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NATO needs a 400% increase in air and missile defence to maintain a credible deterrence, its secretary general has said in a speech in London.

Mark Rutte called for a “quantum leap” in collective security, warning threats facing the alliance “will not disappear even when the war in Ukraine ends”.

Politics Live: Ministers continue to battle over funds ahead of spending review

It comes ahead of a summit in The Hague later this month, when the UK and its NATO allies are expected to agree to a Donald Trump-inspired pledge to spend 5% of GDP on defence and related areas.

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Speaking at Chatham House, Mr Rutte said the investment plan is “grounded in hard facts”.

He said: The fact is, we need a quantum leap in our collective defence. The fact is, we must have more forces and capabilities to implement our defence plans in full. The fact is, danger will not disappear even when the war in Ukraine ends.”

Mr Rutte argued that in order to maintain credible deterrence and defence, NATO needs “a 400% increase in air and missile defence”.

“We see in Ukraine how Russia delivers terror from above, so we will strengthen the shield that protects our skies,” he said.

“Our militaries also need thousands more armoured vehicles and tanks, millions more artillery shells, and we must double our enabling capabilities, such as logistics, supply, transportation, and medical support.”

Mr Rutte also referred to countries other than Russia that pose a threat to the alliance and said: “Russia has teamed up with China, North Korea and Iran. They are expanding their militaries and their capabilities. Putin’s war machine is speeding up, not slowing down.”

He continued: “In terms of ammunition, Russia produces in three months what the whole of NATO produces in a year, and its defence industrial base is expected to roll out 1,500 tanks, 3,000 armoured vehicles and 200 Iskander missiles this year alone. Russia could be ready to use military force against NATO within five years.”

Mr Rutte added: “China is also modernising and expanding its military at breakneck speed. It already has the world’s largest navy, and this battle force is expected to grow to 435 ships by 2030.”

On the threats against the alliance, he also warned: “Wishful thinking will not keep us safe. We cannot dream away the danger. Hope is not a strategy. So NATO has to become a stronger, fairer and more lethal alliance.”

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NATO spending targets explained

Mr Rutte earlier met with Sir Keir Starmer and visited Sheffield Forgemasters with Defence Secretary John Healey.

The prime minister has committed to spend 2.5% of gross domestic product (GDP) on defence from April 2027, with a goal of increasing that to 3% over the next parliament.

Although the government’s language has been cloudy on the 3% figure, describing it as an ambition rather than a commitment, Sky News understands the UK will in fact agree to increase defence spending to 3.5% of national income within a decade as part of Mr Rutte’s push to rearm NATO and keep the US on side.

Read More: Spending review 2025: What is it and what might Rachel Reeves announce?

As reported by our security and defence editor Deborah Haynes, Sir Keir will also likely be forced to commit a further 1.5% of GDP to defence-related areas such as spy agencies and infrastructure.

This would bolster total broader defence spending to 5%, in what is being described as the “Hague investment plan”.

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NATO countries have faced pressure from US President Donald Trump, who has repeatedly hit out at European allies for not spending enough on defence and taking advantage of American taxpayers.

Speaking at Chatham House today, Mr Rutte said: “Spending more (on defence) is not about pleasing an audience of one. This is about protecting one billion people.”

He added: “America has carried too much of the burden for too long. America’s allies have broad shoulders, and Europe and Canada will do more for our shared security. And that will be backed by America’s rock solid commitment to NATO.

The NATO plan to increase defence spending among its members comes as Sir Keir is facing pressure at home on where his priorities lie, with many of his own MPs wanting to see more funding on welfare.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves will deliver her spending review on Wednesday, when health and defence are expected to be the winners in the process to allocate cash to government departments.

Cuts to the Department of Work and Pensions have already been announced, but other unprotected departments like the Home Office and Department of Communities and Local Government could be braced for a real spending squeeze.

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Washington DC shooting: Trump condemns ‘monstrous’ attack near White House – and says suspect is Afghan national

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Washington DC shooting: Trump condemns 'monstrous' attack near White House - and says suspect is Afghan national

Donald Trump has called for every Afghan national who entered the US under the Biden administration to be investigated following the shooting of two National Guard troops near the White House.

The president said the “monstrous, ambush-style attack” was carried out by an Afghan national who arrived in September 2021 during America’s chaotic withdrawal from Kabul.

“This attack underscores the single greatest national security threat facing our nation,” Mr Trump said in an address to the nation from Florida.

He vowed to “reexamine every single alien” who has entered the US from Afghanistan under the previous government, and said: “I am determined to ensure the animal who perpetrated this atrocity will pay the steepest possible price.”

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Trump condemns ‘animal’ shooting suspect

Suspect to face terror probe

America’s citizenship and immigration office said it had stopped processing all immigration requests relating to Afghan nationals indefinitely.

Sky’s US partner network, NBC News, reports the suspect in custody is 29-year-old Rahmanullah Lakanwal.

Both guardsmen were shot in the head, according to NBC, citing senior officials briefed on the investigation.

Wednesday’s shooting – carried out with a handgun – will be investigated by the FBI as a possible act of terror.

The White House was placed into lockdown following the incident, while Mr Trump is away for Thanksgiving.

Pics: AP
Image:
Pics: AP

Victims in ‘critical condition’

West Virginia’s governor initially said both victims were members of his state’s National Guard and had died from their injuries – but later posted to say there were “conflicting reports about the condition of our two Guard members”.

Patrick Morrisey had said: “These brave West Virginians lost their lives in the service of their country.”

Hundreds of National Guard members have been patrolling the capital after Mr Trump issued an emergency order in August, which federalised the local police force and sent in the guard from eight states and the District of Columbia.

Mr Trump has announced an extra 500 troops will be deployed in the wake of Wednesday’s shooting.

FBI director Kash Patel said the troops were “brazenly attacked in a horrendous act of violence”.

At a news conference, he clarified they were in a “critical condition”.

Pic: AP
Image:
Pic: AP

Former president Joe Biden, who was heavily criticised by Mr Trump in his address, said he and his wife Jill were “heartbroken” by the shooting.

“Violence of any kind is unacceptable, and we must all stand united against it,” said a statement.

Analysis: Trump’s statement could embolden anti-immigration Americans

US correspondent Mark Stone said it was expected that Trump’s statement would have an update on the investigation and the victims’ condition.

“What struck me was the president’s decision to be so political and to make the point as he wanted to, it seemed, that this will now embolden him to find out who else might be here illegally, wherever they may be from,” Stone said.

“And he singled out Somalis in Minnesota, of course, a Democratic-run state.”

Stone said Trump’s statement could further embolden those who already hold anti-immigration sentiments.

“You might expect a leader in this sort of situation to deal with the facts as he knows them and to call for unity. But it’s not Trump’s style to do that.”

How the attack unfolded

Jeff Carroll, chief of the metropolitan police department in the area, said the attack began at 2.15pm local time (7.15pm in the UK) while National Guard members were on “high visibility patrols in the area”.

He said: “A suspect came around the corner, raised his arm with a firearm and discharged it at the National Guard.

“The National Guard members were… able to – after some back and forth – able to subdue the individual and bring them into custody.”

Washington DC mayor Muriel Bowser called the attack a “targeted shooting”.

Pics: AP
Image:
Pics: AP

Social media footage showed first responders attempting CPR on one of the soldiers as they treated the other on a pavement covered in glass.

Nearby other officers could be seen restraining an individual on the ground.

Emergency personnel cordon off an area near where the National Guard soldiers were shot. Pics: AP
Image:
Emergency personnel cordon off an area near where the National Guard soldiers were shot. Pics: AP

The scene was cordoned off by police tape, while agents from the US Secret Service and Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives attended the scene, as National Guard troops stood sentry nearby.

The FBI was also on the scene, the agency’s director said.

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Lindsay and Craig Foreman: Son of British couple detained in Iran says government not doing enough

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Lindsay and Craig Foreman: Son of British couple detained in Iran says government not doing enough

The son of a British couple detained in Iran has said the UK government is not doing enough to secure their release.

Lindsay and Craig Foreman, from East Sussex, were taken into custody in Kerman in January during a motorcycle tour around the world and later charged with espionage, which they deny.

In August, the pair were moved to different jails in Tehran, before being reunited in October at Evin prison, where British-Iranian national Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe was held between 2016 and 2022.

Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe. Pic: Reuters
Image:
Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe. Pic: Reuters

‘You need to stand up for your citizens’

Lindsay’s son, Joe Bennett, told Sky News there are too many similarities with Mrs Zaghari-Ratcliffe’s situation.

“They themselves are being very passive,” he said of the UK government.

“They’ve got two UK citizens that are accused of spying for the British state, but they’re not coming out and defending them and calling [it out] for what it is.

“You need to stand up for your citizens and call it out.”

Speaking to The World With Dominic Waghorn, Mr Bennett dismissed Iran’s accusation of espionage against his mother and her partner – and accused the regime of “hostage taking”.

Lindsay Foreman with her son Joe Bennett. Pic: Family handout
Image:
Lindsay Foreman with her son Joe Bennett. Pic: Family handout

‘They’re not spies’

Asked whether he had any sympathy with the argument that making too much of the situation makes their release less likely, Mr Bennett said there was “no justification” for the Foreign Office taking such an approach.

“If they’re on charges of shoplifting, potentially that’s understandable, let’s see the court of law, let’s go through it if they’ve been caught of some wrongdoing,” he said.

“They haven’t, and they’ve been accused of espionage, which is state-level political charges, right?

“They’re not spies, it’s quite simple.”

Read more from Sky News:
Court hearing ‘did not go well’ for British couple
Iran protests ‘bring back memories’ of helplessness

Mrs Zaghari-Ratcliffe’s husband Richard is supporting Mr Bennett’s case.

He told Sky News: “It does feel to me that I’m hearing too many echoes of our experience in the experience of Joe’s family and others.”

Joe Bennett and Richard Ratcliffe
Image:
Joe Bennett and Richard Ratcliffe

The Foreign Office warns all British and British-Iranian nationals against all travel to Iran because of “significant risk of arrest, questioning, or detention”.

In October, a spokesperson told Sky News the department was deeply concerned by reports that the Foremans had been charged with espionage and that it was providing them with consular support.

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Guinea-Bissau: Military seizes power as President Umaro Sissoco Embalo ‘deposed and arrested’

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Guinea-Bissau: Military seizes power as President Umaro Sissoco Embalo 'deposed and arrested'

Soldiers have appeared on state TV in Guinea-Bissau to say the country’s military has seized power, accusing its president of interfering in Sunday’s election as he revealed he had been “deposed”.

Military spokesperson Dinis N’Tchama said in a statement that the military had decided to “immediately depose the president of the republic” and suspend all government institutions.

He said they acted in response to the “discovery of an ongoing plan” that he said aimed to destabilise the country by attempting to “manipulate electoral results”.

Guinea Bissau President Umaro Sissoco Embalo at the UN in 2023. File pic: Reuters
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Guinea Bissau President Umaro Sissoco Embalo at the UN in 2023. File pic: Reuters

The “scheme was set up by some national politicians with the participation of a well-known drug lord, and domestic and foreign nationals”, Mr N’Tchama said, but gave no details.

The country has emerged as a hub for drug trafficking between Latin America and Europe.

The electoral process was being suspended immediately, along with the activities of the media, while the country’s borders were being closed, he said.

Guinea-Bissau President Umaro Sissoco Embaló told French television network France 24: “I have been deposed.”

French news outlet Jeune Afrique quoted Mr Embaló as saying he was arrested in what he called a coup led by the army chief of staff but did not suffer violence.

An international election observer told Associated Press the president “has been speaking to people saying he’s being held by the military”.

Gunfire was heard near the presidential palace in the capital, Bissau, around noon on Wednesday.

A palace official said a group of armed men tried to attack the building, leading to an exchange of gunfire with guards.

Gunshots were also heard around the nearby national electoral commission, an interior ministry official said.

Both sources spoke on condition of anonymity.

Roads leading to the palace were closed off, with checkpoints manned by heavily armed and masked soldiers, an AP reporter said.

Meanwhile, Mr Embaló and opposition candidate Fernando Dias da Costa both claimed victory on Tuesday in the presidential and legislative elections held on Sunday, even though official provisional results were not expected until Thursday.

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Mr Embaló, who was elected in February 2020, was due to stand down earlier this year after serving a five-year term.

That was extended until 4 September by the country’s supreme court, but voting was delayed until this month.

Guinea-Bissau has seen four coups and numerous attempted ones since it gained independence in 1974, including one reported last month.

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