The earthquake swarm in southwest Iceland has eased – but the threat of an eruption remains high.
Most of the tremors in the last few hours have been too small to feel – nothing like the almost constant jolts that prompted the emergency evacuation of 4,000 people from the town of Grindavik in the early hours of Saturday.
But scientists say three previous eruptions in the area in recent years have all followed the same pattern, with magma breaking through the surface a few days after the volcanic rumblings had died down.
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1:05
Steam rises from road’s volcanic cracks
One suggestion is that the upward pressure has eased as the magma has spread out horizontally through a tunnel in the bedrock. But as more molten material pushes up from deep within the Earth, that pressure could increase once more.
The Icelandic authorities have judged that the risk has temporarily eased enough to allow Grindavik’s inhabitants to dash back to their houses to pick up pets, valuables, and essential items left behind when they fled.
They’re being escorted in by search and rescue teams, street by street, with only one person per household allowed and they’re given just five minutes to gather what they can.
It’s hugely distressing for the community. Whatever people leave behind they may never see again.
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2:09
Volcano: Town evacuated in Iceland
The authorities are also taking the opportunity to try to protect a power plant within the high risk zone by building a two-mile long gravel wall several metres high.
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The hope is that it would divert a lava flow away from the facility, which provides heat and electricity to 35,000 homes.
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Scientists are closely studying data from a network of sensors.
Some of those detect tremors, which continue to be concentrated along the magma tunnel.
And others are GPS stations picking up signals from satellites. They allow scientists to measure how much the ground is lifting and falling as the magma moves beneath. In some places that’s up to a metre.
The measurements suggest that 75 cubic metres a second of molten rock is flowing into the magma tunnel.
And scientists say everything points to an eruption in the coming days. They just don’t know precisely where or when.
Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally party will get the biggest vote share in the first round of France’s parliamentary elections, according to exit polls.
As polls closed on the first round of voting on Sunday, National Rally had a strong lead at 33%, followed by the left-wing New Popular Front coalition on 28.5%.
President Emmanuel Macron’s Renaissance party are polling third with an estimated 22%.
Addressing supporters in Henin-Beaumont, northern France, Ms Le Pen said: “For the moment nothing is won, and the second round will determine the outcome.”
She warned voters to “be careful” in the coming days, and urged them to “mobilise” ahead of the second round on 7 July.
The result is almost double the 18% National Rally achieved in the 2022 elections and puts them in good stead to become the largest party in France’s lower house.
France has a semi-presidential system – these elections are for the 577 seats in the National Assembly.
Mr Macron is the president and was elected in a separate presidential vote.
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The system means there is both a president and prime minister – who have separate powers.
Mr Macron called an early parliamentary election after his Renaissance party was decimated by Ms Le Pen’s anti-immigration one in the European elections.
Her 29-year-old protégé and party leader Jordan Bardella has enjoyed a spike in popularity, particularly among younger voters on TikTok, amid increasing discontent with Mr Macron.
He told supporters in Paris on Sunday evening: “Three weeks after the European elections the French people have given a verdict and they have confirmed their clear hopes for change.
“This is giving us hope throughout the country.”
He warned of the “dangers” of the second-place left-wing coalition and said its leader Jean-Luc Melenchon could put France in “existential peril”.
Mr Bardella therefore urged his supporters to rally ahead of the next vote and said “victory is possible” on 7 July.
Although the two-round vote means the final result may not be totally clear until next week, if National Rally ends up as the largest party, Mr Macron would be compelled to make him prime minister.
The French president and prime minister have been from different political parties only three times in its history.
A new political reality has been revealed in France, it has a new face and a new name – 28-year-old Jordan Bardella.
Frontman of the hard-right, he has helped propel National Rally to a clear-cut lead in the first round of parliamentary elections.
Bardella, the party’s choice for prime minister, stands on the brink of power if National Rally secures a majority in the second round of voting.
“I want to tell our supporters to mobilise so that they carry out a final effort next Sunday – next Sunday’s vote will be one of the most important in the history of modern France,” he said.
With roots in the collaborationist regime of Vichy France, National Rally has been re-engineered by Marine Le Pen as she has worked to make it electable – and acceptable – to the public.
A key part of that scheme rests with Le Pen’s fresh-faced prodigy. Bardella told the media that a National Rally government would respect the country’s traditional republican values.
“I will always be the guarantor of your rights and freedoms and our republican values which unite us all. I promise you freedom, equality and fraternity,” he said.
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They were challenged from the left by the New Popular Front, a hastily organised alliance of socialists, communists, greens and hard-left grouping France Unbowed.
Early results suggest they have finished a strong second, around 28% of the vote.
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There is no doubt about losers here. Emmanuel Macron‘s centrist coalition, Ensemble, performed poorly, gaining just 21% of the vote.
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2:51
Extreme right is at ‘gates of power’
Now a case of damage control
When he called this snap election, Macron was taking a gamble the drubbing his alliance received in recent European elections would not be repeated. He was wrong.
Macron’s prime minister, Gabriel Attal, said it’s now a case of damage control: “Our goal is clear, we must stop the right from gaining an absolute majority in the first round.”
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What happens next? Well, we will see a feverish week of campaigning as those candidates who have entered the final round seek to cement their advantage.
In constituencies where three people advance into the second round, parties will engage in frantic horse-trading to give their candidate the advantage.
Protesters and police clash
The country’s new political reality is also a moment of instability – both politically and on the streets.
After the results were announced, protesters erected barricades and broke windows in cities around the country.
Police responded with tear gas and baton charges.
The hard-right now have the national assembly within their grasp – but the implications of their success are unpredictable.
The search for Jay Slater in an area of Tenerife has been called off, police have said, nearly two weeks after his disappearance.
The British teenager, from Oswaldtwistle, near Blackburn in Lancashire, has been missing in Tenerife since 17 June, when he vanished the morning after a rave.
The Civil Guard called for volunteers to join a new search in the Masca area – near his last-known location – on Saturday.
It has now confirmed to Sky News that the search has ended. Police are keeping the investigation open and could yet open up searches in the south of the island, but have not provided an update.
A handful of volunteers turned up to help rescue teams on Saturday, forming a total group of 30 to 40 people scouring a huge area of rugged and hilly terrain.
Mr Slater, 19, had been on holiday with friends on the Spanish island and was last pictured at Papayago, a nightclub hosting the end of the NRG festival, late on 16 June.
After the event ended, he got in a car travelling to a small Airbnb in Masca with two men, who police said on Saturday are “not relevant” to the case.
His last known location was the Rural de Teno Park in the north of the island – which is about an 11-hour walk from his accommodation.
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0:49
‘I just want him back’
A local cafe owner told Sky News he tried to catch a bus back to Los Cristianos, where he was staying.
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Ofelia Medina Hernandez said she spoke to the teenager at 8am on 17 June, telling him a bus was due at 10am – but he set off walking and she said she later drove past him “walking fast”.
The apprentice bricklayer called a friend holidaying with him at around 8.30am on 17 June and said he was going to walk back after missing the bus.
He also told his friend he was lost and in need of water, with only 1% charge on his phone.
On Friday, Mr Slater’s friend Brad Hargreaves told ITV’s This Morning he had been on a video call with him before his disappearance when he heard him go off the road.
He said he could see his friend’s feet “sliding” down the hill and hear he was walking on gravel.
Meanwhile, Mr Slater’s family shared a blurry image of what they believe could be the missing teenager captured on CCTV in a nearby town 10 hours after he was first reported missing.
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