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The silly season for the MLB draft is in full swing. College conference tournaments and many state high school tournaments have concluded, so the season is over for many key players and attention has shifted to private workouts or playoff games. Rumors are starting to swirl about who will go where, so it’s time for my initial full first-round projection.

As mentioned in my updated rankings and mini-mock two weeks ago, the top of this class is down a little from recent years, but that means the stars will be found later in the draft and the top of the draft will be even more unpredictable.

This week’s NCAA tournament regionals will be key for some of the players listed below, but most of those still playing have done enough that a few games won’t matter much. The MLB Draft Combine (June 21-25) will be huge for some third- to fifth-round type prospects, while the real fireworks for first-round implications will come either in private workouts or in the meetings teams are having to sort through all of the information they’ve collected in the past year on this class.

Here is who your favorite team is targeting at the top of this year’s draft.


Ethan Holliday, 3B, Stillwater HS (Oklahoma)

Top 150 rank: 3

This one is still wide-open and my choice here is more a reflection of “I don’t quite have enough info to change it from Holliday” than “I’m confident it’s going to be Holliday.” Eli Willits and Seth Hernandez are the leading prep options while the college options (lefties Liam Doyle, Kade Anderson and Jamie Arnold) seem less likely.

Bonus demands will certainly be a factor, which are influenced by potential landing spots. Holliday’s hot spots are picks No.1, No. 4 and No. 5. Willits’ are No. 1, possibly No. 2, then No. 5 through No. 8. Hernandez’s are No. 1, possibly No. 2, No. 3 and then a gap until maybe No. 9. If you’re confused, you’re now caught up to where the industry is.


Liam Doyle, LHP, Tennessee

Top 150 rank: 6

I’m not ruling out a high school player going here as a possibility (as referenced above), but I’m also not taking it that seriously. The Angels’ history is to take quick-moving college players early and promote them quickly through their system, then overpay some high school players later.

Doyle had one of the most incredible regular seasons in years, but did get hit around in the SEC tournament. You could justify Kade Anderson or Jamie Arnold as the top college prospect here, but Doyle fits their interests better. Aiva Arquette is mentioned and I think he’s in their mix, but I’d assume a pitcher is where they land.


Kade Anderson, LHP, LSU

Top 150 rank: 7

It’s starting to sound like this pick will be a pitcher. Hernandez is a real option but comes from a risky player demographic as a high schooler. Anderson is finishing strong and Arnold is posting solid K/BB numbers but getting hit around, so I’ll lean to Anderson in a tight finish.


Aiva Arquette, SS, Oregon State

Top 150 rank: 8

If Holliday doesn’t get here, I’m told the options considered at this pick will be among one of the remaining college left-handers (Arnold in this case), Kyson Witherspoon or Arquette. Witherspoon probably goes a bit after this, so he seems like the least likely unless there’s an underslot deal.


Eli Willits, SS, Fort Cobb-Broxton HS (Oklahoma)

Top 150 rank: 2

In this scenario, I think this pick will come down to Willits and Arnold, with JoJo Parker and Billy Carlson among the viable choices on the periphery.

In the past, St. Louis has leaned heavily into reliable college starters, but Willits is quite similar to St. Louis 2024 first-rounder JJ Wetherholt.


Jamie Arnold, LHP, Florida State

Top 150 rank: 1

The Pirates have been tied to Arquette (not available here in this scenario), any of the three college lefties (just Arnold in this scenario), and whichever of the prep shortstops get here (Carlson and Parker in this scenario). I think Arnold’s solid chance to be the best pitcher in this class wins out.

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Which MLB draft prospects could have star potential?

Kiley McDaniels provides some key prospects to look out for in the MLB draft, including Florida State’s Jamie Arnold and Seth Hernandez from Corona High School.


Billy Carlson, SS, Corona HS (California)

Top 150 rank: 5

Carlson is heavily in the mix for a number of picks starting around No. 5 and should go pretty soon after that. Like Arnold, he could be the one from the best of his player demographic to slip but could also easily be the best of the group. We’re getting into the back of the top tier of talent, so teams picking here will be reactive and take who gets to them from the top group.


Kyson Witherspoon, RHP, Oklahoma

Top 150 rank: 10

I don’t think the Blue Jays would take Seth Hernandez, but I do think they’re on most of the other players in the consensus top group, so Witherspoon is the one that makes sense in this scenario; any of the previous four picks in this mock would be Toronto’s pick if they were the one to fall, too.


Seth Hernandez, RHP, Corona HS (California)

Top 150 rank: 4

This is a best-case scenario for Cincinnati as the Reds get their guy here after Hernandez loses some coin flips up top. I think this would be quite unlucky for Hernandez and there might be a team lying in the weeds between No. 3 and No. 9 that would take him that hasn’t tipped their hand yet.


JoJo Parker, SS, Purvis HS (Mississippi)

Top 150 rank: 9

Parker has multiple potential landing spots in the top 10. He might be the best hitter in the draft, it’s just that his other tools aren’t as good as his competition.

For some teams, the top tier is 10 players (I basically agree, though I might include one or two more) so the White Sox pick could be quite simple, but odds are their board doesn’t just have all 10 names in a similar order.


Brendan Summerhill, CF, Arizona

Top 150 rank: 27

The A’s are in a tough spot, as you can surmise from the theme developing that the top tier of talent is now running out. That also means prices will come into play starting around here as a number of players grade out similarly; that means mocks get much harder because agents and teams don’t know anyone’s price yet. The A’s have been tied to Summerhill all spring and this is about where he should land anyway; he’ll be ranked higher when I update my list.


Steele Hall, SS, Hewitt-Trussville HS (Alabama)

Top 150 rank: 11

The Rangers will take any player demographic but tend to lean toward tools/upside at premium picks. Hall is one of the youngest players in the draft and is a plus-plus runner with the feel to pull/lift the ball in games.


Wehiwa Aloy, SS, Arkansas

Top 150 rank: 14

I’ve heard both Wake Forest SS Marek Houston and Aloy at this spot. Both are college shortstops but otherwise pretty different players. Aloy has contact issues, isn’t a great runner but is a good defender, and Houston makes a lot of contact with limited power and is a great defender. Aloy has a chance to be a starting big league shortstop with plus power and that upside is rare, especially from the college ranks.


Josh Hammond, 3B, Wesleyan Christian HS (North Carolina)

Top 150 rank: 18

Hammond had a great summer and was getting Austin Riley comps for his two-way prowess (many teams preferred him as a pitcher over the summer), then showed up notably stronger this spring, looking like a dead ringer for Josh Donaldson, headlined by plus-plus raw power, though with a more power-focused offensive approach.


Gavin Fien, 3B, Great Oak HS (California)

Top 150 rank: 13

Fien is somewhat polarizing as he has medium tools but had a huge summer performance while his lesser spring performance has soured some teams. He was knocking on the door of the top 10 before the spring and shouldn’t get out of the first 20 or so picks despite scouts being a bit confused by their spring looks.


Jace LaViolette, CF, Texas A&M

Top 150 rank: 9

Speaking of a confusing spring, Laviolette also has scouts unsure what to make of him. His swing is a bit mechanical and stiff, but he has massive tools and has performed pretty well all things considered — though he has been streaky. There’s some thinking that he should loosen up his swing, maybe like Cody Bellinger, because he has 30-homer power and is viable in center field at 6-foot-6.

He’s a rare talent with solid college performance, but the worry about his swing and the contact issues he might have at higher levels is creating uncertainty about his draft position. He could sneak into the top 10 but more likely goes in the later teens. The Twins have taken players like this and had some success, with Trevor Larnach and Matt Wallner.


Gage Wood, RHP, Arkansas

Top 150 rank: 21

Wood is a hot name because of his huge stuff, but he has started only 10 games in college. Some scouts think that if he can make a number of starts for Arkansas this postseason, he could have a rise like Cade Horton, who went No. 7 in 2022 out of Oklahoma and is now in the big leagues for the Cubs. This projection is a little speculative, but I don’t think Wood would get out of the 20s if the draft were held today. He is a more refined version of another Arkansas pitcher the Cubs took in the second round in 2023, Jaxon Wiggins.


Slater de Brun, CF, Summit HS (Oregon)

Top 150 rank: 16

You’re going to see de Brun in this spot in a lot of mock drafts because he’s pretty similar to Corbin Carroll, Alek Thomas and Slade Caldwell, all prep position players who are short and quick center fielders — and all taken by the D-backs. He belongs in this juncture of the draft anyway and Arizona still seems quite interested in this type of player.


Xavier Neyens, 3B, Mount Vernon HS (Washington)

Top 150 rank: 19

This is the area where you’ll see de Brun’s Northwest prep running mate Neyens’ name the most in projections as well. He belongs here, but the next few picks are teams that tend to lean into Neyens’ skillset: massive raw power, solid athleticism, infield fit. Baltimore has taken a number of players like this over the years and Neyens has an intriguing upside (think Joey Gallo, both the good and bad versions) for this juncture of the draft.


Daniel Pierce, SS, Mill Creek HS (Georgia)

Top 150 rank: 20

Pierce has a lot of interest from the late teens into the 20s and could go anywhere in that range, (or maybe get overpaid later) because there are a ton of prep position players at this juncture of the draft and one or two of them have to slide as college talents invariably are moved up while prep players get big bonuses to wait a bit longer. Pierce is a standout athlete and defender with great makeup and contact rates but limited present power.


Tate Southisene, SS, Basic HS (Nevada)

Top 150 rank: 22

Tate’s brother Ty got $1 million from the Cubs in the fourth round last year and the Cubs are tied to Tate this spring, though Houston is as well. Southisene is a bit unusual as a prep shortstop with standout power and patience in a smaller frame, though not quite as fast or young as Steele Hall, another player with that general skillset who went nine picks earlier in this projection.


Marek Houston, SS, Wake Forest

Top 150 rank: 15

There was a lot of anticipation when Houston showed scouts a new and improved swing last fall that caused some to mention Dansby Swanson as a comp. But it was followed by a bit of a letdown when his power numbers didn’t increase very much this spring. He’s still a plus runner and defender with solid contact rates, but more like 10-15 homer potential. He has a good bit of interest in the teens, so this is more of a floor than his hot spot.


Ike Irish, C/OF, Auburn

Top 150 rank: 26

Irish has a lot of momentum after finishing second in the SEC in OPS in conference games after a slow start. There are landing spots for him all over the first round, including the top half of the round, so this is near the latter end of his range. As usual, the Royals are being tied to a number of prep pitchers so I’d assume they would line up a few in their next picks after taking Irish here in this scenario.


Kayson Cunningham, SS, Johnson HS (Texas)

Top 150 rank: 17

Cunningham is another player with lots of interest in the teens who loses out a bit in this scenario, though Detroit has an extra pick at No. 34 and the pool space to get a better player to this pick.

Cunningham has arguably the best hit tool in the draft and will play the infield, but doesn’t have much power right now, might be more of a second baseman and being old for the class makes him a no-go for some model-oriented teams. He’s also among the most likely big leaguers in this deep prep class, so this is a great value.


Kruz Schoolcraft, LHP, Sunset HS (Oregon)

Top 150 rank: 33

It’s generally good business to predict a prep left-hander to the Padres with Kash Mayfield and Boston Bateman taken as their first two picks last year, and Robby Snelling and Ryan Weathers as first-rounders in past years.

Schoolcraft also fits around this spot in the draft, with some chance to go inside of the top 20 but more likely being a slot-or-above option in the 20s and early 30s. He’s 6-foot-8 with mid-90s velo and a plus changeup, though his breaking ball quality is inconsistent.


Matthew Fisher, RHP, Evansville Memorial HS (Indiana)

Top 150 rank: 40

The Phillies have had some success with being more open to prep right-handers in the first round than the average team (Andrew Painter, Mick Abel), though they haven’t done it of late. This is the juncture in the draft where the next tier of prep arms behind Seth Hernandez (Schoolcraft, Cam Appenzeller, Aaron Watson, Landon Harmon) will go flying off the board and the Phillies seem to be most interested in Fisher of this group.


Tyler Bremner, RHP, UC Santa Barbara

Top 150 rank: 28

Bremner looked like a potential top-10 pick entering the spring, then didn’t have the season many were hoping for, but he still has a starter look with mid-90s velocity, and a knockout changeup. The Guardians are good at the last stage of pitcher development and Bremner has fallen too far at this point.


Prospect promotion incentive picks

28. Kansas City Royals: Aaron Watson, RHP, Trinity Christian HS (Florida)


Compensation picks

29. Arizona Diamondbacks: Ethan Conrad, RF, Wake Forest
30. Baltimore Orioles: Sean Gamble, 2B, IMG Academy (Florida)
31. Baltimore Orioles: Mason Neville, CF, Oregon
32. Milwaukee Brewers: Gavin Kilen, SS, Tennessee


Competitive balance picks

33. Boston Red Sox: Dax Kilby, SS, Newnan HS (Georgia)
34. Detroit Tigers: Anthony Eyanson, RHP, LSU<
35. Seattle Mariners: Nick Becker, SS, Don Bosco HS (New Jersey)
36. Minnesota Twins: Caden Bodine, C, Coastal Carolina
37. Tampa Bay Rays: Jaden Fauske, OF, Nazareth Academy HS (Illinois)

These three teams had their first-round picks moved down 10 slots after exceeding the second surcharge threshold of the competitive balance tax. We’ll include full writeups for them so all 30 teams have a projected pick.

Marcus Phillips, RHP, Tennessee

Top 150 rank: 37

Phillips is electrifying, sitting in the upper-90s with plus stuff from a low arm slot but some teams worry his arm action will limit him to relief. The Mets haven’t been scared to take this sort of risk in the past and Phillips might also land in the 20s, so this would be a nice value.


Andrew Fischer, 3B, Tennessee

Top 150 rank: 53

Fischer is sneaking up the board along the same lines as Ike Irish and Ethan Conrad, as pure hitters who are probably big leaguers of consequence. Fischer has the least defensive value of the group as a likely first baseman who has some shot to play third base, but he also might go higher than this as the demand for SEC-proven hitters is always high.


Cam Cannarella, CF, Clemson

Top 150 rank: 34

Cannarella hasn’t looked quite the same as he did last spring and scouts seem to think he won’t go in the top 20-30 picks. I think this drop is too far for his talent and would be another draft coup for the Dodgers.

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Haters’ guide to the Mannings vs. the Gators

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Haters' guide to the Mannings vs. the Gators

Between Archie, Peyton, Eli, and now, Arch, the Mannings have been a part of America’s football consciousness for nearly 60 years. Only one of the family’s college football rivalries, however, has included a spelling test, years of shade, and has spanned generations.

Within that lore, holding a spot that goes beyond merely an opponent, are the Florida Gators. First as haters-in-chief, then as part of the redemptive end to the family’s first college football run, Florida was there.

While Archie Manning never played Florida in three seasons with the Ole Miss Rebels from 1968-70, the Mannings are 2-3 as starters against the Gators. On Saturday, Texas Longhorns QB Arch Manning, with a lot of family history behind him, takes his turn in The Swamp (3:30 ET, ESPN).

It will be the next entry in what was once a salty family vs. school rivalry that featured an all-time hater.

A brief history lesson

The current Cheez-It Citrus Bowl was previously the Capital One Bowl and, before that, just the Florida Citrus Bowl. While the Orlando-based game annually hosted top-10 teams and was where the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets beat the Nebraska Cornhuskers to earn a share of the 1990 national title, it is a tier under the major bowl games. Secondly, this Manning-Florida rivalry began in the era before the BCS, let alone the College Football Playoff and the nascent days of conference championship games. So, one loss could doom a season, or at the least, keep a team from a conference title and a major bowl.

Arch Manning might already know this, but it’s important to the lore of this rivalry and will make sense later.


The visor’s world

Peyton Manning’s recruitment was a big deal. His father’s legacy in the SEC combined with Peyton’s ability made his college decision one of the biggest recruiting decisions ever in the sport. By the time Peyton landed with the Tennessee Volunteers in 1994, Steve Spurrier was going into his fifth season at his alma mater.

The Gators would win five of the first six SEC championships. That’s what Peyton Manning was stepping into. The Tennessee-Florida rivalry would become the SEC’s biggest game for much of the 1990s. Between 1990 and 2000, eight of the 11 meetings would be top-10 matchups.

Manning wasn’t a part of the Vols’ 31-0 loss to No. 1 Florida in 1994. In the 1995 game, Manning and the Vols bolted out to a 30-21 halftime lead only to see Florida outscore Tennessee 41-7 in the second half and lose 62-37.

“It’s a 60-minute game. They don’t stop the game after 30 minutes,” Florida tackle Mo Collins said after the game.

The refrain would be played more than “Rocky Top.”

Manning was solid in the game, going 23-of-36 for 326 yards and two scores. The problem: Florida’s Danny Wuerffel was better. He threw for 381 yards and six touchdowns.

It would be the only game Tennessee would lose that season, but it would keep the Volunteers out of the SEC title game and relegate them to the Citrus Bowl. An amazing Manning performance in an excruciating loss to Florida and a less-than-satisfying bowl trip.

Before the 1996 game, the trash talk went wild.

Florida defensive lineman Tim Beauchamp all but guaranteed victory.

“They look vulnerable, very vulnerable,” Beauchamp said before the game. “… It should get pretty ugly.”

Beauchamp also took a shot at Manning. “He gets rattled,” Beauchamp said.

Archie Manning offered advice to his son ahead of the game, saying “spend the week with a smirk on your face, have some fun,” Sports Illustrated reported at the time.

When the game between the No. 4 Gators and No. 2 Volunteers began, that smirk might have turned into a grimace. Florida went for it on fourth down on its first series and scored on a 35-yard touchdown pass. Manning was intercepted on Tennessee’s first series. He was intercepted once more in the half and the Gators built a 35-6 lead at the break.

Manning, who attempted 65 passes in the game, would lead a second-half rally. He threw for a school-record 492 yards and four touchdowns but also had two more interceptions, which came at the goal line when Tennessee was threatening to score.

“We would’ve liked to have been accused of running up the score, but it didn’t work out that way,” Spurrier said after UF held on for a 35-29 win.

The Gators would go on to win the SEC, go to the Sugar Bowl and win their first national title. Tennessee was off to the Citrus Bowl. Wuerffel, the first of many QB foils for Manning, threw for just 155 yards in the game against Tennessee, but had four touchdowns and, crucially, no interceptions. He would go on to win the Heisman Trophy that season as well.


How do you spell Citrus?

Just a reminder — the “Head Ball Coach” loved hating on his team’s rivals. Spurrier surely meant what he said about running up the score on Tennessee in 1996. In 1994, he called Florida State “Free Shoes U” for allegedly failing to monitor agent activity. He called Ray Goff, who coached the Georgia Bulldogs from 1989-1995 and never beat Spurrier, “Ray Goof.”

In 2015, after a fire at Auburn’s library destroyed 20 books, Spurrier said “the real tragedy is that 15 hadn’t been colored yet.”

“He’s the needler champion of the world,” former FSU coach Bobby Bowden told Mark Schlabach in 2014.

Give him a national title (that came in a rout of rival FSU) and a summer booster tour and he could be in his hating bag like he was when he uttered his most famous barb.

“You can’t spell citrus without U-T.”

The brevity. The sass. The deeper, historic context. It was Spurrier’s masterpiece of hating on Tennessee.

He also had something for Manning, who had announced he was returning for his senior season, as well.

“I know why Peyton came back for his senior year,” Spurrier said. “He wanted to be a three-time star of the Citrus Bowl.”

Despite being a No. 3 vs. No. 4 matchup, it wasn’t the wild shootout the previous two games had been. Manning was 29-of-51 for 353 yards and three touchdowns, but he also threw two picks. The Gators again shredded the Vols’ defense. Fred Taylor ran for 134 yards and Florida QB Doug Johnson threw three touchdowns in the Gators’ 33-20 win.

That was it. Manning would never beat Florida. He lost five games as a college starter. Three came to the Gators. Tennessee would go on to win the SEC in 1997 only to be crushed in the Orange Bowl by the Nebraska Cornhuskers. Ironically, due to losses to Georgia and LSU, Florida would land in the Citrus Bowl.

“It bothers me that we never did beat Florida, but hey, I can’t control the way other people view Tennessee or view my career,” Manning said after the game. “I’m sure Coach Spurrier will go make a few more jokes. That’s fine. He’s got a good ballclub.”


Eli’s coming

In the moments after Peyton Manning’s last game against Florida, Archie Manning was feeling the weight of watching his son’s very public athletic struggles.

”Everybody talks about how great and wonderful it is to be at all the games and see your son playing. But I’ll tell you something: It ain’t all it’s cracked up to be,” Archie Manning told The New York Times afterward.

”Sometimes I wish someone would just knock me out and tell me what happened when it was over. This wasn’t fun.”

Five years later, in 2002, Peyton Manning was going into his fifth season with the Indianapolis Colts, and Spurrier was about to start his ill-fated tenure as an NFL head coach. After being turned down by then-Denver Broncos coach Mike Shanahan and then-Oklahoma Sooners coach Bob Stoops, Florida hired Ron Zook, a longtime assistant in college and the NFL, to replace Spurrier.

After choosing the Ole Miss Rebels, his father’s school, and becoming the starter as a sophomore in 2001, this is what Eli Manning was stepping into for his first crack at the Gators in 2002.

While the game featured two eventual Heisman Trophy finalists and Super Bowl QBs in Manning and Florida’s Rex Grossman, it was not an aerial bonanza like those in which Peyton played.

Manning was 18-of-33 for 154 yards and no touchdowns, and Grossman was 19-of-44 with two touchdowns and four interceptions. One of those picks was returned for the winning touchdown.

The 2003 game allowed Manning to exact a bit of vengeance on his family’s nemesis. It would also mean a return to The Swamp for the Mannings. Following Peyton’s last game there, Archie Manning claimed he’d never go back. But he was there nonetheless.

“[Archie] had one last trip and he got to end it on a good one,” Eli Manning said after the game.

In the 20-17 Ole Miss win, Manning threw for 262 yards and led a 50-yard scoring drive to win the game. The lore of the family history and status of the Gators was, perhaps, not lost on Eli Manning who got a shot on Florida afterward.

“That team is beatable,” he said after the game. “They’re really not the team they were a couple of years ago when they had [Danny] Wuerffel and all of those other guys.”

That Manning ended 2-0 against Florida.


Next Manning up

Prior to the 2025 season, when Arch Manning was the preseason favorite for the Heisman, Spurrier found a little more hating in his heart.

“They’ve got Arch Manning already winning the Heisman,” Spurrier said on the “Another Dooley Noted” podcast. “My question is, if he was this good, how come they let Quinn Ewers play all the time last year? And [Ewers] was a seventh-round pick.”

Spurrier might have been right. Prior to putting up huge numbers against Sam Houston State, Manning was 124th out of 136 QBs with a 55.3% completion rate and struggled in his only other road start at Ohio State. On the other side, Florida is 1-3 after starting the season ranked No. 15 in the AP, and head coach Billy Napier is on the hot seat.

Saturday will mark 22 years to the day since a Manning played the Gators. While Arch Manning has not yet met the preseason hype, he will have his chance to continue the family winning streak and another rancorous chapter to the rivalry.

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Ole Miss’ Kiffin: Dynasties ‘over’ for bigger SEC

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Ole Miss' Kiffin: Dynasties 'over' for bigger SEC

OXFORD, Miss. — Ole Miss coach Lane Kiffin said “dynasties are over” in the SEC after the league added Oklahoma and Texas and recently announced it will play a ninth conference game starting in 2026.

Kiffin, whose Rebels (5-0) are ranked No. 4 in The Associated Press Top 25 poll after last week’s 24-19 victory against LSU, said name, image and likeness rules and the transfer portal have also leveled the playing field in the 16-team SEC, making it harder for programs to stay on top.

He said SEC programs will no longer be able to stockpile talent as former Alabama coach Nick Saban did while winning six national championships from 2007 to 2023 and Georgia coach Kirby Smart did when capturing back-to-back CFP national titles at his alma mater in 2021 and 2022.

“In my opinion, the dynasties are over,” Kiffin told ESPN on Wednesday. “Alabama with Coach Saban and then Kirby at Georgia, where they had those rosters year in, year out and there would be a bunch of wins by 30 points in the conference, those days are done.”

Kiffin was Alabama’s offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach from 2014 to 2016, helping the Crimson Tide finish 14-1 and beat Clemson 45-40 in the CFP National Championship after the 2015 season.

“When I was at Alabama, they’d be like, ‘Go watch the outside linebackers,’ and there’s six of them over there that are first-round picks,” Kiffin said. “That’s not going to happen anymore because if they don’t play, then they’re going to leave. They can’t keep them all anymore.”

Under the SEC’s new schedule, teams will play three annual opponents to maintain traditional rivalries, and the remaining six games will rotate among the other 12 league members, so programs will face each other at least once every two seasons. Teams are also required to play at least one quality nonconference game against a school from the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and Notre Dame every season.

Kiffin, who is 49-18 in six seasons at Ole Miss, said he didn’t want the SEC to add a ninth conference game, which was done to increase revenue, improve fan experience with an additional game against a quality opponent and get the league in line with the Big Ten’s scheduling model.

“You’re going to have really good teams going 8-4 because we’re going to play nine conference teams, including five on the road,” Kiffin said. “The conference has never been this balanced, and it never used to have Texas and Oklahoma, two top-10 teams and two of the hardest places in the country to play.

“My concern for the programs and for the coaches is that fans aren’t going to be able to get used to the numbers being different, the wins and losses. If you’re a program that’s used to being a nine- or 10-win team and you go 7-5, your fans are going to think the team is terrible and the coach is terrible. But you might have lost four road games at Georgia, Florida, LSU and Alabama.”

Vanderbilt, traditionally the SEC’s worst program, went 7-6 last season and upset No. 1 Alabama 40-35. This year, the Commodores are 5-0 and ranked 16th heading into Saturday’s game at No. 10 Alabama (3:30 p.m. ET, ABC).

Commodores coach Clark Lea has relied heavily on the transfer portal to rebuild his alma mater’s roster, including bringing in star quarterback Diego Pavia and tight end Eli Stowers from New Mexico State in 2024.

Mississippi State went 7-17 in the two seasons after former coach Mike Leach’s death in December 2022, including 2-10 under current coach Jeff Lebby in 2024. The Bulldogs brought in 31 transfers with 168 career starts before this season. They are 4-1 and upset then-No. 12 Arizona State 24-20 on Sept. 6.

“If a team in the bottom half is down for a couple of years, they won’t stay down for long anymore because they can go buy and fix their problems,” Kiffin said. “There are so many kids that want to play and go to the portal. They want to play in the SEC, so they’ll go to what you would maybe call the bottom-tier programs. They’ll fix their problems and won’t stay bad.”

Going forward, Kiffin hopes more weight will be put on schedule strength and other analytics when teams are picked for the College Football Playoff. The CFP announced on Aug. 20 that enhancements were made to the tools it uses to “assess schedule strength and how teams perform against their schedule,” including adding “greater weight to games against strong opponents.”

Kiffin said he would have preferred that SEC teams play an annual game against a Big Ten opponent, rather than another conference game, to produce an additional data point that might have differentiated SEC teams from one another.

“It can’t be these people deciding who gets in the playoff,” Kiffin said. “We’ve got to get back to analytics and computers. Baseball and basketball have the RPI where they take into account margin of victory, who you play, where you play and all of that.”

Last season, Kiffin criticized the CFP selection committee for taking Indiana and SMU over three SEC teams that went 9-3: Alabama, Ole Miss and South Carolina. The Rebels thumped No. 3 Georgia 28-10 at home but fell to unranked Kentucky 20-17 at home and Florida 24-17 on the road.

“Are you better than the 10-2 Big Ten team or ACC team? Well, you took away 16 nonconference games, so you really don’t know,” Kiffin said. “It’s just like the records in college football are so burned into our heads that 11-1 is so much better than 10-2 and so much better than 9-3, but it’s so different because you’re in these different conferences.”

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PSU starting LB Rojas out with long-term injury

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PSU starting LB Rojas out with long-term injury

Penn State starting linebacker Tony Rojas will be sidelined long term because of an unspecified injury sustained in practice this week.

Rojas, a junior from Fairfax, Virginia, is tied for the team lead in tackles for loss with 4.5 and ranks second with 25 tackles. He became a starter last season, finishing with 58 tackles, 6 tackles for loss and 3 interceptions, returning one for a touchdown in a College Football Playoff first-round win against SMU.

Penn State did not specify how long Rojas would be out.

Nittany Lions coach James Franklin said Wednesday that senior Dom DeLuca will get increased playing time in Rojas’ absence, and the staff is discussing how to possibly use freshmen Cam Smith and Alex Tatsch.

“What’s helpful is we have these Sunday scrimmages, so we’ve had a chance to evaluate those guys each week,” Franklin said. “Early on, Tatsch was getting a little bit more time with the varsity. We’re giving Cam an opportunity now as well.”

Rojas played much of last season with a left shoulder injury, and underwent surgery following Penn State’s CFP run.

The seventh-ranked Nittany Lions, who lost their first game last week against Oregon, visit winless UCLA on Saturday.

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