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Angela Rayner has given a lengthy explanation as to why she underpaid stamp duty on the purchase of her second home, but there are still unanswered questions.

The deputy prime minister has claimed she made an honest mistake as lawyers initially advised her she only owed the basic rate of stamp duty when she bought a flat in Hove in May.

Politics Live: Rayner says ‘tax evader’ graffiti daubed at her home ‘beyond the pale’

Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner. Pic: PA
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Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner. Pic: PA

She said it was a “complex” situation, as she had sold her stake in her family home in Ashton-under-Lyne, Greater Manchester, to a trust that was set up to provide for her teenage son, who has lifelong disabilities.

This meant she did not technically own the home in Greater Manchester when she purchased the one in East Sussex – but subsequent legal advice said the second home surcharge still applied.

What did Rayner tell her lawyers?

While Ms Rayner has made all these details public, “the crucial question is what she told her conveyancer when she purchased the Hove flat and what advice they gave her based on what she told them”, Patrick Cannon, a tax barrister at Cannon Chambers told Sky News.

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“They may have given her wrong advice but she may not have given the full story.”

As set out on the government’s website, if a trust is set up for a child under 18 – as Ms Rayner’s son is – the parent is treated as still owning that dwelling for the purposes of stamp duty. There is an exception if a trustee buys a house for a child under the Mental Capacity Act, but that does not appear to be the case here given the higher tax is owed.

Mr Cannon said that to a tax adviser this is a “readily understandable area of the law” but there are “many solicitors and property lawyers who would not have picked up on this provision”.

Often conveyancers will tell their client not to rely on their tax advice but that might depend upon what they know in the first place – and in this case the trust.

As Thomas Wallace, director of the WTT tax group, said: “For correct advice to be given around any potential liability the full facts must be disclosed to the adviser, and this is particularly important where a person’s affairs are complex such as having an involvement with trusts.”

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Angela Rayner’s tax affairs statement in full

Who did Ms Rayner get her advice from?

The cabinet minister has not named who she initially consulted and they can’t speak out because of client confidentiality.

Sky News understands she initially consulted three people before buying the Hove flat – one individual experienced in conveyancing and two experts on the law around trusts.

However, it is not clear if they were experts in tax law.

In a thread on X, tax expert Dan Neidle wrote that if Ms Rayner did not consult the right lawyers then it could be considered carelessness on her part.

But he said it could also be the fault of the lawyers for advising outside their expertise, if they are not a stamp duty specialist.

When will the ethics investigation conclude?

Whether Ms Rayner’s story stands up to scrutiny will ultimately be decided by the prime minister’s independent ethics adviser Sir Laurie Magnus, who is investigating whether a breach of standards took place.

It is not clear how long the probe will last, or what will happen if she has found to have broken the rules.

Sir Keir Starmer has been quick to fire ministers caught up in wrongdoing but it would be a huge blow to his operation to lose someone so senior. Ms Rayner, who is also the housing secretary, is incredibly popular with the Labour membership and was elected by them to be deputy leader of the party.

This means that while she could be sacked as housing secretary and deputy prime minister she would remain deputy party leader unless she chose to step down – triggering a deputy leadership election.

That would be very damaging to Labour after only one year in office and would also question Sir Keir’s judgement – as he has spent days defending Ms Rayner on the airwaves.

What did the PM know and when?

There are questions over what Downing Street knew and when as up until Monday they were insisting the deputy PM had done nothing wrong. Sir Keir even went on the radio to call Ms Rayner a “great British success story” and condemn “briefings against her” as a “mistake”.

In her statement on Wednesday, Ms Rayner did not say when she realised she had paid the incorrect amount of tax, only that she sought expert counsel opinion following media scrutiny and then applied to have a court order lifted which prevented her from speaking about the trust.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves said on Thursday morning that the “definitive advice” on Ms Rayner’s stamp duty arrangements came in on Wednesday morning, but earlier Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson said follow-up advice “came back on Monday”.

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Reeves: I have full confidence in Angela Rayner

Will Rayner be fined?

Even if Ms Rayner survives the ethics investigation, she may not be fully out of the woods. As independent stamp duty expert Sean Randall points out, she could still face a penalty from HMRC. This could be as much as 100% of the tax she owes – reportedly £40,000 – though this is usually negotiated down to 30-40%, according to Mr Randall.

A penalty from HMRC means carelessness rather than dishonesty, but Ms Rayner might find this hard to survive, given she lambasted her Tory opponents for similar mistakes (such as the case with former Tory chairman Nadhim Zahawi).

Mr Randall said that relying on tax advice “is not enough to avoid a penalty” and the deputy prime minister will have to show that she took reasonable steps to get the correct advice and provided all the relevant information to her lawyers.

Do our tax laws need to be changed?

If Ms Rayner is cleared of any rule breaches, it could spark a debate about our tax laws. If they are so complicated that the second most senior person in government can’t understand them, and lawyers get them wrong, does stamp duty need to be changed?

For Mr Cannon and Mr Randall, it was a resounding “yes”. But Mr Randall added: “That question has been around for as long as I have. The stamp duty code is crazy complicated.”

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Trump announces $2,000 tariff ‘dividend,’ here is how it will affect crypto

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Trump announces ,000 tariff 'dividend,' here is how it will affect crypto

United States President Donald Trump announced on Sunday that most Americans will receive a $2,000 “dividend” from the tariff revenue and criticized the opposition to his sweeping tariff policies.

“A dividend of at least $2000 a person, not including high-income people, will be paid to everyone,” Trump said on Truth Social.

The US Supreme Court is currently hearing arguments about the legality of the tariffs, with the overwhelming majority of prediction market traders betting against a court approval.

US Government, United States, Donald Trump
Source: Donald Trump

Kalshi traders place the odds of the Supreme Court approving the policy at just 23%, while Polymarket traders have the odds at 21%. Trump asked:

“The president of the United States is allowed, and fully approved by Congress, to stop all trade with a foreign country, which is far more onerous than a tariff, and license a foreign country, but is not allowed to put a simple tariff on a foreign country, even for purposes of national security?”

Investors and market analysts celebrated the announcement as economic stimulus that will boost cryptocurrency and other asset prices as portions of the stimulus flow into the markets, but also warned of the long-term negative effects of the proposed dividend.

Related: Bitcoin faces ‘insane’ sell wall above $105K as stocks eye tariff ruling

The proposed economic stimulus will boost asset markets, but at a steep cost

Investment analysts at The Kobeissi Letter forecast that about 85% of US adults should receive the $2,000 stimulus checks, based on distribution data from the economic stimulus checks during the COVID era.

While a portion of the stimulus will flow into markets and raise asset prices, Kobeissi Letter warned that the ultimate long-term effect of any economic stimulus will be fiat currency inflation and the loss of purchasing power.

US Government, United States, Donald Trump
The proposed economic stimulus checks will add to the national debt and result in higher inflation over time. Source: The Kobeissi Letter

“If you don’t put the $2,000 in assets, it is going to be inflated away or just service some interest on debt and sent to banks,” Bitcoin analyst, author, and advocate Simon Dixon said.

“Stocks and Bitcoin only know to go higher in response to stimulus,” investor and market analyst Anthony Pompliano said in response to Trump’s announcement.

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