CFB Player Rank: Who should’ve made the top 10? What were the biggest surprises?
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ESPN’s preseason player rank list is here, but did our selection committee get things right?
Texas‘ Arch Manning came in at the No. 23 spot in the top 100 list, but based on what he has done over the past two seasons, was that spot fairly granted? And which other players didn’t get a fair spot and should have been ranked higher?
Our college football reporters break down the entire ranking, including what players our committee missed entirely.
(ESPN’s selection committee included Bill Connelly, David Hale, Chris Low, Adam Rittenberg and Paolo Uggetti.)
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Changes to top 10 | Changes to top 50
Who should’ve made the list?
Player who could rise | Biggest surprises

Who should’ve been in the top 10?
Andrea Adelson: I would have had Alabama WR Ryan Williams in my top 10 simply because he was one of the most dynamic, exciting players in college football last season as a true freshman. Though it is true his production tailed off in the second half of the season, his effectiveness when given the opportunity was evident as he averaged 18 yards per catch. I know we were reminded at every turn last season just how young he was, it is not hard to imagine the vast improvement we will see this season now that he has playing experience and an entire offseason in the weight room and playbook.
Heather Dinich: Alabama left tackle Kadyn Proctor might be the best offensive lineman in the country this season. At 6-foot-7, 366 pounds, he’ll be protecting Ty Simpson‘s blind side and should be a top pick in the 2026 NFL draft. He has started all 24 games he has played at Bama, and his athleticism is stunning for how massive his frame is. He’s great in pass protection and a brick wall in the running game. His experience and leadership up front will be integral to Bama’s offensive success.
Max Olson: Penn State running back Nicholas Singleton missing out on the top 10 surprised me a little bit, and it made me wonder if his excellence gets underrated a bit simply because he shares the workload with another excellent back in Kaytron Allen. Singleton ranks No. 1 among all returning FBS players in career all-purpose yards with 4,673 and was extremely dependable as a junior with 100-plus total yards in 11 of his 15 games.
Adam Rittenberg: Texas’ Colin Simmons ended last season as one of the nation’s top young playmakers on defense. He led Texas in sacks (9), finished second in tackles for loss (14) and had some of his best games in the CFP. The former five-star recruit told me he wants to be more of a complete player, especially against the run. We have Anthony Hill Jr. at No. 2, but I wouldn’t be surprised if two Texas defenders end up in the postseason top 10. The other defender worth watching is Notre Dame cornerback Leonard Moore, who stood out as a true freshman and became the team’s top cover man after Benjamin Morrison‘s injury.
Chris Low: How many coaches would take South Carolina’s LaNorris Sellers No. 1 right now if they had the top pick of any quarterback in the country? My educated guess is more than half of the coaches we decided to poll. Sellers improved greatly as the season wore on a year ago in his first season as a starter. He’ll be even more polished as a passer this season and more comfortable in the pocket, and good luck in trying to get him on the ground. His ability to scramble out of trouble is uncanny and what looks as if it’s going to be a sack often ends up being a 20-yard run or longer. He reached 20.8 mph on his 75-yard run against LSU last season. Having a quarterback who can beat teams in different ways is more important than ever in football.
Paolo Uggetti: I’m not saying John Mateer should have been in the top 10 now, but I could very much see a scenario in which Mateer comes out of the gates rolling and we’re suddenly talking about him as one of the best quarterbacks in the sport. After a stellar season at Washington State in 2024 (3,139 passing yards, 29 touchdowns), Mateer will now lead Oklahoma’s offense, which was in dire need of a playmaker. With better talent around him, I think Mateer could truly break out this season and, at the very least, he will be one of the most exciting players to watch in college football.
Who should’ve been in the top 50?
Dinich: Navy quarterback Blake Horvath should be much higher, given his historic passing accomplishments that added another dimension to a traditionally run-based offense. Oh, and he can run, too. Horvath finished last season with 1,246 rushing yards and 17 touchdowns on 175 carries for 7.1 yards per carry — good for third nationally. He also threw for 1,353 yards with 13 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. He became the third quarterback in school history to rush and pass for more than 1,200 yards in the same season, and his 2,599 yards of total offense was the second most in school history.
Olson: Both came close to finishing inside the top 50, but I suspect we’re probably a little too low on Texas Tech‘s edge rusher David Bailey at No. 58 and LSU linebacker Whit Weeks at No. 60. Bailey flew under the national radar a bit during his career at Stanford but is one of the best returning defenders in the country and a potential early-round draft pick. He’s going to be set up for success under new defensive coordinator Shiel Wood in Lubbock. Weeks is coming off a remarkably productive season with 125 tackles, including an SEC-best 89 in conference play. SEC coaches had enough respect for his game to put him ahead of Anthony Hill Jr. and first-rounder Jalon Walker as a first-team All-SEC selection.
Jake Trotter: Don’t be surprised if Ohio State‘s Max Klare wins the Mackey Award as college football’s most outstanding tight end. Klare, Purdue‘s leading pass catcher last season before transferring to Ohio State, generated plenty of buzz in Columbus this preseason. With Jeremiah Smith commanding all the attention outside, he should get plenty of favorable opportunities in the middle of the field and prove to be a reliable security blanket for Ohio State’s new quarterback.
Uggetti: I think you can make a pretty good case for Haynes King, who we have at No. 69. King’s passing production last season is not going to blow anyone out of the water (2,114 yards, 14 touchdowns), but while dealing with an injury to his shoulder, he was still able to be one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the country to go with 587 rushing yards and 11 rushing touchdowns. Coming off a strong 8-4 season, Georgia Tech is looking to surprise even more this season and if it does that, King probably will be leading the charge.
Adelson: Pitt running back Desmond Reid made our preseason All-America team as an all-purpose player and yet he is the only skill position player to make first or second team not ranked in the top 50. Hard to believe, considering Reid averaged 154.9 yards per game last season in all-purpose yards — more than any other returning player in the country. Now consider he was playing on a bum ankle and sat out two games as a result. Reid is healthy and rejuvenated headed into this season, which means big problems for opposing defenses.
Low: The last time we saw Old Dominion linebacker Jason Henderson healthy was toward the end of the 2023 season. He suffered a serious knee injury in the 2023 season finale against Georgia State and then played in the 2024 opener against South Carolina before redshirting. The 6-foot-1, 225-pound redshirt senior says he’s healthy and looking forward to recapturing the form that made him an All-American in both 2022 and 2023. Henderson is a tackling machine. He led the country in 2023 with an average of 14.2 tackles and tied for fourth with 19.5 tackles for loss. In 2022, he led the country with 186 total tackles and was the only FBS player to have multiple 20-plus tackle games. As long as he stays healthy, there’s not a more productive defender in college football.
Rittenberg: Love both the Klare and Reid picks, especially Klare, who drew amazing reviews from coaches I spoke to this offseason. Offensive linemen are often the toughest group for us to grade in compiling the rankings. Boise State’s Kage Casey, though, could very well end up being in the national awards conversation. He didn’t give up a sack in 440 opportunities last season and graded as Boise State’s top run blocker as the team made its first CFP appearance. Boise State coach Spencer Danielson says he thinks Casey can be an NFL first-round draft pick and told me this summer, “He will be one of the best offensive linemen we’ve ever had here.”
Which unranked player should’ve mad the list?
Adelson: I lean toward Duke quarterback Darian Mensah here for a few reasons. First, he had a good season at Tulane in 2024, throwing for 2,723 yards and 22 touchdowns to only six interceptions and was the top-rated quarterback in the transfer portal. That must mean he brings value, right? Duke coach Manny Diaz has raved about how Mensah has not only fit in with the team but also how he has picked up the playbook, his athleticism and his ability to throw the deep ball. With a better offensive line and deeper receiver group, Duke has a chance to be vastly improved on offense.
Low: Take your pick — either one of the Auburn receivers. Eric Singleton Jr. and Cam Coleman are both top-100 players and among the most talented pass catchers in the country. Singleton is a speedster who was one of the top transfer receivers in the portal. He had 104 catches and nine touchdowns over the past two seasons at Georgia Tech. The 6-3, 200-pound Coleman is a matchup nightmare for opposing defensive backs and showed only a glimpse of how good he can be last season as a true freshman with 37 catches for 598 yards and 8 touchdowns.
Rittenberg: We’re definitely short on offensive linemen overall, and several could have made the top 100. Notre Dame’s Aamil Wagner was one of few iron men for the Irish offensive line last fall and will help anchor a talented group. Army’s Brady Small, Iowa’s Gennings Dunker, Duke’s Brian Parker II and Wisconsin’s Riley Mahlman all have cases to be included.
Uggetti: The way that everyone at USC talks about junior safety Kamari Ramsey, I have a feeling we’re going to wish we had him on this list. Ramsey made the rare crosstown transfer in Los Angeles, going from UCLA to USC last offseason and proceeded to have a stellar season with the Trojans, totaling 43 solo tackles, 2 forced fumbles, 1 interception and 5 pass breakups. Under defensive coordinator D’Anton Lynn, Ramsey seems to be flourishing and I wouldn’t be shocked if he has an even bigger season for USC’s improving defense.
Olson: I’m also expecting a big-time season from USC wide receiver Ja’Kobi Lane in 2025. I realize his production last season doesn’t stand out compared to the other nine receivers who made the top 100, but the 6-4 playmaker did finish among the top five in FBS in touchdown catches (12) and showed off how dominant he can be in a bowl win over Texas A&M with seven catches for 127 yards and three scores. If he gets consistently good QB play, Lane should have a huge season. I’d also mention his former teammate, Zachariah Branch, who has all the ability to be a serious difference-maker as a receiver and returner for Georgia.
Who could jump in the midseason rankings?
Kyle Bonagura: I remain a big believer in Kalen DeBoer and his reunion with Ryan Grubb as the offensive coordinator was a significant addition. For those reasons, I’m expecting Alabama quarterback Ty Simpson to have a breakout season as the Crimson Tide’s starter. The track record DeBoer and Grubb have developing quarterbacks together is enough evidence to believe more success will come.
Olson: Ryan Wingo didn’t get the same opportunities that fellow five-stars Jeremiah Smith and Ryan Williams had as true freshmen, but Texas coach Steve Sarkisian has insisted all along that his guy is right up there with them in terms of talent and potential. The 6-2, 214-pound wideout turned 34 touches into 572 yards and 2 touchdowns in his debut season and is poised to do so much more on Sarkisian’s offense as a go-to target for Arch Manning.
Dinich: Penn State defensive tackle Zane Durant. This is another Penn State player who put the NFL on hold to come back and he should increase his draft position this season. Durant has developed into a playmaker and has the speed and strength to get into opponents’ backfields and cause disruptions. He had his best season last fall, finishing with 42 tackles, 11 TFLs and 3 sacks. He’s explosive for a guy who’s almost 300 pounds and he draws the kind of attention that will help free up linebackers to make plays.
Rittenberg: Ohio State’s Klare and Carnell Tate both could make significant jumps, especially with opposing defenses so concerned with Jeremiah Smith. How many teams would take Tate as their unquestioned WR1? I also think TCU’s Josh Hoover is a bit undervalued and could end up being the Big 12’s top quarterback this season. He had exceptional numbers last season — a team-record 3,949 passing yards, 61 completions of 20 yards or more, and a passer rating of 151.1 — and draws strong reviews from opposing coaches.
Adelson: Haynes King. I am shocked King is as low as he is on the list, but I guess this just proves what I have said for the past few seasons: It feels as if those outside the ACC do not have a true appreciation for how good King is with the Yellow Jackets. He played with a significant shoulder injury for nearly half of last season and still completed 73% of his passes, improved his touchdown-to-interception ratio and had the highest QBR of his career. Oh, and he has rushed for over 1,200 yards combined the past two years. Georgia Tech has some big games in the first half of the season — including the opener at Colorado and home game against Clemson Week 3. If he has big performances, he should no doubt climb.
Low: Interior offensive linemen don’t ever get the love they deserve on these lists, but Texas A&M‘s Ar’maj Reed-Adams at No. 67 could easily wind up being one of the top five offensive linemen in the country. He anchors what should be an outstanding Texas A&M offensive line. From his right guard position a year ago, Reed-Adams proved to be a punishing run blocker and gave up only one sack. Now in his second season at Texas A&M after transferring from Kansas, Reed-Adams is poised to make a big jump.
What was the biggest surprise from the preseason list?
Trotter: Maybe it shouldn’t come as a surprise, but nine quarterbacks in the top 30 is striking. The 2024 end-of-season top 100 player ranking included only four quarterbacks (Cam Ward, Dillon Gabriel, Shedeur Sanders, Kurtis Rourke) all of whom now are in the pros. Based on these preseason rankings, this could be an historic year for college football quarterbacks — or, if many fail to deliver, prove disappointing.
Bonagura: Maybe Arch Manning wins the Heisman Trophy, but nothing we’ve seen from him in a game yet indicates he’s the 23rd-best player in college football. Having him ranked this high is very much a projection about what he can be, not what has been proven — and few players, if any, on this list get that same benefit of the doubt.
Olson: We were right to get five Big 12 quarterbacks in the top 100 between Sam Leavitt, Sawyer Robertson, Josh Hoover, Avery Johnson and Rocco Becht and there’s a decent debate to be had about how to rank them No. 1-5 in the conference. But I do think the Big 12 will have several more that play their way into top-100 consideration this fall. Texas Tech’s Behren Morton, Utah’s Devon Dampier and Cincinnati‘s Brendan Sorsby all have serious breakout potential, and we’ve already seen Colorado’s Kaidon Salter, Arizona’s Noah Fifita and Kansas’ Jalon Daniels perform at a high level in previous seasons. It’s a strong year for QB play across the conference featuring a ton of passers who’ll push Leavitt for All-Big 12 status.
Dinich: For all of the hype surrounding No. 2 Penn State this preseason, the Nittany Lions don’t have a single player ranked in the top 15. Ohio State, though, has the best player on offense (Jeremiah Smith) and the No. 3-ranked player on defense (Caleb Downs). Penn State’s toughest game is at Ohio State and will determine if the Nittany Lions can return to the top of the Big Ten standings. How many Penn State players will finish in the top 15 depends on if PSU can live up to the hype, but there’s no shortage of NFL talent on this roster.
Uggetti: It is not a surprise that Jeremiah Smith is the unquestioned top player in the sport, but I guess I still find it surprising how quickly we’ve reached this point for a player who has played only one season of college football. It says a lot about his talent, the lasting impression a player can leave before the season ended as well as just how much the growing playoff stage can be a perfect showcase for a player such as Smith, who saved his best performances for the first two rounds. Then again, I wouldn’t be surprised if there’s someone out there that could come out this season and do what Smith did last season. It will, however, take a lot to unseat him.
Low: What’s the old saying? You win games up front, particularly in the offensive line. Only four offensive linemen were among the top 60 players and only two in the top 20 — Utah offensive tackle Spencer Fano at No. 8 and Alabama offensive tackle Kadyn Proctor at No. 15. Those big dudes up front pave the way for all the skill players to put up flashy numbers.
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Sports
GT’s Key on open jobs: ‘See what colors I bleed’
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2 hours agoon
November 6, 2025By
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David HaleNov 6, 2025, 03:37 PM ET
Close- College football reporter.
- Joined ESPN in 2012.
- Graduate of the University of Delaware.
Georgia Tech‘s Brent Key has seen his name mentioned for several vacant coaching jobs, but Thursday he shot down any rumors he’d be departing his alma mater in emphatic fashion.
“Slice me open and see what colors I bleed,” Key said at a Georgia Tech news conference in response to a question about other coaching jobs.
Key is a 2000 graduate of Georgia Tech, where he was an All-ACC offensive lineman. He returned to the school in 2019 to serve on Geoff Collins’ staff. When Collins was fired midway through the 2022 season, Key was elevated to interim head coach, then landed the full time job after a strong finish to the year.
Key is 26-17 overall since taking over at Georgia Tech, though he’s won seven games over ranked ACC opponents and has led the Yellow Jackets to an 8-1 record so far this season.
Georgia Tech had been ranked as high as seventh in the AP poll but checked in at No. 17 in the first College Football Playoff rankings after a stunning Week 10 loss to NC State.
Key said his work at Georgia Tech is about building a long-term infrastructure that means the program where losses like last week’s don’t impact the narrative of a regular playoff contender.
“Other than when I’m with my family, every waking second of my life has gone toward building this program to get to the point that it is right now,” Key said, “So we can continue, three years from now, five years from now, 10 years from now, to continue to elevate this place. Not to be in there two or three weeks. Not when you lose one game for people to say the storybook’s over. Nah. It’s just beginning.”
Key served as an assistant under Nick Saban at Alabama from 2016 to 2018, and his name had been mentioned in connection to several SEC vacancies, including at Florida and Auburn.
Georgia Tech has an open date this week before finishing the regular season with a trip to Boston College and home dates with Pitt and rival Georgia.
Sports
Stammen to manage Padres after vetting hopefuls
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2 hours agoon
November 6, 2025By
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Alden GonzalezNov 6, 2025, 12:32 PM ET
Close- ESPN baseball reporter. Covered the L.A. Rams for ESPN from 2016 to 2018 and the L.A. Angels for MLB.com from 2012 to 2016.
When the San Diego Padres began their search for what would become their fifth full-time manager in eight years, Craig Stammen, then a member of their front office, was among those interviewing candidates, asking questions on video conferences, sources familiar with the process told ESPN.
In the end, Stammen got the job himself.
Stammen, a highly regarded former reliever who pitched as recently as three years ago, was announced as the Padres’ new manager on Thursday, shocking people throughout the industry who were unaware he was even considered a candidate.
Stammen, who signed a three-year deal, will succeed Mike Shildt, who announced shortly after the season that he would retire.
The Padres’ front office — led by chairman John Seidler, chief executive officer Erik Greupner and president of baseball operations A.J. Preller — initially made a list of roughly 50 potential candidates to replace Shildt, a source familiar with the process said.
Roughly 10 of them sat in on video conferences that constituted the initial interview phase, and Stammen, who holds the title of special assistant to the major league staff and baseball operations, was among a group of close to 20 Padres representatives asking questions of candidates.
The Padres have long held Stammen in high regard and saw him as a potential candidate, but at that time, a source said, Stammen himself was uncertain if he would take part. Later, after the initial phase, Stammen opted in and removed himself as an interviewer.
Texas Rangers special assistant Nick Hundley, Padres pitching coach Ruben Niebla and future Hall of Fame first baseman Albert Pujols were also considered finalists in the search, though others could have been involved too. In the end, though, it went to Stammen, who is now the only former pitcher to serve as a current manager in Major League Baseball.
“Craig has been a strong presence in our organization for nearly a decade,” Preller wrote in a statement. “He possesses deep organizational knowledge and brings natural leadership qualities to the manager’s chair. As both a player and in his post-playing career, Craig has displayed an ability to elevate those around him. His strength of character, competitive nature and talent for bringing people together make him the ideal choice to lead the Padres.”
Stammen spent 13 seasons in the majors, mostly as a relief pitcher. The past six, from 2017 to 2022, were spent with the Padres, where he was lauded for his leadership qualities and seen by many as a glue guy in their clubhouse. He made 333 appearances, which rank fifth in team history.
Stammen announced he would retire in August of 2023, in the wake of a spring training shoulder injury, and was subsequently hired to the front office for a role in which he alternated helping at the major league level and assisting in player development.
He will now serve as the sixth full-time manager under Preller, following Bud Black, Andy Green, Jayce Tingler, Bob Melvin and Shildt. The Padres are still seeking the first World Series championship in franchise history and have made the playoffs three of the past four years. Last month, after winning 90 games and finishing second in the National League West, they were eliminated by the Chicago Cubs in the decisive Game 3 of the wild-card round.
Niebla still has two years remaining on his contract and the expectation is that he will return at least as pitching coach. He and the Padres have discussed a more expansive role, in addition to working with the pitchers, sources told ESPN, but that has not been agreed upon yet.
The Padres are expected to seek starting pitching and at least one impact bat this offseason, but Stammen will inherit a core group of players who should make them instant contenders again, headlined by Manny Machado, Fernando Tatis Jr., Jackson Merrill, Joe Musgrove, Nick Pivetta and Mason Miller.
The Stammen news comes in the wake of several unconventional manager hires that have taken place this offseason. College coach Tony Vitello was hired by the San Francisco Giants; 33-year-old Blake Butera landed with the Washington Nationals; and another rookie manager (Kurt Suzuki) got only a one-year deal with the Los Angeles Angels.
The Colorado Rockies are the only remaining team without a permanent manager.
Sports
Early MLB offseason rumors and buzz: Which stars will get traded? Which teams will rule the winter?
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November 6, 2025By
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Multiple Contributors
Nov 5, 2025, 07:00 AM ET
The MLB hot stove season is here!
As players become free to sign with any team they choose (free agency officially begins Thursday at 5 p.m. ET), we asked our MLB reporters to open their notebooks with all of the intel they collected from execs, agents and other baseball insiders during the 2025 World Series.
What is the early word on top free agents Kyle Tucker and Kyle Schwarber? Will the Detroit Tigers consider moving Tarik Skubal? How will the Los Angeles Dodgers and Toronto Blue Jays approach the offseason after meeting in the World Series? Which other teams are generating the most buzz across the industry? And who could be traded this winter?
Here is what we’re hearing as the hot stove ignites.
What is the early word on top free agent hitters Kyle Tucker and Kyle Schwarber?
Jeff Passan: Tucker falls in that interesting bucket where he will rightly demand a contract in excess of $300 million, but the number of teams willing to pay that will limit his options. The Dodgers and Giants make sense, as do the Phillies. Schwarber, on the other hand, will have a bountiful market.
Because he’ll be 33 on Opening Day, Schwarber is looking at a maximum five-year deal. Even at a high average annual value, the lack of years keeps mid-market teams in the mix. Ultimately, though, the bidding is likely to come down to bigger-market teams, and he could wind up with a bigger per-year number than Tucker on account of that.
Jesse Rogers: The Cubs are likely going to let Tucker walk while the Phillies haven’t closed the door on a reunion with Schwarber. Chicago has more budget constraints than Philadelphia, meaning the Cubs probably don’t want to tie up $35-40 million on one player.
Somebody will be willing though, especially if Tucker can slide into a ready-made lineup — like the Dodgers’. There was some fun chatter about him joining his hometown Rays under new ownership, but a megadeal from Tampa isn’t likely. Industry insiders begin analysis of Tucker with the phrase, “when he’s healthy.” He’s as good as it gets at the plate when he is, but a couple of injuries over the past two seasons have thrown a wrench into his overall production.
Schwarber is one of those rare players — think Marcus Semien — who will make more money in his mid-30s than he did previously. He should sign for much more than $79 million, which is what he just made in his previous deal with Philadelphia. The Phillies need him more than he needs them, according to insiders. How do you replace 187 home runs over the past four years? You don’t. He could also balance out the Yankees’ lineup if Cody Bellinger walks. Can you imagine his home run totals with the short porch at Yankee Stadium?
Both players have the same agent — Casey Close of Excel — but they bring different skill sets to the table, meaning the crossover between interested teams may not materialize.
What do those in the industry think the Detroit Tigers will do with Tarik Skubal this winter?
Buster Olney: Other teams believe the Tigers will seriously consider moving him if they can glean what they want in a trade — and there is every reason to expect a significant bidding war for Skubal, who will be eligible for free agency after next season.
The Mariners are expected to be among the teams that go after Skubal, to bring him back to the city where he attended college. The Mets, of course, have an acute need for an ace to lead their rotation — a need borne out through their late-season collapse — and they have the sort of major-league-ready young talent that the Tigers will want, like Jonah Tong. The Red Sox are well-positioned to make a run at Skubal, if they want.
The only sure thing in this situation, it seems, is that Skubal will not sign a long-term deal with Detroit before he reaches free agency, and that will frame the Tigers’ decision-making.
Rogers: There are mixed feelings on Skubal. Even if he’s headed for free agency in a year, some believe the Tigers can still squeeze another playoff season out of him and then reassess under perhaps a new economic climate in baseball. Others believe Tigers president Scott Harris is too smart to let him walk for nothing more than draft pick compensation (under the current system), with the hope that whomever he might get in return helps the Tigers in 2026 and not just in the long term.
Some insiders see his situation as a test for owner Chris Ilitch. Will he open his wallet like his dad, Mike, used to or will he go the more conservative approach?
What should we expect from the Dodgers and Blue Jays this winter after reaching the World Series?
Jorge Castillo: The Blue Jays outperformed expectations all season as underdogs and nearly pulled off the upset in the World Series, but this isn’t some small-market outfit. Backed by Rogers Communications and an entire country, the Blue Jays spend money (see: Vladimir Guerrero’s $500 million contract) and have targeted the sport’s biggest free agents in recent years (see: Shohei Ohtani and Juan Soto).
Starting pitching and the bullpen figure to reside near the top of their list of priorities this winter, but the first matter to address is Bo Bichette‘s future. Bichette is a homegrown star coming off a timely bounce-back regular season before battling through a knee sprain to go 8-for-23 with a .923 OPS in the World Series. His defensive metrics plunged at shortstop this season, perhaps enough for teams to consider him for second or third base.
Toronto already has about $850 million in future commitments. Adding a nine-figure deal for Bichette would spike their projected 2026 payroll close to $200 million with holes to fill in their pitching staff. But the Blue Jays, after again dabbling in luxury tax territory in 2025, have the money.
Alden Gonzalez: The Dodgers have one massive need heading into the offseason — they need a closer. More broadly, they need trusted arms late in games, particularly right-handed ones. Brusdar Graterol (coming off shoulder surgery), Blake Treinen (37 and coming off a rough year), Edgardo Henriquez and Will Klein (hard throwers with command issues) are the incumbents there, and they all have questions. So look for the Dodgers to be really aggressive in that space, either through free agency or via trade, or both.
But what will attract the most attention in the early part of this offseason will be the Dodgers’ ties to Skubal and Tucker. They’ll be engaged on both of those players, simply because they can, but it will probably be on the periphery.
After a disappointing end to the season for both New York teams, how active do those in the industry expect the Yankees and Mets to be this winter?
Castillo: The consensus seems to be that the Mets will be more active after their disappointing season. The Mets need a front-line starting pitcher. Skubal rumors erupted as soon as the Tigers were eliminated from the postseason, but acquiring the Cy Young Award winner will require president of baseball operations David Stearns to venture beyond his comfort zone. Then there’s the case of first baseman Pete Alonso, a free agent for the second straight offseason. Alonso wants a lucrative long-term deal coming off a rebound campaign. The Mets probably aren’t going to give him one, which would leave first base to fill.
The Yankees have moves to make, too. Cody Bellinger, Trent Grisham, Devin Williams and Luke Weaver are all free agents. Re-signing Bellinger, who fit in so seamlessly in his one season in the Bronx, is a priority, but he’s going to have a few deep-pocketed suitors. The Yankees could also use some rotation depth with Carlos Rodón, Gerrit Cole, and Clarke Schmidt all out for at least the beginning of next season.
But between the two teams, the Mets — with owner Steve Cohen still hunting for a championship after five seasons in control — are more likely to execute big splashes this winter.
Olney: There is insight to be gleaned from the trade deadline activity of the New York teams, when they both were aggressive in trying to better position themselves for championship runs — the Yankees loading up on relievers and adding third baseman Ryan McMahon, and the Mets also working to bolster their bullpen.
The working goal for both organizations is plainly apparent: Anything short of a shot at a World Series title will be regarded as failure. So, yes, the Yankees will try to reconstruct a better, deeper bullpen; replace Bellinger, if he re-signs elsewhere, with an outfielder or two who can help the lineup around Aaron Judge and Ben Rice; and build more options at shortstop beyond Anthony Volpe, who is expected to miss the start of the 2026 season.
For the Mets, that could be targeting Skubal, or a free agent signing, and resolving the future of Alonso once and for all.
What other team are you hearing could dominate the headlines this winter?
Gonzalez: A lot of eyes this offseason will be on the Mariners, coming off their deepest postseason run in franchise history. Seattle came painstakingly close to reaching its first World Series but remains the only franchise that hasn’t.
Eugenio Suarez and Josh Naylor, the two midseason acquisitions brought in to bolster the lineup, are now free agents, which means the Mariners once again have a massive need for offense to support their dynamic pitching staff.
Mariners president of baseball operations Jerry Dipoto told local reporters recently that payroll is expected to be roughly where it stood at season’s end, at about $165 million. When accounting for the contracts that have since expired, that gives them somewhere in the neighborhood of $35 million to spend — all of which can go to bats. The Mariners are widely expected to be aggressive in free agency, but they also have the prospect capital to pull off massive trades. And if there’s anybody who can be counted on to be aggressive when the moment demands it, it’s Dipoto.
Rogers: The Phillies. As they continue to chase a ring, president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski is always willing to do more than just tinker with his roster. Obviously, Schwarber’s situation will help determine their path this offseason but fortifying the bullpen as well as the outfield should be high on their to-do list. And he won’t stop there. With Zack Wheeler on the mend and Ranger Suarez a free agent, the Phillies could need more in their rotation.
Dombrowski won’t overreact to another postseason loss — his team did win the NL East — but he also won’t leave things to chance. He’ll try to find as much redundancy to his roster as he can, like the Dodgers have been able to do. That takes money.
Who are the biggest names you are hearing could be traded this winter?
Olney: Because of the looming labor situation, some younger stars who are under team control in 2027 before reaching free agency could be shoved into the trade market by circumstances this winter.
The best example: Joe Ryan, who is eligible for free agency after the ’27 season. Typically, the Twins could wait until next summer’s trade deadline to consider taking offers for Ryan. However, with many executives believing that at least some of the ’27 season is in jeopardy because of the labor strife, placing an appropriate trade valuation on Ryan will be much, much more complicated next July; teams might not be willing to part with significant return if they believe the ’27 season will be truncated or lost. So if teams want to get proper return on players like Ryan, they could be better served to take offers this winter, rather than waiting until next summer.
Other players who could fit this timeline: MacKenzie Gore of the Nationals, the Guardians’ Steven Kwan, the Cardinals’ Lars Nootbaar and the Orioles’ Adley Rutschman. If those players aren’t going to be locked down with multiyear deals, the best time to get value in a deal for them could be this winter.
Passan: Everyone wants Skubal, the soon-to-be two-time American League Cy Young winner, but as of now, the industry expects Detroit to hold onto him, even with his free agency approaching after the 2026 season.
Another arm with questions as to whether he’ll go: Milwaukee right-hander Freddy Peralta, who at $8 million is cheap and will hit free agency next winter. Most of the bigger names that will draw interest are pitchers: Minnesota right-handers Joe Ryan and Pablo Lopez, Washington left-hander MacKenzie Gore and St. Louis right-hander Sonny Gray.
Boston could be active in moving one of its outfielders, either Jarren Duran or Wilyer Abreu. One player widely expected to be moved: St. Louis third baseman Nolan Arenado, who is willing to waive his no-trade clause.
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