John Williams, president and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, during a farewell symposium for former De Nederlandsche Bank NV President Klaas Knot at the central bank headquarters in Amsterdam, Netherlands, on Friday, Oct. 3, 2025.
Lina Selg | Bloomberg | Getty Images
This is CNBC’s Morning Squawk newsletter. Subscribe here to receive future editions in your inbox.
Here are five key things investors need to know to start the trading day:
1. Cutting losses
The stock market is coming off a rough week as investors mulled concerns about the state of the artificial intelligence trade and the economy. But stocks regained some ground on Friday, bolstered by renewed hope for another interest rate cut.
But the market bounced on Friday, after New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said he sees “room for a further adjustment” on interest rates.
Fed funds futures began pricing in a higher likelihood of a rate cut at the Fed’s December meting following Williams’ commentary. Traders now see a more than 73% chance of a decrease next month, up from around 42% a week ago, according to CME’s FedWatch tool.
On the other hand, Boston Fed President Susan Collins said over the weekend that she sees “reasons to be hesitant” about lower rates at the central bank’s next policy meeting.
Speaking to NBC News’ “Meet the Press” on Sunday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent acknowledged that some sectors are feeling economic pressure but said he believes the U.S. won’t enter a recession next year.
A legal filing released on Friday accuses Metaof halting internal research that allegedly found that people who stopped using Facebook became less depressed and anxious.
Meta allegedly started the study in 2019 to examine the impacts of its products on “polarization, news consumption, well-being, and daily social interactions,” the legal brief said. The filing is tied to high-profile litigation against social media platforms — including Meta, Google’s YouTube, Snap and TikTok — from plaintiffs such as school districts and state attorneys general.
Metaspokesperson Andy Stone said the company disagrees with the allegations, which he said “rely on cherry-picked quotes and misinformed opinions in an attempt to present a deliberately misleading picture.”
3. Missed shot
The Novo Nordisk A/S logo during a news conference in Mumbai, India, on Tuesday, June 24, 2025.
Analysts expected the trial — which tracked if semaglutide, the active ingredient in diabetes and weight loss drugs Ozempic and Wegovy, helped slow cognitive decline — to be a long shot. However, previous trials found that use of the drug helped with Alzheimer’s-related biomarkers.
Martin Holst Lange, Novo’s chief scientific officer, said the company felt it had a “responsibility to explore semaglutide’s potential, despite a low likelihood of success.”
4. Home for the holidays
Planes line up on the tarmac at LaGuardia Airport on November 10, 2025 in New York City.
Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty Images
U.S. airlines are expecting another record Thanksgiving travel period. As American Airlines operations chief David Seymour put it: “The stakes are high.” Lobbying group Airlines for America estimated that airlines will service more than 31 million people between Nov. 21 and Dec. 1.
The holiday travel frenzy comes not long after the end of the federal government shutdown which resulted in disrupted travel for 6 million flyers, according to A4A. Officials announced last week that air traffic controllers and technicians who had perfect attendance while the government was closed will get $10,000 bonuses.
Get Morning Squawk directly in your inbox
5. Defying gravity
Ariana Grande and Cynthia Erivo star in Universal’s “Wicked: For Good.”
Universal
Universal’s “Wicked: For Good” raked in around $150 million in domestic ticket sales this weekend. It’s the second-biggest opening weekend for a 2025 film release and the largest-ever debut for a Broadway adaption. The film’s haul also exceeds that of the first film installment of “Wicked,” which was released last year.
Around 10 million “Wicked: For Good” tickets were sold during the opening weekend, according to data EntTelligence. Paul Dergarabedian, head of marketplace trends at Comscore, said that the movie-musical could help this year’s Thanksgiving film slate give 2024’s record period “a run for its money.”
Disclosure: Comcast is the parent company of NBCUniversal, which owns CNBC. Versant would become the new parent company of CNBC upon Comcast’s planned spinoff of Versant.
The Daily Dividend
Here’s what we’re keeping an eye on this holiday week:
— CNBC’s Sean Conlon, Jeff Cox, Annie Nova, Yun Li, Kif Leswing,Leslie Josephs, Elsa Ohlenand Sarah Whitten, as well as Reuters, contributed to this report. Josephine Rozzelle edited this edition.
Alibaba showcase its AI technology application achievements from Alibaba Cloud at the World Artificial Intelligence Conference in Shanghai, China on July 26, 2025.
Cfoto | Future Publishing | Getty Images
Alibaba delivered better than expected revenue in its fiscal second quarter as sales in its key cloud computing division accelerated.
Alibaba’s New York-listed shares were around 4.3% higher in premarket trade as investors looked past a plunge in profitability.
Here’s how the company did in its fiscal second quarter ended Sept. 30 versus LSEG estimates:
Revenue rose 5% to 247.8 billion Chinese yuan ($34.8 billion) versus 242.65 billion yuan the previous year.
Investors are focused on Alibaba’s cloud computing division which books its revenue related to artificial intelligence. Over the past few quarters, Alibaba’s cloud revenue growth has accelerated.
Alibaba reported a 34% year-on-year rise in cloud computing revenue to 39.8 billion yuan versus expectations of 37.9 billion yuan. That growth rate was faster than the 26% notched in the June quarter.
The Chinese tech giant said its investments in AI were helping its cloud unit.
“Robust AI demand further accelerated our Cloud Intelligence Group business, with revenue up 34% and AI-related product revenue achieving triple-digit year-over-year growth for the ninth consecutive quarter,” CEO Eddie Wu said in an earnings statement on Tuesday.
In September, the company said it plans to increase spending on AI models and infrastructure development, on top of the 380 billion yuan ($53 billion) over three years it announced in February. Alibaba said on Tuesday it has spent around 120 billion yuan in capital expenditure toward AI and cloud infrastructure over the past four quarters.
Earnings before interest, taxes, and amortization (EBITA), a measure of profitability, increased by 35% to 3.6 billion yuan for its cloud division.
Alibaba has emerged as one of China’s leading AI players.On Monday, Alibaba said its Qwen app, the Chinese giant’s rival to OpenAI’s ChatGPT, surpassed 10 million downloads within the first week of its public launch. The app is powered by Alibaba’s Qwen artificial intelligence models.
Investors look past profit drop
Meanwhile, the company has been investing heavily in the cut-throat instant commerce market. This a product offering from Alibaba and some of its Chinese e-commerce rivals that promises super-fast delivery on certain items.
Investment in this new segment has weighed on the profitability of Alibaba’s overall business even as cloud computing remains strong.
Overall adjusted EBITA, a profitability measure closely-watched by analysts, fell 78% year-on-year to 9.1 billion yuan, with Alibaba attributing this partly to its investments in quick commerce.
But investors appear to be looking past this because of the growth acceleration at the cloud computing business and Alibaba’s core China e-commerce division which houses revenue from its online shopping platforms Taobao and Tmall as well as the quick commerce initiative. China e-commerce revenue rose 16% year-on-year to 132.6 billion yuan, with growth coming in faster than the previous quarter.
Revenue from quick commerce surged 60% year-on-year in the quarter versus 12% in the quarter before.
“In our consumption business, quick commerce continued to scale with significant improvement in unit economics and drove rapid growth in monthly active consumers on the Taobao app,” Wu said.
Jensen Huang, NVIDIA founder and CEO, has a Q&A session at a press conference during the APEC CEO summit on October 31, 2025 in Gyeongju, South Korea.
Woohae Cho | Getty Images News | Getty Images
Nvidia shares fell on Tuesday after The Information reported that Meta is considering using chips designed by Google.
Shares of Nvidia were 3.6% lower in premarket trade. Google-parent Alphabet was trading 3% higher after a more than 6% rally on Monday.
On Monday, The Information reported that Meta is considering using Google’s tensor processing units (TPUs) in its data centers in 2027. Meta may also rent TPUs from Google’s cloud unit next year, the publication reported.
Google launched its first-generation TPU in 2018 and it was initially designed for its own internal use for its cloud computing business. Since then, Google has launched more advanced versions of its chip that are designed to handle artificial intelligence workloads.
TPUs are a customized chip and experts say this gives Google an advantage over rivals as it can offer customers a highly efficient product for AI.
If Meta uses the TPUs, it would be big win for Google and potential validation of the technology.
Shares of Broadcom, which helps Google design its TPUs, were up more than 2% in premarket trade on Tuesday after an 11% rise the day before.
Nvidia remains the market leader with its graphics processing units (GPUs) that have become the main piece of hardware underpinning the huge AI infrastructure buildout. While Nvidia’s dominance is unlikely to be dislodged in the near term, Google’s TPUs add further competition into the AI semiconductor market.
Companies building AI infrastructure have been searching for a more diversified supply of chips to reduce reliance on Nvidia.
Meta is among the biggest spenders on AI infrastructure, with the company projecting its capital expenditure to stand between $70 billion to $72 billion this year.
The share price moves come amid continued debate around whether there is an “AI bubble” and stretched tech company valuations.
Nvidia has been central to the debate and the company last week reported a stronger-than-expected sales forecast for the current quarter but technology stocks fell after.
A Google logo is at the announcement of Google’s biggest-ever investment in Germany on November 11, 2025 in Berlin, Germany.
Sean Gallup | Getty Images News | Getty Images
Alphabet on Monday resuscitated the artificial intelligence trade, which had been flagging the previous week. Its stock jumped 6.3%, lifting associated AI names such as Broadcom, Micron Technology and AMD. Major indexes rallied, with the Nasdaq Composite posting its best day in six months.
Investors were particularly enthusiastic about Broadcom because it helps to design and manufacture Google-parent Alphabet’s custom AI chips. In other words, the more market share Alphabet’s AI offerings gain, the greater the benefit to Broadcom — rather like Nvidia and the broader AI sector at the moment. Broadcom shares surged 11.1% on this notion, making it the S&P 500’s top gainer.
But while investors may cheer Alphabet’s leadership on Monday, not everyone wants it to have the last word.
“Some investors are petrified that Alphabet will win the AI war due to huge improvements in its Gemini AI model and ongoing benefits from its custom TPU chip,” Melius Research analyst Ben Reitzes wrote to clients in a Monday note. “GOOGL winning would actually hurt several stocks we cover — so prepare for volatility.”
Approaching the market’s moves from another angle, Melissa Brown, managing director of investment decision research at SimCorp, said it’s a concern when just one stock lifts the market. “That just doesn’t seem to me to be a sustainable force behind driving the market higher over the next however many days,” she added.
Alphabet on Monday may have brought about alpha — in the sense of market outperformance and potentially beginning a new phase of AI enthusiasm — but letting it be the omega as well could pose problems for investors.
What you need to know today
U.S. tech stocks roar back. The Nasdaq Composite popped 2.69%, its best day since May 12, on investors enthusiasm over Alphabet.Other major indexes rose in tandem. Asia-Pacific markets were mostly Tuesday as AI-related stocks ticked up.
Record outflows from BlackRock’s bitcoin ETF. The iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF has seen an exodus of $2.2 billion this month as of Monday stateside, according to FactSet data. That’s almost eight times more in losses than last October, or its second-worst month on record.
Sandisk joins the S&P 500. The flash storage vendor will replace marketing company Interpublic Group in the index before trading begins on Nov. 28 stateside. Shares of Sandisk jumped 7% in extended trading on Monday.
Trump has back-to-back calls with Xi and Takaichi. But the Beijing-Tokyo spat is unlikely to be resolved soon. U.S. President Donald Trump has stayed publicly silent, adding uncertainty for Japan and Taiwan at a tense moment.
[PRO] The S&P 500’s dividend yield is looking dismal. For investors who are still looking to hold dividend-paying stocks,however, research firm Trivariate Research has a few suggestions on the top performers.
And finally…
MUMBAI, INDIA – OCTOBER 22: Executive chair at the South Korean automaker Hyundai Motor Group Euisun Chung and managing director and CEO at India’s National Stock Exchange (NSE) Ashish Kumar Chauhan and Jaehoon Chang, Chief Executive Officer (CEO) and President of Hyundai Motor Company pose for a photo during the listing ceremony of Hyundai Motor India for its initial public offering (IPO) at the NSE in Mumbai, India on October 22, 2024.