A trader works at the New York Stock Exchange on Nov. 3, 2025.
NYSE
This is CNBC’s Morning Squawk newsletter. Subscribe here to receive future editions in your inbox.
Here are five key things investors need to know to start the trading day:
1. Shock value
Stocks sold off yesterday amid investor concerns about the valuations of artificial intelligence companies. Leading the losses were shares of Palantir, which dropped 8% in the session despite a positive earnings report on Monday.
Here’s what to know:
The valuation concerns are not new for Palantir, which currently has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 254. For comparison, Nvidia has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 35.
“The two companies he’s shorting are the ones making all the money, which is super weird,” Karp told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” yesterday. Burry also bet against Nvidia, a filing showed.
Palantir wasn’t the only big tech stock to suffer in Tuesday’s session. Every member of the Magnificent Seven except for Apple closed in the red.
Shares of Advanced Micro Devices dropped nearly 4% in extended trading after reporting third-quarter results last night. The chipmaker beat analysts’ earnings and revenue expectations, but its margin guidance was only inline with estimates.
New York City mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani reacts during a “New York is Not For Sale” rally at Forest Hills Stadium, in the Queens borough of New York City, U.S., October 26, 2025.
Eduardo Munoz | Reuters
It was a big night for Democrats, whose candidates swept key races in New York, New Jersey and Virginia.
Self-described democratic socialist Zohran Mamdani will become the next mayor of New York City, NBC News projects, defeating former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo. More than 2 million New Yorkers turned out to vote in the election, the most since 1969, according to the city’s Board of Elections.
In New Jersey, Democrat Mikie Sherrill is projected to become the state’s next governor. The closely watched race against Trump-endorsed Republican Jack Ciattarelli was seen as a bellwether for the GOP, which made inroads in the state in 2024.
NBC News also projects Democrat Abigail Spanberger will become the first female governor of Virginia and Democratic nominee Jay Jones will win the state’s attorney general race. Unlike Mamdani, Sherril and Spanberger, Jones was not seen as the betting favorite going into yesterday’s election.
3. Drive-thru disappointment
A view of the McDonald’s restaurant in Mogilany, Poland on August 1, 2025.
Jakub Porzycki | Nurphoto | Getty Images
McDonald’s missed Wall Street’s third-quarter expectations on the top and bottom lines this morning. The fast-food giant reported $7.08 billion in revenue during the period — a 3% increase from a year ago, but slightly below analysts’ $7.1 billion estimate.
Despite coming up short, the company’s shares rose about 1% before the bell. Indeed, the report wasn’t all bad: McDonald’s said same-store sales grew 3.6% globally and 2.4% in the U.S. CEO Chris Kempczinski called the results “a testament to our ability to deliver sustainable growth even in a challenging environment.”
Meanwhile, shares of Cava sank nearly 8% in overnight trading after the fast-casual chain cut its full-year forecast for the second straight quarter.
4. ‘AI-washing’ layoffs
A sign at a NYS Department Of Labor job fair at the Downtown Central Library in Buffalo, New York, US, on Wednesday, Aug. 27, 2025.
Lauren Petracca | Bloomberg | Getty Images
A wave of layoffs is rattling corporate America. Yesterday it was IBM. Last week, it was Amazon and Paramount. The week before, Target and Meta.
And while some rush to say the rise of AI is to blame, experts say some companies could be “AI-washing” their cuts, using the new tech as a scapegoat for other issues or run-of-the-mill cost-cutting. A lack of employment data from the government, thanks to the shutdown, makes the picture even murkier, bringing about concerns that the spate of cuts could have more to do with a slowing economy than with AI.
Job openings hit their lowest level in more than four years last month, according to data from Indeed. The site’s Job Posting Index, which uses February 2020 as a baseline, fell to 101.9 in October — its lowest level since February 2021.
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5. K-popularity
Ken Jeong speaks during Netflix’s “KPop Demon Hunters” A Sing-Along Event at Regal LA Live on August 24, 2025 in Los Angeles, California.
The film, which in August became Netflix’s most popular movie ever, has generated $10 billion for the K-pop music industry, CNBC’s Eunice Yoon reports. Shares of HYBE, JYP Entertainment, SM Entertainment and YG Entertainment — the so-called “Big Four” K-pop companies in South Korea — have seen double-digit gains this year.
But it’s not just music. As Yoon notes, the popularity of “KPop Demon Hunters” could also spur increased consumption of Korean cosmetics and foods, and could even have political ramifications in China.
The Daily Dividend
After Meta invested $14.3 billion into Scale AI and hired away its founder, the future looked uncertain for the AI startup. But CFO Dennis Cinelli rejected the notion that the deal was an “acquihire” or licensing deal, and insisted Scale’s business is still growing. Here’s how he put it, in his first public interview since joining the startup in 2022:
The results we’re putting up, it’s not a company that’s like a zombie company.
Dennis Cinelli
CFO, Scale AI
— CNBC’s Sean Conlon, Pia Singh, Yun Li, John Melloy, Samantha Subin, Kevin Breuninger, Dan Mangan, Amelia Lucas, Gabrielle Fonrouge, Annie Palmer, Frank Holland, Jeff Cox, Eunice Yoon and Ashley Capoot contributed to this report. Melodie Warner edited this edition.
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman speaks to media following a Q&A at the OpenAI data center in Abilene, Texas, U.S., Sept. 23, 2025.
Shelby Tauber | Reuters
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said Thursday that the artificial intelligence startup is on track to generate more than $20 billion in annualized revenue run rate this year, with plans to grow to hundreds of billions in sales by 2030.
The company has inked more than $1.4 trillion of infrastructure deals in recent months to try and build out the data centers it says are needed to meet growing demand. The staggering sum has raised questions from investors and others in the industry about where OpenAI will come up with the money.
“We are trying to build the infrastructure for a future economy powered by AI, and given everything we see on the horizon in our research program, this is the time to invest to be really scaling up our technology,” Altman wrote in a post on X. “Massive infrastructure projects take quite awhile to build, so we have to start now.”
OpenAI was founded as a nonprofit research lab in 2015, but has become one of the fastest-growing commercial entities on the planet following the launch of its chatbot ChatGPT in 2022. The startup is currently valued at $500 billion, though it’s still not profitable.
In September, OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar told CNBC that OpenAI was on track to generate $13 billion in revenue this year.
Friar caught the attention of the Trump administration this week after she saying at at event that OpenAI is looking to create an ecosystem of banks, private equity and a federal “backstop” or “guarantee” that could help the company finance its investments in cutting-edge chips.
She clarified those comments late Wednesday, writing in a post on LinkedIn that OpenAI is not seeking a government backstop for its infrastructure commitments.
“I used the word ‘backstop’ and it muddied the point,” Friar wrote. “As the full clip of my answer shows, I was making the point that American strength in technology will come from building real industrial capacity which requires the private sector and government playing their part.”
Venture capitalist David Sacks, who is serving as President Donald Trump’s AI and crypto czar, said Thursday that there will be “no federal bailout for AI.” He wrote in a post on X that if one frontier model company in the U.S. fails, another will take its place.
Altman said Thursday that OpenAI does “not have or want government guarantees for OpenAI datacenters.” He said taxpayers should not bail out companies that make poor decisions, and that “if we get it wrong, that’s on us.”
“This is the bet we are making, and given our vantage point, we feel good about it,” Altman wrote. “But we of course could be wrong, and the market—not the government—will deal with it if we are.”
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Markets: Stocks tumbled Thursday as concerns about eye-watering valuations in AI-linked names persisted. The S & P 500 shed nearly 1% in afternoon trading. But the market’s big laggards were in tech, as the Nasdaq retreated more than 1%. Club holdings Nvidia and Meta Platforms declined 2.8% and 2%, respectively. Investors also looked at fresh economic data that indicated a massive increase in corporate layoffs. Job cuts last month reached their highest level of any October reading in over two decades, according to outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas. The government’s ongoing shutdown is likely playing a hand in it Big Tech news: Apple is nearing a deal to use Google ‘s AI model in a revamped version of Siri, according to Bloomberg . The iPhone maker, as part of the agreement, would pay Alphabet ‘s Google around $1 billion each year. Jim called it a “terrific deal” during “Squawk on the Street” on Thursday. He added, “I love this combination,” even if there’s some debate about whether the payment should be going the other way. The partnership would be a step in the right direction for Club name Apple’s so-far rocky rollout of its generative AI offerings. Apple Intelligence, the company’s AI suite, has faced many delays. Management has postponed its AI-enhanced Siri until at least 2026. Making matters worse, Big Tech peers like Meta have continued to poach top AI talent from Apple, as well. Still, we continue to believe that Apple doesn’t need to be first to market. The company just needs to be the best. Costco premium: Shares slipped more than 1% on Thursday despite the retailer posting solid October sales. Costco ‘s U.S. core comparable sales, excluding gas price and foreign exchange fluctuations, were up 6.7% for the four weeks ending Nov. 2 — shy of Wall Street’s estimates of 7% to 8%. That’s still a strong showing, given how many consumer-focused names have stumbled recently due to concerns about the weakening consumer. Wells Fargo described the Costco figures as “good results in a choppy retail tape,” but cautioned that “everything matters at this valuation.” That makes further stock upside hard to justify, according to the analysts. But the Club holding’s premium remains a key focus. Shares currently trade at 47 times forward earnings, lower than the 52 times forward earnings figure earlier this year. This brings Costco’s multiple closer to its recent historical average. Oppenheimer analysts on Monday said the lower multiple makes Costco shares more attractive, and they view the stock’s recent decline as a buying opportunity. Jim agrees. “I want to buy Costco,” he said Monday . Although a multiple above 50 can feel “dangerous” for some investors, Jim believes it is not a good enough reason to stay away. Though the stock still trades above the Club’s cost basis, Jim doesn’t expect a major pullback. Costco deserves its premium. The retailer’s subscription-based model delivers reliable and high-margin recurring revenues that traditional retailers just can’t match. Betting partner: Disney announced Thursday that DraftKings would be ESPN’s new official sportsbook and odds provider, bringing an end to its Penn Entertainment partnership. The change will take effect Dec. 1, but a full rollout of the integration is not expected until 2026. The decision to part ways with Penn comes just two years into working together. The two entered into a partnership in August 2023, with a 10-year agreement that allowed either party to exit after the third year if certain market share goals weren’t met. Both have now mutually agreed to wind down that operation. Under the new deal, ESPN will work with DraftKings to “continue to super-serve passionate sports fans and grow our ESPN direct-to-consumer business,” said ESPN chairman Jimmy Pitaro in a statement. The partnership could strengthen Disney’s broader direct-to-consumer (DTC) strategy, where ESPN plays a crucial role in the Disney+ streaming bundle. Disney’s DTC business is viewed as a long-term driver of earnings growth. If the DraftKings alliance helps boost engagement and monetization within the ESPN ecosystem, it could serve as a much-needed catalyst for Disney’s stock. Shares are down roughly 1% year-to-date, compared to the S & P 500’s 14.5% advance. Up next: Club holding Texas Roadhouse reports earnings after Thursday’s close. Qnity , the new Club name that just spun off from DuPont , is scheduled to hold a business update call after the close. (DuPont reported pretty solid earnings before the bell.) There aren’t any portfolio names on Friday morning’s earnings schedule. But we will hear from Constellation Energy, KKR , Enbridge , and Duke Energy . The University of Michigan is out with its latest consumer sentiment report at 10 a.m. ET. Investors will hear from central bank officials, with New York Fed President John Williams delivering a keynote at a European Central Bank conference at 3 p.m. ET. (See here for a full list of the stocks in Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . 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Mark Zuckerberg, chief executive officer of Meta Platforms Inc., during a dinner with tech leaders in the State Dining Room of the White House in Washington, DC, US, on Thursday, Sept. 4, 2025. US President Donald Trump said he would be imposing tariffs on semiconductor imports “very shortly” but spare goods from companies like Apple Inc. that have pledged to boost their US investments. Photographer: Will Oliver/EPA/Bloomberg via Getty Images
Will Oliver | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Meta projected that 10% of its overall sales in 2024, or about $16 billion, came from running online ads for scams and banned goods, according to a Thursday report from Reuters.
Those kinds of ads included promotions for “fraudulent e-commerce and investment schemes, illegal online casinos and the sale of banned medical products,” according to the Reuters report, which was based on internal company documents. Those documents showed the company’s attempts to measure the prevalence of fraudulent advertising on its apps like Facebook and Instagram.
Meta brought in more than $164.5 billion in overall sales for 2024. Last week, the company said that third-quarter sales rose 26% year-over-year to $51.24 billion and that it lifted the low end of its total expenses for the year by $2 billion as part of its massive investments into artificial intelligence.
The Reuters report cited a December 2024 document that showed how Meta each year generates roughly $7 billion in annualized sales from so-called “higher risk” scam ads, which are promotions that are clearly deceptive. Each day, Meta shows users an estimated 15 billion of these higher risk scam ads, the Reuters report said, citing a separate document.
Although some of the documents show that Meta aims to reduce the amount of bogus ads on its platform, the Reuters report also said that other documents suggest the company is concerned that its business projections could be impacted by any abrupt removal of the fraudulent promotions.
A Meta spokesperson said that the company “aggressively” addresses scam and fraud ads on its apps. The projections that 10% of the company’s 2024 ad sales came from bunk ads “was a rough and overly-inclusive estimate rather than a definitive or final figure; in fact, subsequent review revealed that many of these ads weren’t violating at all,” the spokesperson said in a statement.
“Unfortunately, the leaked documents present a selective view that distorts Meta’s approach to fraud and scams by focusing on our efforts to assess the scale of the challenge, not the full range of actions we have taken to address the problem,” the spokesperson said.