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Rachel Reeves needs to “make the case” to voters that extending the freeze on personal income thresholds was the “fairest” way to increase taxes, Baroness Harriet Harman has said.

Speaking to Sky News political editor Beth Rigby on the Electoral Dysfunction podcast, the Labour peer said the chancellor needed to explain that her decision would “protect people’s cost of living if they’re on low incomes”.

In her budget on Wednesday, Ms Reeves extended the freeze on income tax thresholds – introduced by the Conservatives in 2021 and due to expire in 2028 – by three years.

The move – described by critics as a “stealth tax” – is estimated to raise £8bn for the exchequer in 2029-2030 by dragging some 1.7 million people into a higher tax band as their pay goes up.

Rachel Reeves, pictured the day after delivering the budget. Pic: PA
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Rachel Reeves, pictured the day after delivering the budget. Pic: PA

The chancellor previously said she would not freeze thresholds as it would “hurt working people” – prompting accusations she has broken the trust of voters.

During the general election campaign, Labour promised not to increase VAT, national insurance or income tax rates.

Sir Keir Starmer has insisted there’s been no manifesto breach, but acknowledged people were being asked to “contribute” to protect public services.

He has also launched a staunch defence of the government’s decision to scrap the two-child benefit cap, with its estimated cost of around £3bn by the end of this parliament.

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Prime minister defends budget

‘A moral failure’

The prime minister condemned the Conservative policy as a “failed social experiment” and said those who defend it stand for “a moral failure and an economic disaster”.

“The record highs of child poverty in this country aren’t just numbers on a spreadsheet – they mean millions of children are going to bed hungry, falling behind at school, and growing up believing that a better future is out of reach despite their parents doing everything right,” he said.

The two-child limit restricts child tax credit and universal credit to the first two children in most households.

The government believes lifting the limit will pull 450,000 children out of poverty, which it argues will ultimately help reduce costs by preventing knock-on issues like dependency on welfare – and help people find jobs.

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Budget winners and losers

Speaking to Rigby, Baroness Harman said Ms Reeves now needed to convince “the woman on the doorstep” of why she’s raised taxes in the way that she has.

“I think Rachel really answered it very, very clearly when she said, ‘well, actually, we haven’t broken the manifesto because the manifesto was about rates’.

“And you remember there was a big kerfuffle before the budget about whether they would increase the rate of income tax or the rate of national insurance, and they backed off that because that would have been a breach of the manifesto.

“But she has had to increase the tax take, and she’s done it by increasing by freezing the thresholds, which she says she didn’t want to do. But she’s tried to do it with the fairest possible way, with counterbalancing support for people on low incomes.”

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She added: “And that is the argument that’s now got to be had with the public. The Labour members of parliament are happy about it. The markets essentially are happy about it. But she needs to make the case, and everybody in the government is going to need to make the case about it.

“This was a difficult thing to do, but it’s been done in the fairest possible way, and it’s for the good, because it will protect people’s cost of living if they’re on low incomes.”

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The future of the OBR with Ed Conway

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The future of the OBR with Ed Conway

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The Office for Budget Responsibility has attracted huge criticism and anger from Chancellor Rachel Reeves, after mistakenly revealing the details of her budget hours before she delivered it.

But the watchdog already had its critics.

Liz Truss says she never realised how powerful the OBR was and that it should be abolished. And Sir Keir Starmer has criticised the OBR’s assessment of his government’s fiscal plans.

So how will the budget leak affect the OBR’s future? Niall Paterson talks to Ed Conway, Sky’s economics and data editor about exactly what the OBR is, whether it has too much power and if it will survive.

Producer: Emma Rae Woodhouse

Editor: Wendy Parker

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Budget 2025: Reeves accused of deliberately making UK finances look worse

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Budget 2025: Reeves accused of deliberately making UK finances look worse

Rachel Reeves has been accused of making the country’s economic situation appear in a worse state than it really was ahead of the budget.

A letter from the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), published on Friday, revealed it told the chancellor as early as 17 September that prevailing economic winds meant the £20 billion gap in meeting her self-imposed fiscal rule of not borrowing for day-to-day spending would actually be much smaller.

Later, in October, it informed her that the spending gap had closed altogether and the government would be running a surplus.

Wednesday’s budget, which increased taxes by more than £26bn, followed weeks of dire warnings from Ms Reeves that she would have to make “hard choices” to meet her tax and spending commitments.

This included an early morning news conference on 4 November, after the OBR told her the spending gap had closed, when she suggested she was likely to have to break a manifesto promise and raise income tax rates to secure the UK’s economic future.

Ms Reeves did not end up increasing income tax rates in the budget. But the chancellor did extend the freeze on income tax thresholds, in a move that her critics have described as a stealth tax.

The OBR sent this table revealing its timings and outcomes of the fiscal forecasts reported to the Treasury
Image:
The OBR sent this table revealing its timings and outcomes of the fiscal forecasts reported to the Treasury

Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch said the letter showed Ms Reeves had “lied to the public” and should be sacked.

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But Downing Street denied she had misled the public and the markets in the run-up to the budget.

“I don’t accept that,” the prime minister’s spokesman said.

“As she set out in the speech that she gave here (Downing Street), she talked about the challenges the country was facing and she set out her decisions incredibly clearly at the budget.”

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‘A total humiliation’: Badenoch targets Reeves

The idea of a hike in income tax rates was dropped on 13 November after several weeks of being trailed, as the Treasury cited better than expected forecasts.

But the OBR suggested it had provided ministers with no new forecasting in November.

“No changes were made to our pre-measures forecast after October 31,” the fiscal watchdog’s letter to the Treasury Select Committee said.

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4 Nov: Reeves says she will likely have to raise income tax

Ben Zaranko, an economist for the Institute for Fiscal Studies, queried the rationale behind the negative briefings ahead of the budget.

“At no point in the process did the OBR have the government missing its fiscal rules by a large margin. Leaves me baffled by the months of speculation and briefing,” he wrote on X.

“Was the plan to lead everyone to expect a big income tax rise, then surprise them on the day by not doing it?”

Ms Badenoch said: “Yet more evidence, as if we needed it, that the chancellor must be sacked. For months Reeves has lied to the public to justify record tax hikes to pay for more welfare.

“Her budget wasn’t about stability. It was about politics: bribing Labour MPs to save her own skin. Shameful.”

Pic: PA
Image:
Pic: PA

Ms Reeves’ Tory counterpart, shadow chancellor Sir Mel Stride said the downbeat briefings were “all a smokescreen”.

“Labour knew all along that they did not need to raise taxes and break their promises,” he said.

“It was an active choice to do so, to fund a huge increase in welfare spending. The OBR have now made that very clear.

“It appears the country has been deliberately misled.”

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Farmers warn mansion tax could be double whammy

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Farmers warn mansion tax could be double whammy

Farmers have warned the government it would be unfair to include farms in the mansion tax as they are working businesses, “not luxury homes”.

Rachel Reeves revealed homes worth £2m or more will be subject to an annual charge on top of council tax from 2028.

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Her spokesman refused to rule out farms having to pay the mansion tax, which could prove a double hit for farmers after last year’s budget removed inheritance tax relief for farms worth more than £1m.

The Conservatives accused Labour of “waging a war on farmers”, while the Lib Dems said the government has “no understanding of farmers or farms”.

Farmers have been protesting since Ms Reeves’s inheritance tax announcement last year.

She gave them a small concession on Wednesday as she announced farmers and small business owners will be able to transfer up to £1m of any unused inheritance tax allowance to their spouse or civil partner if they die – bringing them in line with homeowners.

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Farmers have said this is welcome but does not address the issue completely, as they said many farms will still have to sell land off, or sell up entirely, due to inheritance tax costs.

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Farmers defy ban in budget-day protest

Ms Reeves’s spokesman said there will be “a consultation that will look at different cases” for the mansion tax.

Asked if he could rule out farms having to pay the tax, he said: “There’s a consultation on cases to be accounted for.”

He said the Valuation Office Agency (VOA), which provides property taxation advice to the government, will be carrying out the consultation.

The VOA is also responsible for valuing properties for council tax and business rates.

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The main budget announcements

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‘This is not the budget you wanted to deliver’

Farmer Gavin Lane, president of the Country Land and Business Association, which represents rural property, land and business owners, told Sky News: “A farm is not a luxury home. It is a working business.

“If a tax built for high-value homes were ever stretched to cover barns, grain stores, or the land a farmer needs to run their business, it would hit people the policy was never written for.

“There are already clear rules for valuing residential property. This is about council tax on homes, and this system has always been built around residential use, not the land and buildings a farmer relies on to run a business.”

Shadow chancellor Sir Mel Stride. Pic: PA
Image:
Shadow chancellor Sir Mel Stride. Pic: PA

Conservative shadow chancellor Sir Mel Stride told Sky News: “Labour are waging a war on farmers.

“Having been whacked by the family farm tax last year, farmers now face a double hit with Rachel Reeves’s family home tax.

“Reeves’s farm tax has already placed heavy pressure on many family farms.

“At a time when certainty is essential, this budget has left people feeling that nothing is safe – not their home, their job, their savings, their pension or their farm.

“This was the benefits budget. Rachel Reeves has chosen to put taxes up on hardworking people to pay for more and more welfare.”

Lib Dem leader Sir Ed Davey told Sky News: “The government has once again shown it has no understanding of farmers or their farms.

“For many farmers, their home is their place of work. Some farmers who could be hit by this tax earn less than the minimum wage for doing work that is absolutely crucial to our country.”

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Explained: Budget 2025

Under the mansion tax, officially called the “high-value council tax surcharge”, there will be four bands.

The lowest band, for properties worth between £2m and £2.5m, will pay £2,500.

The highest band, for homes worth £5m or more, will pay £7,500.

Ms Reeves and the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) did not reveal the two middle bands and charges.

But she said the surcharge would be uprated annually by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation.

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