CFP 5+11 model gaining traction among leaders

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4 months ago

May 30, 2025

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DESTIN, Fla. — A 16-team College Football Playoff model featuring the top five conference champions and 11 at-large teams is gaining traction following SEC spring meetings this week, but the next step in playoff expansion for 2026 and beyond will depend on how quickly the sport’s leaders can make a flurry of decisions.

A critical component is the SEC’s choice between staying at eight league games or moving to nine, a topic ACC sources say could be revisited in their league after years of being dormant if prompted by playoff expansion. The linchpin to those scheduling decisions is one thing every conference seems to agree on: the need for clarity about how the CFP selection committee ranks its teams, starting with how strength of schedule is determined and applied.

“I do think there’s a need for change,” SEC commissioner Greg Sankey said of the ranking protocol Thursday at the conclusion of his league’s spring meetings. “… How do you make those decisions? It’s hard, and we trust the committee to do that, and I respect the people in there, so this isn’t a criticism of the people. This is wanting to understand the decisions. We have to have better clarity on the criteria that inform those decisions.”

Currently, strength of schedule is one of several factors not weighed in the committee’s ambiguous protocol — language the FBS commissioners wrote at the inception of the four-team playoff in 2014. There’s a sense among some athletic directors in the SEC and ACC that moving to nine conference games is feasible — if the committee doesn’t penalize teams for losing two or three games against strong opponents.

Some SEC athletic directors stressed this week that they would only favor a nine-game league schedule if the conference is guaranteed four playoff spots — also the Big Ten’s preferred model.

“If we’re not confident that the decision-making about who gets in and why and what are the metrics around it, it’s going to be really hard for some of my colleagues to get to the nine games,” Texas A&M athletic director Trev Alberts said. “We’ve got a timeline that’s getting tight, and we recognize that. It seems like everything is coming to a head. In a way it’s a little bit frustrating, in another way it feels good because eventually, it feels like we’re actually going to get some of this dealt with.”

CFP leaders have set Dec. 1 as a deadline to determine the future format, and Sankey said he wants to make a scheduling decision in 2026, but didn’t specify when. The FBS commissioners and Notre Dame athletic director Pete Bevacqua are scheduled to meet in person June 18 in Asheville, North Carolina.

Sankey was asked if his conference will be unified on a format by then.

“We’ll see,” Sankey said.

Multiple ACC sources said the conference would prefer a 5+11 model, and Big 12 commissioner Brett Yormark has publicly supported it at his league’s spring meetings this week.

“It has always been our first choice,” Yormark told ESPN. “It’s fair and rewards on-field performance. I’m not surprised SEC coaches like it.”

The Big 12’s administrators agree.

“The construct of the CFP wasn’t to give one or two conferences more value. It was supposed to be the best way to conduct a real national championship,” UCF athletic director Terry Mohajir said. “I think a 5+11 is the best way to do that, and it gets the best teams in.”

If Sankey can get his athletic directors on the same page as his coaches, who this week voiced strong support for a 5+11 model (but with eight conference games), the Big Ten would likely be the lone league in the room pushing automatic qualifiers.

“[We’re] kind of important,” Sankey said, “a bit important in that decision.”

The Big Ten and SEC have the bulk of control over the playoff’s format in 2026 and beyond, something the other FBS commissioners and Bevacqua agreed to when they signed a memorandum of understanding for the new six-year deal.

“If we do want to have a national tournament, we do have to get everyone on the same page and everyone has to work together,” Florida athletic director Scott Stricklin said.

The ACC’s considerations of a nine-game league schedule had been tabled for a few years for multiple reasons. Several schools already have existing rivalries with SEC schools, plus there is a built-in agreement with Notre Dame. The ACC doesn’t necessarily have to decide that for the 2026 season. It’s something that could be phased in, according to a source.

Alabama athletic director Greg Byrne said two of his main priorities as the playoff discussions move forward are access and having “a pretty clear understanding of what gets you in, what doesn’t.”

“I know last year I talked about a lot of what I read was two versus three losses, and that was concerning,” Byrne said. “Granted, ultimately, it’s up to you and the play you have on the field, and you have to recognize that, but I also do believe that when you looked at the bullet points for the CFP, strength of schedule was the first bullet point listed. Trying to get some clear understanding of how is that weighed in the room is important. Our conference because of the play on the field has deserved the benefit of the doubt at times to be strongly considered for the CFP.”

On Thursday afternoon, the SEC provided members of the media with a six-page packet that included color-coded charts using multiple metrics to illustrate the league’s dominant schedule strength. Sankey said the task for determining the CFP’s strength of schedule component is striking a balance “between human and machine,” referring to the old BCS computer formula.

“Whether you agree or not, that’s what we’re looking at,” Sankey said of the packet, which included ESPN’s Strength of Record, Bill Connelly’s SP+, Kenneth Massey’s metric, ESPN’s Football Power Index and ESPN’s Strength of Schedule metric. “That doesn’t mean every one of these should be inserted into the CFP, but I think you have to consider what it means, because there’s other ratings and evaluation tools we’ve looked at that are much like these results.”

While the issues are on the table, the CFP’s management committee is notorious for missing its own deadlines. Sankey this week didn’t rule out the possibility of the 12-team CFP remaining in place in 2026.

“Can I see a scenario? Sure, I can see a scenario,” Sankey said. “But is that the most likely scenario? Come back for more. I said — genuinely — we’re interested in a model. We’re not committed to that model, and you’ve seen that play out this week, where people have different ideas.”

The question is if the Power 4 leagues can put their differences aside — quickly.

“We need to work well together,” Sankey said. “The emotional maturity needed right now is higher than ever.”

ESPN’s Andrea Adelson contributed to this report.

Sports

Iowa State loses pair of starting CBs for season

Published

2 hours ago

October 1, 2025

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Iowa State loses pair of starting CBs for season

Associated Press

Oct 1, 2025, 10:42 AM ET

AMES, Iowa — No. 14 Iowa State‘s secondary will be without longtime starters Jontez Williams and Jeremiah Cooper for the rest of the season because of knee injuries.

Coach Matt Campbell announced Tuesday that Williams damaged the ACL in his right knee late in the Cyclones’ 39-14 win over Arizona on Saturday. Cooper tore his ACL in practice last week. The two have combined for 55 starts.

Williams, an Associated Press All-Big 12 second-team pick in 2024, had one interception and two pass breakups this season. He was hurt with three minutes left against Arizona as he dove in an attempt to knock a ball away from a receiver.

“So that’s a situation that really stinks for the kid,” Campbell said. “But man, just how he’s handled it has been uber impressive. And a great human. He’ll be back ready to rock and roll next year.”

Cooper has made 36 starts since 2022 and was an AP All-Big 12 first-team pick at safety in 2023. He switched to cornerback full time this season and had an interception and three pass breakups through four games.

Tre Bell, a transfer from Lindenwood, made his first start for the Cyclones in Cooper’s place against Arizona. Quentin Taylor Jr., who played 26 snaps against Arizona, would be in line to make his first start when the Cyclones (5-0, 2-0 Big 12) visit Cincinnati (3-1, 1-0) on Saturday.

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New Orleans back as CFP title host in Jan. 2028

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2 hours ago

October 1, 2025

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New Orleans back as CFP title host in Jan. 2028

New Orleans will host the 2028 College Football Playoff National Championship at Caesars Superdome, the CFP announced Wednesday.

The 14th title game in the CFP era will be played Monday, Jan. 24, 2028, following the 2027 regular season and playoff rounds. New Orleans will become the third city to host the CFP title game for a second time. The game has also been to Atlanta twice (2018, 2025) and will make its second appearance (along with 2021) in South Florida this season Jan. 19 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens.

“The College Football Playoff is thrilled to bring the national championship game back to New Orleans in 2028,” CFP executive director Rich Clark said in a statement. “Few cities embrace college football quite like New Orleans, with its unmatched hospitality, culture and passion for the game. We know fans, teams and the entire college football community will have an unforgettable experience in one of the sport’s most iconic destinations.”

The 2027 title game is set for Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas.

Sports

Bottom 10: There’s no whitewashing Penn State’s latest big-game flop

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2 hours ago

October 1, 2025

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Bottom 10: There's no whitewashing Penn State's latest big-game flop

Ryan McGee

Oct 1, 2025, 07:00 AM ET

Inspirational thought of the week:

I hear your laugh
And look up smiling at you
I run and run
Past the pumpkin patch
And the tractor rides

Look now, the sky is gold
I hug your legs
And fall asleep on the way home
I don’t know why all the trees change in the fall
But I know you’re not scared of anything at all

— “The Best Day,” Taylor Swift

Here at Bottom 10 Headquarters, located beneath the pile of regret RSVP cards at Rece Davis’ house because his daughter scheduled a fall wedding, now that October has arrived, we know exactly where you will all have been this week. Standing in line with us, waiting for the store to open at midnight Oct. 3 to sell us the first copies of Tay-Tay’s new album, “The Life of a Showgirl.”

Yes, this week the World’s Most Famous Chiefs Fan Not Named Ant-Man drops her new batch of songs, but we also know that as the Bottom 10 faithful camp out on the sidewalk, they will be listening to another playlist of sweet tunes. I’m speaking of the fight songs of Sam Houston, We Have a Problem on Thursday night. Then, the Charlotte 1-and-3’ers, San No-sé State and Colora-duh State on Friday night. All programs that are in their own “Era” of writing “Bottom 10’s Version” of their “Reputation” for “Evermore.”

And while we watch those games, at some point we will realize that it isn’t “1989” and we no longer have to be in line to buy a new record. Or buy records at all. We can download them to our phones. Or as we call them here in the B10CU, the Bottom 10 Cinematic Universe, our pocket computers.

With apologies to the Taylor University Trojans, former Nebraska wide receiver Nate Swift and Steve Harvey, here are the post-Week 5 Bottom 10 rankings.

The Bearkats kruised through their skheduled open date and now koncentrate on krossing the Rio Grande for a kontest kounter to New Mexiko State, who were just konquered by New Mexiko in Albukuerkue.

Have you seen that meme of Cookie Monster drumming his fingers on the table, impatiently waiting to go bonkers on a yet-to-arrive tray of cookies? Yeah, that’s us, waiting for the Oct. 11 Pillow Fight of the Week of the Year of the Century Mega Bowl, when the Minutemen travel to face State of Kent, who are 1-3 after taking the week off. But before that, UMass hosts Western Not Eastern Michigan, while Kent will be getting run over by the Sooner Schooner like a snake trying to cross an Oklahoma freeway.

In Westwood, they said bye to their coach, then they had a bye week, then they lost at Bottom 10 Wait Listers Northworstern, then they raced USC back to Los Angeles, both wondering why they said bye to having all those games closer to home in the league they said bye to too.

Speaking of the Artist Formerly Known But Soon To Be Known Again As The Pac-12, the Beavers became the nation’s first five-loss team after a near-win over undefeated Houston Not Sam Houston. Now they travel east to face Appalachian State in Boone, North Carolina, where I once camped with the Boy Scouts and had all of our food stolen by actual beavers.

There are those who might try to convince you that Penn State’s White Out didn’t work the night they played Oregon, but it did. Watch James Franklin’s postgame news conference when he was asked about his record against top-10 teams. He totally used virtual Wite-Out to paint over the word “narrative” and change it to “factual.”

I was roasted over mesquite, and rightfully so, for omitting Oklahoma State from these rankings one week ago after it lost to Living On Tulsa Time at home and then fired Mike “I’m a man! I’m 58!” Gundy. It was a mistake. I was in denial. But I was snapped out of that trance of disbelief by all of the DMs and texts from Stillwater phone numbers saying that I had to have Oklahoma State in here this week or lose all credibility, including one from what my caller ID listed as “Gundy, M.”

The Spartans Not Trojans are one of a whopping four Mountain West teams stuck at 1-3, but won, er, lost out for this spot over the other three because: A. They actually played a game last weekend; 3. They lost the Pillow Fight of the Week to neighbor and fellow Bottom 10 Waiting Lister Stanfird by one point; and fifthly, they can probably sneak up on New Mexico this weekend because the Lobos have spent all week with upset tummies after spending a week eating from college football’s new greatest rivalry trophy, the Chile Roaster.

I feel very strongly that we as a nation aren’t making a big enough deal out of this new chile roaster trophy for New Mexico-New Mexico State. pic.twitter.com/ls0s5X1ETA

— Ryan McGee (@ESPNMcGee) September 28, 2025

The Other Other Huskies are one of a whopping six #MACtion team stuck at 1-and-something, but won, er, lost out for this spot over the other five because: 1. They actually played a game last weekend; C. They lost to San Diego State, which isn’t terrible, but the final score of the game was 6-3; and secondly, we wanted a chance to hype this week’s Pillow Fight of the Week, when they host My Hammy of Ohio, which is now 1-3 after beating Lindenwood, a school you’ve never heard of unless you are a big Pierre Desir fan.

The Red Wolves are one of a not-as-whopping but still not small three Fun Belt teams stuck at 1-and-something, but won, er, lost out for this spot over the other two because: I. They actually played last weekend; IV. They lost to our old friends and former Bottom 10 stalwart ULM (pronounced “uhlm”); and XL. That Week 2 loss to now-head coach-less Arkansaw by 42 points is aging about as well as that bottle of gas station chardonnay that I accidentally left under the seat of my truck all summer.

My hometown team is one of a totally-not-whopping-but-still-seems-like-a-lot-for-one-conference-after-only-one-month-of-football three Just American teams stuck at 1-and-something, but won, er … OK, yeah … I’m tired of this bit too. Almost as tired as the Niners fans will be of watching US(not C)F run up and down the field on Friday night. The good news? Shortly after the game ends, they can ease their pain by listening to Tay’s new album.

Waiting list: State of Kent, UTEPid, Muddled Tennessee State, Northworstern, FA(not I)U, Bah-stan Cawledge, Clempson, Flori-duh, Georgia State Not Southern, Colora-duh State, No-vada, Stanfird, My Hammy of Ohio, South Alabama Redundancies, Give Me Liberty Or Give Me 1-4, Akronmonious, Baller State, a college football world without Sam Pittman in it.