Connect with us

Published

on

Starting at next weekend’s Quaker State 400 in Atlanta, the NASCAR Cup Series will be following the lead of other sports leagues — from European soccer to the NBA — by launching its own in-season tournament to spice up the regular-season schedule.

Seeding for the inaugural In-Season Challenge came from a three-race stretch (Michigan, Mexico City and Pocono), using a mix of highest finishes and points earned. Now, 32 drivers are locked into one big single-elimination bracket, ready to square off head-to-head until one is crowned champion — and handed a $1 million check.

Whether you’re a weekly watcher or a casual fan, this guide will help you get up to speed on the bracket, the favorites and long shots, and the winners or losers of the seeding process. To help us along the way, we also dusted off a retooled version of my Cup Series playoffs forecast model, which uses each driver’s track type-specific projected ratings to simulate the tournament 2,000 times and estimate each driver’s odds of advancing.

Here are the current favorites:

With the bracket and odds in hand, let’s take a closer look at how the field shapes up:

The favorites

Despite being seeded just 18th in the wake of uncharacteristically low finishes in two of three qualifying races, William Byron has been the best driver in Cup racing this season — he’s No. 1 in the standings and in average Driver Rating — and that makes him the biggest threat to win here.

The two-time defending Daytona 500 winner will get a favorable first-round matchup against Ryan Preece (a good but not great superspeedway guy), potentially be slotted against much less consistent road course drivers in both Round 2 (Chase Briscoe) and Round 3 (Kyle Larson), and would face a lesser oval driver (Chris Buescher) in the Championship 4 if things came down to that. Byron ought to be favored at each step until the championship.

Of course, chaos reigns at drafting-style tracks, so being the favorite is hardly a guarantee, right from the get-go. If we look deeper into the field, 5% or better odds also belong to Christopher Bell, Denny Hamlin, Chase Elliott, Briscoe, Buescher and Larson. (Plus Ryan Blaney and Joey Logano if we want to round the percentages up to the nearest whole number.) Of those, No. 1 Hamlin and No. 5 Elliott have the best chances to make the Sweet 16, having drawn lopsided first-round matchups with the Dillon Bros. — No. 32 Ty and No. 28 Austin, respectively.

Elliott also has the best chance to make the Elite 8, as he would face either John Hunter Nemechek or Josh Berry, neither of whom is good on road courses, in Round 2.


The Cinderellas

If we consider Byron a “Cinderella” by virtue of his bottom-half seed number, he has by far the best odds to make and/or win the championship round of any driver in that category. But it feels odd to call the No. 1 ranked driver in standings a long shot.

Similarly, Logano and Tyler Reddick have the next-best odds of that group, but the former is the defending Cup Series champ and the latter was in last year’s Championship 4; neither would really shock with a deep run, even though Reddick would have to go through Larson and then (most likely) Blaney right away.

Conversely, could we consider Ty Gibbs a sleeper pick? He’s 23rd in the main standings… but he’s also the No. 6 seed in the In-Season Challenge bracket, and his performance has been ticking up lately (after we graded his season a “D+” at the All-Star race last month). Winnable matchups with No. 27 Justin Haley and No. 11 Michael McDowell could very well land Gibbs in the Round of 8, which would feel both expected (given his seed) and surprising (given his level of performance during the season to date).

If we limit things to drivers who are currently 15th or lower in both the Challenge seeding and the regular standings, four drivers have a 10% chance or better to win at least two rounds: No. 19 Austin Cindric, No. 22 A.J. Allmendinger, No. 16 Kyle Busch and No. 17 Brad Keselowski. All are known as aces at either drafting-type tracks or road courses (or in the case of Cindric, both), and those tracks make up each of the first three races in this tournament.

Longtime championship rivals Busch and Keselowski can’t both make deep runs — they face each other in Round 1 — but the winner would likely catch Hamlin at a road course (where he hasn’t been elite during the Next Gen car era), while Cindric and Allmendinger would be on a potential collision course at Sonoma in the Round of 8.


The spoilers

Sometimes it’s not about winning the title as much as it’s about being a thorn in the side of the favorites. In this bracket, that might be the case for Keselowski, Reddick, Erik Jones and Carson Hocevar — each of whom has at least a 44% chance to knock off drivers who are both better-seeded here and more highly ranked in the 2025 Cup standings.

We already mentioned Brad K’s battle with Busch (that one’s a virtual toss-up between seeds 16-17), but Reddick is a solid plate racer with a real chance to end Larson’s run immediately, while there’s a roughly 50% chance that either Jones or Hocevar upset Ross Chastain or Blaney, respectively, and nearly a 21% chance that both move on.

Looking further ahead, we could see Logano giving trouble to No. 9 Bubba Wallace in the second round if Joey survives Alex Bowman in Round 1, as Bubba is not a strong road course driver. Also, McDowell would nearly be a coin-flip to defeat Gibbs in a Round 2 fight between drivers who have shown an aptitude for making left and right turns during their careers.

And if we ignore the seeds for a moment, Briscoe does have the potential to turn Byron from the favorite to an afterthought if he gets a good run on the streets of Chicago. Briscoe ran well with a 96.3 Driver Rating at the last road course race, at Mexico City a few weeks ago.


The tough draws

In contrast with the spoilers, some good drivers just landed in a bad spot thanks to the seeding formula. Preece might be exhibit A — he’s been having a breakout season, but he ended up in the No. 15 slot while Byron’s 27th-place finish at Pocono dropped him to No. 18, directly in Preece’s path. The underdog could still win, since Atlanta is a comparatively chaotic track now, but it’s a rough thing to start the In-Season Challenge off against the standings leader.

Bowman fits that mold as well: He’s seeded eighth, which matches with the No. 25 in a 32-driver bracket. But unfortunately for him, that means facing Logano at a place where Joey won in last year’s playoffs and is always a threat. If Bowman wins, he would get his own favorable draw against No. 9 Wallace as a much better road course driver in Round 2, but he has to get through Round 1 first.

Then there’s just the way the seeds can lie about the relative quality of the drivers. Zane Smith is seeded 14th, but he would be an underdog most anywhere against No. 19 Cindric — particularly at Atlanta, where Cindric had a streak of five straight races finishing 12th or better from 2022-2024. Similarly, No. 12 Nemechek got No. 21 Berry in Round 1, a seeding anomaly that isn’t really reflective of how they’ve been doing all season long.

And while they’re all still favorites to advance past Round 1, the trio of Chastain, Blaney and Larson may not have it as easy as we might think at a glance. For Ross, that’s because drafting tracks are a clear weakness in his driving portfolio, setting him up on comparatively shaky ground right away in his matchup against Jones.

And for Blaney and Larson, their respective first-round opponents — Hocevar and Reddick — are tougher than the rest of the Top 10 (save for Bowman) have to face. Not only that, but even if both favorites win, Blaney and Larson will then have to face each other in Round 2, quite possibly for the right to face Byron in Round 3.

And maybe that’s the point. In this format, even the big names aren’t guaranteed more than a single race in contention before the bracket starts scrambling everything up. With its chaotic seeding and track types, as well as the inherent unpredictability of single-elimination racing, this new In-Season Challenge promises to be as wild and experimental as anything NASCAR has tried in years — which is really saying something for this sport.

Continue Reading

Sports

A famous dad, the perfect swing and elite Fortnite skills: Meet MLB’s most fascinating hitter

Published

on

By

A famous dad, the perfect swing and elite Fortnite skills: Meet MLB's most fascinating hitter

Warning: What you’re about to read is Jacob Wilson‘s opinion. He is a professional baseball player — a very good one — and not a medical expert, but there are some things he is convinced are true, and this is one of them.

The 23-year-old Wilson, the Athletics’ wunderkind shortstop, is wise enough to understand that the sort of success he has found on the baseball field — a .347 batting average and a near-certain invitation to the All-Star Game coming — comes from a multitude of areas. He is the son of a longtime big leaguer, so certainly genetics helped, and he works relentlessly at his craft, which goes a long way. But the special sauce that built the American League Rookie of the Year favorite, he believes, included a secret ingredient.

Fortnite.

“Kids are going to love this one. Parents are going to hate me,” Wilson said. “I am a big believer in video games. It’s fast decision-making strategy. I think that gets me ready for the game, because when you’re in the box, you have to process a lot. So there’s some days where I’ll wake up and I’ll play video games and then I’ll go to the field, and I’ll have a good day. Some days I won’t play and don’t see the ball well. I think it really helps me train kind of the decision-making that I have to make six, seven hours later at the baseball field.”

Yes, one of the best hitters in the major leagues, a contact maven who strikes out with the infrequency of Tony Gwynn, swears that he’s as good as he is at a kid’s game because of his aptitude at another kid’s game. After Wilson wakes up, he deploys to his living room and parks in a chair. On the table in front of him sit a PC and a controller. He logs in to Fortnite — the 8-year-old game still played by millions every day — hops on the Battle Bus and systematically disposes of those with the misfortune of sharing a map with him.

“If we play a game with me and him and guys we know and you kill him once, you’re like, ‘That’s a good day,'” A’s infielder Max Muncy said. “You could play 50 rounds. Just once is good.”

Muncy has known of Wilson’s Fortnite exploits since they were teammates at Thousand Oaks (California) High, where Wilson’s father, former Pittsburgh shortstop Jack Wilson, coached. Back then, Jack actually questioned whether the game was interfering with Jacob’s baseball growth — though he understood his son’s reasoning. Over his 12-year big league career, Jack earned a reputation as one of the best pingpong players in the major leagues. It was pure reaction, not unlike hitting, and he complemented his pregame work in the batting cage with the brain training found in a paddle and hollow ball.

He saw the same opportunity in video games for his son — with a caveat.

“I do believe in the hand-eye coordination that video games give — as long as you do your homework,” Jack said. “Kids, if you’re reading, do your homework.”

The Wilsons are not alone in their belief that unconventional methods off the field can lead to success on it. Studies back up the suggestion that video games can be beneficial for brain activity. And considering the recognition being lavished on Jacob Wilson — he is more than a quarter-million votes ahead of Kansas City star Bobby Witt Jr. in All-Star balloting to be the American League’s starting shortstop — the benefits can be pronounced.

Of course, dropping into Anarchy Acres does not a big league hitter make. The story of Wilson’s ascent actually starts in his backyard, where he spent countless hours figuring out how to thrive in a game that simply isn’t built for hitters like him anymore.


Heaven for the Wilson family is a regulation-sized turfed infield with a FungoMan ground ball machine, a fence covered with famous retired numbers and stadium logos, a full dugout on the third-base side — and a grill stationed in center field in case someone gets hungry. The backyard of the family’s home is a testament to form and function, and it’s where Jacob learned how to be — and how not to be — like his father.

“It was a place built for guys who just love the grind of wanting to get better every day,” Jack said.

Jack’s bat was never as adept as his glove, and to last a dozen years in the big leagues, he needed countless reps to keep his fielding at a level that, according to Baseball-Reference, produced the fifth-most defensive wins above replacement this century, behind only Andrelton Simmons, Yadier Molina, Adrian Beltre and Kevin Kiermaier.

“You know that idea about being able to write a letter to your former self on what would you tell yourself now?” Jack said. “I get to do that with Jake. And I said, ‘You know, this is the way I hit. I don’t want you to hit like this.’ Because there were so many things I wish I could have done differently. If I were to build a perfect hitter, what would I do?”

He started with Miguel Cabrera. Wilson always admired how tall he stood in the batter’s box before sinking into his legs. Then it was Mike Trout. The simplicity of his swing has always been a marvel, but in particular Wilson appreciated the speed at which he loads his hands, allowing Trout to be on time even for 100 mph fastballs. The final lesson was Albert Pujols’ bat path, which was so flat and stayed in the zone for so long that it allowed him to sting the ball from foul pole to foul pole while maintaining strikeout numbers that were well below league average.

To hone that Voltron of a swing, a teenage Wilson would grip a custom wood bat with a 1½-inch barrel — an inch less than a standard big league barrel — and face his dad, who stood 45 feet away and ripped 85 mph fastballs and sliders using a tennis ball. If he didn’t catch the ball on the meat of the barrel, it would spin sideways, forcing him to learn to maneuver his bat with special dexterity.

The skinny bat made a regulation-sized model feel twice as big. When he took regular batting practice, Jacob always started by peppering the right side of the field on his first dozen swings. Even though Jacob was bigger than his father — at 6-foot-3, he is a comparatively imposing presence — Jack didn’t want him to fall into the trap of always trying to pull the ball. While that approach works for some hitters, Cabrera, Trout and Pujols embraced and embodied an all-fields approach.

By Wilson’s junior year in high school, the work started to pay off. Wilson didn’t strike out once all season. He didn’t punch out during his COVID-shortened senior season, either, then continued that trend at Grand Canyon University in Phoenix, where his sophomore year he whiffed seven times in 275 plate appearances and his junior season had five punchouts in 217 times at the plate. Twice, he received a plaque from the NCAA for being the toughest hitter to strike out in college baseball.

The A’s took Wilson with the sixth pick in the loaded 2023 draft. Last year, he hit .433/.473/.668 with just 15 strikeouts in 226 plate appearances across three minor league levels and, just a year and 10 days after being drafted, he debuted in the big leagues.

In a world of launch angle and exit velocity, Wilson arrived in the majors wanting to be more like Luis Arráez and Nico Hoerner, contact artists nonpareil who value batting average and are allergic to strikeouts.

“I just take strikeouts so personally,” Wilson said. “It’s the one thing in this game that makes me more mad than anything. So I’ll go up there and I’ll swing at a pitch that’s maybe a couple inches off and take a base hit to right. So I think batting average definitely is a stat that should be seen and should matter for most hitters.”

Wilson’s swing is kinetic, with a wide-open stance that closes as he moves his legs and flaps his arms — a little Chicken Dance, a little Cabrera-Trout-Pujols. While he hasn’t always been this twitchy — “I’ve got to keep my muscles moving a little bit,” Wilson said — it works for him. He keeps the knob of the bat in the direction of the ball longer than most hitters, reminding himself to “stay inside the baseball,” a lesson preached ad nauseam by Jack. Aiming to strike the inside of the ball, Jacob said, keeps him from rolling over it. He lives by the old axiom “good hitters get jammed” and doesn’t shy away from flipping a duck snort between the infield and outfield.

The approach has served him well. After starting the year in the No. 9 hole, Wilson has hit first or second every game since May 7. Only Arráez has a lower strikeout rate than Wilson’s 6.8% — and Wilson has nine home runs compared with Arráez’s one. Of all the strikeout-averse hitters in the game, the one with a line most comparable to Wilson’s.347/.388/.487 is Cleveland third baseman Jose Ramirez, who is primed to play in his seventh All-Star Game this season.

“It’s not even his hits,” said Nick Kurtz, the A’s first baseman and fellow rookie. “I’ve seen multiple times where there’s a sinker up and in that was going to hit him, and he hit it to second base. Sometimes they’re a hit, sometimes they’re not. Every time, though, I’m like, ‘How the hell did he do that?’ Being able to touch it, not break your bat and go the other way with it? I’m at a loss for words.”


On April 5 at 11:13 p.m., Jack Wilson’s phone dinged. He had texted his son to congratulate him on a good team win by the A’s. Jacob didn’t want to hear it. He was mad. He had gone 1-for-4 with a two-run double, but that wasn’t good enough.

“I’m not a .250 hitter,” Jacob texted.

Jack laughed. He batted .265 in his career. It was enough to earn him more than $40 million playing. His son wants to be better — not because he’s greedy but because he’s capable of it.

“That’s a good thought process,” Jack said. “Because when I was a rookie and I got a hit, I was pumped. I always tell him, ‘Man, hitting is freaking hard.’ It’s just not going to be every day where your swing is on point and you match up. It’s just the way it is. So this has been a real learning experience. And it will be for a long time. The more he learns now, the better off he is in the future and hopefully spends a long time as an Athletic.”

The A’s are counting on their star shortstop as a linchpin of their impressive offensive core. Wilson is the fulcrum, Kurtz the powerhouse with a propensity for late-inning heroics. Designated hitter Brent Rooker and outfielder Lawrence Butler are both sluggers locked up to long-term deals. First baseman Tyler Soderstrom and catcher Shea Langeliers provide additional home run thump. Denzel Clarke is going to win multiple Gold Gloves in center field. If they can build a pitching staff to match, the team scheduled to move to Las Vegas for the 2028 season will be among the most exciting in baseball.

And it all starts with the kid who is definitely not a .250 hitter and definitely does take strikeouts personally.

“I mean, I’ve studied his swing,” Muncy said. “There’s things that he does so well that other guys don’t do that leads to that. And I think one of the things is probably just his mentality. He has always thought he could put it in play. I don’t think there’s ever been a guy where he is like, ‘I can’t put it in play.’ When you have that supplemental edge — I can put it in play no matter what — that helps.”

Every edge helps, be it bat-to-ball skills, burgeoning power or the ability to no-scope someone from 300 meters. Wilson has no plans to abandon his Fortnite reps. It’s part of his training now, and even if it doesn’t work for everyone, he sees Victory Royales leading to victories for the A’s.

“Everybody has their own approach and everybody’s here for a reason,” Wilson said. “This is the big leagues. Everybody is the best in the world at what they do.”

Continue Reading

Sports

Top vote-getters Judge, Ohtani first two in ASG

Published

on

By

Top vote-getters Judge, Ohtani first two in ASG

NEW YORK — The Los Angeles DodgersShohei Ohtani and the New York YankeesAaron Judge were the first players picked for the July 15 All-Star Game at Atlanta’s Truist Park, elected as starters by fans Thursday.

Judge led the major leagues with 4,012,983 votes in the first round of fan balloting, and the outfielder was picked for his seventh American League start in eight All-Star Games, though he missed the 2023 game because of a sprained right big toe. He was also the leading vote-getter during the first phase in 2022 and last year.

Ohtani topped the National League and was second in the big leagues with 3,967,668 votes, becoming the first designated hitter to start in five straight All-Star Games.

The pair was selected under rules that began in 2022 and give starting spots to the top vote-getter in each league in the first phase of online voting, which began June 4 and ended Thursday. Two finalists at every other position advanced to the second phase, which runs from noon ET on Monday to noon ET on July 2. Votes from the first phase do not carry over.

An individual can vote once per 24-hour period.

Remaining starters will be announced July 2. Pitchers and reserves will be revealed July 6.

Seven players from the World Series champion Dodgers advanced to the second phase along with three each from the Chicago Cubs, Detroit Tigers and New York Mets, and two apiece from the Cleveland Guardians, Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays.

AL finalists: Catcher: Alejandro Kirk, Cal Raleigh; First base: Paul Goldschmidt, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.; Second Base: Jackson Holliday, Gleyber Torres; Third Base: Alex Bregman, José Ramírez; Shortstop: Jacob Wilson, Bobby Witt Jr.; Designated Hitter: Ryan O’Hearn, Ben Rice; Outfield: Javier Báez, Riley Greene, Steven Kwan, Mike Trout

NL finalists: Catcher: Carson Kelly, Will Smith; First Base: Pete Alonso, Freddie Freeman; Second Base: Tommy Edman, Ketel Marte; Third Base: Manny Machado, Max Muncy; Shortstop: Mookie Betts, Francisco Lindor; Outfield: Ronald Acuña Jr., Pete Crow-Armstrong, Teoscar Hernández, Andy Pages, Juan Soto, Kyle Tucker

Continue Reading

Sports

Giants CEO: Bonds to get statue at Oracle Park

Published

on

By

Giants CEO: Bonds to get statue at Oracle Park

SAN FRANCISCO — Barry Bonds will be getting a statue outside the San Francisco Giants‘ home stadium where he set baseball’s career home run record, the team’s CEO said Thursday.

Larry Baer, Giants president and chief executive officer, was asked during a radio interview about a statue for Bonds, and he responded that it was “on the radar.” But Baer didn’t have any details of when it would happen.

“Barry is certainly deserving of a statue, and I would say should be next up,” Baer said during an appearance on San Francisco’s 95.7 The Game. “We don’t have the exact location and the exact date and the exact timing. … It’s coming. All I can say is it’s coming.”

Bonds played for San Francisco the last 15 of his 22 big league seasons, hitting 586 of his 762 homers while with the Giants from 1993 to 2007. He set the single-season MLB record with 73 homers in 2001, and hit his record-breaking 756th homer to pass Hank Aaron in a home game off Washington’s Mike Bacsik on Aug. 7, 2007.

There are currently five statues outside Oracle Park, those of Hall of Famers Willie Mays, Willie McCovey, Juan Marichal, Gaylord Perry and Orlando Cepeda. The Giants retired Bonds’ No. 25 jersey in 2018.

Bonds, a seven-time MVP and 14-time All-Star, is not in the Hall of Fame. He failed to reach the 75% threshold required during his 10 years on the Baseball Writers Association of America’s Hall of Fame ballot, mostly because of steroids allegations that dogged him during his final years with the Giants. The Contemporary Player Committee also passed on electing Bonds in 2022, though the committee could reconsider Bonds’ status.

Continue Reading

Trending