Rivian has just posted its latest letter to shareholders, detailing its financial numbers and accomplishments for Q3 2025. In addition to some steady financials, we’ve gained a clearer view of the American automaker’s 2025 outlook, as well as its timeline for the R2 next year. Oh, and apparently, it also created a new AI company.
As always, we will dig into the Q3 2025 report below, but we want to give a quick recap of what Rivian has been up to over the last three months. To begin, most of our coverage was speculative. We explored the possibility of the American automaker offering a “Grimace-like” purple exterior to customers in the future, and kept tabs on several patent filings the Rivian team had been busy submitting.
On the software side, Rivian rolled out several OTA updates in Q3 2025, including its annual Halloween theme, which I personally tested. Last month, we also confirmed that Rivian was laying off over 4% of its staff to lean down and optimize for the launch of its second all-electric model, the R2.
We have plenty of exciting information on that in Rivian’s Q3 2025 report, available below. Before then, however, Rivian shared a tidbit of its Q3 numbers, relaying that it had delivered 13,201 EVs, beating initial expectations.
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The automaker also built 10,270 vehicles at its Normal, Illinois, production facility during that time. Normal has grown significantly to make way for the R2 as mentioned above, which was again outlined in Rivian’s Q3 2025 letter to shareholders, as shown below.
Rivian’s Q3 2025 report by the numbers
Rivian’s full financial report and letter to shareholders for Q3 2025 is available here, but we’ve noted some highlights below. As we outlined above, deliveries continued to rise from Q1 to Q3 2025 as Rivian reported the following tallies, respectively:
8,640 in Q1
10,661 in Q2
13,201 in Q3
Production is also up compared to only 5,979 builds in Q2 2025. These numbers make sense considering Rivian said it expected Q3 to be its peak quarter for the year. Here’s Rivian’s breakdown of notable revenues and gross profits:
Revenues
$1.56 billion consolidated revenues (+78% YoY)
$1.14 billion of that was automotive revenues (+47% YoY)
$416 million was from software and services revenue (a 324% increase YoY)
Gross Profits
$24 million of consolidated gross profit (+$416 million YoY)
$(130) million automotive gross profit loss, (+$249 million YoY)
$154 million software and services gross profit (+$167 million YoY)
As a result, Rivian as slightly honed in on some of its 2025 outlook compared to Q2:
Current outlook
Vehicles Delivered
41,500 – 43,500
Adj. EBITDA
($2,000) million – ($2,250) million
Capital Expenditures
$1,800 million – $1,900 million
Rivian Founder and CEO RJ Scaringe spoke in the Q3 2025 letter to shareholders:
In Q3, we continued to make significant progress across our strategic priorities which includes R2 and our technology roadmap. R2 delivers on the adventurous spirit customers expect from Rivian. It’s also a great daily driver that will fit so many different use cases for our customers. Over the long term, we believe the automotive industry will be fully electric, autonomous and software-defined. We continue to believe that Rivian’s vertically integrated technologies and direct-to-customer ownership experience position our company to build a category-defining brand with a strong product portfolio for the U.S. and European markets.
According to Rivian, it has recently completed construction of the R2’s new 1.1 million square-foot body shop and general assembly building at the Normal, Illinois, site, as well as a 1.2 million square-foot supplier park and logistics center.
The R2 validation builds are currently completing durability, performance, aerodynamics, thermal, and noise, vibration, and harshness testing. Rivian expects to begin manufacturing validation builds at the end of 2025, ahead of initial customer deliveries in the first half of 2026 (e.g., progress remains on track).
I would like to highlight another interesting point in the letter to shareholders. In Q3 2025, Rivian spun out a new e-bike brand called ALSO, which our team was able to experience firsthand. The automaker highlights that milestone in a section called “Innovation Leverage” on page ten, but theres something else worth mentioning – a second new company called Mind Robotics, that Rivian apparently founded in the past four days. Per the letter:
We believe there are synergies shared between the development of autonomous driving and physical AI. In November, we set up a new company, Mind Robotics, and secured approximately $110 million of external seed capital. Mind Robotics will focus on the advancement of industrial AI to reshape how physical world businesses operate and leverage Rivian operations data as the foundation for a robotics data flywheel. We believe AI-enabled robotics can support a wide range of industrial applications.
If you’re looking for details about Rivian’s new AI company, we already asked and this is all the public is getting, at least for now. Perhaps we will learn more during Rivian’s Autonomy and AI Day, which Rivian confirmed it will host on December 11, 2025. It promises to “share more details on the company’s autonomy vision and technology roadmap.”
For now, we will focus on the Q3 2025 numbers and letter to shareholders. As always, Rivian is following up with a live webcast at 5 PM ET today, available here.
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US President Donald Trump speaks with the press as he meets with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, DC, on Feb. 13, 2025.
Jim Watson | AFP | Getty Images
In a sign of easing pressure on India, U.S. President Donald Trump said that trade talks with New Delhi were going well, and he could visit the country next year.
Trump who was speaking to reporters at the White House on Thursday said India “has largely stopped buying oil from Russia,” and if Prime Minister Narendra Modi extended him an invite, he would visit the country in 2026.
Evoking memories of his last visit to India, Trump called Modi “his friend” and a “great man.”
In the last few months, India and U.S. relations have been under stress, with experts warning of missing chemistry between the two leaders, leading to a disconnect between India-US ties.
Steep tariffs, $100,000 fee for H1B visas, and Trump’s repeated claims of having brokered a ceasefire between India and Pakistan and India’s purchases of Russian crude are among issues that have led to a deterioration of ties between New Delhi and Washington in recent months, according to experts.
India currently faces 50% tariffs on it exports, higher than the 47% duties on China.
“Negotiations between New Delhi and Washington D.C. are ongoing and both sides appear optimistic about trade deal being reached by the end of the year, possibly even in the next few weeks,” said Alexandra Hermann, head of Southeast Asia Research of Oxford Economics.
The tariff rate on Indian goods could be cut to 20% from 50% currently, putting India in comparable level to its Asian peers such as Vietnam, Thailand, or the Philippines, she said.
Hermann added that the baseline tariff on India “may not fall to Japan and South Korea’s level of 15%” due to sticking points around purchases of Russian oil, agricultural imports, and limited scope to commit to sizable investments in the U.S.
Last month, the U.S. imposed sanctioned on Russian oil majors Rosneft and Lukoil, which will come into force from Nov 21. As a result Indian and Chinese refiners have started to cut down imports of Russian oil.
According to a Reuters report on Thursday, Russian oil is trading at its steepest discounts to Brent in a year in Asia, as major Indian and Chinese refiners reduce purchases.
India’s Petroleum and Natural Gas ministry did not immediately respond to CNBC’s query on the country cutting Russian oil imports.
“Over the long term, completely phasing out Russian oil isn’t realistic for India,” said Prateek Pandey head of APAC oil and gas research at Rystad Energy, adding that as Russian crude becomes available at a sharper discount “New Delhi’s approach of “economics first” will be tested more than ever.
Tesla will continue to extend its “one-time” FSD transfer scheme for at least another quarter, according to CEO Elon Musk at today’s Tesla shareholder meeting.
Tesla’s shareholder meeting is underway, and the big headline is that shareholders have enthusiastically voted against their own interests, diluting their own voting rights and handing more control of the company to the one person on Earth currently negatively affecting its business the most, CEO Elon Musk.
At the end of the meeting, Tesla hosted a Q&A session with shareholders in attendance, and one of them asked a question we’ve heard before: whether Tesla owners who purchased Tesla’s Full Self-Driving software, which still has not been delivered despite the first purchases happening almost a decade ago at this point, would be able to transfer the licenses to that undelivered software if they choose to buy a new Tesla vehicle.
So far, Tesla’s official policy has been that owners must purchase FSD with each new vehicle they buy, and can’t transfer the licenses between them. However, it did offer a “one-time” exception to that rule for a two month period in 2023. After that, Tesla owners would never be allowed to transfer their FSD license again.
So, the question was perhaps a little out of date. The program hasn’t just been active for a single quarter this time, but for the last half-year. There is no listed end date on Tesla’s website.
Nevertheless, Musk answered the question thusly:
We have done that a few times. I guess we could extend it again. Alright, we’ll extend it for at least another quarter, and then play it by ear after that.
This in fact seems like a limitation as compared to the current status of the program, since it is active with no end date at the moment. Musk mentioning that it might only last for another quarter suggests it may end earlier than Tesla’s website language currently suggests.
However, it’s been apparent all along that this is more of a way to stoke demand, hoping to get current owners to purchase FSD on new cars, so Tesla can hold on to the up to $15,000 it charged those owners for undelivered software.
Musk has continually stated, for more than a decade, that FSD is right around the corner. Consumers were led to believe that their FSD systems would be active soon, with Musk often stating it would be released by “next year.” Musk said that owners would be able to make money by running a robotaxi service, and that their cars would be “appreciating assets” because of it – and now Tesla is making revenue like that, but you can’t.
The years have come and went, and many cars are either out of service, getting old and reaching time for replacement, or owners have been scared away by Musk’s disgusting and high-profile political actions which have included sympathizing with Nazis.
Those owners who have moved on will seemingly never get back their investment into the false promises that Musk advanced, but it only makes sense that owners who do want to retain their license and move it to a new vehicle should be able to do so. Tesla sold software, the software still isn’t working, and people should be able to enjoy that software for a reasonable amount of time if they bought it.
And yet, Tesla continues jerking its most loyal owners around, those who have held strong through the incredible brand damage Musk is doing, and suggesting that the right thing to do is only available as a limited opportunity – trying to nickel and dime the most loyal owners into buying new cars earlier than they would have planned, with the specter of having to re-purchase FSD if they didn’t do so.
That said, there are several current cases in court covering the issue of Tesla’s false advertising regarding FSD. So this issue might be solved for the company by outside forces eventually anyway. But it would have been better if Tesla just did the right thing to begin with – which it continually resists doing.
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Tesla CEO Elon Musk pushed back the dates for a demo of the next-gen Tesla Roadster, which he has said will be able to “fly” and suggested that it might not even be a car at all.
Tesla has been teasing the existence of a future, high-performance sportscar model for years now. Originally it was unveiled in 2017 for a 2020 release, but has been repeatedly pushed back, with another delay today.
Just last week, Musk said that a demo was coming at the end of the year of the Roadster, and that it would be perhaps the most exciting demo of any product ever. Musk also stated that the Roadster will have more tech than all James Bond vehicles combined
Today, he was asked a question at Tesla’s shareholder meeting about the status of that project (including whether the “James Bond” tech would make it to other Teslas – to which Musk responded “um, no”). Here’s the full answer regarding the product’s unveiling:
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The product unveil of the Roadster 2, which will be very different than what we’ve shown previously, that demo event will be April 1 of next year. I have some deniability because I can say I was just kidding. But we are actually tentatively aiming for April 1, for what I think will be the most exciting, whether it works or not, demo of any product. And then I guess production is probably about 12-18 months after that. I think production is about a year or so after that.
When the questioner seemed to respond with disbelief with that answer (who ever thought that this car could ever possibly be delayed?!), Musk answered:
Well, I can’t give away secrets, but you won’t be disappointed.
Musk also said, during the meeting, that owners of Founders’ Series reservations, which represent a $250,000 loan given to Tesla for the last 8 years, would all be invited to the demo.
So, this official announcement puts us back to a timeline of April 1 for the reveal, which is a delay of at least 3 months from when it was supposed to occur as of last week, and production starting (not cars hitting the road) at least in April 2027, or at late as potentially October 2027. If we take the higher end of that range, then the Roadster is likely to only be available in 2028, 11 years after its first unveiling and 8 years after original estimates.
That said, it’s not much of a surprise that the Roadster would be delayed again. Just last week, we saw a new job listing for the Roadster, looking for a “concept development” engineer. That’s a fairly early part of the production process, and even makes it seem like a 2027 release could be optimistic.
We’ve seen records set by the Xiaomi SU7 Ultra, built by a smartphone company from concept to production in just a couple years. We’ve seen the Rimac Nevera R get to 186mph faster than a Bugatti Chiron Super Sport. We’ve seen the Lotus Evija X, which set the third-fastest Nurburgring lap ever, only beaten by two one-off, track-only, purpose-built racecars (one of which is a hybrid, the other is electric). And we’ve seen the BYD Yangwang U9 Xtreme become the fastest production car ever at 308(!!!) miles per hour.
These are milestones that the Roadster might have been able to take a shot at, but time has passed it by, and others have stepped in in the Roadster’s absence.
But maybe that doesn’t matter, because Musk’s comments today suggest the Roadster might not be what we expected.
All along, it has been assumed that the Roadster will be something like the original version unveiled in 2017. But today, Musk said it will be “very different than what we’ve shown previously.” We don’t know what those differences entail – whether it just means the car will have new tech, or if it will be a completely different style of car.
We can imagine that anyone who gave Tesla a $250,000 loan for ten years might be bothered by ending up with a totally different bill of goods than they put their money down for, though, so we hope the plan is to at least keep it a sportscar.
There are some questions about whether these technologies Musk has mentioned will be on the car, though, and if they will be helpful for anything other than a demo if so.
But it is decidedly not a “flying car.” In fact, being able to fly would not actually help sportscar performance, and would actually hurt it. Sportscars are typically looking to maximize downforce in the most efficient manner, in order to enhance grip, but to fly, one must create “upforce,” which isn’t a term anyone uses because it creates no actual performance benefit.
So, while it is highly expected that the Roadster demo might be able to “fly,” we hope that doesn’t make it to production on a sportscar, as that’s more of a parlor trick and would take performance benefits away from where they would be more useful – like having a fan car system, or directional jets to increase lateral acceleration, rather than useless upwards acceleration.
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