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The Home Office will appeal against the High Court’s decision to temporarily block the deportation of an Eritrean man to France under the government’s “one in, one out” scheme, Shabana Mahmood has confirmed.

Speaking for the first time since the court’s decision on Tuesday, the new home secretary said: “Last minute attempts to frustrate a removal are intolerable, and I will fight them at every step.”

Ms Mahmood added that she will “fight to end vexatious, last-minute claims” and “robustly defend the British public’s priorities”.

Yesterday evening, the High Court granted an Eritrean man, who cannot be named for legal reasons, a “short period of interim relief” ahead of his deportation to France scheduled for a 9am flight this morning.

Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood has pledged to fight the temporary block on the man's deportation. Pic: PA
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Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood has pledged to fight the temporary block on the man’s deportation. Pic: PA

Lawyers acting on the man’s behalf said the case “concerns a trafficking claim” and her client, who alleges he has a gunshot wound in his leg, claims he is vulnerable and faces a risk of “destitution” in France.

The Home Office defended the case, saying it was reasonable to expect the man to claim asylum in France.

Mr Justice Sheldon ruled that while there did not appear to be a “real risk” the man would be destitute in France, the trafficking claim required further interrogation.

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The man would have been the first person to be returned to France under the terms of the UK-France deal, which was signed in July and led to the first people being detained after crossing the Channel in August.

In a statement, Ms Mahmood added: “Migrants suddenly deciding they are a modern slave on the eve of their removal, having never made such a claim before, make a mockery of our laws and this country’s generosity.

“I will do whatever it takes to secure our border.”

She has also announced she will review the Modern Slavery Act to see where it is currently open to misuse.

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The agreement, which was signed in July, saw migrants first detained on 6 August, and they will now be flown back to the continent.

The Home Office has confirmed the temporary block on the man’s deportation will be challenged in the courts, and that lawyers acting for the man have 14 days to provide proof for their claim that he has been trafficked to the UK.

It also insisted that the first deportation flight under the UK-France migrants returns deal will still take place this week.

Conservative Party leader Kemi Badenoch was quick to criticise the government over the ruling on Tuesday, saying: “We told you so”.

Responding to Ms Mahmood’s comments, the Tories’ Chris Philp said the home secretary “is reacting in panic to the collapse of her gimmick returns deal”.

The shadow home secretary added: “No one is fooled by tough talk from Labour. They will never do the hard work needed to tackle the lawfare that blocks removals.

Shadow Home Secretary Chris Philp said there will be more "border chaos" because the government is "weak".
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Shadow Home Secretary Chris Philp said there will be more “border chaos” because the government is “weak”.

“The truth is, Labour is run by human rights lawyers – Keir Starmer and Lord Hermer – who have always sided with open borders activists over security and control.”

Mr Philp added that the “weak government will continue to preside over borders chaos”.

Reform UK has repeatedly criticised the policy and has also hit back at the home secretary following her statement.

Zia Yusuf, the party’s head of policy, said: “These are empty words from a home secretary who is out of her depth.

“Without a total legal reset, including leaving the ECHR [European Convention on Human Rights] and disapplying international treaties like the 1951 Refugee Convention, activist lawyers will continue abusing the legal system to prevent deportations.”

Reforn UK's Zia Yusuf has warned "activists lawyers will continue abusing the legal system" unless the government leaves the ECHR. Pic: PA
Image:
Reforn UK’s Zia Yusuf has warned “activists lawyers will continue abusing the legal system” unless the government leaves the ECHR. Pic: PA

What is the scheme?

The pilot scheme was announced to much fanfare in July, after French President Emmanuel Macron made a state visit to the UK.

Sir Keir Starmer had hoped the agreement – which would see the UK send asylum seekers who have crossed the Channel back to France in exchange for legal migrants with links to Britain – would prove more resilient to court challenges than the Tories’ Rwanda plan.

He wants the number of migrants being returned to France to gradually increase over the course of the scheme, to deter them from coming in small boats.

The pilot came into force last month and is in place until June 2026.

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Polymarket puts December rate-cut odds at 87% as crypto stocks climb

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Polymarket puts December rate-cut odds at 87% as crypto stocks climb

Several crypto-linked stocks climbed on Friday as prediction-market odds of a December rate cut surged to 87% on Polymarket, the highest level this month.

Three US-listed Bitcoin miners led the rally, with Cleanspark, Riot Platforms and Cipher Mining all rising in the session and showing double-digit gains over the past five days.

Federal Reserve, United States, Predictions
Probability of a US rate cut in December. Source: Polymarket

Yahoo Finance data showed Circle, the issuer of USDC, jumped nearly 10% in early trading, while Michael Saylor’s Strategy and Coinbase notched more modest increases at the time of writing.

Bitcoin (BTC) was also up around 7% on the week, after dropping to around $82,000 on Nov. 21, according to CoinGecko data.

Federal Reserve, United States, Predictions
Top 10 Bitcoin mining stocks. Bitcoin Mining Stock

Much of the volatility in prediction-market pricing this month has been driven by comments from Federal Reserve officials. 

On Oct. 29, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said a December cut was “not a foregone conclusion,” a remark investors took as hawkish — which means the Fed could delay rate cuts and keep conditions tight. Polymarket odds slipped from 89% the day before to as low as 22% by Nov. 20.

Sentiment shifted on Nov. 17 after Fed Governor Christopher Waller said the central bank should consider cutting rates next month, arguing that “the labor market is still weak and near stall speed” and that inflation is now “relatively close” to the Fed’s 2% target.

Related: Kalshi, Polymarket traders bet Supreme Court will curb Trump’s tariff powers

Prediction markets expand as demand surges

Prediction markets, such as Kalshi and Polymarket, which enable bettors to wager on the outcomes of real-world events, have expanded their reach and influence this year.

On Nov. 13, Polymarket inked a multi-year agreement with TKO Group Holdings to serve as the official prediction-market partner for the Ultimate Fighting Championships and Zuffa Boxing. The partnership came shortly after it partnered with North American fantasy sports operator PrizePicks.

The same month, Kalshi raised $1 billion from Sequoia Capital and CapitalG, pushing its valuation to $11 billion, according to a TechCrunch report citing a person familiar with the deal. The new round followed a $300 million raise in October.

On Nov. 19, rumors emerged that Coinbase is developing its own prediction-market platform after tech researcher Jane Manchun Wong posted screenshots of an unreleased site. Wong’s images indicated the product would be offered through Coinbase Financial Markets and backed by Kalshi.

Federal Reserve, United States, Predictions
Source: Jane Manchun Wong

On Wednesday, Robinhood said prediction markets have quickly become one of its fastest-growing revenue drivers, with more than one million users trading nine billion contracts since the product launched in March through a partnership with Kalshi.

Magazine: When privacy and AML laws conflict: Crypto projects’ impossible choice