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Wedbush's Dan Ives: The next two to three years will be a tech bull market

The artificial intelligence boom that Sam Altman helped ignite with ChatGPT in late 2022 is starting to make even him uneasy.

Startups with little more than a pitch deck are raising hundreds of millions. Valuations have become “insane.” Capital is chasing a “kernel of truth” with feverish speed.

The OpenAI CEO still believes the long-term societal upside of AI will outweigh the froth, and he’s ready to keep spending in pursuit of that goal.

“Are we in a phase where investors as a whole are overexcited about AI? My opinion is yes,” he said at a recent dinner with reporters. “Is AI the most important thing to happen in a very long time? My opinion is also yes.”

He repeated the word ‘bubble‘ three times in 15 seconds, then half-joked, “I’m sure someone’s gonna write some sensational headline about that. I wish you wouldn’t, but that’s fine.”

While Altman warned that valuations are now out of control, he’s ready to shell out on more infrastructure.

“You should expect OpenAI to spend trillions of dollars on datacenter construction in the not very distant future,” Altman said. “And you should expect a bunch of economists wringing their hands, saying, ‘This is so crazy, it’s so reckless,’ and we’ll just be like, ‘You know what? Let us do our thing.'”

OpenAI is already looking beyond Microsoft Azure’s cloud capacity, and is shopping around for more.

The company signed a deal with Google Cloud this spring and, according to Altman, OpenAI is “beyond the compute demand” of what any one hyperscaler can offer.

“You should expect us to take as much compute as we can,” he added. “Our bet is, our demand is going to keep growing, our training needs are going to keep going, and we will spend maybe more aggressively than any company who’s ever spent on anything ahead of progress, because we just have this very deep belief in what we’re seeing.”

It’s not just OpenAI. All the megacaps are trying to keep up.

In their most recent earnings, tech’s biggest names all raised capital expenditure guidance to keep pace with AI demand: Microsoft is now targeting $120 billion in full-year capital expenditures, Amazon is topping $100 billion, Alphabet raised its forecast to $85 billion, and Meta lifted the high end of its capex range to $72 billion.

Sam Altman says OpenAI pushed a 'much warmer' tone for GPT-5

Wedbush’s Dan Ives said Monday on CNBC’s “Closing Bell” that demand for AI infrastructure has grown 30% to 40% in the last months, calling the capex surge a validation moment for the sector.

Ives acknowledged “some froth” in parts of the market, but said the AI revolution with autonomous is only starting to play out and we are in the “second inning of a nine-inning game.”

“The actual impact over the medium and long term is actually being underestimated,” he said.

Citi’s Rob Rowe, speaking Monday on CNBC’s “Money Movers,” pushed back on comparisons between today’s AI boom and the dotcom bubble.

“Back then, you had a lot of over-leveraged situations. You didn’t have a lot of companies that had earnings,” Rowe said. “Here you’re talking about companies that have very solid earnings, very strong cash flow, and they’re funding a lot of this growth through that cash flow. So in many respects, it’s a little different than that.”

He added that the current wave of AI investment is being driven by structural shifts in the global economy, particularly the rapid growth of digital services, which now account for a large share of global exports. Also unlike the dotcom cycle of the late 90s, companies today are funding their infrastructure spending with strong cash flow rather than relying on debt.

Still, concerns about overheating have been mounting. 

Alibaba co-founder Joe Tsai pointed to worrying signs in the AI sector well before the hyperscalers raised their annual capex guidance during the latest earnings prints.

In March, he warned of a brewing AI bubble in the U.S.

Speaking at HSBC’s Global Investment Summit in Hong Kong, Tsai said he was astounded by the scale of datacenter spending under discussion. Tsai questioned whether hundreds of billions in spending is necessary, and flagged concern about companies starting to build datacenters “on spec,” without clear demand.

Altman, for his part, sees these cycles as part of the natural rhythm of technological progress.

The dotcom crash wiped out scores of companies, but still gave rise to the modern internet. He expects AI to follow a similar path: a few high-profile wipeouts, followed by a lasting transformation.

“I do think some investors are likely to get very burnt here, and that sucks. And I don’t want to minimize that,” he said. “But on the whole, it is my belief that… the value created by AI for society will be tremendous.”

WATCH: OpenAI staffer reportedly to sell $6 billion in stock to SoftBank and other investors

OpenAI staffer reportedly to sell $6 billion in stock to SoftBank and other investors

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Microplastics are everywhere. Here’s why that matters to big oil

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Microplastics are everywhere. Here's why that matters to big oil

Microplastics are increasingly being found in our bodies and food supply. 

They are defined as pieces of plastic smaller than 5 millimeters — about the size of a pencil eraser. But they can also be much smaller, like the size of a virus particle or a strand of DNA.

Petrochemicals, the building blocks of plastic, are produced from oil and gas. The business is a small but profitable area of the fossil fuel industry, and any push back on the use of plastics is seen as a threat to the oil and gas industry.

“Where the industry is most vulnerable is on the human exposure to microplastics,” said Richard Wiles, president of the Center for Climate Integrity. “They’re going to have to try to tell us that exposure to microplastics every day, from birth to death is just fine. It’s just great. You should just eat more of it. It’s no problem. And I just don’t think they can win that argument.”

Scientific research on microplastics has spiked over the past few years. The National Library of Medicine’s PubMed database reported that the level of published scientific research related to the search term “microplastics” has nearly doubled from 2021 to 2024.

One study, published in Nature Medicine in February, found that human brains from 2024 had an average of about 7 grams of plastic, which is about 50% more plastic than brains examined from 2016. Scientists involved in the study told CNBC that those samples came from the frontal cortex, which ongoing research suggests may contain the highest levels of microplastic.

“If people think there are watchdogs measuring and understanding these types of nanoplastics as they are coming in, our food, our water, our air, I have not seen any evidence of that happening on any meaningful scale,” said Andrew West, a researcher at Duke University and one of the co-authors of the study.

Microplastics also have been found by scientists in the muscle tissue of fish and even in the fibers of fruits and vegetables.

“Thanks to advances in monitoring technology, we can now detect incredibly tiny amounts of substances like microplastics,” said Kimberly Wise White, vice president of regulatory and scientific affairs at the American Chemistry Council, a trade association for the plastics industry. “But finding something at extremely low levels does not mean it’s harmful. Plastics deliver proven benefits in health care, food safety, transportation and technology — benefits we can’t afford to lose.”

Industry giants are investing heavily into chemical production as oil demand is declining from electrification, U.S. tariffs and slowing economic growth in China and India. The International Energy Agency said electric vehicle adoption, for example, has displaced more than 1 million barrels of oil consumption per day in 2024 and that is expected to increase to 5 million barrels by 2030.

In its 2024 outlook, BP said the declining use of oil in transportation was being offset by oil use for petrochemical production. While chemical uses include a variety of products like detergent and paints, polyethylene plastics are a major part of the chemicals business.

“Major oil and gas companies are playing a key role in the supply chain for plastics. And then there are a whole set of many other companies [on] the downstream side that are involved in creating the plastics,” said Yale University energy and environmental economics professor Kenneth Gillingham. “The surplus of natural gas is coming about because of fracking, and it’s led to low prices of natural gas.”

In the U.S., about 1.5% of natural gas is converted into chemicals that are used to make plastics and other consumer products, according to the University of Wisconsin-Madison.

Saudi Aramco, the biggest oil company in the world, has also increased its activity in the space. In 2020, it bought a 70% stake in petrochemicals company SABIC. While fourth-quarter 2024 results were lower than expected, SABIC made nearly $35 billion from petrochemicals last year. 

“We’re unquestionably, as a society, better off having plastics than no plastics, but we’re facing the consequences of having those plastics,” Gillingham said.

Watch the video to learn more about how microplastics have become a major issue for big oil.

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Nissan edges closer to making all-solid-state EV batteries real

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Nissan edges closer to making all-solid-state EV batteries real

Nissan just got one step closer to unlocking the “holy grail” of EV batteries for drivers. With help from LiCAP Technologies, Nissan is gearing up for its first vehicles powered by all-solid-state EV batteries.

Nissan taps LiCAP Tech for all-solid-state EV batteries

Often called the holy grail of EV batteries, solid-state batteries promise to cut costs, enable longer driving range and faster charging times, while also improving safety compared to current lithium-ion batteries.

Although many claims have been made in the lab, producing battery tech is not easy. At least, not on a mass scale.

Nissan believes it may have an advantage after securing a partnership with US-based LiCAP Technologies. The new alliance will focus on developing a dry electrode production process to build all-solid-state EV batteries at a mass scale.

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By using LiCAP’s proprietary Activated Dry Electrode technology, Nissan claims to have “significant advantages” in production efficiency and performance.

Compared to traditional solvent-process electrodes, using a dry-process method eliminates the need for drying and solvent recovery. Nissan said it will significantly reduce manufacturing costs and the environmental impact.

Nissan-delays-supplier-payments
Nissan N7 electric sedan (Source: Dongfeng Nissan)

The new partnership marks a significant step as Nissan prepares to launch next-generation models powered by all-solid-state EV batteries.

Nissan opened its first all-solid-state battery line at its Yokohama plant in Japan earlier this year. The company aims to launch its first EVs equipped with in-house all-solid-state batteries by fiscal year 2028. In the meantime, Nissan said it plans to double down on the new battery tech by accelerating R&D efforts.

Nissan-new-LEAF-EV
2026 Nissan LEAF (Source: Nissan

In June, Nissan’s director of product planning in Europe, Christop Ambland, confirmed with Auto Express that the first vehicles “will be ready for SSB (solid-state batteries) in 2028.”

Electrek’s Take

Nissan is not the only one chasing the promising new battery tech. Toyota, Mercedes-Benz, Volkswagen, Stellantis, and Honda are among the many carmakers and other companies racing to bring all-solid-state EV batteries to market.

Even BYD and CATL, which are dominating the global battery market, plan to launch vehicles powered by solid-state batteries around 2027.

Mercedes-Benz is already testing “the first car powered by a lithium-metal solid-state battery on the road” through a partnership with Factorial Energy, while others are quickly advancing.

Meanwhile, SAIC MG is preparing to launch the first EV with a semi-solid-state battery, the new MG4, which will be sold globally. The company will reveal prices in September, with deliveries set to begin before the end of 2025.

Which company will deliver the first production EV powered by all-solid-state EV batteries? Let us know your thoughts below.

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Elon Musk says Tesla might never bring its new Model YL to US, and the reason is so stupid

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Elon Musk says Tesla might never bring its new Model YL to US, and the reason is so stupid

Elon Musk says Tesla might never bring its new ‘Model YL’, a new six-seat variant of the Model Y launched in China this week, to the US, and the reason for this is ridiculous.

He thinks Tesla won’t need it because of, you guessed it: autonomy.

Musk has been framing autonomy as Tesla’s salvation. He is on record as saying that you shouldn’t invest in Tesla unless you believe it will lead in autonomous driving, despite being wrong about Tesla solving autonomy virtually by the end of every year for the last six years.

The CEO’s belief that Tesla has been consistently on the verge of solving autonomy for the last 6 years has led to many bad decisions.

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It has affected Tesla’s designs and features, like removing the gear and turn signal stalks, because he thought drivers wouldn’t need them by now. Now, Tesla is bringing back the turn signal stalk as an aftermarket upgrade.

Musk also canceled new Tesla models, such as the highly anticipated “$25,000 Tesla”, because he believed it wouldn’t be needed due to the advent of autonomy, despite an internal report that confirmed this was a bad idea.

Now, the CEO is adding another bad decision to the list.

Earlier this week, Tesla launched a new Model YL, a longer version of its best-selling electric SUV with six seats, in China.

As we pointed out in our article, this is a popular segment in China, and there’s already a lot of competition. Still, Tesla could easily bring this version to other markets, such as North America, where there’s less EV competition, and it could prove popular, as bigger vehicles are the norm in the US.

But CEO Elon Musk has now thrown cold water on the expansion of the Model YL in North America.

In response to Omar Qazi, a Tesla influencer known for defending Tesla and Musk’s every move, claiming that the reason Musk had yet to comment or share Tesla’s launch of Model YL is because it’s only available in China for now, Musk responded that Model YL is not planned for production in the US until the end of 2026 and it might never come:

“This variant of the Model Y doesn’t start production in the US until the end of next year. Might not ever, given the advent of self-driving in America.”

The CEO suggests that the new variant’s production in the US will lag behind China by more than a year, or may never materialize, because he believes the advent of autonomous driving in the US will render it obsolete.

Electrek’s Take

This is reason number 69,420 why Elon Musk shouldn’t be CEO of Tesla anymore.

As I already stated, I believe Model YL would be a bigger success for Tesla in North America than in China.

In China, Tesla was already expensive. Over 90% of Model 3 and Model Y buyers go for the base RWD versions of those vehicles due to the pricing.

Tesla’s decision to offer a more expensive AWD model won’t significantly increase its volumes in China.

Furthermore, EV competition is already intense in China, where Chinese EV companies don’t suffer from tariffs like they do in other markets. There are already several 6-seater electric SUV options that are cheaper than the new Model YL.

However, in North America, the Model YL could potentially undercut the few existing 6-seater and third-row electric SUV options and prove popular.

Yet, Musk delays the launch by more than a year and claims it may never happen due to autonomy.

It’s so stupid because even with autonomy, which I don’t believe will be as widespread as Musk claims next year, the Model YL would make sense as it would be a better Robotaxi with six seats.

For the sake of Tesla, Musk has to go. It’s unfortunate that shareholders don’t realize this or are too concerned about the short-term impact on the stock.

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