best power play, and it’s what made the Oilers a threat in every situation last spring.

This postseason, however, has been different. On the whole, their power play is still succeeding at a rate of 25%, which is good enough for sixth among all 16 playoff teams. Their penalty kill is 14th, at 66.7% — by far the worst of the remaining four teams.

Can they make the necessary adjustments? They had the worst power play of any team in the second round, with a 9.1% success rate on the extra-skater advantage, while their PK was tied for the second-lowest mark of the eight teams, at 76.9%.

Is the series win over the Golden Knights a sign of things to come?

The Oilers earned a return to the conference finals by tapping into every part of their roster. But one of the byproducts of using everyone is how they’ve reduced opponents into facing a depth crisis of their own.

The Golden Knights had 11 players finish with more than 10 goals in the regular season, while 11 players had more than 30 points. Against the Oilers, however, star center Jack Eichel was held without a goal, while the trio of Ivan Barbashev, Tomas Hertl and Brett Howden went from scoring a combined 78 goals in the regular season to scoring zero against Edmonton. Even the Golden Knights’ defensemen went from having 35 goals in the regular season to just one goal in the playoffs.

Knowing they have a more than capable blueprint, how will the Oilers use what they did in the second round against what has been a top-heavy Stars team to this point? — Clark


How they got here: Defeated Devils 4-1, defeated Capitals 4-1

Goalie confidence rating: 9.5/10

Frederik Andersen is having an eye-popping playoff run. His absurd numbers — a .937 save percentage and 1.36 goals-against average — lead the entire postseason field of goaltenders, as he has allowed just 12 goals over nine games. And it’s not like Andersen hasn’t been challenged. He turned aside 30 of 31 high-danger chances from Washington in Carolina’s second-round series, and gave up just four even-strength goals in five games.

Andersen also paces all playoff goalies in high-danger saves, while boasting the best goal differential (+15) as well. Basically, if there’s a category to measure goaltending greatness, Andersen is head of the class.

Carolina’s only real concern when it comes to Andersen is availability — he did miss time in the first round against New Jersey with an injury. Andersen’s lengthy injury history has to be in the back of the Hurricanes’ minds, but when Andersen is good to go, there’s not a goaltender playing better than he is right now.

What we’ve learned about the Hurricanes so far

The Hurricanes are like midsummer humidity — absolutely smothering. Carolina’s pressure is a full-team effort, leaving little open ice for any opponent to operate. The Canes have allowed the second-fewest shots on net this postseason (just 24 per game) thanks in large part to the way they have controlled play in the offensive zone and generated an excellent cycle game that has worn down the competition.

The Hurricanes are so good using their sticks to break up plays and rush opportunities, making it hard to even gain their zone. And a stout defense — led by Jaccob Slavin and Brent Burns — doesn’t let anyone linger for long in Carolina’s end.

Add to that an offensive attack led by Andrei Svechnikov‘s eight goals in 10 games — not to mention Andersen’s outstanding performance so far — and it’s no wonder the Hurricanes were first to punch their ticket back to the Eastern Conference finals.

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Andrei Svechnikov puts Canes on the brink with late goal

Andrei Svechnikov lights the lamp to give the Hurricanes a lead late in the third period.

X factor for the conference finals

Rod Brind’Amour. Carolina’s longtime coach brought his team to this precipice just two years ago — and they were swept away in four games. Now he’s facing the challenge of matching wits with another Stanley Cup-winning bench boss, Florida’s Paul Maurice, and it’s critical that Brind’Amour bring his A game.

The Hurricanes have stuck with him for a reason, and Brind’Amour has guided Carolina through a sensational 10 games to date this postseason. This is when the real work starts, though. Whether it’s deploying the right matchups, making adjustments on the fly or simply keeping the pulse of his team in check, Brind’Amour has to make this round his best coaching job yet. And the experience he has with this group in particular is critical.

The Hurricanes have grown since that last conference finals loss. Given this second opportunity in three years to potentially push through to a Stanley Cup Final, Brind’Amour’s leadership is more valuable than ever in ensuring the Hurricanes stick to their game to finally break through.

Does it matter that Carolina hasn’t exactly faced adversity yet in the postseason?

The Hurricanes were dominant in both series to date. Neither of their losses were particularly egregious. Now they’re up against an opponent that has had to claw its way back into the fight a time or two.

Florida has needed to cultivate some desperation in a way Carolina hasn’t, and that can be an asset as the stakes climb higher. How will the Hurricanes respond if things don’t immediately go their way?

We’ve seen it before, where teams cruise through a round (or two) and then crumble against a more urgent opponent that has gained confidence through resiliency. If the Hurricanes wind up in their own heads, that could spell trouble for a team that has made quick work of its playoff assignments to this point. — Shilton


How they got here: Defeated Lightning 4-1, defeated Maple Leafs 4-3

Goalie confidence rating: 8.5/10

Sergei Bobrovsky hasn’t had a flawless postseason — but he does come through in the clutch. That’s what Florida needed most from its No. 1 netminder to reach a third straight Eastern Conference finals.

Bobrovsky especially delivered in the Panthers’ second-round series against Toronto. He recovered from a mediocre start through the first three games — allowing 13 total goals — to give up just four goals in Games 4-7 for a .957% SV% and 1.01 GAA.

That’s the momentum Bobrovsky is taking into this latest clash with Carolina, where he’ll be going toe-to-toe with perhaps this postseason’s best goaltender in Frederik Andersen. Bobrovsky shouldn’t be intimidated by the matchup, though. He has something Andersen doesn’t: Cup-winning experience. Bobrovsky has carried his club through to consecutive Cup Finals and knows how to weather the highs and lows of a long run like this. There’s nothing the Hurricanes can throw at Bobrovsky that should rattle him.

What we’ve learned about the Panthers so far

The Panthers are the definition of killer instinct. It’s ingrained in their game. Their ability to make adjustments that expose an opponent’s weakness without sacrificing their own strengths is impressive.

So is Florida’s depth. The Panthers have had 17 goal scorers in the postseason, including seven defensemen who have combined for 11 tallies. Florida is fourth overall in the postseason field offensively (averaging 3.75 goals per game) but its defensive effort and penalty kill have perhaps outshined the work upfront.

The Panthers have been the second-stingiest team in the playoffs (after, naturally, their next foe in Carolina) with just 2.42 goals against per game, they’ve given up the second-fewest shots (23.8 per game) and they have the second-best penalty kill (89.5%).

Florida has a resilience built from its success over the past two seasons that comes through in the team’s confidence. Regardless of the situation — leading, tied or trailing — the Panthers are calm and collected. The balance they’ve created at both ends of the ice makes Florida tough to crack, and the Panthers don’t offer up opportunities freely. It’s a battle-tested group that knows when and how to strike.

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Panthers throttle Maple Leafs in Game 7 to advance to ECF

The Panthers dash the Maple Leafs’ hopes in Game 7, scoring six goals in two periods to advance to play the Hurricanes.

X factor for the conference finals

The Panthers have benefitted from that aforementioned depth to get this far — but Florida’s stars were eerily quiet in the second round. That needs to change against Carolina.

Matthew Tkachuk had zero goals and four assists against the Leafs, Aleksander Barkov nabbed two goals and five points, while Sam Reinhart has 41 shots in the postseason but just four goals through 12 games. It feels like there could be a breakout performance coming from somewhere.

The Panthers will have to work for every inch of open ice when the Hurricanes deploy their suffocating defense, but the Panthers do have an edge over the competition in terms of elite, top-end scoring talent. But it’s those exact skaters who have to show up for Florida now, in order to throw an elite goaltender like Andersen off his game.

The Panthers do an excellent job getting bodies in front of the net and creating shooting lanes. This is the series where they’ll most need to take advantage of those windows — and see certain skaters put their mark on this postseason push with some key contributions to the scoresheet.

Will Florida have to beat Carolina at its own game?

The Hurricanes and Panthers are essentially 1-2 in every defensive category this postseason, and their special teams are on par. Florida has the edge offensively, but Carolina has enjoyed timely scoring in a big way — think Andrei Svechnikov‘s game-winning goal in the final two minutes of regulation to send Washington packing in the second round — and that can be a weapon too.

The Panthers have an innate ability to adapt when the circumstances dictate it. That’s going to be imperative here. The Panthers pounded Carolina in a four-game sweep during their meeting in the conference finals two years ago. That’s not something the Hurricanes can easily forget, and Florida can lean on that too in figuring out how to dismantle a Carolina team that has made quick work of its first two challengers in these playoffs.

It’s on Florida to crack the code against a team that does many of the same things the Panthers do really, really well. — Shilton

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Gretzky celebrates Stars, coy on series vs. Oilers

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Gretzky celebrates Stars, coy on series vs. Oilers

DALLAS — Wayne Gretzky was in the Dallas Stars locker room congratulating them after they advanced to their third consecutive Western Conference final, where they will face the franchise with which “The Great One” was a four-time Stanley Cup champion.

“He said we’re going up against a pretty good team now,” Stars captain Jamie Benn said Tuesday, the day before hosting Game 1 against Edmonton. “And I had to ask him who he was cheering for. It felt right, and he didn’t answer, obviously.”

Benn said it was “pretty cool” that Gretzky visited the Stars after their 2-1 overtime win Saturday night over Winnipeg that set up a West final rematch against the Oilers.

Edmonton won the West final over the Stars in six games last year, then lost to Florida in a seven-game Stanley Cup Final.

“What a great honor to have the greatest player of all time come down after the game and say hello,” Stars coach Pete DeBoer said.

Gretzky told the Stars he had so much fun watching them play, and that they were now going to play “one of the greatest teams ever.”

DeBoer was on the coaching staff for Canada for the team’s 4 Nations Face-Off title earlier this year and during that period got to spend some time with Gretzky.

“Extra special. That’s my era. That’s the guy we all grew up watching,” DeBoer said. “He’s a special guy when you get him 1-on-1 or in a coach’s room or behind the scenes. You can see his passion for the game. He can sit and talk hockey and tell stories all night.”

Gretzky was part of four Stanley Cup titles in a five-season span in the 1980s with Edmonton. He was the NHL career-leading goal scorer with 894 goals until Alex Ovechkin passed him on April 6 but still has the most points (2,857) and assists (1,963).

So when meeting the Stars and DeBoer, did Gretzky say anything that would create headlines in Edmonton, such as saying he was hoping Dallas would win?

“He didn’t. He would never say that and I would never put him in that spot,” DeBoer said. “He was very respectful of our group and the job we’d done to that point. I think we all understand his allegiance to Edmonton and appreciate that, so he never went beyond that.”

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Marner unsure of Leafs’ future; Tavares content

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Marner unsure of Leafs' future; Tavares content

TORONTO — Mitch Marner might have played his final game with the Maple Leafs. Toronto’s top winger will be an unrestricted free agent on July 1 and has dodged speculation all season about when — or if — he would sign an extension with the club. During the Leafs’ season-ending media availability Tuesday following their Game 7 loss to Florida in a second-round Eastern Conference playoff series on Sunday, Marner was asked directly whether he wants to be a Leaf year. He remained noncommittal about staying put.

“I’ve always loved my time here, Ioved being here. I’ve been so grateful,” Marner said. “I haven’t processed anything yet. It’s still so fresh. Losing sucks.”

Marner, 28, has played his entire nine-year career with Toronto after the Leafs drafted him fourth overall in 2015. A native of the Toronto area, Marner has often spoke glowingly of getting to represent his childhood team. He’s done so by emerging as one of the league’s best playmaking forwards, hitting a career-high 102 points in the 2024-25 campaign to sit fifth in NHL scoring. Throughout the year though he and the Leafs didn’t come together on a new deal, and Toronto asked Marner to waive his no-trade clause so it could potentially facilitate a move prior to the March trade deadline. Marner ultimately refused and stayed on to be arguably the Leafs’ regular-season MVP.

But Marner wasn’t the difference-maker Toronto needed in the playoffs when it was being run off by a punishing Panthers team. Toronto held a 2-0 series lead over Florida in the second-round bout before the Panthers rebounded to win the next three, including an embarrassing 6-1 drubbing of the Leafs at home in Game 5. Toronto recovered with a Game 6 victory on the road but was again trounced at home, 6-1, in Game 7 to see its season end on the lowest of notes. Marner had just three assists in the final five games against Florida and was minus-four.

It was another disappointing end for Toronto and for Marner. The Leafs are now 0-6 in Game 7s during Marner’s tenure with the team, and he has notched just two assists in those outings.

Postseason struggles aside, Marner’s consistency as a regular-season performer leaves little doubt he’d have suitors on the open market. Marner’s lack of an answer about staying — or not — in Toronto only made the possibility he pursues that option more likely.

“It’s tough to process at this moment. It’s so fresh,” he said. “It’s 24 hours [from] our season ending. I haven’t thought about anything. I haven’t sat down with my wife. I haven’t talked to her about [the] future, next steps, and that will be in the next couple of weeks we’ll do that. We’ll start figuring stuff out. But I’m forever grateful, especially with this group.”

Marner sounded almost wistful in looking back on his seasons with the Leafs in the wake of another playoff defeat.

“It’s been amazing,” he said. “It’s been ups and downs, obviously. You want to win every year, you really do. You feel the love and the passion in the city, and you’re forever grateful for that. It’s one of the best cities to live in in the world, and I’ve been forever grateful to not just grow up here, but be able to wear this maple leaf and be a part of the history and this team.”

While Marner might be out the door, John Tavares isn’t eager to follow him. The Leafs veteran is also a pending unrestricted free agent, but he’s made clear his desire to be back in Toronto next season. Tavares said Tuesday he had “productive” talks with GM Brad Treliving and coach Craig Berube, and while several factors would play into a new contract, it was a top priority for Tavares to find common ground with the Leafs.

“If you want to make something work, you do everything you can to try to find what works on both sides,” he said. “What’s fair for myself and my family and for the team and the club. I’ve expressed my desire to stay and wanting to make it work.”

Berube made his feelings known, too. He said he doesn’t get into personnel signing decision with Treliving but when it comes to whether he wants to coach Marner and Tavares again?

“100%,” Berube said.

If Sunday’s trampling was Marner’s last time suiting up with the Leafs, he’ll leave behind a legacy that includes being the fastest skaters in franchise history to hit 700 points (in 629 games) and is one of only four Leafs to ever hit the 100-point mark (joining Darryl Sittler, Doug Gilmour and Auston Matthews).

It’s been Matthews beside Marner for much of their collective time in Toronto, which began in the 2016-17 season. The two have been frequent linemates over the nine-year span while forging a personal and professional bond Matthews will cherish regardless of where Marner lands.

“He’s a brother,” Matthews said. “He’s such a good teammate, friend. We’re extremely close. He’s extremely close with a lot of guys on the team, and he’s a big, big part of our team, and has been a big part of our team. Unfortunately, that’s the nature of the business. People come and go. He has the right to make his own decision, but obviously we all love him very much. He’s an amazing person, amazing teammate.”

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Blackhawks’ Nazar leads Team USA rally at worlds

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Blackhawks' Nazar leads Team USA rally at worlds

STOCKHOLM — Chicago Blackhawks center Frank Nazar scored twice to help the United States rally for a 5-2 victory over Czechia and hand the titleholder its first defeat at the ice hockey world championship on Tuesday.

The victory lifted the Americans to second place in Group B in Herning, Denmark. Switzerland won the group, with the Czechs finishing third and Denmark fourth.

Tuesday’s results determined the pairings for the quarterfinals on Thursday: Canada vs. Denmark, the United States vs. Finland, Sweden vs. Czechia and Switzerland vs. Austria.

“I loved our effort and how we played to our identity,” Team USA coach Ryan Warsofsky said. “Give our power play credit too. Overall, great team effort and a good step forward as we continue to build.”

Nazar, 21, who had 12 goals and 26 points with Chicago last season, deflected a shot into the net to tie the game at 2-2 1:35 into the final period on a power play. He scored again on another power play, his sixth tally of the tournament.

Utah Hockey Club center Logan Cooley roofed a shot from close range to make it 4-2 with 6:31 to go and Boston Bruins defenseman Andrew Peeke finished it off with a goal into an empty net.

Josh Doan, also of the Utah Hockey Club, gave the Americans a 1-0 lead 9:25 into the game on a rebound with a backhand between the pads of goaltender Karel Vejmelka, Doan’s teammate in the NHL.

The U.S. dominated the first period, outshooting its opponent 23-8. The Czechs came back in the second, as Bruins superstar David Pastrnak tied the game on a breakaway 41 seconds into the period by beating his Boston teammate, Jeremy Swayman, for his sixth goal at the tournament.

Pastrnak then set up Colorado Avalanche forward Martin Necas in the left circle to one-time a shot that put the Czechs 2-1 up 8:33 into the middle period.

In Stockholm, Canada completed the preliminary stage with a 5-3 victory over Sweden to rebound from Monday’s 2-1 loss to Finland. Canada topped Group A with 19 points, with Sweden one point behind and Finland another two points back.

Travis Sanheim, a defenseman for the Philadelphia Flyers, was in front of the goal to put Canada ahead 18 seconds into the game, the second fastest goal at the tournament. Bruins center Elias Lindholm scored the equalizer 3:29 later with a shorthanded goal on a breakaway with his seventh goal.

Flyers right wing Tyson Foerster beat New Jersey Devils goaltender Jacob Markstrom to restore Canada’s lead and Ryan O’Reilly, a veteran who played for the Nashville Predators last season, made it 3-1 against a team that had only conceded three goals in total in its six previous games at the worlds.

The Swedish team used a 5-on-3 power play to reduce the deficit through left wing Marcus Johansson, who plays for the Minnesota Wild, 3:02 into the middle period, but San Jose Sharks star Macklin Celebrini collected a through pass from Sidney Crosby, the captain of the Pittsburgh Penguins who holds the same title for Team Canada, to restore a two-goal advantage on a breakaway midway through the frame.

Flyers forward Travis Konecny was on his knees when he set up Colorado Avalanche star Nathan MacKinnon for the fifth 4:11 into the final period — one of his three assists in the game.

The Swedes pulled Markstrom with 4:12 to go and Calgary Flames defenseman Rasmus Andersson pulled one goal back.

Earlier, Austria reached the playoffs for the first time in 31 years after it defeated Latvia 6-1 and became the fourth and final team to advance to the quarterfinals from Group A. Finland defeated Slovakia 2-1, and Switzerland beat Kazakhstan 4-1, forcing the latter to be relegated after five years in the top division.

Finally, Denmark prevailed 2-1 over Germany after a penalty shootout to become the fourth and final team from Group B to advance.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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