CNBC Daily Open: A confusing ceasefire forged by missile attacks

Published

22 hours ago

June 24, 2025

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Supporters of regime change in Iran rally outside the Wilshire Federal Building on June 23, 2025 in Los Angeles, California, U.S.

Mario Tama | Getty Images News | Getty Images

It’s a strange thought that launching attacks on other countries could lead to peace, but that seems to be the logic behind the abrupt escalation in conflict in the Middle East beginning Saturday. And now there’s a confusing ceasefire.

“Very confusing! Does Israel have 12 more hours to strike based on his [Trump’s] first announcement? Or are they supposed to be in ceasefire now? Even after the deaths in Beersheva and Iran’s barrage after the deadline? No one knows!” Dan Shapiro, former U.S. ambassador to Israel, posted on X.

Here’s a quick recap.

On Saturday, U.S. President Donald Trump authorized air strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, pushing America into Israel’s war with Tehran.

On Sunday, Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Tehran “reserves all options to defend its sovereignty, interest, and people.”

On Monday, Iran launched a retaliatory strike against America, targeting a U.S. military base in Qatar. Later that evening stateside, Trump announced a ceasefire.

On Tuesday, Iran’s Foreign Minister Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi denied that the country had agreed to a ceasefire — but said Iran was open to halting its military operations if Israel, which has yet to respond publicly to Trump’s statement, stopped its “aggression against the Iranian people.”

Trump, on Tuesday morning stateside, declared the ceasefire was in effect.

While Iran continued striking Israel on Tuesday morning local time, Tehran’s state-aligned media reported them as “the last round of Iranian missile attacks … before the ceasefire began.” CNBC, however, was unable to independently verify the claim.

Iran also gave the U.S. “early notice” of its attack on the military base in Qatar, according to Trump. It was a “retaliation that was expected,” Republican House Speaker Mike Johnson said. Qatar also received advanced warning from Iran, according to The New York Times, which cited three Iranian officials familiar with the matter.

This, essentially, is “the peace through strength strategy,” Helima Croft, head of global commodity strategy at RBC Capital Markets, told CNBC.

In other words, there’s a small chance tensions in the Middle East might truly cool down following a carefully calibrated and symbolic exchange of strikes that projects strength from all parties, while also providing Iran an off-ramp to de-escalate tension.

Judging by stock markets worldwide and oil prices — which rose and fell, respectively — investors are indeed hopeful this missiles-led peace will likely stay.

What you need to know today

Iran says it’s prepared to stop attacks
Trump said early Tuesday morning stateside that the ceasefire between Israel and Iran — which he had announced Monday evening — was “now in effect.” Iran’s Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi had earlier said there was “NO ‘agreement’ on any ceasefire or cessation of military operations,” but signaled that Tehran had “no intention” to continue armed conflict. Israel has not publicly confirmed that they have accepted Trump’s ceasefire timeline.

Iran strikes Israel and U.S. military base in Qatar
Iran on Tuesday fired a “final round” of missiles at Israel before the 12 a.m. ET ceasefire with Israel came into effect, Iranian state-aligned media announced Tuesday. CNBC was unable to independently verify the claim. On Monday, Iran launched an airstrike on United States’ Al-Udeid military base in Qatar, the largest American military installation in the Middle East, with around 10,000 service members.

Prices of oil post a huge drop
Oil prices fell sharply Tuesday during Asia hours on news that Iran was prepared to halt military operations. As of 1:30 p.m. Singapore time, U.S. crude oil was down 3.04% at $66.43 per barrel, while Brent had shed 2.99% to $69.34, with both benchmarks adding to the previous day’s losses of more than 7%. Trump on Monday demanded that “everyone” keep oil prices down or they would play “into the hands of the enemy.” Trump didn’t specify who he was referring to, but he seemed to be addressing U.S. oil producers.

Markets in U.S. rise on de-escalation hopes
U.S. stocks rose Monday as investors seemed hopeful of de-escalation in the Israel-Iran war. The S&P 500 climbed 0.96%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.89% and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.94%. Tesla shares popped 8.2% after the company launched its robotaxis in Austin, Texas, on Sunday — but regulators are looking into reports of robotaxis driving erratically. Asia-Pacific markets climbed Tuesday, with South Korea’s Kospi index jumping 2.73% at 2:40 p.m. local time.

[PRO] Wall Street’s thoughts on robotaxis
Wall Street closely watched Tesla’s robotaxi launch in Texas over the weekend. Analyst outlooks on the event vary widely. While Wedbush’s Dan Ives, who rode in the robotaxis over the weekend, said it “exceeded our expectations,” Guggenheim’s Ronald Jewsikow called the event “baby steps.” Here’s what analysts think about what the robotaxis mean for Tesla’s stock.

And finally…

An Airbus A350-941 commercial jet, operated by Emirates Airline, at the Paris Air Show in Paris, France, on Monday, June 16, 2025.

Matthieu Rondel | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Airlines divert, cancel more Middle East flights after Iran attacks U.S. military base

Airlines diverted more Middle East flights on Monday after Iran’s armed forces said the country launched a missile strike on a U.S. military base in Qatar, as the region’s military conflict continued to disrupt airlines’ operations.

Dubai-based Emirates said that some of its aircraft rerouted on Monday and told customers that delays or longer flights were possible as it would take “flight paths well distanced from conflict areas,” while operating its schedule as planned.

Air India said it had halted all flights in and out of the region and to and from the east coast of North America and Europe “until further notice.”

Earlier, major international airlines including Air France, Iberia, Finnair and others announced they would pause or further postpone a resumption of service to some destinations in the Middle East.

Environment

CNBC Daily Open: Investors bet the fragile ceasefire would hold

Published

3 hours ago

June 25, 2025

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CNBC Daily Open: Investors bet the fragile ceasefire would hold

US President Donald Trump speaks to reporters about the Israel-Iran conflict, aboard Air Force One on June 24, 2025, while traveling to attend the NATO’s Heads of State and Government summit in The Hague in the Netherlands.

Brendan Smialowski | Afp | Getty Images

The ceasefire between Israel and Iran appears to be holding. In yesterday’s newsletter, we talked about how a blitzkrieg of missile-led diplomacy seemed to help de-escalate tensions.

The flipside of that strange path to a truce is that missiles, well, are fundamentally weapons. Mere hours after both countries agreed to the ceasefire, Israel said its longtime rival had fired missiles into its borders — an accusation which Tehran denied — and was preparing to “respond forcefully.” Probably with more missiles.

U.S. President Donald Trump — who reportedly brokered the ceasefire with Qatar’s Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani — expressed frustration with those developments.

“I’m not happy with them. I’m not happy with Iran either but I’m really unhappy if Israel is going out this morning,” Trump told a reporter pool en route to the NATO summit in the Netherlands.

His admonishments seemed to work. There is now a fragile armistice between the two countries.

Oil prices fell and U.S. stocks jumped.

Reuters uploaded a photo of Israeli residents playing frisbee at the beach on June 24. Flights at Israel’s Ben Gurion Airport are resuming, and Iran’s airspace is partially open, according to flight monitoring firm FlightRadar24, CNBC reported at around 3 a.m. Singapore time.

Three hours after that update, NBC News, citing three people familiar with the matter, reported that an initial assessment from the U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency found the American strikes on Iran’s nuclear sites on Saturday left “core pieces … still intact.”

And so it goes.

What you need to know today

Israel-Iran ceasefire holds, for now
The fragile ceasefire between Israel and Iran, announced by Trump on Monday, appears to be holding. Israel on Tuesday said it would honor the ceasefire so long as Iran does the same. Earlier in the day, both countries accused each other of violating the truce, and said they were ready to retaliate, prompting Trump to say he’s “not happy” with them. Stay updated on the Israel-Iran conflict with CNBC’s live blog here.

Markets jump as traders bet on truce
U.S. stocks jumped Tuesday on expectations that the Israel-Iran ceasefire would hold. The S&P 500 gained 1.11% to put it just 0.9% away from its 52-week high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 1.19% and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.43%. The Nasdaq-100 rose 1.53% to close at an all-time high. Europe’s Stoxx 600 rose 1.11%. Travel stocks were some of the best performers, while oil and gas stocks fell the most.

Oil prices slump for a second day
Oil prices tumbled Tuesday, its second day of declines, as the market bet that the risk of a major supply disruption had faded. U.S. crude oil settled down 6% at $64.37 a barrel while the global benchmark Brent fell 6.1%, to $67.14 during U.S. trading. Prices closed 7% lower on Monday. Earlier Tuesday, Trump said China can keep buying oil from Iran, in what seemed like a sign that the U.S. may soften its pressure campaign against Tehran.

Powell says Fed is ‘well positioned to wait’
At a U.S. congressional hearing Tuesday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the economy was still strong. But he noted that inflation is still above the central bank’s target of 2%, and the Fed has an “obligation” to prevent tariffs from becoming “an ongoing inflation problem.” In combination, those considerationsmake the Fed “well positioned to wait” before making a decision on interest rates.

U.S. is committed to NATO: Secretary-General
There is “total commitment by the U.S. president and the U.S. senior leadership to NATO,” the military alliance’s Secretary-General Mark Rutte said Tuesday morning, as the summit kicked off in The Hague, Netherlands. But America expects Europe and Canada to spend as much as the U.S. does on defense. Ahead of the summit, members agreed to increase defense spending to 5% of gross domestic product by 2035.

[PRO] Not ‘bullish enough’ on rally: HSBC
The S&P 500′s rally off its April lows has brought it back to roughly 1% off its record high in a very short time. It’s an advance that has perplexed many investors, who worry that another pullback is on the horizon. But Max Kettner, chief multi-asset strategist at HSBC, said he worries he’s not “bullish enough” on the current rally.

And finally…

Pictures from the semi-official Tasnim news agency show the Stena Impero being seized and detained between July 19 and July 21, 2019 near strait of Hormuz, Iran.

Contributor | Getty Images News | Getty Images

Strait of Hormuz GPS jamming remains major security issue, tanker CEO says

Despite a tentative ceasefire between Israel and Iran on Tuesday, security issues in the Strait of Hormuz continue for shipowners.

According to Angeliki Frangou, a fourth-generation shipowner and chairman and CEO of Greece-based Navios Maritime Partners, which owns and operates dry cargo ships and tankers, vessels in the Strait of Hormuz are still being threatened by continuous GPS signal blocking.

“We have had about 20% less passage of vessels through the Strait of Hormuz, and vessels are waiting outside,” Frangou told CNBC.

“You are hearing a lot from the liner [ocean shipping] companies that they are transiting only during daytime because of the jamming of GPS signals of vessels. They don’t want to pass during the nighttime because they find it dangerous. So it’s a very fluid situation,” Frangou said.

Environment

5,000 electric Mercedes vans join Amazon’s delivery fleet

Published

6 hours ago

June 24, 2025

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5,000 electric Mercedes vans join Amazon’s delivery fleet

Mercedes vans Amazon — Photo: Mercedes Vans

Mercedes-Benz is sending nearly 5,000 electric vans to Amazon’s European delivery partners in its biggest EV handoff to date. The fleet will hit the streets in five countries in the coming months.

Three-quarters of the fleet are Mercedes’ larger eSprinter vans, while the rest are the more compact eVito panel vans. More than 2,500 are going to Germany, and Amazon says this new EV fleet will help deliver more than 200 million parcels a year across Europe.

This is the biggest EV order Mercedes-Benz Vans has ever received. It builds on a partnership that started in 2020, when Amazon first added more than 1,800 electric vans from Mercedes to its delivery network.

“We’re further intensifying our long-standing relationship with Amazon and working together toward an all-electric future of transport,” said Sagree Sardien, head of sales & marketing at Mercedes-Benz Vans. “Our eVito and eSprinter are perfectly tailored to meet the demands of our commercial customers regarding efficiency and range.”

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In 2020, Mercedes-Benz joined Amazon’s Climate Pledge, a commitment Amazon co-founded with Global Optimism to reach net zero by 2040.

Both the eSprinter and eVito are designed with delivery drivers in mind. With batteries tucked into the underbody, the vans offer unrestricted cargo space. Both come standard with the MBUX multimedia system, which supports the integration of automatic charging stops and Mercedes’ public charging network via navigation.

Safety and comfort got upgrades, too. New driver assistance features come standard, and the Amazon vans are customized with shelves and a sliding door between the cabin and cargo area for easy parcel access.

The eVito vans, which were built at Mercedes’ plant in Vitoria, Spain, are ideal for last-mile urban deliveries. They come in 60 kWh or 90 kWh battery options, with peak motor outputs of either 85 kW or 150 kW, and can travel up to 480 km (298 miles) on a full charge.

Meanwhile, the eSprinter is the all-rounder for range and loading volume. Built in Düsseldorf, it comes in two lengths and three battery sizes, with a range of up to 484 km (300 miles). It boasts up to 14 cubic meters of cargo space and can handle a gross weight of up to 4.25 tonnes.

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Environment

BYD is flooding Europe with new EVs faster than any other carmaker has

Published

7 hours ago

June 24, 2025

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BYD is flooding Europe with new EVs faster than any other carmaker has

It already outsold Tesla in the UK and Europe, but this could be just the start. BYD said it’s launching new vehicles, including EVs, faster than any carmaker in Europe has done so far.

BYD goes all in on Europe with new EVs, PHEVs

BYD took the spotlight earlier this month after launching its most affordable EV in Europe so far. The Dolphin Surf, a rebadged version of the Seagull EV sold in China, starts at just £18,650 (just over $25,000) in the UK.

At a UK launch event, Alfredo Altavilla, BYD’s special advisor for Europe, said (via Autocar) the “Dolphin Surf was the missing piece in the A/B-segment.”

It will compete with entry-level EVs, such as the Dacia Spring, the UK’s cheapest EV, which starts at £14,995 ($20,000).

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Yet, the low-cost Dolphin Surf is only one piece of BYD’s master plan. “We have been launching six cars in less than a year,” Altavilla explained, adding, “We are covering all of the most important segments of the European car market.”

Altavilla even boasted that, “I have zero problem in saying I don’t think there has ever been such a product offensive done in Europe as the one BYD is doing.”

Although BYD is best known for its low-cost EVs, like the Seagull, which starts under $10,000 in China, the auto giant is quickly expanding into new segments.

BYD sells luxury vehicles under the Denza Yangwang brands. Denza is BYD’s answer to Porsche and other German luxury brands. Meanwhile, Yangwang is an ultra-luxury brand that will serve as BYD’s tech beacon.

According to Altavilla, this could be just the start. “We’re going to get together again after the summer break for another important reveal, and through the end of the year, there will be others,” BYD’s special advisor for Europe said.

BYD is set to begin production at its new plant in Hungary by the end of the year, enabling the company to customize vehicles for buyers in the region.

“As we go forward into 2026, more and more of the BYD line-up will be specific to this region,” Altavilla explained.

In separate news, BYD announced on Monday that its “Xi’an” car carrier is loaded and ready to ship off to the UK, Italy, Spain, Belgium, and other countries, carrying about 7,000 EVs and PHEVs.

Electrek’s Take

In what was called a “watershed moment,” BYD registered more vehicles in Europe than Tesla for the first time in April.

It also had more vehicle registrations in the UK than Tesla last month, with the Seal U taking the top spot for the most popular plug-in hybrid.

With the Dolphin Surf arriving, local production set to come online later this year, and several new models on the way, BYD is laying the groundwork to capture its share of the European auto market.

According to S&P Global Mobility forecasts, BYD is expected to more than double its sales in Europe this year, with around 186,000 vehicles sold. By 2029, BYD’s sales could double again to around 400,000. Between its plants in Hungary and Turkey, China’s EV leader is expected to have a combined capacity of 500,000 units.

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