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Key takeaways

  • For years, US crypto firms operated under overlapping rules from the SEC, CFTC, FTC and FinCEN. The revised 2025 plan signals Washington’s intent to build a more flexible and structured framework tailored to digital assets.

  • The SEC is moving toward a model centered on innovation, capital formation, market efficiency and investor protection. This marks an acknowledgment that crypto requires dedicated rules rather than adaptations of older regulations.

  • The plan may lead to exemptions, safe harbors, DLT-specific transfer agent rules and crypto market structure amendments. These steps could help integrate digital assets into traditional market infrastructure.

  • The plan’s success will depend on cross-agency coordination and international alignment between regulatory agencies. Strong execution could encourage other jurisdictions to adopt more consistent global standards for crypto.

Since its early years, the US cryptocurrency industry has operated in an unclear regulatory environment. Different agencies, such as the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN), have been overlooking different aspects of the crypto ecosystem. In this scenario, crypto enterprises found it difficult to determine what was allowed and what was not.

The SEC’s revised 2025 plan is likely to usher in positive change. It suggests that Washington, DC is seeking a more flexible regulatory framework that streamlines crypto oversight while supporting innovation.

This article discusses the possible outcomes of the plan, its key points, the advantages it may bring and the risks it could involve. It also explores how the plan may influence the crypto ecosystem worldwide.

Why the SEC’s revised 2025 plan matters

Cryptocurrency has evolved well beyond its early speculative phase. Digital tokens are now traded on major platforms, institutional investors allocate funds to them, and tokenization is gradually entering traditional finance. In a fast-changing crypto landscape, regulations are always trying to catch up.

The SEC’s new agenda reflects a shift in approach. It emphasizes innovation, capital management, market efficiency and investor protection. This shows the SEC’s acknowledgment that cryptocurrencies require tailored rules rather than adaptations of existing ones.

Industry representatives have highlighted the lack of clear compliance guidelines and the conflicting interpretations of existing rules. They also point out the tendency to prioritize enforcement over guidance. The SEC’s 2025 agenda includes initiatives that align with many industry concerns.

Did you know? After the Mt. Gox exchange collapse in 2014, Japan became the first major economy to pass a dedicated crypto law in 2017. Japan officially recognized Bitcoin (BTC) as a legal payment method and encouraged exchanges to adopt bank-level security standards.

Major elements of the SEC’s 2025 plan

This comprehensive agenda outlines the key areas and initiatives the SEC will pursue to safeguard investors:

New rules for issuing and selling digital assets

The SEC intends to establish clear guidelines for the issuance of digital assets, which may include exemptions or safe harbor provisions for token projects. This would help determine when a token is considered a security, when it is not and what information issuers must provide. For startups, such clarity would reduce the uncertainty that surrounds token launches.

Permission for crypto trading on national securities exchanges

The SEC is considering changes that would allow digital assets to be traded directly on registered national exchanges and alternative trading systems. These potential amendments aim to bring crypto assets closer to the regulated infrastructure used for traditional stocks, improve surveillance, strengthen investor protections and reduce reliance on less regulated offshore platforms.

Simplified disclosure requirements

The plan aims to streamline and modernize disclosure and compliance obligations for publicly listed companies, including those involved with digital assets. This would reduce administrative burdens for both cryptocurrency-focused firms and traditional businesses and encourage broader adoption.

Clearer rules for crypto intermediaries

Broker-dealers, custodians and trading platforms have operated under uncertain regulatory requirements. The new agenda seeks to clarify how existing rules for securities intermediaries apply to cryptocurrency activities. This would allow more financial institutions, banks and fintech companies to offer crypto-related services with greater confidence.

Streamlining disclosures and reducing compliance burden

The SEC intends to propose a framework for streamlining disclosures. The agency’s primary role involves establishing disclosure standards designed to enhance clarity and mitigate investor risk. With the revised plan, the agency aims to reduce the compliance burden for public companies, particularly regarding shareholder proposals.

The following table provides a brief overview of the SEC’s revised 2025 plan:

Cryptocurrencies, Law, Government, SEC, Bitcoin Regulation
Salient points of the SEC revised 2025 plan

Benefits of the SEC’s revised 2025 plan

The SEC’s 2025 plan aims to enhance protection for individual investors, promote fair competition for issuers and financial institutions and strengthen the integrity and efficiency of the capital markets.

  • For cryptocurrency startups: Clearer regulations could lower legal risks and speed up product development. They would allow companies to stay in the US and grow rather than relocate abroad.

  • For traditional financial institutions: Banks and asset managers would gain regulated pathways to participate in digital assets while remaining fully compliant.

  • For investors (retail and institutional): Investors would benefit from better disclosures, safer trading venues and more consistent oversight of platforms. The plan could reduce risks such as hidden leverage or manipulative trading practices.

  • For regulators and markets: A more unified approach would reduce overlap between agencies. It would enhance market surveillance and align cryptocurrency regulation with established financial safeguards.

Did you know? Swiss regulators classify tokens based on their economic function as payment, utility or asset, similar to how farmers classify livestock. This approach helped Switzerland become one of the earliest global hubs for token innovation.

Remaining questions, risks and potential global impact

While the SEC’s revised 2025 plan looks promising, its success depends on several factors. For instance, it remains to be seen whether US agencies can coordinate effectively with regulators in other countries, given the global nature of cryptocurrencies.

The SEC will need to find an appropriate balance between fostering innovation and protecting investors. This balance will determine whether the 2025 agenda becomes successful or remains a statement of intent.

If the plan does not deliver tangible results, market participants will continue to face uncertainty. The US may lose innovation to other countries and risk its leadership in digital asset finance.

When the US updates its regulatory framework, other jurisdictions take notice. Clearer rules in the US will encourage similar regulatory changes in the European Union, the UK and Asia and foster international cooperation. This will lead to more consistent global standards for stablecoins, tokenization and custody.

The SEC’s 2025 regulatory agenda marks a significant shift toward replacing uncertainty with structure. If the proposed measures succeed, the US may enter a new phase in which cryptocurrency regulation supports responsible development and the protection of investors.

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Polymarket puts December rate-cut odds at 87% as crypto stocks climb

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Polymarket puts December rate-cut odds at 87% as crypto stocks climb

Several crypto-linked stocks climbed on Friday as prediction-market odds of a December rate cut surged to 87% on Polymarket, the highest level this month.

Three US-listed Bitcoin miners led the rally, with Cleanspark, Riot Platforms and Cipher Mining all rising in the session and showing double-digit gains over the past five days.

Federal Reserve, United States, Predictions
Probability of a US rate cut in December. Source: Polymarket

Yahoo Finance data showed Circle, the issuer of USDC, jumped nearly 10% in early trading, while Michael Saylor’s Strategy and Coinbase notched more modest increases at the time of writing.

Bitcoin (BTC) was also up around 7% on the week, after dropping to around $82,000 on Nov. 21, according to CoinGecko data.

Federal Reserve, United States, Predictions
Top 10 Bitcoin mining stocks. Bitcoin Mining Stock

Much of the volatility in prediction-market pricing this month has been driven by comments from Federal Reserve officials. 

On Oct. 29, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said a December cut was “not a foregone conclusion,” a remark investors took as hawkish — which means the Fed could delay rate cuts and keep conditions tight. Polymarket odds slipped from 89% the day before to as low as 22% by Nov. 20.

Sentiment shifted on Nov. 17 after Fed Governor Christopher Waller said the central bank should consider cutting rates next month, arguing that “the labor market is still weak and near stall speed” and that inflation is now “relatively close” to the Fed’s 2% target.

Related: Kalshi, Polymarket traders bet Supreme Court will curb Trump’s tariff powers

Prediction markets expand as demand surges

Prediction markets, such as Kalshi and Polymarket, which enable bettors to wager on the outcomes of real-world events, have expanded their reach and influence this year.

On Nov. 13, Polymarket inked a multi-year agreement with TKO Group Holdings to serve as the official prediction-market partner for the Ultimate Fighting Championships and Zuffa Boxing. The partnership came shortly after it partnered with North American fantasy sports operator PrizePicks.

The same month, Kalshi raised $1 billion from Sequoia Capital and CapitalG, pushing its valuation to $11 billion, according to a TechCrunch report citing a person familiar with the deal. The new round followed a $300 million raise in October.

On Nov. 19, rumors emerged that Coinbase is developing its own prediction-market platform after tech researcher Jane Manchun Wong posted screenshots of an unreleased site. Wong’s images indicated the product would be offered through Coinbase Financial Markets and backed by Kalshi.

Federal Reserve, United States, Predictions
Source: Jane Manchun Wong

On Wednesday, Robinhood said prediction markets have quickly become one of its fastest-growing revenue drivers, with more than one million users trading nine billion contracts since the product launched in March through a partnership with Kalshi.

Magazine: When privacy and AML laws conflict: Crypto projects’ impossible choice