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Extreme weather has seen records broken and many lives lost or displaced in 2023.

Scientists believe preliminary figures show the past 12 months to be the hottest in 125,000 years.

Here’s a look at some of the year’s biggest weather-related events from across the globe.

January

In the US, the end of 2022 into the first weeks of 2023 saw at least 21 people killed in flooding, mudslides and power outages in California – a further 1,400 were rescued.

Iowa saw its first January tornadoes in more than 50 years, while around 50 million people were placed under alert as a winter storm slowly moved across the southern states.

This photo provided by Micah Crockett, District 2 Weaverville Maintenance Supervisor, shows heavy machinery removing a rock slide on State Route 299, in Trinity County, between Burnt Ranch and Hawkins Bar in Burnt Ranch, Calif., Saturday, Dec. 31, 2022. Landslides of rock and mud closed roadways across California as heavy rains kicked off what will be series of storms poised to usher in the new year, likely bringing downpours and flooding. An atmospheric river storm began sweeping across the nor
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January: Flooding and mudslides ushered in the new year in California. Pic: AP

This was despite, overall, the US experiencing its sixth warmest January on record.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said the average temperature was 5.1F above average.

In New Zealand, four people died as torrential rain brought flash flooding and landslides to Auckland.

In Western Australia’s Kimberley region, Tropical Cyclone Ellie brought a year’s worth of rain in just a few days.

The “one-in-100-year” floods forced military aircraft to help residents evacuate their homes.

February

At the beginning of the month, Cyclone Freddy formed in the southern Indian Ocean near Australia and became one of the most long-lasting and deadly storms on record.

It would take until the middle of March before it finally dissipated, leaving behind a trail of destruction and breaking records for the number of times – seven – it re-intensified.

February/March: Cyclone Freddy brought severe flooding to Malawi
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February/March: Cyclone Freddy brought severe flooding to Malawi

Officials believe it killed at least 1,400 people – including more than 1,200 in Malawi where intense rain brought destructive flash flooding.

Hundreds more people were left missing.

When it made landfall in Madagascar and Mozambique, authorities said it killed more than 200 people and damaged thousands of buildings, infrastructure and farmland.

The storm recorded more energy over its lifetime than a whole typical US hurricane season, meteorologists said.

March

Some parts of Spain experienced their driest March in 20 years, officially placing the country in long-term drought and increasing concerns about the nation’s water reserves.

Drinking water supplies fell to their lowest level since 1990, officials said.

Spain’s first major wildfire of the year forced hundreds of villagers to leave behind their animals as they fled their homes.

Torrential rain brought surging waters and flash flooding to Turkish provinces Adiyaman and Sanliurfa.

A man walks on the cracked ground of the Baells reservoir as drinking water supplies have plunged to their lowest level since 1990 due to extreme drought in Catalonia, in the village of Cersc, in the region Bergueda, Spain, March 14, 2023.
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March: A man walks on the cracked ground of what is normally a reservoir in Catalonia, Spain

A road connecting the two cities of Blantyre and Lilongwe is seen damaged following heavy rains caused by Tropical Cyclone Freddy in Blantyre, Malawi Tuesday, March 14 2023. (AP Photo/Thoko Chikondi)
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March: The power of Cyclone Freddy left a trail of destruction in Malawi and Mozambique. Pic: AP

Officials said 16 people were killed as roads were turned into rivers in the same southeastern region which had been hit by an earthquake just weeks earlier.

A container home providing accommodation for a group of earthquake survivors in Tut, a town in Adiyaman, was swept away, while two firefighters were reported missing and another six people died in floodwaters in Sanliurfa.

April

Many parts of Europe felt more like July as a heatwave gripped much of the continent and broke records.

A heat dome from northern Africa to the Iberian Peninsula saw the mercury climb to around 40C (104F) for millions of people – up to 20C higher than the average for the time of year.

Spain recorded its hottest ever April temperature, reaching 38.8C (101.84F), while the blistering heat also hit a record high in Portugal.

The extreme conditions followed the driest March in 20 years in Spain, officially placing the nation into long-term drought and prompting Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez to warn of the ongoing “challenge” posed by climate change.

Reservoirs were around 15% below average levels, with some shrinking to just 26% of capacity.

A view of damaged homes in the aftermath of a tornado, after a volatile storm system tore through the South and Midwest on Tuesday and Wednesday, in Glenallen, Missouri, U.S. April 5, 2023. REUTERS/Cheney Orr
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April: Damaged homes in the aftermath of tornadoes which swept through the US south and Midwest

At least 11 people were killed when tornadoes ploughed through the US south and Midwest.

One person died when the storms forced a theatre roof to collapse during a heavy metal gig in Belvidere, Illinois – leaving many others buried beneath rubble.

May

Hundreds of people were reported killed or missing as Cyclone Mocha made landfall in Myanmar and the coast of Bangladesh.

Myanmar’s meteorological department said it packed winds of around 130mph as it reached land – but it had also become one of the strongest storms on record when it intensified to 175mph as it headed across the Indian Ocean.

Officials in Myanmar, a country run by military leadership, said more than 450 people had been killed, but other reports put the figure nearer to 150.

FILE - A woman salvages belongings from her home damaged by Cyclone Mocha at Saint Martin island in Cox's Bazar, Bangladesh, Monday, May 15, 2023.  The U.N. weather agency reported Monday that nearly 12,000 extreme weather, climate and water-related events over much of the last half-century around the globe have killed more than 2 million people and caused economic damage of $4.3 trillion. (AP Photo/Al-emrun Garjon, File)
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May: A woman salvages belongings from her home, which was damaged by Cyclone Mocha in Bangladesh. Pic: AP

In Bangladesh, around 500,000 people fled coastal areas – while the UN said the severe conditions had put two million individuals at risk.

In the eastern Democratic Republic of Congo, more than 400 people were said to have been killed in flash floods in one of the country’s deadliest natural disasters.

A general view shows the ruins of a home destroyed following rains that destroyed the remote, mountainous area and ripped through the riverside villages of Nyamukubi, Kalehe territory in South Kivu province of the Democratic Republic of Congo May 9, 2023. REUTERS/Djaffar Sabiti
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May: Communities were swept away by landslides in the Democratic Republic of Congo

Days of torrential rain triggered landslides and caused rivers to break their banks.

Speaking to the Reuters news agency, South Kivu governor Theo Ngwabidje Kasi said the number of deaths stood at 401 – but officials feared this was eventually much higher.

Flooding and landslides also killed at least 129 people in Rwanda and six in Uganda.

June

Fires which first started burning in April and May escalated further in June in what would become the worst wildfire season in Canadian history.

The previous record season was in 1989 when wildfires scorched 7.6 million hectares (18.8 million acres) – nearly the size of Scotland.

But in 2023, thousands of people were displaced and at least four firefighters died as the burning conditions swept across at least 18 million hectares (44.5 million acres) – an area comfortably bigger than England, Wales and Northern Ireland combined.

The sun rises over a hazy New York City skyline as seen from Jersey City, N.J., Wednesday, June 7, 2023. Intense Canadian wildfires are blanketing the northeastern U.S. in a dystopian haze, turning the air acrid, the sky yellowish gray and prompting warnings for vulnerable populations to stay inside. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)
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June: Smoke from wildfires in Canada drifted into the US, dramatically hitting the air quality in cities like New York. Pic: AP

With drier conditions than normal, smoke from Canadian fires drifted south into the US, forcing thousands of flights to be delayed and postponing baseball games.

Cities were left in a yellow-brown fog as forest fires in Canada saw 120,000 people flee their homes.

Most of Haiti was hit by heavy rain, strong winds, floods and landslides at the beginning of the month.

More than 40 people died, while nearly 6,500 had to leave their homes, according to the Haitian civil protection – but other sources said around 40,000 had been displaced due to the extreme conditions.

July

Temperatures consistently climbed above 40C across Europe as the month became the hottest on record.

The Copernicus Climate Change Service said the average world temperature was 16.95C (62.51F) across the month – beating the 2019 record of 16.63C (61.93F).

Antarctic sea ice also dropped to lows not seen since records began in 1979.

Two brown bears stand as workers prepare to throw food at them at the Bear Sanctuary in Pristina, Kosovo, July 18, 2023. REUTERS/Fatos Bytyci
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July: Two bears stand as workers prepare to throw food to them at a sanctuary in Kosovo as temperatures soar

July also saw the hottest three-week period ever recorded, the three hottest days on record, and the highest-ever ocean temperatures for the time of year.

The month became the hottest on record.

Southern Europe struggled with record high temperatures, while wildfires in Canada and Greece continued to impact the environment and people’s health.

The European Space Agency’s heat-sensing satellite Copernicus detected land surface temperatures had exceeded 45C (113F) across much of Italy.

On the slopes of Mount Etna, the volcano on Sicily, the earth temperature passed 50C (122F) on 9 and 10 July when readings were taken in the morning.

A southern Europe heatwave, named Ceberus, saw Spain, France, Greece, Turkey, Kosovo and Italy struggling in the intense conditions.

Spain flirted with temperatures of around 45C, while Sicily and Sardinia continued to experience figures approaching 50C.

Forest fires took hold across the continent, including in Turkey, Greece, Croatia, Portugal, Spain and Italy.

A tree burns during a wildfire in Mandra, Greece, July 18, 2023. REUTERS/Louiza Vradi TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY SEARCH "YEAR-END CLIMATE" FOR THIS STORY. SEARCH "REUTERS YEAR-END" FOR ALL BEST OF 2023 PACKAGES.
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July: Wildfires threatened seaside communities in Greece

In Greece, evacuation orders were issued for at least six seaside communities. Hundreds of children were also evacuated from a summer camp west of Athens.

The European Forest Fire Information System said across the EU, more than 180,000 hectares (444,800 acres) of land – an area bigger than Greater London – had been scorched by the fires by the end of the third week of July.

In the Philippines, at least 27 people died when a boat overturned during a typhoon.

Record monsoon showers killed more than 100 people over two weeks in parts of northern India, including in Himachal Pradesh, which was the worst hit.

In neighbouring Myanmar, five people were killed and around 60,000 were displaced after heavy flooding caused by intense rain.

At least 33 people died and many others were trapped when monsoon rain continued into August, triggering floods and landslides in India’s Himalayan region.

Rainfall was “excessive” in Pakistan – the country’s meteorological service said it was 70% above average – with the authorities revealing at least 50 people had died in heavy monsoon rains.

July also saw the beginning of a lengthy heatwave in South America.

In what is normally the winter, temperatures climbed to above 40C in Brazil, Paraguay, Bolivia and Argentina and lingered into the spring.

A photo shows a flooded road in Akita City, Akita Prefecture on July 15, 2023. Due to the influence of the seasonal rain front, Akita Prefecture experienced record heavy rain on the 15th.( The Yomiuri Shimbun via AP Images )
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July: Flooding brought chaos to parts of Japan. Pic: AP

A photo shows mud and debris due to the flood of torrential rain in Kurume City, Fukuoka Prefecture, northern Kyushu region, on July 11, 2023. A series of linear precipitation bands brought heavy rainfall to Fukuoka, Oita and Saga prefectures from July 9th. At least six people died, and three others have been missing.( The Yomiuri Shimbun via AP Images )
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July: Buildings were swept away by floods and landslides in Japan. Pic: AP

In Japan, two people died and more were missing as tens of thousands of residents were urged to move out of areas in danger of landslides and flooding amid torrential rain.

In China, torrid heat gripped the country for several weeks – forcing local officials to ask residents and businesses to curb the usage of electricity.

Heavy rainstorms hit New York and Pennsylvania with the emergency services rescuing people stuck in vehicles along flooded roads.

A “dangerous” heatwave also affected up to 200 million people in the eastern United States.

In Phoenix, Arizona, the mercury climbed to above 43C (109.4F) for a record 31 consecutive days – while President Joe Biden said experts had revealed extreme heat was “already costing America $100bn a year”.

UN secretary general Antonio Guterres said: “The only surprise is the speed of the change.

“Climate change is here. It is terrifying. And it is just the beginning.”

August

Hundreds of people were reported missing as wildfires swept across Maui in Hawaii.

Maui county’s mayor, Richard Bissen, said the deadliest fires in US history had killed more than 100 people.

A total of 850 people were still missing following the fires in Maui, he said.

Fire damage is shown in the Wahikuli Terrace neighborhood in the fire ravaged town of Lahaina on the island of Maui in Hawaii, U.S., August 15, 2023. REUTERS/Mike Blake TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY
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August: Hawaii experienced the deadliest wildfires in US history

Vehicles cross over a flood control basin that has almost reached the roadway as Tropical Storm Hilary hits the area, Sunday, Aug. 20, 2023, in Palm Desert, Calif. (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)
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August: Vehicles struggle to make their way on one route in California as Storm Hilary grips the area. Pic: AP

Storm Hilary approached the Mexican coast before heading into the US and bringing California its first tropical storm in 84 years.

At least nine million people in southern California were warned of “life-threatening” rain, mudslides, tornadoes, high winds and power outages.

September

Mediterranean Storm Daniel caused catastrophic flooding – before engulfing entire neighbourhoods in Libya.

The storm began forming over the Ionian Sea on 4 September and after battering Bulgaria, Turkey and Greece, made its way south across the Mediterranean towards Africa.

Rescuers and relatives sit in front of collapsed buildings after recent flooding caused by Mediterranean storm Daniel, in Derna, Libya, Monday, Sept. 18, 2023. Derna flood survivor Abdul Salam Anwisi said he woke up at one-thirty in the morning to a loud scream from outside, to find his neighbours' homes flooded with water. He, his sons and other neighbours rushed to rescue the stranded families by pulling them from the roof of their house.(AP Photo/Muhammad J. Elalwany)
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September: Rescuers search through the debris of collapsed buildings in Derna. Pic: AP

FILE - A damaged road is visible following storm Daniel in Derna, Libya, Sept. 12, 2023. This year...s COP28 in Dubai is likely to see more discussion about compensation for developing nations harmed by climate change. (AP Photo/Jamal Alkomaty)
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September: Thousands of people lost their lives in Derna, Libya. Pic: AP

Thousands were killed in Derna when a torrent of water caused buildings to collapse and swept away communities in the Libyan city.

Libya asked for international help, declaring the eastern Cyrenaica province a disaster area.

The number of deaths climbed to at least 11,300 in Derna, the Libyan Red Crescent said – but government officials said the final figure of those killed was above 20,000 and much of the city had been swept out to sea.

Locals are evacuated on an excavator from a flooded area in the aftermath of Storm Daniel in Larissa, Greece, September 10, 2023. REUTERS/Elias Marcou SEARCH "GLOBAL POY 2023" FOR THIS STORY. SEARCH "REUTERS POY" FOR ALL BEST OF 2023 PACKAGES. TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY
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September: After a long heatwave, Storm Daniel brought more disruption to Greece

Many homes, businesses and roads were flooded in Greece – the storm dumped the equivalent of 18 months of rain on Thessaly in less than three days, devastating the agricultural region.

It was a dramatic end to one of Greece’s longest heatwaves in decades.

Three people were killed in Bulgaria when the storm caused a bridge to collapse, officials said.

October

Storm Babet brought extreme conditions, including torrential rain, to northern and western Europe.

In the UK, at least seven people were killed.

The government said reports of floods to the Environment Agency (EA) reached the highest level since 2015/16, with more than 300 flood warnings being issued.

Hundreds of people were left homeless with about 1,250 properties in England flooded, according to the EA.

Waves crash against Seaham lighthouse during Storm Babet in Seaham, Britain, October 20, 2023. REUTERS/Lee Smith
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October: Many areas in the UK broke rainfall records when Storm Babet arrived

The Met Office said a total of 13 areas broke their daily rainfall records for October, including locations in Suffolk, South Yorkshire, Lincolnshire, Wiltshire, Kincardineshire, North Yorkshire, Nottinghamshire, Northumberland, Derbyshire and Humberside.

The storm brought chaos to other parts of Europe – killing one person in Germany, causing water surges not seen in more than 100 years in Denmark, damaged trees and homes in Norway, and caused the collapse of ceilings at a terminal building at Faro airport in Portugal.

Meanwhile, more than 100 dolphins and thousands of fish were found dead in the Brazilian Amazon amid the record-breaking high temperatures.

Experts said the temperature of the water in some parts of the Amazon reached a record 39C (102.2F) and believe the conditions are making it increasingly difficult for wildlife to survive.

Canoes are seen at the dry riverbed of the Paraua river during a historic drought in the Amazon, in Careiro da Varzea, Amazonas state, Brazil October 26, 2023. REUTERS/Bruno Kelly
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October: Canoes on the riverbed in Brazil in a year which brought an historic drought to the Amazon

The Amazon drought shows the region is becoming drier, experts said – by the beginning of November, six out of 22 river monitoring stations had registered their lowest level on record, while just five were at normal levels.

In the city of Manaus, which was choked with smoke from wildfires, the Rio Negro – a tributary of the Amazon River – fell to its lowest level in 121 years.

A researcher from the Mamiraua Institute for Sustainable Development retrieves dead dolphins from Tefe lake, which flows into the Solimoes river, that has been affected by the high temperatures and drought in Tefe, Amazonas state, Brazil, October 2, 2023. REUTERS/Bruno Kelly TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY. REFILE - CORRECTING "EFFLUENT" MENTION ABOUT LAKE
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October: Dolphins were found dead in the Brazilian Amazon amid fears the changing conditions are making it more difficult for wildlife to survive

Experts continued to express concerns about the future of the Amazon, highlighting how it currently absorbs planet-heating carbon.

But if too many trees die and rot, it would become a net carbon emitter – accelerating climate change.

In Kenya, Somalia and Ethiopia, seasonal rains lead to severe flooding and landslides.

Hundreds of people are killed while hundreds of thousands are forced from their homes, according to officials.

Kenya’s meteorological department later warns the heavy rains will continue into the new year.

November

A second major storm in a month hits the UK along with the Channel Islands and parts of Europe – bringing 104mph winds, torrential rain and flooding.

The Met Office said Storm Ciaran in southern Britain was “comparable in severity” with the Great Storm of October 1987.

Waves crash over the promenade in Folkestone, Kent, as Storm Ciaran brings high winds and heavy rain along the south coast of England. The Environment Agency has issued 54 warnings where flooding is expected, and an amber weather warning is in place with winds expected to reach 70mph to 80mph. Picture date: Thursday November 2, 2023.
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November: Waves crash over the promenade in Kent as Storm Ciaran brings high winds and heavy rain

Tree branches on a damaged car during Storm Ciaran in Clohars-Carnoet, Brittany, France, November 2, 2023. REUTERS/Stephane Mahe
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November: Storm Ciaran brought dangerous conditions to France and across Europe

A tornado in Jersey during the storm was likely to have been the strongest in the British Isles for almost 70 years, the Tornado And Storm Research Organisation said.

In northern France, a reported 1.2 million people were without power.

A Met Office analysis said at least 13 deaths were reported across Europe as the storm made its way into countries such as Germany, Italy and Belgium – other sources said the combined figure of those killed across the continent was above 20.

Fire is seen in the distance from the Tenterfield CBD, in Tenterfield, Australia, October 31, 2023
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October and November: The horizon burns near Tenterfield amid a series of wildfires in western parts of Australia

In western Australia, the emergency services tackled bushfires amid a rare spring heatwave with temperatures reaching around 40C.

Ten homes were destroyed, residents were evacuated from some communities and a number of firefighters were hurt tackling fires in Perth.

In Brazil, Sao Paulo saw temperatures reach 37.7C (99.86F) – which meteorologists said was the highest figure for a November day in the city since 1943.

Most Brazilian states faced “great danger” from the ongoing heatwave which had stretched from the region’s winter into what is normally the spring, according to the National Institute Of Meteorology.

A man cools off in a water fountain at Madureira Park amid a heat wave in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Pic: AP
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November: The soaring Brazilian heat forced people to find ways to cool down, including sitting in a water fountain. Pic: AP

The heat index – a combination of temperature and humidity – hit a record high of 58.5C (137.3F) in Rio de Janeiro.

Wildfires also burned in the Brazilian Pantanal – the world’s biggest tropical wetlands.

The fires ravaged an area about the size of Cyprus, or more than 947,000 hectares (2,340,000 acres).

December

Floods and landslides in northern Tanzania killed 47 people following torrential rain, said government officials.

Search and rescue operations took place in the Manyara region as the authorities feared some bodies might be trapped in the mud.

Members of the Tanzania Defense Forces and rescuers search for the bodies of people killed following flash floods and landslides near the slopes of Mount Hanang in the Manyara region, Tanzania, December 4, 2023. REUTERS/Stringer
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December: Rescuers search for the bodies of people killed in floods and landslides in Tanzania

The rains left a trail of destruction, damaging infrastructure and submerging towns in East Africa, displacing hundreds of thousands of people.

An atmospheric river brought heavy rain, flooding and warm winter temperatures to the Pacific Northwest.

Daily rainfall records were broken in Seattle after the city received 1.5 inches of rain.

A landslide closed parts of a Seattle trail popular with walkers, joggers and cyclists – while temperatures nearly reached 18C (64.4F) in Walla Walla, Washington.

Record-breaking heat hit parts of Australia.

The temperature reached 43.5C (110.3F) at Sydney Airport – the highest recorded at the same weather station since records began in 1929.

Another weather station in the city recorded temperatures of 38.9C (102F).

The temperature was almost 15 degrees above the average December high for Sydney.

Southern parts of the country then received more than two months of rainfall in less than 24 hours as the heat eased, meteorologists said.

A week later, more than 300 people were rescued from floods caused by heavy rain in northern Australia.

Several towns along the coast near the Great Barrier Reef were cut off by the conditions, which were linked to the former tropical cyclone Jasper.

Queensland state received around 24 inches of rain across 40 hours – more than triple the December average.

Storm damaged homes are seen along Nesbitt Lane, Sunday, Dec. 10, 2023 in Nashville, Tenn. Central Tennessee residents and emergency workers are continuing the cleanup from severe storms and tornadoes that hit the area. (AP Photo/George Walker IV)
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December: Storms swept across Tennessee, destroying homes and buildings. Pic: AP

At least six people died in storms and tornadoes across parts of the southern US state of Tennessee.

Spain experienced record heat for December with temperatures of 30C (86F) endangering the winter sports season.

“It’s one of the warmest masses of air to have ever overflown Spain at this point in December,” said Ruben del Campo of the national weather agency AEMET.

Meanwhile, back in the UK this week, a rare supercell thunderstorm hit parts of Greater Manchester, causing significant damage to about 100 homes.

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Dramatic footage shows tornado damage

It’s also thought a second supercell thunderstorm struck Lancashire, causing hail, lightning and strong winds.

Supercell thunderstorms have a deep and persistently rotating current of air at their centre that can form a tornado in about 30% of supercell thunderstorms or less, according to the US National Weather Service.

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Trump ‘thinking’ of going to Turkey for proposed Zelenskyy-Putin talks – as Russia silent on attending

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Trump 'thinking' of going to Turkey for proposed Zelenskyy-Putin talks - as Russia silent on attending

Donald Trump has said he is “thinking” of going to Turkey on Thursday for potential peace talks between Ukraine and Russia’s leaders.

The US president, who previously claimed he could end the conflict in a day, has pushed for both sides to meet to bring the fighting to an end.

On Sunday, Ukraine’s Volodymyr Zelenskyy called out Vladimir Putin to meet him on Thursday in Istanbul, but the Kremlin leader has yet to respond.

Speaking late on Monday, Mr Trump said: “I was thinking about flying over. I don’t know where I am going be on Thursday.

“I’ve got so many meetings.

“There’s a possibility there I guess, if I think things can happen.”

Mr Trump has headed to the Middle East this week on the first major foreign trip of his second administration, visiting Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the UAE.

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Mr Zelenskyy backed the prospect of Mr Trump attending the talks.

He said: “I supported President Trump with the idea of direct talks with Putin. I have openly expressed my readiness to meet.

“And of course, all of us in Ukraine would appreciate it if President Trump could be there with us at this meeting in Turkey.”

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Trump 100: Could Putin, Zelenskyy and Trump really meet?

Russia playing for time?

However, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov, speaking on Monday, refused to say who, if anyone, would be travelling to Turkey from the Russian side.

“Overall, we’re determined to seriously look for ways to achieve a long-term peaceful settlement. That is all,” Mr Peskov said.

This came after the “coalition of the willing”, including Sir Keir Starmer, threatened Russia with fresh sanctions if it failed to comply with an unconditional 30-day ceasefire starting on Monday.

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Russia effectively rejected this proposal, instead calling for direct negotiations in Istanbul with Ukraine, at which Mr Zelenskyy challenged Mr Putin to make the trip himself.

Despite Russia’s claims towards wanting peace, Ukraine’s allies remained deeply sceptical about prospects for talks and whether Mr Putin was serious.

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Why Trump’s Middle East tour takes on new importance
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Did Trump blink in the US-China trade war?

European Union commission vice president Kaja Kallas said: “We want to see that Russia also wants peace.

“It takes two to want peace, it takes only one to want war, and we see that Russia clearly wants war.”

Meanwhile, Russia continued its nightly attacks on Ukraine.

Overnight into Tuesday, Ukraine said Moscow launched more than 100 drones.

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Trump set for truly consequential week for his presidency and his ability to effect change

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Trump set for truly consequential week for his presidency and his ability to effect change

It has been an extraordinary few hours which may well set the tone for a hugely consequential week ahead.

In the time that it took me to fly from London to Saudi Arabia, where President Donald Trump will begin a pivotal Middle East tour this week, a flurry of news has emerged on a range of key global challenges.

On the Gaza war: The Trump administration has confirmed it’s holding talks with Hamas, which says it will release a hostage amid renewed hopes of a ceasefire.

On the Ukraine war: President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has said he is prepared to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin in Istanbul – this announcement came minutes after Trump urged Zelenskyy to agree to the meeting.

On the China-US trade war: The White House says the two countries have agreed to a “trade deal”. China said the talks, in Geneva, were “candid, in-depth and constructive”.

All three of these developments represent dramatic shifts in three separate challenges and hint at the remarkable influence the US president is having globally.

This sets the ground for what could be a truly consequential week for Trump’s presidency and his ability to effect change.

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Ask Mark Stone a question

With his unique style, Trump is seeking to align numerous stars as he embarks on his first foreign diplomatic trip of his second presidency.

For days, it’s been unclear how the week ahead would unfold and which global challenge would be dominant.

The Saudi government has been instrumental as a broker in the Ukraine-Russia conflict and Qatar has been a mediator in the Gaza war.

Trump will visit both countries this week.

President Donald Trump on Air Force One earlier this month. File pic: AP
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President Donald Trump on Air Force One earlier this month. File pic: AP

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Putin under pressure?

On Ukraine, Putin held a late-night news conference at the Kremlin on Saturday at which he made the surprise proposal of talks with Zelenskyy in Istanbul this Thursday.

But he rejected European and US calls for an immediate ceasefire.

The move was widely interpreted as a delay tactic.

Trump then issued a social media post urging Zelenskyy to accept the Russian proposal; effectively to call Putin’s bluff.

The American president wrote: “President Putin of Russia doesn’t want to have a Cease Fire Agreement with Ukraine, but rather wants to meet on Thursday, in Turkey, to negotiate a possible end to the BLOODBATH. Ukraine should agree to this, IMMEDIATELY. At least they will be able to determine whether or not a deal is possible, and if it is not, European leaders, and the U.S., will know where everything stands, and can proceed accordingly! I’m starting to doubt that Ukraine will make a deal with Putin, who’s too busy celebrating the Victory of World War ll, which could not have been won (not even close!) without the United States of America. HAVE THE MEETING, NOW!!!”

Within minutes, Zelenskyy responded, agreeing to the talks.

“We await a full and lasting ceasefire, starting from tomorrow, to provide the necessary basis for diplomacy. There is no point in prolonging the killings. And I will be waiting for Putin in Türkiye on Thursday. Personally. I hope that this time the Russians will not look for excuses,” Zelenskyy wrote on X.

The prospect of Putin and Zelenskyy together in Istanbul on Thursday is remarkable.

It raises the possibility that Trump would want to be there too.

President Volodymyr Zelenskyy welcomes other world leaders to Kyiv. 
Pic: Presidential Office of Ukraine/dpa/AP Images
Image:
President Volodymyr Zelenskyy welcomes other world leaders to Kyiv. Pic: Presidential Office of Ukraine/dpa/AP Images

Israel’s war in Gaza

On Gaza, it’s been announced that US envoy Steve Witkoff will arrive in Israel on Monday to finalise details for the release of Idan Alexander, an Israeli-American hostage being held by Hamas.

The development comes after it was confirmed that Mr Witkoff has been holding discussions with Israel, Qatar and Egypt and, through them, with Hamas.

The talks focused on a possible Gaza hostage deal and larger peace discussions for a ceasefire.

Read more:
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Pope addresses major wars in first Sunday message

Gaza after around a year and a half of Israeli attacks.
Pic: Reuters/Mahmoud Issa
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Gaza after around a year and a half of Israeli attacks. Pic: Reuters/Mahmoud Issa

Just days ago, Israel announced a new military plan to move back into Gaza.

When do candid talks become a trade deal?

Meanwhile, officials from the United States and China have been holding talks in Geneva, Switzerland, to resolve their trade war, which was instigated by Trump’s tariffs against China.

Late on Sunday evening, the White House released a statement claiming that a trade deal had been struck.

In a written statement, titled “U.S. Announces China Trade Deal in Geneva”, treasury secretary Scott Bessent said: “I’m happy to report that we made substantial progress between the United States and China in the very important trade talks… We will be giving details tomorrow, but I can tell you that the talks were productive. We had the vice premier, two vice ministers, who were integrally involved, Ambassador Jamieson, and myself. And I spoke to President Trump, as did Ambassador Jamieson, last night, and he is fully informed of what is going on. So, there will be a complete briefing tomorrow morning.”

Beijing Global Times newspaper quoted the Chinese vice premier as saying that the talks were candid, in-depth and constructive.

However, the Chinese fell short of calling it a trade deal.

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A Qatari gift

In a separate development, US media reports say that Qatar is preparing to gift Trump a Boeing 747 from its royal fleet, which he would use as a replacement for the existing and aging Air Force One plane.

The Qatari government says no deal has been finalised, but the development is already causing controversy because of the optics of accepting gifts of this value.

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Why Trump blinked in US-China trade war

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Why Trump blinked in US-China trade war

Of all the fronts in Donald Trump’s trade war, none was as dramatic and economically threatening as the sky-high tariffs he imposed on China.

There are a couple of reasons: first, because China is and was the single biggest importer of goods into the US and, second, because of the sheer height of the tariffs imposed by the White House in recent months.

In short, tariffs of over 100% were tantamount to a total embargo on goods coming from the United States’ main trading partner. That would have had enormous economic implications, not just for the US but every other country around the world (these are the world’s biggest and second-biggest economies, after all).

Trump latest: US and China slash tariffs in trade war de-escalation

So the truce announced on Monday by treasury secretary Scott Bessent is undoubtedly a very big deal indeed.

In short, China will still face an extra 30% tariffs (the 20% levies cast as punishment for China’s involvement in fentanyl imports and the 10% “floor” set on “Liberation Day”) on top of the residual 10% average from the Biden era.

But the rest of the extra tariffs will be paused for 90 days. China, in turn, has suspended its own retaliatory tariffs on the US.

The market has responded as you would probably have expected, with share prices leaping in relief. But that raises a question: is the trade war now over? Now that the two sides have blinked, can globalisation continue more or less as it had before?

That, it turns out, is a trickier and more complex question than it might first seem.

Pic: AP
Image:
Pic: AP

For one thing, even if one were to assume this is a permanent truce rather than a suspended one, it still leaves tariffs considerably higher than they were only last year. And China faces tariffs far higher than most other countries (tot up the existing ones and the Trump era ones and China faces average tariffs of around 40%, while the average for most countries is between 8% and 14%, according to Capital Economics).

In other words, the US is still implementing an economic policy designed to increase the cost of doing business with China, even if it no longer attempts to prevent it altogether. The fact that last week’s trade agreement with the UK contains clauses seemingly designed to encourage it to raise trade barriers against China for reasons of “security” only reinforces this suspicion. The trade war is still simmering, even if it’s no longer as hot as it was a few days ago.

Read more:
US-UK trade deal ‘isn’t worth the paper it’s written on’
Key details in ‘historic’ US-UK trade deal

And more broadly, the deeper impact of the trade rollercoaster in recent months is unlikely to disappear altogether. Companies remain more nervous about investing in factories and expansions in the face of such deep economic instability. No-one is entirely sure the White House won’t just U-turn once again.

That being said, it’s hard not to escape the conclusion that the US president has blinked in this trade war. In the face of a potential recession, he has pulled back from the scariest and most damaging of his tariffs, earlier and to a greater extent than many had expected.

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