NHL free agency preview: How each team can earn an A+
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Ryan S. Clark
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Kristen Shilton
With the 2025 NHL draft in the rearview mirror, it’s time for free agency. The signing period officially begins Tuesday at noon ET, although re-signings (and trades) have been flowing for the past several days.
Every front office is trying to maximize its chance at reaching the Stanley Cup playoffs next spring and lifting the most famous trophy in sports. Here’s how each of them can nail this offseason and the cap space that each team has, as well as a look at key players hitting restricted and unrestricted free agency.
Note: Profiles for the Atlantic and Metro teams were written by Kristen Shilton. Ryan S. Clark analyzed the Central and Pacific teams. Stats are collected from Natural Stat Trick, Hockey Reference and Evolving Hockey. Projected cap space as of June 29, per PuckPedia.
Draft recap: All 224 picks
Grades for all 32 teams
Winners and losers
ATLANTIC DIVISION
2024-25 result: Missed the playoffs
Key player hitting UFA: D Henri Jokiharju
Key player hitting RFA: None
Cap space: $16,643,333
What they should do: GM Don Sweeney seems invested in taking care of the Bruins’ own. He already signed Mason Lohrei to a two-year extension, and is engaged with Jokiharju on a return to keep Boston’s depth on the right side.
Sweeney also got Morgan Geekie signed to a new deal. The forward is coming off his best NHL season (33 goals and 57 points) and could be a foundational piece for the Bruins moving forward.
From there, Sweeney has to find some outside help to up Boston’s scoring punch. Only Geekie and David Pastrnak managed 20-plus goals last season as the Bruins’ ranked 28th in offense. There’s serious room for improvement that Sweeny will have to address in free agency.
2024-25 result: Missed the playoffs
Key players hitting UFA: None
Key players hitting RFA: D Bowen Byram, G Devon Levi
Cap space: $20,840,319
What they should do: Well, GM Kevyn Adams said he had a plan. And it went into full motion when he traded RFA JJ Peterka to Utah. That felt like just the first domino to fall in Buffalo.
Adams then signed pending RFA Jack Quinn to a two-year extension. But there’s work left to do. If Adams intends to move on from Byram, now is the time to do it while he’s still a valuable player. Then, Adams’ priority should be an extension for Alex Tuch. The key forward (and passionate leader) can re-sign beginning Tuesday, and there’s no use waiting around when the Sabres are desperate for positivity at this point.
There’s also the question of how to wring more consistency out of the lineup next season. Adams should target free agents who can bring that. Skaters such as Mason Appleton or Connor Brown could fill out the Sabres’ bottom six nicely, and give them some much-needed depth. The key is for Adams to stay active and not let Buffalo’s lack of success breed complacency.
2024-25 result: Missed the playoffs
Key player hitting UFA: F Patrick Kane
Key players hitting RFA: F Jonatan Berggren, F Elmer Soderblom
Cap space: $18,411,628
What they should do: The Red Wings pulled off a blockbuster during draft weekend, landing John Gibson from Anaheim in exchange for Petr Mrazek and a pair of picks. That was a needed upgrade for Detroit in net, and allows Gibson to play with another solid veteran in Cam Talbot. That’s a strong start to the offseason for GM Steve Yzerman.
He’ll give his group a chance to get back into the postseason picture by continuing to tweak. Re-signing Kane is an easy boost — he has played well at 5-on-5 and special teams, and has a veteran poise.
It’s the Red Wings’ defense that’s in need of a true upgrade. Detroit gave up the 12th-most goals last season, and the collection of veterans the Red Wings relied on for their second and third pairings weren’t cutting it. There are UFA options available such as Vladislav Gavrikov who might help, or Yzerman could swing a deal for someone such as RFA K’Andre Miller. Regardless of where Yzerman looks, it’s important he finds a defenseman (or two) who can take some pressure off Moritz Seider and Simon Edvinsson.
2024-25 result: Won the Stanley Cup
Key players hitting UFA: D Aaron Ekblad, F Brad Marchand, D Nate Schmidt, G Vitek Vanecek
Key player hitting RFA: F Mackie Samoskevich
Cap space: $11,000,000
What they should do: The Panthers already found Sergei Bobrovsky‘s new backup in a trade with Columbus for Daniil Tarasov. The 26-year-old will replace departing UFA Vanecek, and crosses one item off GM Bill Zito’s to-do list. Then it really comes down to Marchand and Ekblad. Because until those deals are done — or not — the ripple effect on what else Florida is able to do won’t be fully known.
Before re-signing, Sam Bennett publicly said he wasn’t leaving Florida, a proclamation Ekblad’s agent encouraged him not to do out loud (for leverage reasons). But it’s safe to say all sides would like to remain together if possible. It’s just a large “if.”
Zito has limited cap space for additional contracts. Will he make a trade to ensure Ekblad stays? Thankfully for Zito, Florida doesn’t have many other holes to fill. And retaining Marchand shouldn’t be at too high a cost given his age and role with the team. Zito found his backup netminder, and now it’s all about working internally to set the Panthers up for another successful run.
2024-25 result: Lost in the first round
Key player hitting UFA: F Christian Dvorak
Key player hitting RFA: G Jakub Dobes
Cap space: $-3,394,166
What they should do: Montreal made waves with its push into the postseason in 2024-25. That’s nothing compared to what GM Kent Hughes pulled off on draft day, acquiring Noah Dobson from the Islanders and signing him to an eight-year, $76 million contract. It cost Hughes a pretty penny — including two 2025 first-round draft choices — but the 25-year-old Dobson joining Lane Hutson & Co. on the Canadiens’ blue line makes that a formidable-looking squad.
Now the Canadiens’ most glaring need is a second-line center — but that’s a hot commodity without many skaters available via free agency to fill that role. Anthony Beauvillier has been mentioned often in connection to the Habs, but that doesn’t provide a long-term solution. Re-signing Dvorak would be a holdover choice as well.
Hughes could also settle for adding to the wings, or orchestrate a trade that wrangles a true top-six pivot. Either way, there’s a want and need for the front office to infuse some exciting offensive energy into the Canadiens’ lineup without sacrificing too much of the pipeline or more draft capital.
2024-25 result: Lost in the first round
Key players hitting UFA: F Nick Cousins, G Anton Forsberg
Key players hitting RFA: None
Cap space: $8,194,286
What they should do: The Senators’ focus was largely trained on re-signing Claude Giroux. GM Steve Staois got that one done Sunday when he inked Giroux to a one-year contract extension. That’s an important deal for the Senators to maintain some of the consistency that helped them become a playoff team last season.
Now, will Staois do much else to boost Ottawa going forward? He has been vocal about liking Ottawa’s group as it is, and might decide just keeping Giroux — and his leadership — will most benefit the Senators’ rising core.
Ottawa doesn’t appear in glaring need of help in other facets — they’ve built slow and steady for a reason — so getting Giroux done might be Staois’ signal that the Senators will continue prioritizing growth from within as opposed to chasing outside help. That mindset would also be well reflected in an extension for Forsberg, although the goalie is rumored to want to test the open market instead.
2024-25 result: Lost in the first round
Key player hitting UFA: D Nick Perbix
Key player hitting RFA: F Gage Goncalves
Cap space: $5,480,001
What they should do: As usual, nothing is off the table for Tampa Bay. Where there’s a will, GM Julien BriseBois generally usually manages to find a way.
The Lightning ran out of steam in the postseason (again), and you could see BriseBois wanted to guard against that by leveraging his minimal cap space with the addition of some new players, particularly on the back end. But there’s work to be done at the minimum in keeping Perbix and Goncalves. Both skaters have filled their roles for Tampa Bay recently, and Goncalves especially is just finding his stride in the NHL.
BriseBois has brokered more than one blockbuster of late though, and Goncalves could also be someone to watch on the trade market if the GM is looking to roll the dice again to give the Lightning another chance to be the team to be beat in the Sunshine State.
2024-25 result: Lost in the second round
Key players hitting UFA: F Steven Lorentz, F Mitch Marner
Key player hitting RFA: F Nick Robertson
Cap space: $13,570,581
What they should do: The Maple Leafs took care of business by getting John Tavares signed to a four-year extension last week. That was the top priority this offseason for GM Brad Treliving.
Unless a trade for Marner’s rights materializes in the next 24 hours, there’s almost no doubt he will walk away for nothing in free agency. Either way, that’s a massive loss for the Leafs’ offense. Losing Tavares too would have cratered the Leafs’ center depth.
But with Tavares squared away — and knowing the Leafs won’t be investing ample cap space in Marner — Treliving was able to re-sign RFA Matthew Knies to a six-year extension carrying a $7.75 million AAV. That’s about as good as it gets for the Leafs.
Now, will Treliving fill in the gaps with some blue-line help? That would be good business as well. And he should also consider bringing back Lorentz and Robertson.
METROPOLITAN DIVISION
2024-25 result: Lost in the conference finals
Key players hitting UFA: D Brent Burns, D Dmitry Orlov, F Jack Roslovic
Key players hitting RFA: None
Cap space: $26,715,958
What they should do: Carolina can’t quite get over the hump, stalling out in the Eastern Conference finals two of the past three seasons. It’s on GM Erik Tulsky to find players to power the Hurricanes through to the other side.
The first thing Carolina needs is to add scoring wingers, preferably those with top-nine pedigree and a proven track record. A second-line center would be valuable as well, and — if there’s cap room left — boosting their right-side defensive depth wouldn’t hurt. Carolina averaged fewer than three goals per game in the playoffs, and struggled especially in the conference finals against Florida’s stout defensive effort.
The Hurricanes might have too many of the same style skater in their lineup, making them easier to shut down, so Tulsky should target some grit to go with the finesse Carolina can already wield with its current roster.
2024-25 result: Missed the playoffs
Key players hitting UFA: F Christian Fischer, F Luke Kunin, F Kevin Labanc, D Ivan Provorov
Key players hitting RFA: D Jordan Harris, F Dmitri Voronkov
Cap space: $28,533,752
What they should do: Columbus didn’t wait around for Tuesday to start dealing, trading for Charlie Coyle and Miles Wood from Colorado. Coyle especially helps make the Blue Jackets’ middle six more robust, and gives the team some flexibility at center. And if Wood can reignite his game after some down seasons, he’ll contribute somewhere in the bottom six.
Depth like that is an asset. But it’s not enough (right now) to truly change the Blue Jackets’ fortunes. GM Don Waddell should be seeking another center and a top-six winger who complement the young core. The right side of their blue line would also benefit from a boost, beyond the extension for Dante Fabbro.
That was all true before the trade of goalie Daniil Tarasov, though. How will Waddell go about Columbus’ netminding now? There’s Elvis Merzlikins and Jet Greaves. Waddell isn’t giving the Blue Jackets’ their best opportunity without exploring an upgrade in the cage.
2024-25 result: Lost in the first round
Key players hitting UFA: F Nathan Bastian, F Daniel Sprong, G Jake Allen
Key players hitting RFA: F Nolan Foote, D Luke Hughes
Cap space: $14,394,167
What they should do: The Devils will be rightfully focused on getting a new deal done with pending Hughes, a backbone on their blue line and key to the franchise’s future. Then, GM Tom Fitzgerald can start adding to New Jersey’s offense.
There’s a critical need for a center (especially if they don’t qualify RFA Cody Glass) considering that Dawson Mercer might not be ready for that jump next season. Punching up the team’s scoring is another significant task. New Jersey ranked 20th in offense last season, and while some of that could be tied to losing Jack Hughes to injury, it was still an issue even when he was healthy.
The backup goaltender position will also have to be addressed: Can the Devils rely on Nico Daws behind Jacob Markstrom? It’s slim pickings for a goalie in free agency, but a trade could materialize to help the Devils improve there.
2024-25 result: Missed the playoffs
Key players hitting UFA: None
Key players hitting RFA: D Alexander Romanov, D Scott Perunovich
Cap space: $20,943,334
What they should do: Incoming GM Mathieu Darche didn’t waste time shaking things up on the island when he traded Noah Dobson to Montreal during draft weekend. That move left the Islanders with only four viable blueliners signed for this season, so Darche will have to replenish there via the free agent market or another trade — or by getting Romanov and Perunovich signed to new contracts.
And of course, there’s the possibility No. 1 draft choice Matthew Schaefer works his way into the rotation.
The team’s next priority is ensuring Ilya Sorokin has the right support in goal next season. Semyon Varlamov was sidelined by an injury in December, and he never returned; the Islanders’ goaltending struggled as a result. Varlamov is 37 now, and might not be the best option any longer to play in tandem with a top-tier goalie such as Sorokin. Darche will have to decide if there’s a deal to be made for Varlamov or if the Isles’ can be confident he’ll give them strong minutes in the coming season.
And, as always, the Islanders could use more scoring depth (they ranked 28th in offense last season) but they’ll have to prioritize which areas can be shored up now vs. later.
2024-25 result: Missed the playoffs
Key players hitting UFA: None
Key players hitting RFA: F Will Cuylle, F Arthur Kaliyev, D K’Andre Miller
Cap space: $12,197,142
What they should do: New York already sent Chris Kreider to Anaheim, completing a trade that seemed inevitable at some point this offseason. That freed up some cap space that they can use to try to become a playoff team again.
Coming to a decision on Miller is vital. Do the Rangers keep him? Trade him? Where does he fit for them into the future?
Then there is Cuylle, who had an excellent second season and should be signed by the Rangers quickly to avoid any sort of offer-sheet situation. New York doesn’t have enough cap yet to make many other major moves. Barring another veteran trade, taking care of his own might be the best GM Chris Drury can do for now.
2024-25 result: Missed the playoffs
Key players hitting UFA: None
Key players hitting RFA: F Jakob Pelletier, D Cam York
Cap space: $15,141,905
What they should do: Philadelphia’s primary needs going into the 2025-26 season were to be stronger down the middle and getting another goaltender. Trading for Trevor Zegras has (theoretically) accomplished that first goal. Now it’s time for the Flyers to find another goaltender who can complement Samuel Ersson.
Philadelphia ranked 32nd in team save percentage last season (.872), and neither Ivan Fedotov nor Aleksei Kolosov appear reliable enough for the Flyers to lean on moving forward. GM Danny Briere will have to scour the (middling) free agent market for another netminder.
A trade for Thatcher Demko, with his connection to new coach Rick Tocchet and one year left at $5 million AAV, might be their best bet despite his injury history. Alex Lyon or Jake Allen could also be viable veteran options to support Ersson (whom the organization still believes has a bright future).
After the goaltending is sorted, if Briere can also add a left-handed defenseman to the mix, all the better for Philadelphia.
2024-25 result: Missed the playoffs
Key players hitting UFA: None
Key players hitting RFA: F Connor Dewar, F Philip Tomasino
Cap space: $19,616,904
What they should do: We believe the Penguins won’t be trading Sidney Crosby in the offseason. Erik Karlsson, though? That’s something GM Kyle Dubas should be exploring.
Karlsson has shown his age the past two seasons, and Pittsburgh has to be dialed in on getting younger and faster if they expect to be a postseason contender. It won’t be easy to get Karlsson off the books. But if there’s a way Dubas can get out from under his contract, it will benefit the Penguins in a big way.
Dubas is likely to get both Dewar and Tomasino signed to new deals.
Then there’s the Penguins’ goalie confidence rating — as in, where is it right now? Tristan Jarry and Alex Nedeljkovic remain in the fold but were, shall we say, not exactly a top tandem last season. Could a Karlsson trade perhaps return a netminder to help out? It’s possible.
2024-25 result: Lost in the second round
Key players hitting UFA: D Ethan Bear, F Anthony Beauvillier, F Andrew Mangiapane
Key player hitting RFA: D Alexander Alexeyev
Cap space: $9,375,000
What they should do: GM Chris Patrick said he wanted to add more high-skill players to the Capitals’ lineup. That’s rich coming from the second-highest scoring team in 2024-25 — and yet, there’s logic to it. Washington was boosted by a handful of skaters having career-best seasons offensively. It would be foolish to rely on that happening again for so many players.
Retaining Beauvillier would help the Capitals maintain their bottom-six depth without breaking the bank. There’s going to be some turnover for Washington regardless, with T.J. Oshie retiring, so the decision to prioritize scoring is a wise one.
CENTRAL DIVISION
2024-25 result: Missed the playoffs
Key players hitting UFA: None
Key players hitting RFA: D Louis Crevier, D Wyatt Kaiser, F Philipp Kurashev, G Arvid Soderblom
Cap space: $22,495,357
What they should do: Find a way to improve the roster, while also advancing the team’s rebuild at the same time.
The Blackhawks were in the bottom 10 of goals scored per game while allowing the second-most goals per game. Blackhawks GM Kyle Davidson traded for Andre Burakovsky to provide another potential goal-scoring option. Davidson could use free agency or one more trade to find another experienced scorer who meshes with their youth movement.
There’s also a possibility the Blackhawks could look to do the same on the back end by getting at least two experienced defensemen to improve upon last season’s issues. Especially when the current group they have features seven skaters younger than 24 who are either under contract or team control for next season.
2024-25 result: Lost in the first round
Key players hitting UFA: F Jonathan Drouin, F Joel Kiviranta, D Ryan Lindgren, F Jimmy Vesey
Key player hitting RFA: D Sam Malinski
Cap space: $8,950,000
What they should do: Strengthen their roster to win another Stanley Cup. Building a supporting cast has been an issue since the Avs won the Stanley Cup in 2022. It remains that way now with them needing to again reconfigure their bottom-six forward corps while doing the same for their third defense pairing.
There are options that can be had, but that goes back to why they’re in this situation in the first place: cap space. Trading Charlie Coyle and Miles Wood created an additional $8.2 million in room but also came at the cost of trying to fill two more bottom-six roles.
2024-25 result: Lost in the conference finals
Key players hitting UFA: D Cody Ceci, F Evgenii Dadonov, F Mikael Granlund
Key players hitting RFA: None
Cap space: $980,084
What they should do: Reinforce their bottom-six forward group. Who knew? There’s another Western Conference team in a championship window that must rebuild its bottom six with the intent that it can play a role in getting them to their desired destination.
While that’s not to say the Stars couldn’t be inclined to add more help elsewhere, the bottom six appears to be their greatest need, with only 10 forwards under contract on a team that must create more space to attain the strongest possible options.
2024-25 result: Lost in the first round
Key players hitting UFA: F Justin Brazeau, D Jon Merrill, F Gustav Nyquist
Key player hitting RFA: F Marco Rossi
Cap space: $17,711,835
What they should do: Solidify their roster by adding more goal scorers. GM Bill Guerin said at the end of the season that finding another center was in the team’s plans. The Wild appeared to have several options of players who were slated to hit free agency.
Or that appeared to be the case until centers such as Sam Bennett, Matt Duchene, Brock Nelson and John Tavares decided to stay with their teams, while Jonathan Toews signed a one-year deal with his hometown Jets.
Should the Wild decide to go in another direction, they could be inclined to add another top-six or top-nine winger. Now, if only there was a seven-time 20-goal scorer who could reach free agency that just happens to be from the Twin Cities.
2024-25 result: Missed the playoffs
Key players hitting UFA: D Marc Del Gaizo, F Jakub Vrana
Key player hitting RFA: F Luke Evangelista
Cap space: $13,519,610
What they should do: Select the path they believe is the one to success. Being experienced in some areas while inexperienced in others played a role in why they went from playoff team to lottery entrant in a single season — especially after “winning July 1” last year, as GM Barry Trotz mentioned during the draft broadcast.
Trotz has stated how much potential he sees in the club’s young players, and how that could see the team find cohesion with those more experienced players. But at the same time, the Preds could be inclined to add another top-nine forward and/or a top-six defenseman just to be safe. Trotz did the latter late Sunday when he traded for Golden Knights defenseman Nicolas Hague, and signed him to a four-year contract worth $5.5 million annually.
2024-25 result: Lost in the first round
Key players hitting UFA: F Radek Faksa, D Ryan Suter
Key players hitting RFA: None
Cap space: $1,625,150
What they should do: Add at least one more defenseman. GM Doug Armstrong said in May that he doesn’t expect Torey Krug to play next season. If that’s the case, that would leave the Blues needing another top-six defenseman, while possibly trying to acquire one more for depth.
Armstrong told reporters days before the draft that the Blues will have the long-term injured reserve space from Krug’s contract, which is on the books at $6.5 million annually.
Aside from that, the Blues appear to have their top-nine forwards situated while having both goalies under contract with Joel Hofer signing a two-year extension Saturday.
2024-25 result: Missed the playoffs
Key players hitting UFA: D Robert Bortuzzo, F Nick Bjugstad, F Michael Carcone
Key player hitting RFA: F Jack McBain
Cap space: $14,982,143
What they should do: Aggressively pursue every top-six forward. They already got a head start on that by trading for JJ Peterka, and signing him to a five-year contract extension worth $7.7 million annually.
It’s possible there are other potential top-six options who could be in play if they reach the market. If not, the Mammoth could be inclined to see if a trade exists to add one more forward to a team that appears to be on the cusp of the playoffs. Especially when Utah was among the top 10 teams in the NHL in shots per 60 minutes and scoring chances per 60 but finished 21st in goals per game.
2024-25 result: Lost in the second round
Key players hitting UFA: F Mason Appleton, F Nikolaj Ehlers, F Brandon Tanev
Key players hitting RFA: F Morgan Barron, F Rasmus Kupari, D Dylan Samberg, F Gabriel Vilardi
Cap space: $23,513,810
What they should do: Strategically sign more forwards. It’s possible that the Ehlers saga could come to an end with him signing a contract. But there’s also the reality he could leave in a market in which he’s one of the strongest options available.
Ehlers or not, the Jets can spend to get additional scoring help. But there must be certain items taken into consideration given they’ll need to balance their cap space. They’ll either need to re-sign Ehlers or find who they feel can be his replacement.
Also, they need to get a new deal done for 27-goal scorer Vilardi. They’ll also need to bolster their bottom-six forward group while taking care of Samberg on the back end.
PACIFIC DIVISION
2024-25 result: Missed the playoffs
Key players hitting UFA: F Robby Fabbri, F Brock McGinn
Key players hitting RFA: G Lukas Dostal, D Drew Helleson, F Mason McTavish, F Isac Lundestrom
Cap space: $35,988,812
What they should do: Spend carefully now, knowing what’s ahead in the future. Hypothetically speaking, GM Pat Verbeek has more than enough cap space to do whatever he feels is necessary. That could be anything from adding another top-six forward to a middle-six forward to at least two bottom-six forwards. It’s possible Verbeek could do something on defense, but it would come at the risk of taking playing time away from members of their young but promising blue line.
And, any decision Verbeek makes also comes with the consequence that they have key players they must pay this offseason — with the idea that Leo Carlsson, Cutter Gauthier, Jackson LaCombe, Pavel Mintyukov and Olen Zellweger are all RFAs after next season.
2024-25 result: Missed the playoffs
Key players hitting UFA: F Anthony Mantha, F Kevin Rooney, G Dan Vladar
Key players hitting RFA: F Morgan Frost, F Connor Zary
Cap space: $19,820,000
What they should do: Acquire forwards who can consistently finish scoring chances. Where it gets a bit complicated for the Flames is that they’re trying to add scoring help in a free agent market in which the options could create a bidding war.
The Flames could opt to play that game, with the idea they could determine if it makes more sense to find a trade that addresses their needs. They must also think about how to structure new contracts for Frost and Zary — short-term bridge deals or longer-term ones to have cost certainty.
2024-25 result: Lost in the Cup Final
Key players hitting UFA: F Connor Brown, F Kasperi Kapanen, D John Klingberg, F Corey Perry, F Jeff Skinner
Key player hitting RFA: D Evan Bouchard
Cap space: $12,350,834
What they should do: They must re-sign Bouchard and then revamp their supporting cast. There appears to be at least one opening in their top six, a few more on their fourth line, and at least one among their defensemen.
Their goaltending obviously remains under question after a consecutive defeat in the Stanley Cup Final that featured uneven performances.
The Oilers have clear areas they must address, with the understanding that they’ll need to either create more cap space or attempt to improve their roster with the hope the personnel they seek can be had at team-friendly prices.
And of course, they do all of this with the best player in the world slated to hit unrestricted free agency after 2025-26, which could be a factor in all of it.
2024-25 result: Lost in the first round
Key players hitting UFA: D Vladislav Gavrikov, F Tanner Jeannot, F Andrei Kuzmenko, G David Rittich
Key player hitting RFA: F Alex Laferriere
Cap space: $23,210,000
What they should do: Take one or two big swings. New GM Ken Holland has been connected to every top-six forward of significance, ranging from Brock Boeser to Mitch Marner to Brad Marchand. The Kings could also go after another top-four defenseman, whether that’s re-signing Gavrikov or landing someone else.
But that also comes with the understanding that the Kings will want to have enough space remaining to add more experience to their fourth line — and upgrade their backup goaltender should it come to that point.
2024-25 result: Missed the playoffs
Key players hitting UFA: G Alexandar Georgiev, D Jan Rutta
Key players hitting RFA: F Thomas Bordeleau, F Klim Kostin, F Nikolai Kovalenko
Cap space: $44,090,832
What they should do: Keep adding to the rebuild. Finishing last in the NHL means that the Sharks need help in many areas. OK, they could use help in every area, ranging from their top nine to their bottom six to their defense to adding another goaltender who could work in tandem with promising prospect Yaroslav Askarov.
This will be the second season for Macklin Celebrini and Will Smith, which means they’re still concentrating on the future. So, the Sharks could again sign veteran players to one-year deals whom they could move on from at the deadline to attain more draft capital.
2024-25 result: Missed the playoffs
Key player hitting UFA: F Michael Eyssimont
Key players hitting RFA: D Ryker Evans, F Kaapo Kakko, F Tye Kartye
Cap space: $18,057,621
What they should do: Continue the trend of adding players who help them establish consistency. Similar to how they traded for Mason Marchment, getting a 22-goal scorer who hypothetically bolsters their top-nine forward group, or how they traded for Frederick Gaudreau to give their bottom six a two-way center and 18-goal scorer who has now scored 14 or more goals in three of the past four seasons.
Those are the sort of moves that could help the Kraken find more continuity, while also establishing potentially a deeper roster than they’ve had since making the playoffs in their second season.
2024-25 result: Missed the playoffs
Key players hitting UFA: F Brock Boeser, F Pius Suter
Key players hitting RFA: None
Cap space: $7,031,667
What they should do: Find more top-nine forward help. Consistently scoring goals was an issue last season, and it appears that it could be an issue again ahead of next season.
There’s a chance they could re-sign Boeser and Suter, although they could also lose both. If they do, that presents a new gap to fill.
The Canucks should also add another bottom-pairing defenseman, with the caveat that they can only do so much with such limited cap space.
2024-25 result: Lost in the second round
Key players hitting UFA: F Victor Olofsson, F Tanner Pearson, G Ilya Samsonov
Key player hitting RFA: F Alexander Holtz
Cap space: $757,857
What they should do: Strengthen their roster to win a second Stanley Cup. There’s always going to be the expectation that GM Kelly McCrimmon does something. As for what that could be? It’s complicated.
On Saturday, there were multiple reports that they’ve talked to the Maple Leafs about a sign-and-trade involving Mitch Marner. A day later, it was reported by The Fourth Period that defenseman Alex Pietrangelo would require multiple surgeries and is expected to sit out the 2025-26 season.
Hours later, they would trade then-pending RFA defenseman Nicolas Hague for forward Colton Sissons and defenseman Jeremy Lauzon in a move that saw them add depth while leaving them with less than $800,00 in cap space. It’s never boring in Vegas!
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Alden Gonzalez
Less than two years ago, the Texas Rangers rode a potent offense to the first World Series championship in franchise history. Since then — on paper, at least — that group has only improved. Established sluggers were brought in. Young, promising players accrued more seasoning. Core stars remained in their primes. And yet, over the course of 10 baseball months since hoisting the trophy on Nov. 1, 2023, the Rangers have fielded one of the sport’s worst offenses, a sobering reality that continues to vex team officials.
The circumstances of 2025 have only intensified the frustration.
The Rangers have received Cy Young-caliber production from a rejuvenated Jacob deGrom, who had compiled fewer than 200 innings over the last four years. Their rotation went into the All-Star break with the second-lowest ERA in the major leagues. Their bullpen, practically rebuilt over one offseason, ranked third. Their defense (16 outs above average) was elite, as was their baserunning (10.8 runs above average). But the Rangers, despite back-to-back wins over the first-place Detroit Tigers this weekend, find themselves only a game over .500, seven games out of first place and 2 1/2 games out of a playoff spot, because they can’t do the one thing they were expected to do best: hit.
Bret Boone, the former All-Star second baseman who was installed as the team’s hitting coach in early May, has been tasked with fixing that — but he is also realistic.
“I’m not gonna come in here and ‘abracadabra,'” he said, waving his right arm as if wielding a magic wand. “That’s the big misnomer about hitting. Hitting is really hard. The bottom line is — you can prepare as much as you want, but when you get in the box, it’s just you and that pitcher.”
Boone isn’t here for an overhaul. He’s here to encourage. To simplify. One of his prevailing messages to players, he said, has been to “watch the game” — to put away the tablet, come up to the dugout railing and see how opposing pitchers are attacking other hitters. Boone has emphasized the importance of approaching each game with a plan, whatever that might be. He has occasionally blocked off the indoor batting cage, worried that hitters of this generation swing too often. And he has encouraged conversation.
“That’s what great offenses do,” Boone said. “They’re constantly interacting.”
There might not be a more interesting team to watch ahead of the trade deadline. Rangers president of baseball operations Chris Young is not one to give up on a season, particularly with a team this talented. But one more rough patch might force him to, at least to an extent. Young would prefer to add, but it’s hard to envision a way to improve the lineup from outside.
He won’t find a better middle-infield combo than Corey Seager and Marcus Semien. Or a better outfield than Evan Carter, Wyatt Langford and Adolis García. Or a better designated hitter than Joc Pederson, who could return from a hand fracture before the end of this month. Or a better catching tandem than Jonah Heim and Kyle Higashioka. Or a better crop of corner infielders than Josh Smith, Josh Jung and Jake Burger, though Burger returned to the injured list with a quad strain earlier this week.
Any offensive improvement will probably come internally, signs of which emerged recently. The Rangers got Carter back from the bereavement list on July 4 and Langford back from the IL on July 5, making their lineup as close to whole as it has been all year. Over the ensuing week, they scored 53 runs in seven games heading into the All-Star break. Maybe it was a sign of things to come. Or, if recent history is any indication, a short burst of false promise.
Below is a look at five numbers that define the Rangers’ surprising offensive downturn.
1. Semien and Seager’s combined OPS on June 22: .671
The Rangers’ rise began in late November 2021, just before the sport shut down in the leadup to an ugly labor fight, when Semien and Seager secured contracts totaling $500 million. Their deals came within days of each other, ensuring they’d share a middle infield for years to come. And when the Rangers won it all in 2023, it was Semien and Seager hitting back-to-back at the top of the lineup, setting the tone for an offense that overwhelmed teams in October.
Some things haven’t changed: Semien and Seager are still the driving forces of this offense. For most of this year, though, that hasn’t been a positive thing.
As late as June 22, with the Rangers 78 games into their season, Semien and Seager had combined for a .229/.312/.359 slash line. Their combined OPS, .671, sat 44 points below the league average.
Semien, traditionally a slow starter, finished the month of May with the second-lowest slugging percentage among qualified hitters and at times batted ninth. Seager made two separate trips to the IL because of the same right hamstring strain and eventually fell out of whack, batting .188 in June. If the Rangers are looking for good news, though, it’s that Semien and Seager finally got going in the leadup to the All-Star break. From June 23 to July 13 — with Seager and Semien settling into the No. 2 and No. 3 spots, respectively — they slashed .313/.418/.592.
“We all want to be on at the same time,” Semien said. “It’ll never happen like that, but if Corey and I are on, this team goes.”
2. Texas’ slash line against fastballs: .236/.312/.372
One of the Rangers’ coaches recently recalled some of the most iconic homers from the team’s championship run — García’s grand slam in the American League Championship Series, and Seager’s blasts against Houston’s Cristian Javier and Arizona’s Paul Sewald.
They all had one thing in common: turning on high fastballs and pulverizing them.
The Rangers were one of the best fastball-hitting teams in 2023. That has been far from the case since. The Rangers slashed just .233/.315/.379 against four-seam fastballs in 2024, worse than every team except the Chicago White Sox, who lost a record 121 games. This year, it isn’t much better.
The Rangers’ slash line against four-seamers was only .236/.312/.372 heading into the All-Star break, good for a .684 OPS that ranked 27th in the majors. Burger (.473 OPS), Heim (.500), Pederson (.620) and García (.660) were especially vulnerable. Against four-seamers that were elevated, no team had a higher swing-and-miss percentage than Texas (55.5%).
Being in position to hit the fastball has been one of the points of emphasis from the hitting coaches in recent weeks. It doesn’t mean every hitter will look fastball first — approaches are individualistic and often alter based on matchups — but it does underscore the importance of narrowing the focus. Opposing pitchers are too good these days. Hitters can’t account for everything. And the best offenses are able to take something away from an opposing pitching staff. The 2023 team took away the fastball as an attack weapon. But the Rangers, in the words of one staffer, have been “stuck in between” ever since — late on velocity and off balance against spin.
It’s a tough way to live.
3. Rangers’ chase rate with RISP: 32.2%
When asked about the biggest difference between the 2023 offense and the 2025 version, Rangers manager Bruce Bochy mentioned the approach in run-scoring opportunities. The team from two years ago, he said, was much better at situational hitting with runners in scoring position. This team seems to chase too much in those situations.
The numbers bear that out.
The Rangers’ chase percentage with runners in scoring position was 32.2% coming out of the All-Star break, fourth worst in the major leagues. Their strikeout percentage, 23.7%, was fifth worst. Their slash line, .230/.304/.357, was down there with some of the worst teams in the sport. The Rangers’ lineup has some strikeout in it — with Burger, Jung and García at the top of that list — but team officials believe it should be much better adept at driving in runs.
Not being able to has led to some dramatic highs and lows. The Rangers have scored eight or more runs 13 times, including two instances over a 72-hour stretch in which they hung 16 runs on the Minnesota Twins. But there have also been 25 games in which they have been held to one or zero runs, third most in the major leagues.
4. Carter’s and Jung’s wOBA ranks since 2023: 205th and 264th
Entering the second half, 380 players had accumulated at least 300 plate appearances since the start of the 2024 season. Among them, Carter ranked 205th with a .308 weighted on-base average. Jung, with a .295 wOBA, ranked 264th.
Jung looked like a budding star at third base in 2023, making the All-Star team and finishing fourth in AL Rookie of the Year voting. Carter came up in September and surged throughout October. With those two and Langford, Texas’ draft pick at No. 4 earlier that summer, the Rangers had three young, controllable players they could surround with their long list of established stars. It seemed unfair, yet it hasn’t come close to panning out.
Carter struggled through the first two months of 2024, was diagnosed with a stress reaction in his back, couldn’t fully ramp back up, got shut down for good in August, didn’t look right the following spring training and started the 2025 season in Triple-A. Carter appeared in just 45 games in 2024. Jung played in only one more, after a wrist fracture held him out for most of the first four months.
Then came a stretch of 101 plate appearances this June during which Jung notched just 15 hits, 5 walks and 27 strikeouts. Eight of those strikeouts came over his last four games, when his chase rate jumped to 45.9% — 12 percentage points above his career average. A Rangers source described him as “defeated” and “lost.”
On the second day of July, Jung was optioned to Triple-A Round Rock.
5. Rangers’ wRC+ since 2023: 94
There might not be a better representation of the Rangers’ drop-off than weighted runs created plus, which attempts to quantify total offensive value by gathering every relevant statistic, assigning each its proper weight and synthesizing it all into one convenient, park- and league-adjusted metric. The league average is 100, with every tick above or below representing a percentage point better or worse than the rest of the sport at that time.
During the 2023 regular season, the Rangers put together 117 wRC+. In other words, their offense was 17% above league average. Only one team — the Atlanta Braves, another currently underperforming club — was better. From the start of the 2024 season to the start of the 2025 All-Star break, the Rangers compiled a 94 wRC+, putting them 6% below the league average. Only eight teams were worse.
Five every-day players from that 2023 team are still on the Rangers — not counting Carter, who didn’t come up until September — and all of them have seen their OPS drop by more than 100 points. Seager? 1.013 OPS in 2023, .856 OPS since. García? .836 in 2023, .681 since. Heim? .755 in 2023, .605 since. Semien? .826 in 2023, .693 since. Jung? .781 in 2023, .676 since.
For Young, it’s not just the individual performances but how they coalesce.
“What we had was just a really balanced approach and a collective mindset in terms of the way we were attacking the opposing pitcher,” Young, in his fifth season as the head of baseball operations, said of the 2023 offense. “We had other guys who could grind out at-bats. We had guys who could hit for average. We had guys who slugged. And I still think we have that in our lineup. It’s just, for whatever reason, a number of them have had bad years to start the season. When you have a couple guys having down years, you can survive. When you have a majority of them having down years, it’s magnified. And then guys start pressing and putting pressure on themselves, and it makes it even harder.”
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