Donald Trump’s decision to attack Iran could trigger a wider regional or even global war, but much will hinge on how Russia and China – Tehran’s most powerful allies – respond.
Abbas Araghchi, the Iranian foreign minister, said he will hold “serious consultations” with Vladimir Putin on Monday morning in Moscow.
Image: Russian President Vladimir Putin at a signing ceremony with Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian in Moscow in January 2025. Pic: Reuters
Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea are regarded by Western allies as a new axis of authoritarian powers, increasingly aligned and supportive of each other.
Donald Trump, though, has broken ranks from his country’s traditional democratic partners to forge a closer relationship with Mr Putin than any other US leader in recent years.
How much that might affect the Kremlin’s calculations, as Moscow weighs up how to respond to his actions in Iran, adds a new layer of unpredictability to the crisis.
More on Iran
Related Topics:
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
0:54
Iran’s FM to meet Putin
Another limiting factor is the Russian military’s physical capacity – should it wish – to bolster Iran with military support given its war in Ukraine.
Unlike the NATO alliance, there is no formal agreement between Moscow, Beijing, Tehran, and Pyongyang to come to each other’s assistance in a crisis.
However, the weakening of one member of the quartet would impact on the vital national interests of the other three, making it mutually beneficial to help each other out – including with military force or at the very least by supplying weapons.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
But its ability to launch ballistic missiles and drones has been severely degraded by waves of Israeli strikes since Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu went to war with Iran a week and a half ago.
Image: A billboard with an illustration of Iranians supporting their country is seen on a street in Tehran. Pic: Reuters
What are Iran’s options?
US bases, warships, and aircraft across the region are well within range of Iranian missiles and drones, but the Pentagon has significantly strengthened its air defences in anticipation of an Iranian counterattack.
There are plenty of softer targets, though, such as American embassies or other diplomatic missions.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
1:40
Hegseth: ‘World should listen to Trump’
Iran could also choose to mine the Strait of Hormuz – a move that would have global ramifications by disrupting the flow of large amounts of oil and gas, as well as other trade.
In addition, the military assets of American allies could be viewed as legitimate targets.
The UK has said it played no part in the US attack.
But Britain’s Ministry of Defence has further increased “force protection” measures for its military bases and personnel in the Middle East to their highest level in the wake of the US strikes, it is understood.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
3:34
Trump: Iran strikes ‘spectacular success’
What was hit in US attack?
In an operation that has been in the planning for years, American B-2 stealth bombers dropped enormous bunker-busting bombs – the GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator – on the Fordow nuclear fuel enrichment plant, around 70 miles (110km) southwest of Tehran.
It was built under a mountain – about 80 to 90 metres beneath the ground – to be beyond the reach of Israel’s armed forces. Only the US Air Force carries munitions large enough to penetrate the rock, earth and concrete to inflict meaningful damage.
Image: Satellite imagery shows the Fordow nuclear site after US strikes. Pic: Maxar
Also targeted with the enormous munitions was Iran’s main uranium enrichment facility at Natanz, 155 miles (250km) southeast of the Iranian capital.
In addition, US submarines launched TLAM cruise missiles against a site outside the city of Isfahan, which is 260 miles (420km) south of Tehran. Near-bomb-grade nuclear fuel is thought to be stored here.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
1:41
Inside a top secret nuclear weapons site
The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the UN’s nuclear watchdog, however, said the six buildings at Isfahan that were hit contained little or no nuclear material.
Mr Trump has said he ordered the attack to destroy Iran’s ability to enrich uranium to a level that could be used to make a nuclear bomb. Tehran has always insisted its nuclear programme is purely for civilian purposes.
Analysts warn, though, that it would be very difficult to stop the Iranian nuclear programme through military action alone and that such a move may spur Iran to accelerate efforts to make a bomb if it has managed to protect key components.
Follow the World
Listen to The World with Richard Engel and Yalda Hakim every Wednesday
The Russian foreign ministry on Sunday strongly condemned the American strikes against Iranian nuclear sites as a “dangerous escalation” that could further undermine “regional and global security”.
“The risk of an escalation of conflict in the Middle East already beset by multiple crises, has increased significantly,” it said in a statement.
Last week, the Russian government warned the US against joining Israel’s war in Iran, saying this “would be an extremely dangerous step with truly unpredictable negative consequences”.
The remarks came after Mr Putin held a call with his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping.
It means the Russian government in particular – given Tehran’s military support to Moscow in the Russian invasion of Ukraine – faces an urgent decision about how to support Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader, whose very existence is under threat from Israel.
It would be sensible to wait until the dust has settled before judging whether the US strikes on Iran were, in Donald Trump’s, words, “a spectacular military success”.
And when dropping bombs that weigh more than 13 tonnes each, there’s going to be a lot of dust.
The Pentagon says the operation against Iran’s three largest nuclear facilities involved 125 military aircraft, warships and submarines, including the largest operational strike by B2 bombers in history.
The B-2s dropped 14 of America’s most powerful GBU-57 “bunker buster” bombs on the Natanz uranium enrichment plant and Iran’s most sophisticated nuclear facility at Fordow.
The first time, according to the Pentagon, the weapons have been used in a military operation.
The Fordow complex, buried deep in a mountain, was the only site not previously damaged by Israeli strikes over the last few days.
Image: A bunker-busting bomb. File pic: US Air Force via AP
The use of multiple GBU-57 bombs at Fordow is telling.
Despite their size, it was known that one of them would be insufficient to penetrate 80+ metres of solid rock believed to shelter Iran’s most sophisticated uranium enrichment technology deep within Fordow.
Satellite images reveal three visible holes at two different strike points on the mountainside above the complex.
Image: A satellite image showing two clusters of holes at the Fordow nuclear site in Iran following US strikes on the facility. Pic: Maxar
The sites appear to be close to what may have been ventilation shafts – possibly chosen to maximise damage below and render the facility useless.
Using several of the bombs in the same location is likely designed to allow each to penetrate further than the first before detonating.
If nuclear facilities at Isfahan, Natanz and Fordow were destroyed – as the US claims – or even crippled, it would certainly halt Iran’s ability to enrich the Uranium needed to make a viable nuclear weapon.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
7:22
Clarke: The dust will need to settle before we know true impact of US strikes
But that’s not the same as preventing Iran’s ability to make a nuclear bomb. To do that, they need “weapons-grade” uranium; the necessary metal-shaping, explosives and timing technology needed to trigger nuclear fission in the bomb; and a mechanism for delivering it.
The facilities targeted in the US raid are dedicated to achieving the first objective. Taking naturally occurring uranium ore, which contains around 0.7% uranium 235 – the isotope needed for nuclear fission – and concentrating it.
The centrifuges you hear about are the tools needed to enrich U-235 to the 90% purity needed for a compact “implosion”-type warhead that can be delivered by a missile.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
0:36
Iranian media: ‘Part of Fordow’ attacked
And the reality is Iran’s centrifuges have been spinning for a long time.
United Nations nuclear inspectors warned in May that Iran had at least 408kg of uranium “enriched” to 60%.
Getting to that level represents 90% of the time and effort to get to 90% U-235. And those 400kg would yield enough of that weapons-grade uranium to make nine nuclear weapons, the inspectors concluded.
The second element is something Iran has also been working on for two decades.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
1:44
‘US strikes won’t end Iran’s nuclear programme’
Precisely shaping uranium metal and making shaped explosive charges to crush it in the right way to achieve “criticality”, the spark for the sub-atomic chain reaction that releases the terrifying energy in a nuclear explosion.
In its recent bombing campaign, Israel is thought to have targeted facilities where Iranian nuclear scientists were doing some of that work.
But unlike the industrial processes needed to enrich uranium, these later steps can be carried out in laboratory-sized facilities. Easier to pack up and move, and easier to hide from prying eyes.
Image: 16 cargo trucks line up at the entrance of the Fordow nuclear site on 19 June. Pic: Maxar Technologies
Given that it’s understood Iran already moved enriched uranium out of Fordow ahead of the US strike, it’s far from certain that Iran has, in fact, lost its ability to make a bomb.
And while the strikes may have delayed the logistics, it’s possible they’ve emboldened a threatened Iran to intensify its warhead-making capability if it does still have one.
Making a more compact implosion-based warhead is not easy. There is debate among experts about how advanced Iran is along that road.
But if it felt sufficiently motivated, it does have other, less sophisticated nuclear options.
Even 60% enriched uranium, of which – remember – it has a lot, can be coaxed to criticality in a much larger, cruder nuclear device.
Follow The World
Listen to The World with Richard Engel and Yalda Hakim every Wednesday
Details are emerging about the US strikes against Iran’s nuclear facilities.
The US military has provided details about which sites have been hit and what military elements have been used, as President Donald Trump hailed the attack on social media.
From the number of bunker buster bombs dropped to where they hit, here’s what we know so far.
The US’s most senior military official gave details of how the attack, named Operation Midnight Hammer, unfolded.
Image: A US Air Force B-2 Spirit bomber. File pic: Reuters
General Dan Caine, chairman of the US joint chiefs of staff, said that at midnight on Friday, a large “B-2 strike package of bombers” launched from the US, flying east across the Atlantic.
More on Iran
Related Topics:
To maintain the element of surprise, some other bombers flew west into the Pacific.
During the 18-hour flight, the planes underwent multiple rounds of refuelling.
As the seven B-2 bombers entered Iran, the US deployed “several decoys”, according to Gen Caine, and a US submarine launched more than two dozen Tomahawk cruise missiles at the Isfahan nuclear site.
At around 6.40pm EST on Saturday, the first B-2 bomber dropped two GBU 57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator weapons, known as bunker buster bombs, on Fordow.
“The remaining bombers then hit their targets,” said Gen Caine, with 14 GBU-57s dropped in total.
Bunker buster bombs are designed to explode twice. Once to breach the ground surface, and again, once the bomb has burrowed down to a certain depth.
Image: A satellite image showing two clusters of holes at the Fordow nuclear site in Iran following US strikes on the facility. Pic: Maxar
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
This attack was the GBU-57s’ first operational use.
Image: A file picture of a GBU-57 bunker buster bomb, which was possibly used in the attack on Fordow. Pic: AP
More than 75 weapons were used in total, including 14 30,000lb GBU-57 bunker buster bombs, and 125 aircraft took part.
The New York Times reported a US official as saying a B-2 also dropped two of the GBU-57s on the Natanz nuclear site.
The B-2s were all heading back towards the US by 7.05pm (EST), Gen Caine added, and he said the US military were not aware of any shots fired at the American jets by Iranian aircraft or air defences on the ground.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
1:44
‘US strikes won’t end Iran’s nuclear programme’
Which sites were hit?
America says it has hit the three key locations in Iran’s nuclear programme.
Image: The US attacked the Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan nuclear sites in Iran
They include Isfahan, the location of a significant research base, as well as uranium enrichment facilities at Natanz and Fordow.
Natanz was believed to have been previously damaged in Israeli strikes after bombs disrupted power to the centrifuge hall, possibly destroying the machines indirectly.
Details about the damage in the US strikes are not yet known, although Mr Trump said the three sites had been “obliterated”.
The US secretary of defence Pete Hegseth said the US had “devastated the Iranian nuclear programme”.
However, most of the highly enriched uranium at the Fordow nuclear facility was moved to an undisclosed location ahead of the attack, a senior Iranian source told the Reuters news agency.
Personnel numbers were also reduced at the site, according to the report.
Image: 16 cargo trucks line up at the entrance of the Fordow nuclear site on 19 June. Pic: Maxar Technologies
Satellite images from Fordow show cargo trucks lining up at the entrance of the nuclear site in recent days.
How has Iran responded so far?
Iran’s foreign minister Abbas Araghchi warned that the US strikes “will have everlasting consequences”, adding that his country “reserves all options” to retaliate.
“The events this morning are outrageous and will have everlasting consequences,” Mr Araghchi wrote on X. “Each and every member of the UN must be alarmed over this extremely dangerous, lawless and criminal behaviour.”
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
1:45
Sirens in Israel as Iran retaliates
Iran has requested an emergency meeting of the UN Security Council to “maintain international peace and condemn the US strikes”, according to state media.
Multiple places in Israel have been hit by Iranian missiles in response.
Several explosions have been heard over Tel Aviv with Israeli media saying missiles have hit northern and central Israel, including in Haifa, Ness Ziona, Rishon LeZion and Tel Aviv.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
0:30
Destruction in Israel after Iranian strikes
Sixteen casualties were reported by the country’s emergency services.
Abbas Golroo, head of the Iranian parliament’s foreign policy committee, also said in a statement on social media Iran could pull out of efforts to limit the spread of nuclear technology and weapons, called the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT).
He cited Article 10 of the treaty, which states that an NPT member has “the right to withdraw from the treaty if it decides that extraordinary events have jeopardised the supreme interests of its country”.