Why India is in Trump’s crosshairs when crude is not even sanctioned
Technicians stand next to an oil rig which is manufactured by Megha Engineering and Infrastructures Limited (MEIL) at an Oil and Natural Gas Corp (ONGC) plant, during a media tour of the plant in Dhamasna village in the western state of Gujarat, India, August 26, 2021.
Amit Dave | Reuters
U.S. President Donald Trump added further pressure to India on Wednesday by bumping up tariffs to 50% — but calls for India to immediately stop buying Russian oil could cause global crude prices to spike, industry sources told CNBC.
Trump has accused India of “fueling” Russia’s war machine and said the country is “directly or indirectly importing Russian Federation oil.” As a result, the U.S. imposed an additional 25% tariff on India, bringing total levies against the major U.S. trading partner to 50%.
India was once encouraged to buy Russian crude by the United States, and, unlike LNG, Russian crude isn’t sanctioned, but traded under a price cap to limit Moscow’s ability to profit from its sale. India is one of the biggest buyers of Russian oil, according to data from Kpler which shows total Russian crude exports amount to around 3.35 million barrels per day, of which India takes about 1.7 million and China 1.1 million.
In New Delhi, there must be “confusion,” Bob McNally, president of Rapidan Energy Group and former White House energy advisor to former President George W. Bush, told CNBC.
“Joe Biden went to India after the invasion of Ukraine and begged them to take Russian oil, the Indians hardly imported any Russian oil, and they begged India, ‘please take the oil,’ so that crude prices would remain low, and they did. Now we’re flipping around and saying, ‘why are you taking all this oil,'” McNally added.
Industry sources in the Indian petroleum sector told CNBC the country has abided by all international sanctions, and that India is doing the global economy a “favor” by buying Russian oil which in turn, stabilizes prices. The sources did not wish to be identified due to the sensitivity of the matter.
India has argued that it if it were to stop buying Russian oil, a plan must be put in place to stabilize energy markets, along with a contingency to fill the shortfall in supply if Russian barrels are taken off the market.
“In case India decides to cut Russian oil imports, the refineries likely would try to find alternative barrels from the Middle East, as they used to rely on those barrels until 2022. Likely other buyers would not step in,” Giovanni Staunovo, a commodity analyst at UBS told CNBC.
Russia is the third largest global crude producer, after the U.S. and Saudi Arabia. Moscow produces nearly 11 million barrels of oil per day, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. India’s Russian crude oil imports was 38% in both 2023 and 2024 and is currently 36% in 2025. Total Indian crude imports are increasing each year with rising demand, and as a result, imports of Russian crude in 2025 are their strongest annual pace yet.
If this supply was to be removed from the market, prices would skyrocket, according to the industry sources in the Indian petroleum sector. “If India were to stop buying Russian crude oil today, global crude prices could jump to over $200 per barrel for all global consumers,” an industry source told CNBC.
“Very near term, there is a risk of a pop in brent prices to $80 or above,” McNally told CNBC, signaling that the impact of additional tariffs and a potential cut to Russian oil imports would be significantly less catastrophic.
U-turn
“When they didn’t want India to buy something, they told us,” an industry source in the Indian petroleum sector said. This was indeed the case when India was once purchasing Iranian crude, which New Delhi no longer buys and is now sanctioned as Washington doubles down on its maximum pressure campaign against the Islamic Republic.
Hardeep Singh Puri, India’s petroleum minister, last month told CNBC’s Dan Murphy: “The price of oil would have gone up to 130 dollars a barrel. That was a situation in which we were advised, including by our friends in the United States, to please buy Russian oil, but within the price cap.”
Sara Vakhshouri, the founder and president of SVB Energy International, told CNBC the hefty duties announced by Trump are a “negotiation tactic,” aimed at “reclaiming lost U.S. oil market share in India and oil export declines since 2022, and securing equivalent export of other commodity to India.”
“India has always coordinated closely on US oil policy, including sanctions on Iranian oil. At the same time, for the Trump administration, energy security, affordability, and reliability are priorities” Vakhshouri added.
Russian crude has been placed under a price cap by the European Union since Moscow’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine. That price cap, set at $60 per barrel, allows Russia to export its crude, but at a price lower than the commodity generally trades. The aim is to limit Moscow’s revenue from oil exports, constricting the country’s ability to finance its war in Ukraine. The policy was implemented by G7 nations, hoping to maintain a stable supply of Russian oil on the market.
Sources within the Indian petroleum sector told CNBC “the price cap is a $1 to $2 difference” and insists New Delhi is not buying Russian crude at a major discount per barrel.
Even Russian LNG is not “completely under US secondary sanctions, Europe still buys gas from Russia via pipelines and LNG. Only some Russian LNG export terminals (e.g. Artic LNG 2) are under sanctions, but not all LNG exports,” UBS’ Staunovo, told CNBC.
In 2021, Russia was the largest supplier of petroleum to the European Union. After the bloc’s ban on seaborne imports of Russian crude, the share of imports from Moscow fell from 29% to 2% in the 2025. The EU still imports 19% of its LNG from Russia, according to data from the first quarter of 2025 from Eurostat.
Russia is a member of OPEC plus, established alongside Saudi Arabia in 2016. The group works to stabilize oil prices, adjusting output based on market fundamentals and trends in supply and demand. A group of eight producers just moved days ago to raise output in September, fully unwinding cuts and helping calm fears of Russian supply concerns.
“While OPEC+ countries hold spare capacity to tackle supply disruptions, a full drop in Russian crude production/exports would see that spare capacity completely dwindling. The Biden administration was aware of this,” UBS’ Staunovo said.
The Russian price cap aimed “to reduce the revenues of the Russian government by allowing Russian oil to remain in the markets and to prevent an oil price spike,” Staunovo added, noting that these decisions were made in the run up to a presidential election in the U.S.
Now, after winning that very election, Trump means business. Before slapping an additional 25% tariff on India on Wednesday, he told CNBC that India “hasn’t been a good trading partner.”
It means that U.S. ties with New Delhi, a key security and defense partner, could be at risk. India responded sharply to Trump’s criticism on Wednesday, saying it was “unjustified and unreasonable” and that it bought Russian oil with U.S. support.
Hyundai is keeping the savings going after extending its EV deals yet again. With leases starting as low as $179 a month, the Hyundai IONIQ 5 is hard to pass up right now.
Hyundai extends IONIQ 5, IONIQ 9 lease deals
After a “breakout” month for IONIQ 5 sales in August, Hyundai looks to keep the momentum rolling. At least for another month.
The Hyundai IONIQ 5 remains a top-selling EV in the US, and might be your best bet if you’re looking to go electric.
Through its Hyundai Getaway sales event, the 2025 IONIQ 5 was listed for lease for as low as $179 per month in August. Although the deals were set to end on September 2, Hyundai has extended them until the end of the month.
The 2025 IONIQ 5, now with more range, an NACS port, and a stylish new design, can still be leased for just $179 per month.
That’s for the Standard Range SE trim with a driving range of 245 miles. The extended range IONIQ 5 SE, with up to 318 miles of range, is available from $199 per month.
You can even snag the souped-up XRT trim for under $300 a month right now. All the offers are for a 24-month lease with $3,999 due at signing.
The deals include the $7,500 EV Lease Bonus, which is also set to expire at the end of September. With the bonus, the net cap cost drops to just $24,380 (SE Standard Range RWD model).
| 2025 Hyundai IONIQ 5 Trim | EV Powertrain | Driving Range (miles) | Starting Price* | Monthly lease price September 2025 |
| IONIQ 5 SE RWD Standard Range | 168-horsepower rear motor | 245 | $42,500 | $179 |
| IONIQ 5 SE RWD | 225-horsepower rear motor | 318 | $46,550 | $199 |
| IONIQ 5 SEL RWD | 225-horsepower rear motor | 318 | $49,500 | $209 |
| IONIQ 5 Limited RWD | 225-horsepower rear motor | 318 | $54,200 | $309 |
| IONIQ 5 SE Dual Motor AWD | 320-horsepower dual motor | 290 | $50,050 | $249 |
| IONIQ 5 SEL Dual Motor AWD | 320-horsepower dual motor | 290 | $53,000 | $259 |
| IONIQ 5 XRT Dual Motor AWD | 320 horsepower dual motor | 259 | $55,400 | $359 |
| IONIQ 5 Limited Dual Motor AWD | 320-horsepower dual motor | 269 | $58,100 | $299 |
Hyundai also extended the offers for its new three-row electric SUV, the IONIQ 9. Leases for the 2026 Hyundai IONIQ 9 start at $419 per month. If you choose to finance it, Hyundai is offering a $5,000 cash bonus on all trims.
Both the 2025 IONIQ 5 and 2026 IONIQ 9 are built at Hyundai’s EV plant in Georgia, enabling them to qualify for the $7,500 federal tax credit. With the credit set to expire at the end of September, the savings will likely disappear. It will be up to the automakers to step in with significant incentives to keep lease prices as low as they are.
Want to lock in the deals before they are gone? Check the links below to find local offers on the 2025 Hyundai IONIQ 5 and 2026 IONIQ 9 in your area.
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Costco members looking for a break on car prices can tap into a new Volvo deal this fall. Members can tap into limited-time manufacturer incentives through the Costco Auto Program, a year-round auto-buying service that secures prearranged low pricing. The latest: a Certified by Volvo Limited-Time Special launched this week.
Certified by Volvo vehicles are pre-owned Volvos that must pass a rigorous test with 170+ points, have less than 80,000 miles, and receive a detailed CARFAX Vehicle History Report. They come with roadside assistance, and EVs and plug-in hybrids also include an 8-year/100,000-mile battery warranty.
Until October 31, 2025, eligible Costco members can score an exclusive bonus when buying select Certified by Volvo vehicles from model years 2022 through 2025.5. Gold Star and Business Members get $1,000 off, and Executive Members get $1,250 off. The offer applies to hybrids, plug-in hybrids, and BEVs. What makes this deal sweet is that the Costco perk stacks with any other manufacturer incentives you qualify for.
Among the vehicles on the eligible list: The Volvo EX30, the EX90, the XC90*, the most requested premium midsize SUV among Costco members last year, and the Volvo C40 EV, which also topped requests in the premium electric compact SUV category.
To cash in on the offer, Costco members must register online for a certificate, then bring it to a Volvo dealership where they present it at the time of purchase. Full details are on the Certified by Volvo Limited-Time Special page.
*CarsDirect links are trusted affiliate links
The 30% federal solar tax credit is ending this year. If you’ve ever considered going solar, now’s the time to act. To make sure you find a trusted, reliable solar installer near you that offers competitive pricing, check out EnergySage, a free service that makes it easy for you to go solar. It has hundreds of pre-vetted solar installers competing for your business, ensuring you get high-quality solutions and save 20-30% compared to going it alone. Plus, it’s free to use, and you won’t get sales calls until you select an installer and share your phone number with them.
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The GV90 is set to arrive as the most luxurious Genesis vehicle to date. With its debut approaching, Genesis is showcasing the ultra-luxe SUV at its new flagship brand space.
Genesis opens new brand space based on the GV90
Although it’s not yet in production form, Genesis is still showcasing its stunning new full-size electric SUV. The Neolun concept, unveiled last March at the New York Auto Show, will soon arrive as the brand’s new flagship model.
When Genesis launches the GV90, expected in mid-2026, it will become the brand’s largest and most luxurious electric vehicle yet.
According to Genesis, the GV90 is “an ultra-luxe, state-of-the-art SUV” that will take the luxury brand to the next level. We’ve seen camouflaged prototypes out testing a few times, revealing advanced new features and luxury design elements, such as coach doors, adaptive air suspension, and more.
The GV90, or Neolun concept (for now, at least), is the centerpiece of the company’s new “Night in Motion” space, which Genesis opened on Thursday.
Based on the Neolun concept, the new exhibition is “the starting point of the Genesis brand’s spatial philosophy.” It’s designed to showcase the brand’s latest design and the beauty of Korean aesthetics.
Genesis is expected to launch the GV90 in mid-2026, but we could see an official debut before the end of the year.
We will learn prices, range, and other specs soon, but the GV90 is expected to debut on Hyundai’s new eM platform. Hyundai claimed the new platform will “provide 50% improvement in driving range” compared to current EVs. It will also offer advanced Level 3 autonomous driving features.
One thing is sure: The Genesis GV90 won’t be cheap. As its largest and most luxurious SUV, the GV90 is expected to start at around $100,000. Higher trim levels could reach upwards of $120,000 or more.
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