Salesforce’s stock price has dropped 25% this year, the worst performance in large-cap tech and the second-steepest decline in the Dow, beating only UnitedHealth. Meanwhile, Oracle has jumped 34%, outperforming most of its peers and well outpacing the major indexes.
The two companies that were once about even by valuation are now separated by about $400 billion. Oracle is worth $630 billion, and Salesforce has dropped to $239 billion. Ellison now ranks second behind Elon Musk on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, with a $278 billion net worth. Benioff sits in 318th place at $10.4 billion.
Investors are eager to hear how Benioff plans to right the ship when Salesforce reports quarterly results after the close on Wednesday.
Sales growth has been mired in the single digits for four straight quarters as the company reckons with the challenges of saturation in its key market of customer relationship management software. That streak is expected to continue, with analysts estimating revenue growth of 8.7% to $10.1 billion, according to LSEG.
During the April period, about a quarter of Salesforce’s $9.3 billion in subscription and support revenue came from products related to customer service, its biggest category. The company charges for its Service Cloud offering based on the number of agents who use the software.
With the rapid rise of artificial intelligence, some analysts predict more inquiries will be handled through automation, posing a risk to Salesforce.
Benioff is well aware of the challenge. He said in June that AI is already handling about 30% to 50% of the company’s work. It’s a big reason why Salesforce reportedly slashed 1,000 jobs earlier this year.
When it comes to customers, Salesforce now sells Agentforce, an AI system for answering customer support requests. After becoming available in October, Agentforce was delivering $100 million in annualized revenue, Benioff told analysts on a conference call in May.
“It’s not significant enough to move the needle on this business, given the scale,” said Michael Turrin, a Wells Fargo analyst who has a hold recommendation on Salesforce shares.
The hope is that customers end up paying more for Agentforce than for Service Cloud, Turrin said.
The big difference for Oracle is that it’s one of the early beneficiaries of the AI boom. Known primarily for its database software that sits inside big companies and government agencies, Oracle has notched cloud infrastructure commitments from OpenAI and Musk’s xAI.
Agentforce could be Salesforce’s window into AI business, if it gains traction.
“I think there’s been a lot of frustration with Salesforce’s share performance, so I think we’re at a point where investors are trying to figure out if there’s an opportunity for a bit of a rebound here,” Turrin said.
Looking for double-digit growth
Investors also want to see improvement in current remaining performance obligations at constant currency, a measure of expected revenue over the next year. In May, operating chief Robin Washington said she was expecting that number to be 9% for the August quarter.
“The longer that metric stays above 10%, the more confident investors are that this business can sustain a 10% growth profile for at least the next year,” Turrin said.
Analysts expect revenue growth to pick up very slightly in the fiscal third quarter, with consensus estimates currently at 9%, according to LSEG.
Salesforce declined to comment.
Expansion could come from outside. In May, Salesforce agreed to buy data management company Informatica for $8 billion. That’s by far the largest deal for Salesforce since the $27.1 billion purchase of Slack in 2021. In the interim, Salesforce hadn’t spent more than $2.5 billion on M&A, which has been a major growth driver in years past.
In late 2022, activist investors started going after Salesforce, dissatisfied with Benioff’s high-cost acquisitions, the company’s underperforming stock and its expanding workforce. The activists began agitating for a more favorable mix of sales and profit, and Salesforce responded by expanding margins sooner than it had planned.
One of the main instigators, Starboard Value, is back for more. In the second quarter, the firm, which first bought Salesforce stock in 2022, boosted its holding by 47%, according to a filing. In October 2024, Starboard’s Jeff Smith complimented Salesforce’s profitability improvements but said he still believed “there’s a lot more to go.”
Vulcan Value Partners is a Salesforce shareholder that’s comfortable with the software company’s plans. After picking up a stake in 2020, Vulcan added 345,000 shares in the second quarter, increasing its total holdings to $300 million.
“The thing that we focus on is the value per share of the business,” said Stephen Simmons, a portfolio manager at the firm. “That is continuing to grow. There’s nothing we’re seeing that’s saying this company is going away anytime soon.”
Analysts expect earnings per share to increase to $2.78 for the latest quarter, up from $2.56 a year earlier, according to LSEG.
Vulcan sold its Oracle shares in 2020, missing out on a steep rally that followed. Simmons said he’d buy again if the stock becomes discounted.
“Funny how things go around and come around,” Simmons said. “Benioff starts Salesforce as a cloud-native enterprise company, and Larry’s over at Oracle trying to transition his on-prem customers to the cloud.”
Google CEO Sundar Pichai during the press conference after his meeting with Polish PM Donald Tusk at Google for Startups Campus In Warsaw in Warsaw, Poland on February 13, 2025. Images)
Jakub Porzycki | Nurphoto | Getty Images
A federal judge ruled Tuesday that Google can keep its Chrome browser but will be barred from exclusive contracts and must share search data.
Alphabet shares popped 6% in extended trading.
U.S. District Judge Amit Mehta ruled against the most severe consequences that were proposed by the U.S. Department of Justice, including selling off its Chrome browser, which provides data that helps its advertising business deliver targeted ads.
“Google will not be required to divest Chrome; nor will the court include a contingent divestiture of the Android operating system in the final judgment,” the decision states. “Plaintiffs overreached in seeking forced divesture of these key assets, which Google did not use to effect any illegal restraints.”
The company can make payments to preload products, but they cannot have exclusive contracts, the decision showed.
The DOJ asked Google to stop the practice of “compelled syndication,” which refers to the practice of making certain deals with companies to ensure its search engine remains the default choice in browsers and smartphones.
Google pays Applebillions of dollars per year to be the default search engine on iPhones. It’s lucrative for Apple and a valuable way for Google to get more search volume and users.
Apple shares rose 4% on Tuesday after hours.
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“Google will not be barred from making payments or offering other consideration to distribution partners for preloading or placement of Google Search, Chrome, or its GenAI products. Cutting off payments from Google almost certainly will impose substantial—in some cases, crippling—downstream harms to distribution partners, related markets, and consumers, which counsels against a broad payment ban.”
In a landmark case filed in 2020, the U.S. Department of Justice alleged that Google kept its share of the general search market by creating strong barriers to entry and a feedback loop that sustained its dominance.
The U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia ruled in August 2024 that Google violated Section 2 of the Sherman Act, which outlaws monopolies, saying the company has held an illegal monopoly in its core market of internet search.
Mehta oversaw the remedies trial in May, where the two parties proposed penalties that should be taken against Google as a result of the monopoly ruling. During that trial, the DOJ asked the judge to force Google to share the data it uses for generating search results, such as data about what users click on.
Google said it will appeal the ruling, which would delay any potential penalties.
Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, attends the annual Allen and Co. Sun Valley Media and Technology Conference at the Sun Valley Resort in Sun Valley, Idaho, on July 8, 2025.
David A. Grogan | CNBC
OpenAI continued its spending spree, announcing on Tuesday that it has acquired Statsig, a product development startup, for $1.1 billion.
Statsig helps OpenAI and other companies test features and use real-time data in their operations. As part of the acquisition, Statsig CEO Vijaye Raji is joining OpenAI as technology chief in the applications unit. He will report to Fidji Simo, the former Instacart CEO who was tapped to lead OpenAI’s applications business in May.
“Working with the incredible team at OpenAI to build AI-powered experiences at scale for people and businesses is a rare and meaningful opportunity,” Raji wrote in a post on LinkedIn. “Doing that with the help of tools we built at Statsig makes it even more special.”
Statsig will continue to operate independently and serve customers out of its Seattle office, OpenAI said. The acquisition is still subject to customary closing conditions, including regulatory approval.
“Vijaye has a remarkable record of building new consumer and B2B products and systems at scale,” Simo said in a statement.
OpenAI has been buying aggressively of late, putting some of the hefty cash pile it’s raised and the soaring value of its stock to use to fuel growth in new areas. Its biggest splash came in May, when OpenAI acquired Jony Ive’s AI devices startup IO for close to $6.5 billion in an all-equity deal that pushes the company firmly into hardware. Prior to that, OpenAI acquired analytics database company Rockset for an undisclosed sum in 2024.
Earlier this year, OpenAI had planned to buy AI-assisted coding tool Windsurf for $3 billion, but a deal never materialized, and Google ended up bringing on the startup’s co-founder as part of a $2.4 billion licensing deal.
“The journey with Statsig has been deeply gratifying, leading me to this moment and giving me conviction that we will continue helping teams ship better software every day,” Raji said in a statement.
The most recent funding round was led by Iconiq, Fidelity Management & Research Company and Lightspeed Venture Partners. Other investors including Altimeter, General Catalyst and Coatue also participated, Anthropic said.
“This financing demonstrates investors’ extraordinary confidence in our financial performance and the strength of their collaboration with us to continue fueling our unprecedented growth,” Anthropic finance chief Krishna Rao said in a statement.
Anthropic’s valuation has been on a steep climb since it announced its AI assistant Claude in March 2023. The Amazon-backed startup was founded by former OpenAI research executives, including its CEO Dario Amodei.
OpenAI and Anthropic are fierce competitors in the AI market. OpenAI, which rocketed into the mainstream following the release of its AI chatbot ChatGPT in 2022, is preparing to sell stock as part of a secondary sale that would value the company at roughly $500 billion, as CNBC reported in August.
As of August, Anthropic said its run-rate revenue has reached over $5 billion, up from roughly $1 billion at the beginning of the year. Anthropic serves more than 300,000 business customers, the company said.
Anthropic said it will use its fresh capital to deepen safety research, meet growing enterprise demand and support international expansion.