The UK is facing an “economic inactivity crisis” as employers are losing an estimated £85bn a year in costs linked to sickness and poor workplace health, a landmark report has found.
More than one in five working-age people are now out of work and not looking for work – more than comparator countries – which is costing the UK £212bn a year, the Mayfield review said.
Its author, former John Lewis boss Sir Charlie Mayfield, says poor health “has become one of the biggest brakes on growth and opportunity,” but says it is not inevitable.
The report, published on Wednesday, says there are now 800,000 more people out of work now than in 2019 due to health problems, and without “decisive action” to address this, another 600,000 people will be added by 2030.
Sir Charlie found that a 22-year-old who is not in work for health reasons could be more than £1 million worse off over their lifetime, while employers are losing an average of £120 per day in profit from absences.
The cost to the state is also vast – it is costing 7% of GDP, or almost 70% of the income tax we pay, through “lost output, increased welfare payments and additional burdens on the NHS”, which is “unsustainable”.
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The additional burden in welfare payments and NHS demand is around £47bn annually, the report says.
Among the reasons for these absences continuing to mount is a “culture of fear” felt by both employers and employees, that “creates distance” and “discourages safe and early disclosure, constructive conversations and support,” Sir Charlie found.
Why millions of Britons are off work long-term sick
“Who the f*** am I?” asks Roni Jones, from Cornwall, four years after the Easter weekend that ended her career.
The former NHS manager, charity chief executive and self-confessed workaholic once dismissed those off work with long-term sickness as “malingerers”, “the worried well” or suffering from “yuppie flu”.
But after she collapsed in her garden in 2021, she was diagnosed with a debilitating neurological condition, adding her name to the growing list of 2.8 million people off work due to long-term sickness.
“There’s always been this negative thing about people who don’t work. And I would have been part of that. Until it happened to me,” says Jones, 63, who lives with multisystem dysautonomia, a condition that causes her “bone-crushing” pain and fatigue.
“I can’t even conceive of being able on a regular basis to get up, get showered and get out of the house – never mind go and do a day’s work.”
He wrote that there is a “a lack of an effective or consistent support system for employers and their employees in managing health and tackling barriers faced by disabled people” that are “structural”.
But he says “these problems are not inevitable,” adding: “What is missing is coordination, focus, and a coherent framework for change.”
Google among 60 employers interested in new scheme
Sir Charlie’s report is “proposing a fundamental shift from a model where health at work is largely left to the individual and the NHS, to one where it becomes a shared responsibility between employers, employees and health services”.
Employers must “act on prevention, to support rehabilitation, and to remove barriers for disabled people,” he says.
His message to employees is: “Work can be demanding. Setbacks are part of life. Health and work are not always easy partners, but they are mutually reinforcing. Supportive workplaces matter, and so does personal responsibility.”
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Our political correspondent Tamara Cohen explains how young people are particularly badly affected.
But he also calls on the government to “reset the system – to enable and incentivise employers and employees to act”.
“System issues such as fit note reform, dispute resolution and links with programmes like Pathways to Work will also demand coordination,” he wrote, calling for political leadership across a range of government departments to spearhead change.
The review also calls for the adoption of a workplace health provision, which is described as a non-clinical case management service supporting employees and line managers across a so-called healthy working lifecycle.
It says this approach of offering support and advice and early intervention could be integrated with the NHS App and reduce or replace the need for the current fit note.
The government says more than 60 employers – including the British Beer and Pub Association, Burger King, John Lewis and Google UK – have expressed interest in becoming so-called vanguard employers to pioneer the overall new approach.
This would involve a three-year phase focused on how to address mental health at work, retention of older people in work and improved participation and retention of disabled people in work.
Business Secretary Peter Kyle told broadcasters said the aim of this initial scheme would be to see “what works, what is possible”, and they have agreed to share their findings with the government with the aim of “spread[ing] that learning” to businesses across the country.
Health is ‘essential for economic growth’
Sir Charlie said: “Employers are uniquely placed to make a difference, preventing health issues where possible, supporting people when they arise, and helping them return to work.
“If we keep Britain working, everyone wins – people, employers and the state.
“That’s why the action the government is taking forward from my review is so important. I’m looking forward to working with them and with employers, large and small, to keep people in work, unlock potential and build a healthier, more prosperous Britain.”
Image: Sir Charlie Mayfield, former boss of John Lewis, pictured in 2015. Pic: PA
Work and Pensions Secretary Pat McFadden said Sir Charlie’s message was “crystal clear: keeping people healthy and in work is the right thing to do and is essential for economic growth”.
“Business is our partner in building a productive workforce – because when businesses retain talent and reduce workplace ill-health, everyone wins.
“That’s why we’re acting now to launch employer-led vanguards as part of the Plan for Change, driving economic growth and opportunity across the country.”
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Conservative shadow business secretary Andrew Griffith said that while he welcomes the report and its findings, he is worried about the impact of the government’s Employment Rights Bill, that is returning to the Commons this afternoon.
He told Mornings with Ridge and Frost: “I think we need to give employers more opportunity and reasons to hire young people, and that (the Bill)… will put up all sorts of barriers and create incentives for them not to take a chance when they’re giving young people a job.”
The shutdown of the US government entered its 38th day on Friday, with the Senate set to vote on a funding bill that could temporarily restore operations.
According to the US Senate’s calendar of business on Friday, the chamber will consider a House of Representatives continuing resolution to fund the government. It’s unclear whether the bill will cross the 60-vote threshold needed to pass in the Senate after numerous failed attempts in the previous weeks.
Amid the shutdown, Republican and Democratic lawmakers have reportedly continued discussions on the digital asset market structure bill. The legislation, passed as the CLARITY Act in the House in July and referred to as the Responsible Financial Innovation Act in the Senate, is expected to provide a comprehensive regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies in the US.
Although members of Congress have continued to receive paychecks during the shutdown — unlike many agencies, where staff have been furloughed and others are working without pay — any legislation, including that related to crypto, seems to have taken a backseat to addressing the shutdown.
At the time of publication, it was unclear how much support Republicans may have gained from Democrats, who have held the line in demanding the extension of healthcare subsidies and reversing cuts from a July funding bill.
Is the Republicans’ timeline for the crypto bill still attainable?
Wyoming Senator Cynthia Lummis, one of the market structure bill’s most prominent advocates in Congress, said in August that Republicans planned to have the legislation through the Senate Banking Committee by the end of September, the Senate Agriculture Committee in October and signed into law by 2026.
Though reports suggested lawmakers on each committee were discussing terms for the bill, the timeline seemed less likely amid a government shutdown and the holidays approaching.
Japan’s financial regulator, the Financial Services Agency (FSA), endorsed a project by the country’s largest financial institutions to jointly issue yen-backed stablecoins.
In a Friday statement, the FSA announced the launch of its “Payment Innovation Project” as a response to progress in “the use of blockchain technology to enhance payments.” The initiative involves Mizuho Bank, Mitsubishi UFJ Bank, Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation, Mitsubishi Corporation and its financial arm and Progmat, MUFG’s stablecoin issuance platform.
The announcement follows recent reports that those companies plan to modernize corporate settlements and reduce transaction costs through a yen-based stablecoin project built on MUFG’s stablecoin issuance platform Progmat. The institutions in question serve over 300,000 corporate clients.
The regulator noted that, starting this month, the companies will begin issuing payment stablecoins. The initiative aims to improve user convenience, enhance Japanese corporate productivity and innovate the local financial landscape.
The participating companies are expected to ensure that users are protected and informed about the systems they use. “After the completion of the pilot project, the FSA plans to publish the results and conclusions,” the announcement reads.
The announcement follows the Monday launch of Tokyo-based fintech firm JPYC’s Japan-first yen-backed stablecoin, along with a dedicated platform. The company’s president, Noriyoshi Okabe, said at the time that seven companies are already planning to incorporate the new stablecoin.
Recently, Japanese regulators have been hard at work setting new rules for the cryptocurrency industry. So much so that Bybit, the world’s second-largest crypto exchange by trading volume, announced it will pause new user registrations in the country as it adapts to the new conditions.
Local regulators seem to be opening up to the industry. Earlier this month, the FSA was reported to be preparing to review regulations that could allow banks to acquire and hold cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC) for investment purposes.
At the same time, Japan’s securities regulator was also reported to be working on regulations to ban and punish crypto insider trading. Following the change, Japan’s Securities and Exchange Surveillance Commission would be authorized to investigate suspicious trading activity and impose fines on violators.
The European Union is considering a partial halt to its landmark artificial intelligence laws in response to pressure from the US government and Big Tech companies.
The European Commission plans to ease part of its digital rulebook, including the AI Act that took effect last year, as part of a “simplification package” that is to be decided on Nov. 19, the Financial Times reported on Friday.
If approved, the proposed halt could allow generative AI providers currently operating in the market a one-year compliance grace period and delay enforcement of fines for violations of AI transparency rules until August 2027.
“When it comes to potentially delaying the implementation of targeted parts of the AI Act, a reflection is still ongoing,” the commission’s Thomas Regnier told Cointelegraph, adding that the EC is working on the digital omnibus to present it on Nov. 19.
EU’s AI Act entered into force in August 2024
The commission proposed the first EU AI law in April 2021, with the mission of establishing a risk-based AI classification system.
Passed by the European Parliament and the European Council in 2023, the European AI Act entered into force in August 2024, with provisions expected to be implemented gradually over the next six to 36 months.
An excerpt from the EU AI Act’s implementation timeline. Source: ArtificialIntelligenceAct.eu
According to the FT, a bulk of the provisions for high-risk AI systems, which can pose “serious risks” to health, safety or citizens’ fundamental rights, are set to come into effect in August 2026.
With the draft “simplification” proposal, companies breaching the rules on the highest-risk AI use could reportedly receive a “grace period” of one year.
The proposal is still subject to informal discussions within the commission and with EU states and could still change ahead of its adoption on Nov. 19, the report noted.
“Various options are being considered, but no formal decision has been taken at this stage,” the EC’s Regnier told Cointelegraph, adding: “The commission will always remain fully behind the AI Act and its objectives.”
“AI is an incredibly disruptive technology, the full implications of which we are still only just beginning to fully appreciate,” Mercuryo co-founder and CEO Petr Kozyakov said, adding:
“Ultimately, Europe’s competitiveness will depend on its ability to set high standards without creating barriers that may risk letting innovation take place elsewhere.”
The EU’s potential suspension of parts of the AI Act underscores Brussels’ evolving approach to digital regulation amid intensifying global competition from the US and China.