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As we navigate the final half of the last month of 2023, there’s a genuine chance that Chinese automaker Build Your Dreams (BYD) will take the crown from Tesla as the leader in global BEV market share. A global technology research firm thinks so based on BYD’s continued growth that led to it catching Tesla in Q3.

Today’s news is more of an affirmation than anything, as BYD’s global market share has been trending upward for well over a year, and as the current leader, Tesla has long had a target on its back.

BYD Auto is the automotive subsidiary of BYD Company, founded two decades ago to develop and produce passenger cars, buses, trucks, and forklifts for China. More recently, it shifted its manufacturing focus to BEVs and plug-in hybrid EVs, making its final combustion vehicle in March of 2022 while striving to become a globally recognized all-electric brand.

If you count PHEV sales, BYD already overtook Tesla in global market share in 2022 – but this is Electrek, so it’s BEVs or bust. Still, analysts were already predicting BYD taking the sales crown in 2023 as far back as January, long before we saw any quarterly numbers.

Since then, we’ve seen BYD deliver a handful of new BEV models designed to compete against… you guessed it, Tesla. Meanwhile, Tesla’s Model Y remains the best-selling BEV on the planet, and the American automaker was recently able to stumble over the finish line in delivering Cybertrucks to customers.

Each month, we’ve seen record sales from BYD leading up to its best quarter ever in Q3. Now, the usurping of Tesla for the global BEV sales crown feels imminent, and there’s data to back it up.

Tesla market share
Source: Counterpoint Research Global Passenger Electric Vehicle Tracker, Q3 2023

Tesla will likely lose market share lead to BYD this quarter

Nothing will be official until we see the Q4 BEV sales numbers for 2023, but trends leading up to this point tell us that BYD is poised to become the global market share leader if it hasn’t already. By the end of Q3 2023, BYD had caught up with Tesla, holding 17% of all global BEV sales – 68% YoY growth, according to tech research firm Counterpoint.

Tesla continues to grow as well but at a slower rate. It maintained 17% of the global market YoY but only saw 27% growth. Both automakers are impressive in their own right, as BYD leads a Chinese BEV market that holds 58% of the global share, while Tesla remains the clear leader in a much smaller US market that only controls about 12% of BEV sales. According to Counterpoint Research, the top five best-selling BEV models worldwide are donning a badge from Tesla or BYD.

Germany, the world’s third largest BEV market behind China and the US, also saw 60% YoY growth in Q3, led by Volkswagen Group, which recently admitted it is “no longer competitive” and is cutting jobs to try and keep up with Tesla. In 2022, Bloomberg predicted VW Group would overtake Tesla in 2024 – boy, were they mistaken.

Many US automakers not named Tesla are dialing back their EV production efforts entering 2024, leaving the opportunity for a more significant gap between BYD, Tesla, and the rest of the OEMs. Tesla is leveling out a bit as it’s no longer the only viable BEV brand. Still, BYD appears to be accelerating and has plenty of infrastructure to wield as it expands further into Europe, Southeast Asia, and even North America, Tesla’s home turf.

When fiscal year 2024 reports come out, it likely won’t be a matter of “if” BYD overtakes Tesla in BEV market share, but rather, “by how much.” All eyes are on next year.

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Lucid (LCID) has no plans to launch a $20,000 EV, but it could help create one

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Lucid (LCID) has no plans to launch a ,000 EV, but it could help create one

That $20,000 luxury Lucid EV you’ve been waiting for will likely never hit the market. CEO Peter Rawlinson said Lucid (LCID) has no plans to launch a $20K vehicle. However, it could play a role in bringing cheaper EVs to market.

After its third straight quarter of record deliveries in Q3, Lucid is gaining traction. The EV maker is now outselling its German luxury rivals in the US, including the Porsche Taycan and Mercedes EQS.

Lucid’s Air even outsold the Tesla Model S in the third quarter. According to Kelley Blue Book, Lucid sold 1,944 Air models in Q3, up 33% from last year, while Tesla Model S sales slipped 47% to 1,669.

The company’s growing sales come despite many media headlines claiming that EV sales are slowing or cooling.

On The Wall Street Journal’s recent Bold Names podcast, Rawlinson said there is a “false narrative” that EVs are in decline. Sales are still up, Rawlinson explained, but they may not be climbing as fast as some had predicted.

Lucid’s CEO is not surprised by some legacy automakers’ “lame efforts.” According to Rawlinson, the company was established for a different reason. Lucid exists “to advance the state of the art of EVs,” the company’s CEO said on the podcast.

Lucid-$20K-EV
Lucid Gravity SUV (left) and Air (right) (Source: Lucid)

Is Lucid launching a $20K EV?

In 2021, Lucid launched the first EV with over 500 miles range. To this day, “There’s no competitor within 100 miles of that car,” according to Rawlinson.

Lucid is focused on efficiency or enabling more range with fewer batteries. To promote widespread adoption, Rawlinson said we must hit the core issue: the cost of batteries as a function of their size.

Lucid-$20K-EV
Lucid Air (Source: Lucid)

To get there, Lucid had to start with a high-end premium product, its luxury Air sedan. The company’s leader said Lucid exists to advance “the state of the electric car” with its advanced tech. In other words, it is about driving down costs while unlocking more driving range with smaller, more efficient technology.

So does this mean we will eventually see a $20,000 Lucid EV hit the market? It’s still not likely. According to Rawlinson, Lucid has no plans to build a $20K EV because “that market sucks.”

Lucid-$20K-EV
Lucid Air (Source: Lucid)

Lucid’s CEO pointed to Porsche, one of the most profitable legacy automakers, saying, “It doesn’t operate in that sphere.”

Meanwhile, Rawlinson explained that Lucid is “commercially viable in the future.” He believes that is where Lucid could have an opportunity to license its tech.

Enabling cheaper EVs

Regarding a $20K or $25K EV, the company’s advanced tech will “enable that tomorrow,” Rawlinson said, but it will not be a Lucid vehicle. When asked, “Are you going to build that $20,000 vehicle?” Lucid’s CEO responded, “No, because that market sucks.”

The mass market segment has “terrible low margins,” and that’s not where the company is trying to compete.

Lucid-tech-advantage
(Source: Lucid Motors)

Rawlinson said other OEMs already have the manufacturing network and could put such a vehicle in place.

The premium EV maker plans to launch several lower-cost vehicles on its upcoming midsize platform, but they will still be around $50,000. Lucid’s midsize SUV, which is due out in 2026, will be “priced around 48 to $50,000,” Rawlinson confirmed.

Lucid-midsize-SUV
Lucid midsize electric SUV teaser image (Source: Lucid)

That’s the price range Lucid wants to do business in, but licensing its tech will enable others to make more affordable products.

Rawlinson said when the new midsize model model launches, “we become a Tesla competitor, head-to-head.” Lucid’s CEO said he believes the upcoming EV will be “massively better than a Tesla Model Y.” He added:

Because of our technological advantage, we should be able to make that car with its competitive range, but with less batteries than anyone else.

According to Rawlinson, doing so will not only save resources but also “allow a better gross margin per vehicle than anyone else.”

That is the game plan, the “chess game” Lucid is playing. Although the media portrays Lucid as a Tesla competitor now, the company is actually targeting Mercedes and Porsche. In a few years, it will challenge Tesla head-to-head with its midsize SUV.

Lucid-$20K-EV
Lucid Air (left) and Gravity SUV (right) models (Source: Lucid)

Before that, Lucid is launching its first electric SUV, the Gravity. It has already begun taking orders for the higher-end $94,000 model, which is scheduled to enter production later this year. A more affordable $80,000 version is planned for late 2025.

After securing another $1.75 billion through a recent capital raise, Lucid said it has enough funding for “well into 2026,” right in time for the midsize model.

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The US’s first onshore wave energy project gets the green light

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The US's first onshore wave energy project gets the green light

Eco Wave Power (Nasdaq: WAVE) has secured the final permit from the US Army Corps of Engineers to install its first onshore wave energy system in the US at AltaSea’s site in the Port of Los Angeles. This pilot project will be the first of its kind in the US.

The permit, issued under Nationwide Permit 52 for water-based renewable energy generation pilot projects, allows Eco Wave Power to install eight wave energy floaters on the existing concrete wharf at Municipal Pier One. The setup will include an energy conversion unit housed in two 20-foot shipping containers, which are already on-site and ready to go. Eco Wave Power plans to complete the US’s first onshore wave energy installation by the end of Q1 2025.

Eco Wave Power’s floaters – the blue dinghy-like things in the water in the photo above, which are in Gibraltar – convert the rising and falling motion of the waves into energy generation.

The movement of the floaters compresses and decompresses the connected hydraulic pistons that transmit biodegradable hydraulic fluid into accumulators on land, where pressure builds. The pressure rotates a hydraulic motor, which rotates the generator, and then electricity is transferred into the grid via an inverter. After decompression, the fluid flows back into the hydraulic fluid tank, where it’s then reused by the pistons, creating a closed circular system.

The whole wave-energy power station is controlled and monitored by a smart automation system.

Eco Wave Power partnered with Shell in April 2024 on the Port of Los Angeles wave energy pilot in April 2024, and the two companies will work together on the execution phase of the project now that the permit is in place.

Inna Braverman, CEO of Eco Wave Power, said, “We are thrilled to receive this final permit and move one step closer to bringing wave energy to the US. This project represents not only a technological breakthrough but also a crucial step in advancing the global transition to renewable energy.”

Eco Wave Power operates the first grid-connected wave energy system in Israel and is also preparing to install projects in Taiwan and Portugal.

Wave energy holds massive potential. The US Department of Energy’s National Renewable Energy Laboratory estimates that wave energy could potentially generate enough energy to power hundreds of millions of homes. Eco Wave Power’s aim is for its Port of Los Angeles pilot project to advance wave energy as a potential reliable and mainstream renewable power source.

Read more: China powers up the world’s largest open-sea offshore solar farm


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Damon insists its always-next-year 200 MPH electric motorcycle isn’t vaporware

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Damon insists its always-next-year 200 MPH electric motorcycle isn't vaporware

Damon Motorcycles, the startup that in 2019 unveiled a flashy electric motorcycle intended to best its combustion engine-powered competition, has announced that it has gone public and will assemble its first production-intent motorcycles next year.

The company’s announcement today claims that it has gone public on the Nasdaq and touts its US $100M in “deposit backed reservations”. The deposit amounts vary, but for the brand’s flagship US $40,000 Damon HyperFighter Colossus, the US $250 fully-refundable deposit would imply somewhere around 2,500 to 3,000 reservations.

However, those reservations have been rolling in for quite some time and many were likely based on the brand’s earlier announcements and unveilings – several of which trickled out between 2019 and 2022.

But the company’s founder and CEO Jay Giraud says riders should still expect Damon to make good on its promises of a 200 mile, 200 mph, and 200 hp (320 km, 320 km/h, 150 kW) electric motorcycle coming next year.

“Our vision is resonating with a global community that’s ready for a more modern riding experience – what the old guard keeps selling year after year has gotten stale,” explained Giraud. “And reaching $100M in reservations is a pretty good indication that it’s time to think different.”

For years now we’ve heard that Damon’s upcoming electric motorcycles won’t only be powerful sport bikes, but will also be brimming with new technology and advanced features never before seen in motorcycling.

That technology suite includes a feature that Damon first touted in January of 2020 known as CoPilo, an AI-enhanced 360º collision warning system, as well as Shift™, electronically adaptive ergonomics that transform the riding position from sport to commuter on the fly.

While a shapeshifting motorcycle with 360 degree AI-enhanced vision sounded like science fiction when the company was launched in 2019, we’ve since seen affordable commuter e-motos like Ryvid rollout frame-shifting tech that lets owners adjust the bike’s geometry while actively riding, and startups like RiderDome are already providing 360-degree AI-enhance motorcycle sensor systems.

Damon Motorcycles could still reach uncharted territory if the company can produce a 200 mph and 200 hp electric motorcycle with its claimed 200 miles of highway range, but that still sounds like a big “if.”

For now, the most up-to-date goalpost location appears to now be 2025, though the company is only claiming to be preparing “for assembly of a fleet of production intent vehicles in 2025.” It remains to be seen when true production will begin and that supposed US $100M sitting out there can be converted into bikes

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