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Jensen Huang, chief executive officer of Nvidia Corp., during the US-Saudi Investment Forum at the Kennedy Center in Washington, DC, US, on Wednesday, Nov. 19, 2025.

Stefani Reynolds | Bloomberg | Getty Images

This is CNBC’s Morning Squawk newsletter. Subscribe here to receive future editions in your inbox.

Here are five key things investors need to know to start the trading day:

1. No bubble, no trouble?

Nvidia blew past Wall Street’s earnings and revenue expectations last night, also providing a stronger-than-expected forecast for the current quarter. If futures trading is any indication, the results convinced investors that their concerns around the health of the artificial intelligence trade can be put to rest.

Here’s what to know:

  • The chipmaker said revenue topped $57 billion for the third quarter and expects sales to rise to around about $65 billion in the current three-month period.
  • CEO Jensen Huang described sales for Nvidia’s Blackwell chips as “off the charts.”
  • Huang also brushed off concerns of an AI bubble, saying the company sees “something very different.”
  • The comments are significant as Nvidia is somewhat of a linchpin in the AI trade: It counts Amazon, Microsoft, Google and Oracle as customers, as well as most major AI developers.
  • Yet despite announcing a $100 billion investment in OpenAI two months ago, Nvidia said there was “no assurance” of a final agreement with the ChatGPT maker.
  • Shares of Nvidia climbed 5% overnight, igniting a broader rebound in futures this morning.
  • Fellow chip stocks Advanced Micro Devices and Broadcom, as well as power infrastructure names including Eaton, also jumped as the report restored faith in the AI trade.
  • Follow live markets updates here.

2. Walmart’s win

Sign at the entrance to a Walmart in Venice, Florida.

Erik Mcgregor | Lightrocket | Getty Images

Walmart beat analysts’ expectations on both lines this morning and raised its outlook for the second straight quarter, boosted by strength in its e-commerce business and new customers.

CFO John David Rainey told CNBC that Walmart won over “value-seeking” customers from varying income brackets. While the company saw an impact from the SNAP pause during the government shutdown, Rainey said the retailer is seeing a “rebound” as funds begin to be distributed again.

CNBC reported yesterday that Walmart is in talks to acquire R&A Data, an Israeli startup that monitors online marketplaces for scams and counterfeits. Two months ago, a CNBC investigation found Walmart over time loosened its controls for vetting online sellers and products to better compete with Amazon.

3. Fed feuds

Jerome Powell, chairman of the US Federal Reserve, during a news conference following a Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in Washington, DC, US, on Wednesday, Oct. 29, 2025.

Al Drago | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Federal Reserve officials were divided over whether to cut interest rates at last month’s policy meeting, minutes released yesterday showed. The report also threw cold water on hopes for another rate cut at the central bank’s December meeting: “Many” of the officials, according to the minutes, said no more cuts are needed this year.

Meanwhile, Trump once again took aim at Fed Chair Jerome Powell yesterday, saying “I’d love to fire his ass.” The president urged Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to “work on” Powell to lower rates.

We’re awaiting September’s jobs report due out this morning after it was delayed by the government shutdown. The Bureau of Labor Statistics said yesterday that October’s nonfarm payrolls won’t include an employment rate because the data “could not be collected” during the shutdown.

3. Epstein bill

A participant holds a banner that reads ‘Release the files now’ during the press conference on the Epstein Files Transparency Act with the Epstein abuse survivors at the US Capitol in Washington, DC, on November 18, 2025.

Celal Gunes | Anadolu | Getty Images

President Donald Trump said last night that he signed a bill ordering the release of files related to sex offender Jeffrey Epstein. The bill gives Attorney General Pam Bondi 30 days to publicly release unclassified records tied to Epstein and his accomplice Ghislaine Maxwell.

The legislation has exceptions to what can be released, such as information that personally identifies victims or materials tied to child sexual abuse. Records that would “jeopardize” an ongoing federal investigation or prosecution are also excluded from the order.

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5. American dream

A For Sale sign is posted in front of a home for sale in San Marino, California on September 6, 2023. 

Frederic J. Brown | AFP | Getty Images

Home buyers are seeing their strongest market in more than a decade, according to a report from Redfin. But there’s a catch: You have to be able to afford one.

The firm found there were over 36% more sellers than buyers last month, the biggest gap since 2013. But Redfin researchers noted that many Americans have been “priced out” of the housing market as affordability has cratered. “It’s only a buyer’s market for those who can afford to buy,” they said.

New data out yesterday also showed mortgage rates rose for a third straight week, causing a slide in demand from both current and and potential homeowners.

The Daily Dividend

Semrush shares surged 74% yesterday after Adobe said it reached a deal to acquire the search engine marketing firm for $1.9 billion.

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CNBC’s Kif Leswing, Ari Levy, Pia Singh, Gabrielle Fonrouge, Melissa Repko, Kevin Breuninger, Ashley Capoot, Jeff Cox, Fred Imbert, Samantha Subin and Diana Olick contributed to this report. Josephine Rozzelle edited this edition.

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Oracle says there have been ‘no delays’ in OpenAI arrangement after stock slide

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Oracle says there have been 'no delays' in OpenAI arrangement after stock slide

Oracle CEO Clay Magouyrk appears on a media tour of the Stargate AI data center in Abilene, Texas, on Sept. 23, 2025.

Kyle Grillot | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Oracle on Friday pushed back against a report that said the company will complete data centers for OpenAI, one of its major customers, in 2028, rather than 2027.

The delay is due to a shortage of labor and materials, according to the Friday report from Bloomberg, which cited unnamed people. Oracle shares fell to a session low of $185.98, down 6.5% from Thursday’s close.

“Site selection and delivery timelines were established in close coordination with OpenAI following execution of the agreement and were jointly agreed,” an Oracle spokesperson said in an email to CNBC. “There have been no delays to any sites required to meet our contractual commitments, and all milestones remain on track.”

The Oracle spokesperson did not specify a timeline for turning on cloud computing infrastructure for OpenAI. In September, OpenAI said it had a partnership with Oracle worth more than $300 billion over the next five years.

“We have a good relationship with OpenAI,” Clay Magouyrk, one of Oracle’s two newly appointed CEOs, said at an October analyst meeting.

Doing business with OpenAI is relatively new to 48-year-old Oracle. Historically, Oracle grew through sales of its database software and business applications. Its cloud infrastructure business now contributes over one-fourth of revenue, although Oracle remains a smaller hyperscaler than Amazon, Microsoft and Google.

OpenAI has also made commitments to other companies as it looks to meet expected capacity needs.

In September, Nvidia said it had signed a letter of intent with OpenAI to deploy at least 10 gigawatts of Nvidia equipment for the San Francisco artificial intelligence startup. The first phase of that project is expected in the second half of 2026.

Nvidia and OpenAI said in a September statement that they “look forward to finalizing the details of this new phase of strategic partnership in the coming weeks.”

But no announcement has come yet.

In a November filing, Nvidia said “there is no assurance that we will enter into definitive agreements with respect to the OpenAI opportunity.”

OpenAI has historically relied on Nvidia graphics processing units to operate ChatGPT and other products, and now it’s also looking at designing custom chips in a collaboration with Broadcom.

On Thursday, Broadcom CEO Hock Tan laid out a timeline for the OpenAI work, which was announced in October. Broadcom and OpenAI said they had signed a term sheet.

“It’s more like 2027, 2028, 2029, 10 gigawatts, that was the OpenAI discussion,” Tan said on Broadcom’s earnings call. “And that’s, I call it, an agreement, an alignment of where we’re headed with respect to a very respected and valued customer, OpenAI. But we do not expect much in 2026.”

OpenAI declined to comment.

WATCH: Oracle says there have been ‘no delays’ in OpenAI arrangement after stock slide

Oracle says there have been 'no delays' in OpenAI arrangement after stock slide

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AI order from Trump might be ‘illegal,’ Democrats and consumer advocacy groups claim

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AI order from Trump might be ‘illegal,’ Democrats and consumer advocacy groups claim

“This is the wrong approach — and most likely illegal,” Sen. Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn., said in a post on X Thursday.

“We need a strong federal safety standard, but we should not remove the few protections Americans currently have from the downsides of AI,” Klobuchar said.

Trump’s executive order directs Attorney General Pam Bondi to create a task force to challenge state laws regulating AI.

The Commerce Department was also directed to identify “onerous” state regulations aimed at AI.

The order is a win for tech companies such as OpenAI and Google and the venture firm Andreessen Horowitz, which have all lobbied against state regulations they view as burdensome. 

It follows a push by some Republicans in Congress to impose a moratorium on state AI laws. A recent plan to tack on that moratorium to the National Defense Authorization Act was scuttled.

Collin McCune, head of government affairs at Andreessen Horowitz, celebrated Trump’s order, calling it “an important first step” to boost American competition and innovation. But McCune urged Congress to codify a national AI framework.

“States have an important role in addressing harms and protecting people, but they can’t provide the long-term clarity or national direction that only Congress can deliver,” McCune said in a statement.

Sriram Krishnan, a White House AI advisor and former general partner at Andreessen Horowitz, during an interview Friday on CNBC’s “Squawk Box,” said that Trump is was looking to partner with Congress to pass such legislation.

“The White House is now taking a firm stance where we want to push back on ‘doomer’ laws that exist in a bunch of states around the country,” Krishnan said.

He also said that the goal of the executive order is to give the White House tools to go after state laws that it believes make America less competitive, such as recently passed legislation in Democratic-led states like California and Colorado.

The White House will not use the executive order to target state laws that protect the safety of children, Krishnan said.

Robert Weissman, co-president of the consumer advocacy group Public Citizen, called Trump’s order “mostly bluster” and said the president “cannot unilaterally preempt state law.”

“We expect the EO to be challenged in court and defeated,” Weissman said in a statement. “In the meantime, states should continue their efforts to protect their residents from the mounting dangers of unregulated AI.”

Weissman said about the order, “This reward to Big Tech is a disgraceful invitation to reckless behavior
by the world’s largest corporations and a complete override of the federalist principles that Trump and MAGA claim to venerate.”

In the short term, the order could affect a handful of states that have already passed legislation targeting AI. The order says that states whose laws are considered onerous could lose federal funding.

One Colorado law, set to take effect in June, will require AI developers to protect consumers from reasonably foreseeable risks of algorithmic discrimination.

Some say Trump’s order will have no real impact on that law or other state regulations.

“I’m pretty much ignoring it, because an executive order cannot tell a state what to do,” said Colorado state Rep. Brianna Titone, a Democrat who co-sponsored the anti-discrimination law.

In California, Gov. Gavin Newsom recently signed a law that, starting in January, will require major AI companies to publicly disclose their safety protocols. 

That law’s author, state Sen. Scott Wiener, said that Trump’s stated goal of having the United States dominate the AI sector is undercut by his recent moves. 

“Of course, he just authorized chip sales to China & Saudi Arabia: the exact opposite of ensuring U.S. dominance,” Wiener wrote in an X post on Thursday night. The Bay Area Democrat is seeking to succeed Speaker-emerita Nancy Pelosi in the U.S. House of Representatives.

Trump on Monday said he will Nvidia to sell its advanced H200 chips to “approved customers” in China, provided that U.S. gets a 25% cut of revenues.

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Coinbase to soon unveil prediction markets powered by Kalshi, source says

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Coinbase to soon unveil prediction markets powered by Kalshi, source says

Feature China | Future Publishing | Getty Images

Coinbase is gearing up to launch an in-house prediction market, powered by Kalshi, a source close to the matter told CNBC — a strategic play to expand the number of asset classes available on the cryptocurrency exchange at a time some investors are shying away from digital assets.

The source said Coinbase and Kalshi will “soon” formally announce the prediction market, with news on the matter potentially coming as early as next week.

Rumblings of the prediction market launch have swirled for nearly a month. An alleged screenshot of Coinbase’s prediction markets dashboard shared by Silicon Valley researcher Jane Manchun Wong in an X post dated Nov. 18 offered some clues about the new product.

The Information first reported on Nov. 19 that Coinbase planned to launch prediction markets powered by Kalshi, adding that the exchange would unveil the new product at its “Coinbase System Update” event on Dec. 17. Bloomberg published a similar report on Thursday, citing a source familiar with the matter, adding that Coinbase would also announce a tokenized stock offering at the showcase. 

Coinbase declined to confirm the reports to CNBC, but said to tune into its event next week. The firm did not comment on a timeline for when its prediction markets would go live for its users.

Coinbase’s upcoming product launches underscore its push to refashion itself into an “everything exchange,” or a one-stop shop for trading all kinds of assets, including crypto tokens, tokenized stocks and event contracts. In May, CEO Brian Armstrong articulated that “everything exchange” vision to investors, saying Coinbase would aim to become a top financial services app within the next decade

The trading platform is setting its sights on that goal as it faces intensifying competition from rivals such as Robinhood, Gemini and Kraken. All three have launched tokenized equity offerings to users outside of the U.S. within the past year, in addition to exploring prediction markets to varying extents.

Coinbase’s moves to expand the financial instruments available to its users also come as investor sentiment on digital assets cools. A series of liquidations of highly leveraged digital asset positions in mid-October triggered several pullbacks in the crypto market, prompting investors to rotate out of tokens and into gold and other safe-have assets. 

Bitcoin fell as low as around $85,000 in early December, hitting its lowest level since last March. The token was last trading at $89,951, down 23% in the past three months. Coinbase has also fallen more than 16% over the past three months.

The deal also underscores U.S.-based prediction markets operator Kalshi’s push to embed its event contracts into various brokerages, widening its reach as the prediction markets space becomes increasingly competitive. 

This year, Kalshi embedded several of its prediction markets into trading platform Robinhood, as part of a non-exclusive partnership between the companies. Kalshi has also engaged in talks with several other major brokerages, including those in the crypto industry, with the aim of closing more deals like the ones it has struck with Robinhood and now Coinbase, a source familiar with the matter told CNBC.

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