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A leading group of City figures are urging the chancellor to accelerate pensions reform, hand a competitiveness objective to the audit watchdog and incentivise retail investors to back British companies “at a critical pivot point… [for] the economy”.

Sky News has seen a letter from the Capital Markets Industry Taskforce (CMIT), an influential panel chaired by Julia Hoggett, the London Stock Exchange chief executive, which calls on Jeremy Hunt to advance his financial services programme in next week’s autumn statement.

In the wide-ranging letter, CMIT warned that British companies were being starved of domestic investment, saying: “The UK has remarkable companies and remarkable potential, but we do not invest in ourselves.”

CMIT, which was established last year to strengthen the competitive position of Britain’s capital markets amid concerns that fast-growing companies are increasingly being tempted to list overseas, includes the chairman of GlaxoSmithKline and chief executives of Phoenix Group and Schroders among its members.

In its letter to Mr Hunt, the taskforce said that Britain now saw far lower domestic investment by UK-based pension funds in domestic capital markets than other G7 countries.

“Capital markets exist to finance the economy, they are founded in many jurisdictions across the world on a strong domestic investor base that invests in its own economy and is incentivised to do so,” the letter said.

While countries such as Canada, Japan and France were significantly overweight when comparing their allocation to equities to the size of their own stock markets, the UK is now substantially underweight, CMIT said.

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It added that the issue was not restricted to public markets, telling the chancellor that in 2021, a Canadian pension fund invested more in one UK private company than the entire UK pensions industry invested in all UK private companies in the same year.

One member of CMIT told Sky News that the situation had become “urgent” and required immediate attention from the Treasury to build on pension reforms unveiled in Mr Hunt’s Mansion House speech earlier this year.

The issue has acquired greater impetus as a consequence of companies such as Flutter Entertainment, the FTSE-100 gambling group, announcing that it would move its primary listing to the US.

Meanwhile, ARM Holdings, the chip designer, has floated in New York rather than London, despite being a British technology champion.

The CMIT letter warned Mr Hunt that this trend was likely to continue without “proactive policy” attempting to halt it.

“The withdrawal of domestic capital starves our companies of financing, diverts UK tax-payer support to investments in non-domestic companies and ultimately impacts the efficacy of our markets,” it said.

“It also disproportionately impacts smaller and medium sized companies listed on our markets.”

CMIT argued that the Financial Reporting Council should be handed a formal competitiveness objective, complementing those of the City and banking watchdogs.

“This will ensure that the future design of our corporate governance and stewardship regimes takes into account not just good governance and stewardship, but also the attractiveness of the UK capital markets for both existing and potential domestic and international issuers, as well as domestic and international investors,” it added.

The taskforce encouraged Mr Hunt to complete his Mansion House reforms in the autumn statement by facilitating the consolidation of defined contribution pension schemes, and establishing a ‘British ISA’ that would incentivise retail savers to invest in UK-based companies.

It said an independent expert should be asked to compile a report monitoring the extent of UK pension fund investment in domestic companies.

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Polymarket puts December rate-cut odds at 87% as crypto stocks climb

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Polymarket puts December rate-cut odds at 87% as crypto stocks climb

Several crypto-linked stocks climbed on Friday as prediction-market odds of a December rate cut surged to 87% on Polymarket, the highest level this month.

Three US-listed Bitcoin miners led the rally, with Cleanspark, Riot Platforms and Cipher Mining all rising in the session and showing double-digit gains over the past five days.

Federal Reserve, United States, Predictions
Probability of a US rate cut in December. Source: Polymarket

Yahoo Finance data showed Circle, the issuer of USDC, jumped nearly 10% in early trading, while Michael Saylor’s Strategy and Coinbase notched more modest increases at the time of writing.

Bitcoin (BTC) was also up around 7% on the week, after dropping to around $82,000 on Nov. 21, according to CoinGecko data.

Federal Reserve, United States, Predictions
Top 10 Bitcoin mining stocks. Bitcoin Mining Stock

Much of the volatility in prediction-market pricing this month has been driven by comments from Federal Reserve officials. 

On Oct. 29, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said a December cut was “not a foregone conclusion,” a remark investors took as hawkish — which means the Fed could delay rate cuts and keep conditions tight. Polymarket odds slipped from 89% the day before to as low as 22% by Nov. 20.

Sentiment shifted on Nov. 17 after Fed Governor Christopher Waller said the central bank should consider cutting rates next month, arguing that “the labor market is still weak and near stall speed” and that inflation is now “relatively close” to the Fed’s 2% target.

Related: Kalshi, Polymarket traders bet Supreme Court will curb Trump’s tariff powers

Prediction markets expand as demand surges

Prediction markets, such as Kalshi and Polymarket, which enable bettors to wager on the outcomes of real-world events, have expanded their reach and influence this year.

On Nov. 13, Polymarket inked a multi-year agreement with TKO Group Holdings to serve as the official prediction-market partner for the Ultimate Fighting Championships and Zuffa Boxing. The partnership came shortly after it partnered with North American fantasy sports operator PrizePicks.

The same month, Kalshi raised $1 billion from Sequoia Capital and CapitalG, pushing its valuation to $11 billion, according to a TechCrunch report citing a person familiar with the deal. The new round followed a $300 million raise in October.

On Nov. 19, rumors emerged that Coinbase is developing its own prediction-market platform after tech researcher Jane Manchun Wong posted screenshots of an unreleased site. Wong’s images indicated the product would be offered through Coinbase Financial Markets and backed by Kalshi.

Federal Reserve, United States, Predictions
Source: Jane Manchun Wong

On Wednesday, Robinhood said prediction markets have quickly become one of its fastest-growing revenue drivers, with more than one million users trading nine billion contracts since the product launched in March through a partnership with Kalshi.

Magazine: When privacy and AML laws conflict: Crypto projects’ impossible choice