When a gunman riding a powerful motorbike pulled up outside a busy restaurant in north London and fired six shots in two seconds, the first bullet shattered the glass and hit a nine-year-old girl in the head.
Police say it came just millimetres from killing her and it is a “miracle” she survived, making a good recovery after spending more than three months in hospital, where her skull was rebuilt with titanium.
The girl, who was eating ice cream at the time of the shooting, still has the bullet lodged in her brain and is expected to have physical and cognitive difficulties for the rest of her life.
The intended targets of what prosecutors called an “assassination” attempt at Evin restaurant in Kingsland High Street, Dalston, on 29 May last year were a group of men sat eating and drinking at an outside table, who can be seen scrambling to the door in CCTV footage as the shots were fired.
Nasser Ali, 43, suffered a wound to his backbone. Kenan Aydogdu, 45, was shot in the leg – and Mustafa Kiziltan, 35, was hit in the thigh.
They were members of the Hackney Turks gang and the hit was organised by their fierce rivals, the Tottenham Turks, in a bitter tit-for-tat feud police believe is behind more than 20 murders over the past two decades.
The war escalated after Kemal Armagan, a leading figure in the Hackney Turks, swore revenge after he was beaten up at the Manor Club snooker hall in north London in the early hours of 24 January 2009.
More on London
Related Topics:
Izzet Eren and his cousin Kemal Eren, whose family ran the rival Tottenham Turks, were among those involved in the fight believed to have sparked the war, which has seen members of the two organised crime groups, their families and members of the public murdered and maimed on the streets of London and across Europe.
The gunman, who was riding a stolen Ducati Monster, got away and Riley refused to name the person who had hired him, telling jurors he feared for his and his family’s safety.
Police are offering a reward of up to £15,000 for information to help catch him and those involved in orchestrating the shooting, who are believed to be among the higher echelons of the Tottenham Turks.
Detective Inspector Ben Dalloway told Sky News it fits the pattern of “tit-for-tat violent incidents” between the gangs.
“You’ll have one member of one OCG [organised crime group] shot, stabbed, murdered, and then within months, sometimes even less, there’ll be retaliation,” he said.
Image: Gang feud linked to multiple murders
Beytullah Gunduz, who had left the restaurant just 17 minutes before the attack, was allegedly the subject of a £200,000 contract hit taken out in Turkey by Kemal Eren over his alleged role in the 2013 murder of his cousin, and Izzet Eren’s brother, Zafer Eren. Gunduz was acquitted of the murder.
Gunduz avoided the execution of the contract but was shot in the neck in August 2020 at close range by a motorcyclist before arriving at his solicitor’s office carrying his passport, a court heard.
One of the three men injured in the Dalston shooting, Kenan Aydogdu, who was described by prosecutors as a “high ranking” member of the Hackney Turks in a previous murder trial, had also been targeted before.
He was shot in the leg while in the same car as his close associate Ali Armagan in 2009 and suffered gunshot wounds to his legs when a gunman fired 10 shots as he was driving the following year.
Image: Ali Armagan was shot dead in 2012. Pic: Metropolitan Police/PA
Ali Armagan was shot dead in his car parked outside Turnpike Lane Tube station on 1 February 2012. Three men were later convicted of informing Kemal Eren – nicknamed “No Fingers” because of his missing digits – about his whereabouts at the time.
Kemal Eren is still wanted in the UK for the murder after he fled to Turkey, where he was himself shot and left paralysed in December 2012.
Police believe he is now the de facto leader of the Tottenham Turks after Izzet Eren, 41, was murdered in Moldova – where he fled after escaping from prison in Turkey – on 10 July last year.
Kemal Armagan, wearing a camouflage outfit and riding an electric bike, allegedly fired seven shots with a 9mm gun at his back and head, killing him instantly as he sat outside a café in Moldovan capital Chisinau in revenge for the murder of his brother.
When he was arrested carrying a false identity document in the ancient Turkish port city of Izmir on 10 March this year, Kemal Armagan was also wanted on suspicion of the murder of a shopkeeper in London and two other members of the Eren family in Turkey.
Image: Izzet Eren. Pic: Met Police
The rise of Turkish organised crime
Former head of drugs threat and intelligence for the National Crime Agency (NCA), Tony Saggers, says Turkish organised crime groups filled the demand for heroin from the 1970s as the UK grew into Europe’s largest market for the drug.
Legitimate trade routes set up by immigrants were “mirrored and matched” by the gangs, who brought heroin from Afghanistan through Iran and into Europe, he says.
Among those to get a foothold in the 1990s were the Hackney Turks, who are also known as the Bombacilars (Bombers), an ethnically Kurdish group run by Huseyin Baybasin, who was known as “The Emperor”.
He was dubbed Europe’s Pablo Escobar, said to be responsible for importing some 90% of all heroin into the UK, before he was jailed for life in the Netherlands in 2001.
When his younger brother Abdullah Baybasin – who is in a wheelchair after being shot in 1986 – took over, police likened watching him while he was under surveillance in the early 2000s to a scene in The Godfather. Those who met him kissed his hand and he spoke in quiet whispers so only those close could hear.
He was jailed for importing heroin and blackmail in what the judge described as a “mafia type” extortion racket in 2006 but the conviction was quashed and he was deported to Turkey in 2010 after a retrial collapsed.
Baybasin served a sentence for setting up and directing a criminal network and drug trafficking but is now free.
It started with a slap
By 2009, Kemal Armagan, and his brother Ali, were among those leading the Hackney Turks.
Along with the Tottenham Turks – also known as the Tottenham Boys – and a third north London gang with Turkish links, they were responsible for importing most of the UK’s heroin, according to police.
Izzet Eren, his cousin Kemal Eren and Mehmet Senpalit arrived at the Manor Club, a snooker hall near Manor House Tube station, at around 1am on 24 January 2009 before Kemal Armagan approached their group and a fight broke out, according to a police intelligence report.
“I’m old school, I’ll sort it out myself,” Kemal Armagan told police after the incident.
The fight was directly linked to 31 shootings, four arsons, five stabbings, and three murders that year as the gangs attacked each other in retaliatory violence.
The Hackney Turks’ E5 social club was sprayed with machinegun fire in March before Ahmet Paytak, 50, was shot and killed in a convenience shop then linked to Senpalit in Hornsey Road, Holloway, by helmet-wearing gunmen, in what prosecutors described as an “act of immediate revenge”.
The two men convicted over the shooting were said by the prosecution to have been hired by the Hackney Turks leadership “to do their dirty work”, while Kemal Armagan is still wanted for the murder.
Izzet Eren was shot at 12 times, but escaped uninjured, in September in an attempted hit, while fellow Tottenham Turk Oktay Erbasli was shot dead by a man on a motorbike on 2 October while driving a Range Rover rented by Kemal Eren.
Three days later, 21-year-old Cem Duzgan, who was not thought to be the intended target, was killed when a gunman opened fire with a submachine gun at the E5 social club, where Erdal Armagan was also inside.
Image: Kemal Eren. Pic: Met Police
Prosecutors described the murder as a “hit” likely ordered by Kemal Eren as revenge for the shooting of Erbasli.
Ali Armagan was murdered in February 2012, while Kemal Eren, who is still wanted in the UK over the murder, was shot in Elbistan, southeastern Turkey in December 2012 and left paralysed.
Zafer Eren, then the leader of the Tottenham Turks, was shot dead in Southgate on 18 April 2013, when his younger brother Izzet Eren took over the gang.
Prison escapes
Izzet Eren shot and killed one man and left another in a wheelchair in a revenge shooting in Bodrum, Turkey, in 2014.
He was deported to Turkey, where he was wanted for the murder, after serving a drugs sentence in the UK in 2015.
On 18 April that year, his cousin and Kemal Armagan’s brother, Beyzat Eren, was shot and killed in Turkey on the second anniversary of the murder of Zafer Eren.
Izzet Eren escaped from prison and smuggled himself back into the UK, where he was stopped by police on a stolen motorbike with another man on 13 October 2015, armed with a pistol and a Skorpion submachine gun.
Both guns were loaded with the safety catches off and police believed they were on their way to avenge the murder of Izzet’s brother, Zafer.
The pair admitted firearms offences but while being taken to Wood Green Crown Court in a prison van for sentencing, the Tottenham Turks made a bid to free Izzet.
Image: Police were tipped off to the escape attempt at Wood Green. Pic: PA
Image: Jermaine Baker was shot dead by police
The Metropolitan Police had received intelligence his gang were planning to help him escape and Jermaine Baker, one of the those recruited to help, was fatally shot by a police marksman.
Izzet Eren was jailed for 14 years and transferred to serve the rest of his sentence in Turkey on 26 August 2019 but escaped a month later on 26 September 2019.
His younger brother Huseyin Eren was murdered on a holiday to Turkey in 2020, sparking a new wave of violence.
In evidence given to the Jermaine Baker inquiry, police said the Tottenham Turks were behind three fatal shootings and four threat to life warnings in 2020 alone, which appeared to be linked to the murder of Huseyin.
There was also intelligence that Izzet Eren planned to return to the UK to seek revenge on multiple targets.
Image: Mehmet Koray Alpergin. Pic: PA
The Tottenham Turks were linked by a judge the murder of DJ Koray Alpergin, 43, who was stripped naked and tortured to death after being kidnapped with his girlfriend Gozde Dalbudak as they returned home from an Italian restaurant in Mayfair, central London, in October 2022.
One of those convicted over the plot was also found guilty of conspiracy to murder another man who was shot in Enfield, but survived, in another Tottenham Turks-ordered hit on 7 January 2023.
Leaders killed and arrested
Image: The suspect in the shooting of Izzet Eren. Pic: Moldovan police
Izzet Eren is understood to have travelled to Ukraine, from where he crossed the border to Moldova along with refugees fleeing the war with Russia.
An arrest warrant was issued from the UK to Moldova in 2022 to extradite Izzet Eren, who was suspected of being behind the importation of 156kg of heroin from Iran to Heathrow Airport and escaping lawful custody.
He was remanded in custody for around 18 months before being shot dead after being granted bail pending an appeal of his asylum claim.
London-based former lawyer, Toper Hassan, 58, who is married to Kemal Armagan’s sister, solicitor Reyhan Armagan, was allegedly recruited by his brother-in-law to organise logistics for Izzet Eren’s murder, a court heard during a court hearing, where he was fighting extradition to Moldova.
Turkish police confirmed to Sky News that Kemal Armagan was arrested on 10 March this year.
Dr Mahmut Cengiz, an adjunct faculty at the Department of Criminology, Law and Society of George Mason University, says targeting and killing the Tottenham Turks leader sends a “strong message” and further reprisals are likely.
“If you are … able to kill a group leader, it means that you are the most powerful organisation,” he said, adding that he expects a “strong response”.
He said the Tottenham Turks are “fighting for the criminal markets, so to be able to give a strong message” that they are still active they will have to attack the Hackney Bombers and target “the high-level people from this organisation”.
In a small town in Suffolk, a team of police officers walk into a Turkish barbershop.
It’s clean and brightly painted, the local football team’s shirt displayed on one wall. Two young men, awaiting customers, hair and beards immaculate, tell officers they commute to work here from London.
Step through the door at the back of the shop and things look very different.
In a dingy stairwell, a bed has been crammed on to a landing, and a sofa just big enough to sleep on is squeezed under the stairs. The floor and steps are covered with empty pizza boxes, food containers and drink bottles. There’s a pair of socks on the floor and a T-shirt on the bed. An unopened prescription sits on a table.
At least one person is clearly living here, but possibly not by choice.
“This could be linked to exploitation, this could be linked to some forms of modern slavery,” says John French, the modern slavery vulnerability advisor for Suffolk Constabulary.
“You have to ask yourself when you come across this sort of situation, why would someone want to live in these sorts of conditions?”
Image: John French speaks to Paul Kelso
Behind a second door, this one padlocked, is a second room. This one cleaner, but clearly not safe.
Phrases in Turkish and English have been scribbled on post-it notes stuck to the wall and officers find a driving licence with a local address.
“Judging by the state of the room, this could be an ‘Alpha’ living in here,” says Mr French.
“An ‘Alpha’ is someone who’s previously been exploited,” he explains. “They have been given a little bit of trust and act like a kind of supervisor. They are very important to us, because we want to get them away from others before they can influence them.”
A brand-new Audi SUV is parked at the back.
What’s going on here?
We are in Haverhill, a small town in Suffolk bypassed by the rail network and the prosperity enjoyed elsewhere in the county, its central street bearing the familiar markers of town-centre decline.
There’s a Costa, a Boots, a branch of Peacocks, and several pubs and cafes, but they are punctuated by “cash intensive” businesses, including barbers, vape stores and takeaways, and several vacant premises that stand out like missing teeth.
It’s the cash-intensive businesses that have brought the attention of police, these local raids part of the National Crime Agency’s (NCA’s) Operation Machinize, targeting money laundering, criminality and immigration offences hidden in plain sight on high streets across England.
There are 17 premises of interest in Haverhill alone, among more than 2,500 sites visited since the start of October, resulting in 924 arrests and more than £2.7m of contraband seized.
In a single block of five shops on the High Street, four are raided. A sweet shop yields a haul of smuggled cigarettes stashed in food delivery boxes.
In the Indian restaurant three doors down, a young Asian man is interviewed via an interpreter dialling in on an officer’s phone. They establish his student visa has been revoked, and he has had a claim for asylum rejected.
The aim is to disrupt criminality using any means possible, be they criminal or civil. Criminal or not, the living conditions at the barbers are likely to fall foul of planning and building regulations enforceable with penalties including fines and closure, so officials from the council and fire safety are on hand.
Trading Standards are here to handle counterfeit goods seizures, and immigration officers are on hand to check the status of those questioned, pursuing anyone without permission to be in the UK.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
3:20
UK could use Denmark’s immigration model
‘A full spectrum of criminality’
Sal Melki, the NCA’s deputy director of financial crime, explains why the agency is targeting apparently small operations.
“We’re finding everything from the laundering of millions of pounds into high-value goods like really expensive watches, through to the illicit trade of tobacco and vapes, and people that have been trafficked into the country working in modern slavery conditions. We’re seeing a full spectrum of criminality.
“We want to disrupt them with seizures, arrests, and prosecutions and make sure bad businesses are replaced with successful, thriving businesses that make us all feel safer and more prosperous.”
The last visit is to a small supermarket. Through the back door is another hidden bedroom, this one not much larger than a broom cupboard, with a makeshift bed made from a sheet of plywood and a duvet.
The man behind the counter, who says he’s from Brazil via Pakistan, claims not to live in the shop, but his luggage is in a storeroom. He’s handcuffed and questioned by immigration officers, and admits working illegally on a visitor visa.
“If he is proven to be working illegally he’ll be taken to a detention centre and administratively removed,” an immigration officer tells me. “That’s not the same as deportation, the media always gets that wrong. He’ll be given the chance to book his own ticket, and if not, he’ll be removed.”
Shortly afterwards, he’s put in a police car, his large red suitcase squeezed on to the front seat, and driven away.
The UK’s jobless rate has risen to a level not seen since late 2020, according to official figures released ahead of the budget.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported a figure of 5% covering the three months to September – up from 4.8% reported last month. It was a larger leap than economists had predicted, and the ONS said that men were worst affected by the shift.
It leaves the jobless rate at its highest level since December 2020-February 2021.
It had stood at 4.1% when Labour took office last year.
There was no better news for Chancellor Rachel Reeves in wider, experimental, HMRC data released by the ONS, which showed a 32,000 decline in payrolled employment during October.
That suggested a pause to a more recent trend of declines slowing since sharp falls first witnessed in the spring of this year.
More from Money
It was April when measures introduced in Ms Reeves’s first budget came into effect, with hikes in minimum pay and employer national insurance contributions hammering employment and investment sentiment in the private sector.
It also coincided with peak US trade war uncertainty as Donald Trump ramped up his tariffs.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
3:53
Where Reeves stands on tax rises
ONS director of economic statistics Liz McKeown said of the data: “Taken together these figures point to a weakening labour market.
“The number of people on payroll is falling, with revised tax data now showing falls in most of the last 12 months.
“Meanwhile the unemployment rate is up in the latest quarter to a post pandemic high. The number of job vacancies, however, remains broadly unchanged.
“Wage growth in the private sector slowed further, but we continue to see stronger public sector pay growth, reflecting some pay rises being awarded earlier than they were last year.”
In good news, the overall slowing in the pace of wage growth and weakening jobs market should help bolster the case for an interest rate cut by the Bank of England next month, assuming inflationary pressures continue to ease after last week’s rate hold.
The ONS figures were released as the clock ticks down to the chancellor’s second budget due on 26 November.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
13:06
The state of UK economy ahead of budget
Ms Reeves used an event in Downing Street last week to prepare the ground for a painful series of measures that are expected to be only partly offset by some announcements to keep Labour MPs onside, as she stares down a black hole in the public finances believed to be in the region of £30bn.
She has signalled a break from Labour’s manifesto tax pledge not to raise income tax, national insurance or VAT, on the grounds that the world has changed since that promise was made.
The chancellor’s gripes include Brexit and the effects of the US trade war.
Nevertheless, a spending priority would appear to be the lifting of the two-child benefit cap. That would take an estimated 350,000 children out of poverty, according to the Child Poverty Action Group.
Liberal Democrat Treasury spokesperson, Daisy Cooper, said of the employment data: “Surely the writing is on the wall now for the chancellor’s jobs tax.
“Everyone except Rachel Reeves seems to have woken up to the fact that forcing small businesses to pay more in tax for giving people jobs would damage job opportunities. Now the proof is staring her in the face.
“The government must reverse their damaging national insurance hike at the budget, and commit to saving the small businesses who employ millions in Britain and are at risk of collapse, if they’re to have any hope of reversing today’s concerning trend.”
The Conservatives accused Ms Reeves of presiding over a “high-tax, anti-business” agenda.
Secretary of State for Work and Pensions, Pat McFadden, said: “Over 329,000 more people have moved into work this year already, but today’s figures are exactly why we’re stepping up our plan to Get Britain Working.
“We’ve introduced the most ambitious employment reforms in a generation to modernise jobcentres, expand youth hubs and tackle ill-health through stronger partnerships with employers.
“And this week we’re going further by launching an independent investigation that will bolster our drive to ensure all young people are earning or learning.
“We’re backing businesses to grow and create jobs by cutting red tape, signing trade deals and securing hundreds of billions in investment, which helped make the UK the fastest growing economy in the G7 in the first half of this year.”
The UK’s Prevent counter-terrorism strategy “is no longer keeping the country safe” and needs a “radical overhaul”, an independent commission has found.
It said 90% of people referred to the scheme are turned away because they have no obvious ideology, even though they can go on to commit violent crimes.
In a wide-ranging report, the commission also recommended narrowing the definition of what constitutes terrorism to provide greater clarity.
And it called for decisions by government to proscribe organisations to be reviewed every five years to ensure proportionality. That recommendation comes as the Home Office faces a legal challenge over its decision to ban the activist group Palestine Action.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
1:34
Record referrals to Prevent scheme
‘Not fit for purpose’
Full details of the commission’s findings – based on a three-year review into the UK’s counter-terrorism measures – will be unveiled at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) think tank in London today.
“The evidence we had shows that the present approach to Prevent is not fit for purpose,” said Sir Declan Morgan, a former chief justice of Northern Ireland who chaired the commission.
Underlining the failure of the scheme, Axel Rudakubana – the Southport murderer who stabbed three girls to death and attacked 10 other people at a Taylor Swift-themed dance class in July last year – had been referred to Prevent three times.
But no evidence had been found of a fixed ideology, so his case was closed in 2021. The teenager committed the atrocity three years later.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
2:29
Southport victims want killer’s parents jailed
“The Independent Commission on Counter-Terrorism says that Britain’s counter-terrorism strategy is no longer keeping the country safe,” according to an executive summary of the report.
“It calls for a radical overhaul of Prevent to make it part of a broader initiative dealing with violence and no longer based on a flawed radicalisation model.”
A changed terror threat
The commission found there is no evidence that radicalisation is a predictor of whether a person will become a terrorist.
It said terrorist threats in the UK have morphed from plots by groups such as al Qaeda or Islamic State to “self-initiated” individuals with “complex, mixed, unclear or unstable ideologies”.
As a result, there has been a surge in referrals to the counter-terrorism scheme.
“This risks overwhelming Prevent and missing individuals being drawn into terrorism,” the report warned.
It said more than 58,000 people have been referred to Prevent since 2015, but more than 90% had no counter-terrorism concerns.
The other 10% showed no evidence of criminal activity.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
4:22
Youth extremism drives Prevent referrals
The commission also said the majority of referrals are children and young people, even though they only comprise 21% of the population.
“Prevent needs a major overhaul and integration into a wider system to which all those susceptible of being drawn into violence can be referred,” it said.
The commission described this as a “single access point” that would be the first port of call for concerns about the susceptibility of individuals to being drawn into violence.
Those at risk of involvement in terrorist violence would then be passed to Prevent, while others would be dealt with by different agencies.
On tightening the definition of terrorism, the commission recommended what it called a more focused statutory definition.
“Terrorism should be defined narrowly as acts intended to coerce, compel, or subvert government or public institutions, and the threshold for property damage should apply only to conduct causing serious risk to life, national security, or public safety, or involving arson, explosives, or firearms methods inherently capable of causing unpredictable harm,” it said.
Sir Declan said: “Our narrower definition provides greater clarity while ensuring the government can tackle terrorism effectively.”