NHL Power Rankings: A ‘dramatic’ question for all 32 teams
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2 years agoon
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Kristen Shilton, ESPN NHL reporterJan 12, 2024, 07:00 AM ET
Close- Kristen Shilton is a national NHL reporter for ESPN.
Another week, another new No. 1 team atop the Power Rankings!
Beyond the rankings, we’ve noticed a lot of drama around the NHL this week, from all the takes regarding William Nylander‘s contract extension to everyone having an opinion on the circumstances of Cutter Gauthier‘s trade from the Flyers to the Ducks. So along with our updated rankings, we’re asking a “dramatic” question for each team heading into the second half.
How we rank: A panel of ESPN hockey commentators, analysts, reporters and editors each send in a 1-32 poll based on the games through Wednesday, which generates our master list here.
Note: Previous ranking for each team refers to the previous edition, published Jan. 5. Points percentages are through Thursday’s games.


Previous ranking: 5
Points percentage: 73.17%
Next seven days: vs. PHI (Jan. 13), vs. NYI (Jan. 16)
Can the Jets maintain their defensive excellence? Winnipeg soared atop the standings last week in typical under-the-radar fashion. Make no mistake, though; these Jets are defensive-minded demons on a mission. They’ve been airtight since early November with a league-leading 2.00 goals-against per game, and are stifling teams off the rush. Winnipeg honing those habits into the second half could have them primed for a long spring.

Previous ranking: 3
Points percentage: 70.24%
Next seven days: @ BUF (Jan. 13), @ CBJ (Jan. 15), vs. ARI (Jan. 18)
When (and for how much and how long) should the Canucks re-sign Elias Pettersson? Vancouver is having a season for the ages. So that leaves room to focus on what superstar Elias Pettersson’s next contract should look like, and when the Canucks might get it done. The pending restricted free agent is playing his way into a big-time payday, and the better Petterson’s second half is, the greater chance that average annual value climbs. Strategy is everything here for Vancouver.

Previous ranking: 1
Points percentage: 69.51%
Next seven days: @ STL (Jan. 13), vs. NJ (Jan. 15), vs. COL (Jan. 18)
Can the Bruins quit blowing late leads? Boston’s first half was strong in many categories. It was easy to overlook the Bruins’ tie for a league lead in overtime losses (five) after leading opponents through two periods. Coach Jim Montgomery has chalked that discrepancy up to a learning curve for the Bruins’ personnel discovering how to manage 6-on-5 scenarios, but suffice it to say, Boston can’t afford to regularly let points slip away.

Previous ranking: 4
Points percentage: 67.86%
Next seven days: @ TOR (Jan. 13), @ MTL (Jan. 15), @ OTT (Jan. 16), @ BOS (Jan. 18)
Will goaltending break the Avalanche? Colorado is excellent in most areas but inconsistent in net. Alexandar Georgiev had a strong start that rapidly unraveled, right up until he blanked Vegas this week in what coach Jared Bednar deemed a “perfect” performance. Huh. Can the Avalanche rely on Georgiev to stay on track from here? Because backup Ivan Prosvetov hasn’t been steady, either. If the Avalanche expect to go far this spring, they’ll need a goalie tandem up to the task.

Previous ranking: 8
Points percentage: 68.29%
Next seven days: vs. NJ (Jan. 13), vs. ANA (Jan. 15), vs. DET (Jan. 17)
Is Matthew Tkachuk finally back? Florida’s sensational first half could be topped by only a Matthew Tkachuk resurgence. The feisty forward had a fine opening act coming off his broken sternum, and Tkachuk appears to be finding more juice the deeper Florida gets into its season, including a hat trick this week. A revitalized Tkachuk would make the Panthers only more dangerous — a scary prospect for the league’s other 31 teams.

Previous ranking: 2
Points percentage: 67.50%
Next seven days: @ WSH (Jan. 13), vs. WSH (Jan. 14), vs. SEA (Jan. 16), @ VGK (Jan. 18)
Will the Rangers’ defense be its downfall? New York can score goals. The problem is how many it gives up. The Rangers have allowed four or more goals in nine games since Dec. 1, and they average nearly 30 shots against in that stretch. It’s impossible to continuously outscore such issues, particularly in the postseason. New York has to batten down the back end to make the most of its offensive prowess.

Previous ranking: 10
Points percentage: 64.10%
Next seven days: vs. COL (Jan. 13), vs. DET (Jan. 14), @ EDM (Jan. 16), @ CGY (Jan. 18)
Are the Maple Leafs dialed in enough on defense? Toronto has offensive talent to spare. Its defense — and, by proxy, goaltending — is under the microscope. The Leafs’ ambitions for this season won’t easily come to fruition while averaging more than three goals against and clinging to veteran Martin Jones carrying a heavy workload in net. The Leafs might need to explore blue-line upgrades before the March 8 trade deadline.

Previous ranking: 6
Points percentage: 66.25%
Next seven days: vs. NSH (Jan. 12), @ CHI (Jan. 13), vs. LA (Jan. 16), @ PHI (Jan. 18)
How will the Stars manage without Miro Heiskanen? Dallas bore the brunt of losing starting goaltender Jake Oettinger by having Scott Wedgewood stepping up in his stead. Who will do the same while star defenseman Heiskanen is week-to-week because of a lower-body injury? The Stars have options, but Heiskanen’s role is vast — he plays over 25 minutes per game, and seemingly everywhere at that — so it will require a collective effort on Dallas’ part to fill the void while staying competitive until Heiskanen is back.

Previous ranking: 11
Points percentage: 62.20%
Next seven days: vs. PIT (Jan. 13), vs. LA (Jan. 15)
Do the Hurricanes need a goalie upgrade? Carolina has the makings of a top-tier team — aside from one looming grey cloud around goaltending depth. Rookie Pyotr Kochetkov has done well taking over as the Hurricanes’ No. 1 after Frederik Andersen was sidelined by blood clots. Antti Raanta has performed poorly behind Kochetkov, though, and if Andersen can’t return, will Carolina pin its playoff hopes on a rookie goalie? The trade deadline might loom large here.

Previous ranking: 9
Points percentage: 63.10%
Next seven days: vs. CGY (Jan. 13), vs. NSH (Jan. 15), vs. NYR (Jan. 18)
Are the Golden Knights burnt out? Vegas started the first half strong following its Stanley Cup win. Slowly, the Golden Knights have begun to show cracks. They went on a recent 3-7-0 streak, and got shutout at the NHL’s marquee Winter Classic to open 2024. It could be a sign that, after a short summer, Vegas is feeling the fatigue. If that’s the case, what rejuvenation tactics can the Golden Knights explore for the second half?

Previous ranking: 7
Points percentage: 63.16%
Next seven days: @ DET (Jan. 13), @ CAR (Jan. 15), @ DAL (Jan. 16), vs. NSH (Jan. 18)
How will the Kings handle adversity? Los Angeles enjoyed a smooth ride through the first half — only to lately encounter some speedbumps. The Kings are losing leads, dropping tight games and winding up on the wrong side of previously right outcomes. And so, L.A. enters this second half with some trepidation and likely a new appreciation for how quickly things can swing out of favor. The Kings’ response to their waves of hardship will define the next few months.

Previous ranking: 15
Points percentage: 59.21%
Next seven days: @ MTL (Jan. 13), vs. TOR (Jan. 16), vs. SEA (Jan. 18)
Can the Oilers’ keep this up? Edmonton went from basement dweller in October to producing the NHL’s second-best record (by points percentage) since Kris Knoblauch replaced Jay Woodcroft as head coach on Nov. 12. Connor McDavid? Unstoppable again. Leon Draisaitl? Finding his groove. Edmonton overall? Vastly improved. The second half is where Edmonton shows whether this is a flash-in-the-pan response to turnover — or it has actually tapped back into the team’s full power.

Previous ranking: 16
Points percentage: 58.54%
Next seven days: @ MIN (Jan. 12), @ WPG (Jan. 13), @ STL (Jan. 15), vs. DAL (Jan. 18)
Are the Flyers good enough to make the playoffs? Philadelphia finished its first half holding the Eastern Conference’s first wild-card spot — something few pundits could have predicted. The Flyers have a chance to prove it’s no fluke by staying the course and, instead of dealing away players at the trade deadline, maybe even adding somewhere to give themselves a true run toward the postseason.

Previous ranking: 12
Points percentage: 58.54%
Next seven days: @ NSH (Jan. 13), @ MIN (Jan. 15), @ WPG (Jan. 16)
Can the Islanders sharpen up? New York is in a precarious place with its goaltending. Semyon Varlamov is on injured reserve, so Ilya Sorokin has been playing every game. The Islanders aren’t helping Sorokin bear that burden, giving up the second-most shots on net this season. That can be helped by a recommitment to defensive excellence in the second half, giving Sorokin a better chance of keeping New York afloat in net.

Previous ranking: 13
Points percentage: 57.69%
Next seven days: @ FLA (Jan. 13), @ BOS (Jan. 15), vs. MTL (Jan. 17)
Can the Devils survive — and thrive — without Jack Hughes? New Jersey is lacking its superstar for the foreseeable future, as Hughes nurses a lower-body injury. That’s going to make the second half even tougher on these Devils, who are already mired in the mushy middle of the wild-card race. How New Jersey rises — or deflates — during Hughes’ absence could define its whole campaign.

Previous ranking: 14
Points percentage: 56.41%
Next seven days: vs. NYR (Jan. 13), @ NYR (Jan. 14), vs. ANA (Jan. 16), vs. STL (Jan. 18)
Should the Capitals go all-in toward the playoffs? Washington deserves credit for fighting through early-season adversity to remain in the postseason mix. Now we’ll see if that correlates to GM Brian MacLellan upping the ante with trade deadline acquisitions to help the Capitals’ chances of staying there. Washington is poised to become healthier, too, with Charlie Lindgren and T.J. Oshie returning — and oh yeah, Alex Ovechkin is rolling again, too. This could be the Capitals’ time to push forward.

Previous ranking: 20
Points percentage: 56.25%
Next seven days: @ CAR (Jan. 13), vs. SEA (Jan. 15)
Can the Penguins claw their way into the playoffs? Pittsburgh has a playmaker any team would covet in Sidney Crosby. He plays like a Hart Trophy finalist and will carry the Penguins on his back, but Crosby alone won’t get Pittsburgh to the postseason. The Penguins have embraced a more physical approach that has generated momentum. If Pittsburgh keeps leaning into that winning mindset, it could still push past the competition into a wild-card slot.

Previous ranking: 18
Points percentage: 54.88%
Next seven days: @ DAL (Jan. 12), vs. NYI (Jan. 13), @ VGK (Jan. 15), @ LA (Jan. 18)
Can Juuse Saros find elite form again? Nashville has relied on its No. 1 goaltender too heavily in the past. This season, it has been the Predators at large (particularly the forward group) helping to prop the team up against Juuse Saros’ waning numbers in net. Nashville’s workhorse hasn’t been his usually stunning self — the Predators’ defensive lapses don’t help — but seeing Saros soar again would take pressure off Nashville’s offense in a potentially stronger second half.

Previous ranking: 22
Points percentage: 54.88%
Next seven days: @ CBJ (Jan. 13), @ PIT (Jan. 15), @ NYR (Jan. 16), @ EDM (Jan. 18)
Is Joey Daccord the real deal? Seattle’s biggest hurdle has been finding a reliable goaltender. And then appeared one Joey Daccord. He shut Vegas out in the Winter Classic to put the league on notice of his arrival, and Daccord has only continued to ascend right past the Kraken’s other goalies. If Daccord’s trajectory keeps up, he gives Seattle higher hopes for their second-half prospects in the standings.

Previous ranking: 21
Points percentage: 54.88%
Next seven days: vs. LA (Jan. 13), @ TOR (Jan. 14), @ FLA (Jan. 17)
What’s the Red Wings’ biggest problem defensively? Detroit has its issues keeping pucks out of the net. The Red Wings are eighth worst in goals-against per game (3.40), and no amount of rotating defensemen or other tinkering by coach Derek Lalonde has produced the desired improvements. Identifying — and fixing — whatever is causing the Red Wings’ defensive woes will be paramount to their second-half success.

Previous ranking: 17
Points percentage: 52.50%
Next seven days: @ MIN (Jan. 13), @ CGY (Jan. 16), @ VAN (Jan. 18)
Will the Coyotes’ offense ignite again? Arizona has surprised this season with some solid runs of good hockey. Lately, the Coyotes’ offense has sputtered, and they need that to change — fast. Arizona has scored two goals or fewer in 10 games since early December, and it is giving up over 31 shots per game. That’s a poor combination. Adding some firepower back up front will help tip the scales back in their direction.

Previous ranking: 19
Points percentage: 54.65%
Next seven days: vs. ANA (Jan. 13), vs. MIN (Jan. 18)
Will the Lightning miss the playoffs? Tampa Bay had two Stanley Cup wins and one Cup Final appearance during six consecutive postseasons. But the Lightning left this first half on the outside looking in. It’s a tight race (at the moment) for the Atlantic Division and Eastern Conference wild-card spots. The Lightning’s streaky season to date has to stabilize fast — into stretches of sustained success — to keep their playoff hopes alive.

Previous ranking: 23
Points percentage: 51.19%
Next seven days: @ VGK (Jan. 13), vs. ARI (Jan. 16), vs. TOR (Jan. 18)
Is it time to explore a rebuild? Calgary hasn’t established a real identity this season. Will that signal the start of a new chapter? Pending free agents including Elias Lindholm, Noah Hanifin and Chris Tanev haven’t re-signed yet, and GM Craig Conroy must decide whether the Flames’ next step involves keeping those veterans or prioritizing draft position and prospects to put Calgary on a different path for the future.

Previous ranking: 24
Points percentage: 53.75%
Next seven days: vs. BOS (Jan. 13), vs. PHI (Jan. 15), @ WSH (Jan. 18)
Will the Blues bloom with confidence under their new coach? St. Louis pulled off its Stanley Cup run in 2019 following a coaching change. Well, now Craig Berube is out and Drew Bannister is in, and the Blues have, once again, shown some real life. Can they sustain that growth into the second half? St. Louis is still in the playoff hunt, and with Jordan Binnington excelling and his teammates beginning to thrive, it’s reasonable to believe in the Blues making strides.

Previous ranking: 27
Points percentage: 48.78%
Next seven days: vs. EDM (Jan. 13), vs. COL (Jan. 15), @ NJ (Jan. 17), @ OTT (Jan. 18)
Can Nick Suzuki win the Selke Trophy? Montreal won’t be making the playoffs, but there’s a chance one of its top players takes home some hardware based off this second half. Nick Suzuki has emerged as a front-runner for the league’s award honoring a top defensive forward, and it would be a real feather in the Canadiens’ cap to see their captain have that type of finish to his campaign.

Previous ranking: 25
Points percentage: 47.50%
Next seven days: vs. PHI (Jan. 12), vs. ARI (Jan. 13), vs. NYI (Jan. 15), @ TB (Jan. 18)
What can the Wild do at full strength? Minnesota is oh-so-close to having all of Kirill Kaprizov, Jonas Brodin and Filip Gustavsson back from injury (as for Jared Spurgeon, well, he’s out a little longer). It has been a difficult season injury-wise for the Wild, but having a healthy-ish roster at last? Music to their ears — and a potential signal to their Central Division foes that the battle-tested Wild are ready to make a move up the standings.

Previous ranking: 26
Points percentage: 47.62%
Next seven days: vs. VAN (Jan. 13), vs. SJ (Jan. 15), vs. CHI (Jan. 17)
Is Don Granato in the hot seat? Buffalo was meant to make playoffs this season. That’s not happening without a miraculous surge up the standings. If the Sabres fail to get there, will it spell the end for head coach Don Granato? It’s not entirely on Granato that Buffalo has failed to reach expectations, but that situation hasn’t saved other coaches’ jobs in years past.

Previous ranking: 28
Points percentage: 41.67%
Next seven days: vs. SEA (Jan. 13), vs. VAN (Jan. 15)
Is it time to move Elvis Merzlikins? Columbus has waited to see the best of the netminder. And while he has improved since last season, it’s still not the perfect partnership of player and team that the Blue Jackets hoped for when they signed him. There could be an opportunity ahead of the deadline, with a number of teams looking to add goalies to their rotation. Columbus should take a long, hard look at whether there’s a suitor out there with a solid return to give them — and Merzlikins — a fresh start.

Previous ranking: 29
Points percentage: 37.84%
Next seven days: vs. SJ (Jan. 13), vs. COL (Jan. 16), vs. MTL (Jan. 18)
Will the Senators add or subtract during trade season? Ottawa has undergone enormous change in the first half — and it might not be done yet. The Senators are pivoting in a new direction, and that could include trading off some organizational stalwarts in favor of adding new players to the lineup. Expect GM Steve Staios to start really putting his fingerprints on the team.

Previous ranking: 30
Points percentage: 35.37%
Next seven days: @ TB (Jan. 13), @ FLA (Jan. 15), @ WSH (Jan. 16)
Should the Ducks trade Trevor Zegras? Anaheim has a way to go in its rebuild. It’s possible that moving Zegras, who is currently injured, would help speed the process along. GM Pat Verbeek’s vision for the Ducks might not fit with Zegras’ style in the long term, and if that’s a concern, then Verbeek might well explore options for a mutually beneficial parting with Anaheim’s rising star.

Previous ranking: 31
Points percentage: 30.95%
Next seven days: vs. DAL (Jan. 13), vs. SJ (Jan. 16), @ BUF (Jan. 17)
Will the Blackhawks crumble without Connor Bedard? Chicago did score a victory over Calgary in its first outing since the rookie phenom broke his jaw. It remains to be seen how great an impact losing Bedard has on the Blackhawks long term, though. Will it push them closer to another draft lottery win or be a rallying point for the team to build around?

Previous ranking: 32
Points percentage: 27.38%
Next seven days: @ OTT (Jan. 13), @ BUF (Jan. 15), @ CHI (Jan. 16)
Will the Sharks remain bad enough to get the first pick? San Jose is the only team not to hit 10 wins by the halfway point. So, the Sharks are certainly on track for a 32nd-place finish. Perhaps a victory in the upcoming draft lottery would cushion the blow of losses continuing to pile up.
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MLB Awards Week predictions, results: Will All-Star Game starters Skubal and Skenes win Cy Young Awards?
Published
3 hours agoon
November 12, 2025By
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Bradford DoolittleNov 12, 2025, 04:00 PM ET
Close- MLB writer and analyst for ESPN.com
- Former NBA writer and analyst for ESPN.com
- Been with ESPN since 2013
The hot stove season is already burning, but even amid the roster shuffling for the 2026 season, we have one last bit of 2025 business: handing out the major awards.
The most prestigious are the four major honors determined by BBWAA voting. These awards will have a lasting impact on baseball history books and Hall of Fame résumés.
On Monday, Athletics first baseman Nick Kurtz was unanimously selected as the American League Rookie of the Year, and Atlanta Braves rookie catcher Drake Baldwin earned the National League honor.
Milwaukee Brewers manager Pat Murphy and Cleveland Guardians manager Stephen Vogt each won their second consecutive Manager of the Year award on Tuesday.
Here is the remaining schedule (awards are announced starting at 7 ET each night on MLB Network):
Wednesday: Cy Young Awards
Thursday: MVP Awards
MLB will also hold its annual awards show in Las Vegas on Thursday, during which it will recognize its All-MLB squads, the Hank Aaron Awards for each league’s best offensive performer, the Comeback Player of the Year Awards, the Mariano Rivera/Trevor Hoffman Awards for the top relievers, and the Edgar Martinez Awards for best designated hitters. The Executive of the Year Award will also be announced.
I’ll be reacting to each night’s awards announcement throughout the week, but in the meantime, here are some opening comments and some brief reaction to the honors that have been awarded.
Below, we list the three finalists in each of the remaining categories, with what you need to know before the results are announced and my picks to take home the hardware. We’ll update each section with news and analysis as the winners are revealed.
Jump to:
MVP: AL | NL
Cy Young: AL | NL
Rookie of the Year: AL | NL
Manager of the Year: AL | NL

American League Cy Young
Finalists:
Hunter Brown, Houston Astros
Garrett Crochet, Boston Red Sox
Tarik Skubal, Detroit Tigers
My pick: Skubal
Skubal is well positioned to become the AL’s first repeat Cy Young winner since Pedro Martinez in 2000. He might just be getting started. The dominant lefty didn’t repeat as a pitching Triple Crown winner, but he posted a lower ERA (2.21 to 2.39) and struck out more batters (241 to 228) than he did while winning the Cy Young Award in 2024. For the second straight year, he led the AL in pitching bWAR, FIP and ERA+.
That’s a tough résumé for Crochet to top, but he came pretty close, leading the AL in innings (205⅓) and strikeouts (255) and beating Skubal in wins (18 to 13). Skubal was a little more consistent in terms of average game score (64.2 to 62.6). Skubal really didn’t rout Crochet in any key area, but he beat him just the same in most columns.
Brown is a worthy No. 3, but for him, it’s the same story: He hung with the big two in most areas but didn’t top them. Still, it was another season of improvement for Brown, whose ERA over the past three seasons has gone from 5.09 to 3.49 to 2.43.
Cy Young must-reads:
The extraordinary mystery of the Tigers’ Tarik Skubal
National League Cy Young
Finalists:
Cristopher Sanchez, Philadelphia Phillies
Paul Skenes, Pittsburgh Pirates
Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Los Angeles Dodgers
My pick: Sanchez
My AXE system wasn’t particularly emphatic about the No. 3 pitcher in the NL Cy Young column, so Yamamoto is as good a pick there as any. We start with him because his dominant postseason run is fresh in our minds. But that doesn’t factor in here. Maybe it should, but it doesn’t. In any event, I’d have gone with Milwaukee’s Freddy Peralta as my No. 3.
Regardless of the third finalist, during the regular season, Skenes and Sanchez gradually separated themselves from the pack, especially after Sanchez’s teammate Zack Wheeler was injured. They are the easy top two but picking between them isn’t that easy.
Sanchez has the edge in volume — 202 innings to 187⅔, in part because the Pirates eased up on Skenes toward the end. Indeed, failure to do so would have been malpractice. Despite that, Skenes struck out more batters (216 to 212), posted a better ERA (1.97 to 2.50) and led the league in ERA+, WHIP and FIP. The extra 14⅓ innings allowed Sanchez a narrow win in bWAR (8.0 to 7.7).
In the end, their runs saved against average is a virtual dead heat: 53 for Sanchez against 52 for Skenes. Thus for me it comes down to context. Sanchez put up his season for a division champ, Skenes for a cellar dweller. That is not Skenes’ fault, but we’ve got to separate these pitchers somehow. Sanchez’s season was worth 3.2% championship probability added against Skenes’ 0.5%. That’s the clincher for me.
But I think Skenes will win the vote.
Cy Young must-reads:
How young aces Skenes, Skubal dominate

American League MVP
Finalists:
Aaron Judge, New York Yankees
Cal Raleigh, Seattle Mariners
Jose Ramirez, Cleveland Guardians
My pick: Raleigh
What to know: We’re going to dive deep into the riveting race between Judge and Raleigh later this week. According to my AXE rating, which is an index that expresses the consensus of the leading bottom-line metrics, the winner is Judge (164 to 150) and it’s not particularly close.
Despite the easy statistical case for Judge, I see this as a case in which the narrative and intangible elements overwhelm the metrics. And that’s not to undersell Raleigh’s metrics, which are more than MVP-worthy. But despite another historic season from Judge, I’m going with Raleigh.
Again, we’ll get into the nitty-gritty of the numbers later, but the soft factors that swing my thinking are these: Raleigh’s 60-homer season is the stuff of science fiction when viewed through the lens of what’s expected from every-day catchers. It not only shattered the single-season mark for the position, but it broke Mickey Mantle’s record for homers by a switch-hitter. Mickey freaking Mantle. And Raleigh’s a (darn good) catcher!
Raleigh did all of this as the defensive anchor and clubhouse leader on a division champion. There aren’t many seasons when I’d pick someone as MVP over the 2025 version of Aaron Judge, but this is one of them. Sure, I’m a stat guy, so this feels like a departure from that foundation, but sometimes a narrative is just too compelling to ignore.
Finally, poor Jose Ramirez. This is Ramirez’s sixth time landing in the AL’s top five in MVP balloting, and eighth time in the top 10. But he’s not going to win. Ramirez just keeps churning out the same great season every year. It’s just that there has always been someone a little greater each season.
That being said: Kansas City’s Bobby Witt Jr. should have been the third finalist. He’ll be back.
MVP must-reads:
What it’s really like facing Aaron Judge
Can Yankees build a title-winning team around Aaron Judge?
‘It’s something that’s never been done’: Inside Cal Raleigh’s road to HR history
Why the Mariners are built to last after a crushing ALCS loss
National League MVP
Finalists:
Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Dodgers
Kyle Schwarber, Philadelphia Phillies
Juan Soto, New York Mets
My pick: Ohtani
What to know: Together, the three NL MVP finalists logged 63% of their starts at designated hitter. Most of the non-DH starts came from Soto, whose defensive metrics continue to suggest a future of increased DH time. Still, the days of DHs being locked out of the MVP chase are clearly over.
Ohtani was the first exclusive DH to win an MVP last year, though he’d won it before while serving as an every-day DH in addition to pitching. He logged 1.1 bWAR this season for his 47 innings on the mound, which could have proved to be a tiebreaker if he and the other finalists were close. But it’s Ohtani all the way.
As hitters, all three used up a similar number of outs as Ohtani, who had at least a 20-run advantage in runs created over both. Shockingly, it was Soto who had the best baserunning numbers, thanks to his 38-steal breakout and Ohtani deemphasizing that part of his game. But Ohtani provided easily the most defensive value with his pitching, while Soto’s defense was a negative and Schwarber was almost exclusively a DH.
Basically, everything Schwarber and Soto did, Ohtani did better — and he pitched well. Even Schwarber’s league-leading RBI count (132) is trumped by Ohtani’s decided edge in WPA, a category in which he led the league. It’s Ohtani’s award, again, and it will be No. 4 for him. Only Barry Bonds has won more.
Not for nothing, you know which position player posted the highest bWAR total? That would be a nonfinalist: Arizona’s Geraldo Perdomo (7.0 bWAR), though he did finish behind Ohtani when the latter’s pitching bWAR is added.
MVP must-reads:
2025 MLB most exciting player bracket: Ohtani, Judge, more
The improbability of Shohei Ohtani’s greatness
Schwarber, All-Star swing-off captures the beauty of baseball
Inside Juan Soto’s wild first Mets season
Juan Soto, the showman, finally showing up for Mets

American League Rookie of the Year
Winner: Nick Kurtz, Athletics (unanimous)
Final tally: Nick Kurtz 210 (30 first-place votes), Jacob Wilson 107, Roman Anthony 72, Noah Cameron 54, Colson Montgomery 23, Carlos Narvaez 21, Jack Leiter 6, Will Warren 5, Luke Keaschall 3, Braydon Fisher 2, Shane Smith 2, Cam Smith 2, Chandler Simpson 1, Luis Morales 1, Jasson Dominguez 1
Doolittle’s pick: Kurtz
Takeaway: Before the season, Kurtz’s name wasn’t near the top of the list for AL Rookie of the Year candidates. He didn’t lack hype — he was viewed by many as the Athletics’ top prospect — but his meteoric rise was unexpected.
Kurtz, the fourth pick in 2024, played just 12 minor league games and another 13 in last year’s Arizona Fall League before this season. So, it made sense that he began the season in Triple-A, where he posted a 1.000-plus OPS, which he has done every step of the way.
Kurtz debuted in the majors April 23, and 117 games later, his 1.002 rookie-season OPS ranks as the fifth best for a rookie (minimum 480 plate appearances) behind Aaron Judge, Ted Williams, Albert Pujols and Ryan Braun. But none of those greats matched Kurtz’s accomplishment against the Astros on July 25, when he hit four homers, finished with six hits and tied Shawn Green’s big league record for total bases in a game (19).
The ninth Rookie of the Year in Athletics history, Kurtz’s slash line (.290/.383/.619) at 22 is evidence that he’s the complete package at the plate and still might improve. But even if he doesn’t, and this is what he is going forward, he’s one of the best hitters in the majors.
The other two finalists — Anthony and Wilson — were both high on preseason lists for the award and validated that anticipation with fine rookie seasons. Wilson’s .311 average ranked third in the majors. He was one of seven qualifying hitters in the majors to hit at least .300. Anthony lived up to massive hype upon his arrival at Fenway Park, but he suffered an oblique injury Sept. 2, ending his chances of overtaking Kurtz for the award.
Here’s how my AXE leaderboard had it:
1. Nick Kurtz, Athletics (126 AXE, finalist)
2. Jacob Wilson, Athletics (118, finalist)
3. (tie) Roman Anthony, Red Sox (115, finalist)
Noah Cameron, Royals (115)
Colson Montgomery, White Sox (115)
6. Carlos Narvaez, Red Sox (110)
7. Shane Smith, White Sox (109)
ROY must-reads:
Passan Awards: Nick Kurtz wins ‘Individual Performance of the Year’
How a swing tweak has Red Sox rookie Roman Anthony rolling
National League Rookie of the Year
Winner: Drake Baldwin, Atlanta Braves
Final tally: Drake Baldwin 183 (21 first-place votes), Cade Horton 139 (9), Caleb Durbin 69, Isaac Collins 62, Daylen Lile 17, Agustin Ramirez 10, Chad Patrick 9, Jakob Marsee 8, Jack Dreyer 4, Matt Shaw 4, Jacob Misiorowski 2, Nolan McLean 2, Heriberto Hernandez 1
Doolittle’s pick: Baldwin
Takeaway: The voters favored Baldwin’s full-season production over Horton’s remarkable second half. It was a tough call, but Baldwin established himself as one of the game’s outstanding young catchers. Baldwin hit .274/.341/.469 over 124 games, numbers strong enough to earn him regular DH time on days he wasn’t catching. That’s key, because Atlanta still has veteran Sean Murphy under contract for three more years.
Like his AL counterpart Kurtz, Baldwin was considered his organization’s top prospect by many when the season began, but he was expected to make his big league debut late in 2025 or in 2026. Baldwin got his chance when Murphy suffered a cracked rib in spring training. The Braves had several journeyman backups in camp, but Baldwin was so impressive that he started behind the plate on Opening Day.
Baldwin is the first catcher to win NL Rookie of the Year since Buster Posey in 2010. The only other Braves catcher to win the award was Earl Williams (1971), though Williams divided his time between catching and the infield.
If Horton had a first half that matched his post-All-Star-break performance, he might have been a unanimous pick and even entered the Cy Young debate. In 12 second-half starts, Horton went 8-1 with a 1.03 ERA, allowing just 33 hits while striking out 54 over 61⅓ innings. He allowed one run or fewer in 11 of those outings. Horton’s efforts helped the Chicago Cubs, who were scrambling to make the postseason with a short-handed rotation. This shows up in his probability stats: Horton ranked 12th among all NL pitchers in win probability added and 13th in championship probability added.
Durbin was a vital cog in the Brewers’ run to a franchise-best 97 wins. He was also one of several rookies in Milwaukee who were key contributors to the Brewers’ run to the NLCS. If “Brewers rookie” was an option on the ballot, “Brewers rookie” should have won.
Here’s how my AXE leaderboard had it:
1. Drake Baldwin, Braves (115 AXE, finalist)
2. Caleb Durbin, Brewers (113, finalist)
3. Cade Horton, Cubs (112, finalist)
4. Isaac Collins, Brewers (111)
5. Chad Patrick, Brewers (110)
6. Jakob Marsee, Marlins (109)
7. Braxton Ashcraft, Pirates (108)

American League Manager of the Year
Winner: Stephen Vogt, Cleveland Guardians
Final tally: Vogt 113 (28 first-place votes), John Schneider 91 (10), Dan Wilson 50 (2), Alex Cora 7 (1), A.J. Hinch 6, Joe Espada 3
Doolittle’s pick: Schneider
Takeaway: The AL Manager of the Year race remained murky to me up to and including the day that awards finalists were announced. EARL, an algorithm that seeks to create order out of the chaotic process of rating managers, was all over the place through the season. Hinch, who was favored in many of the betting markets until he turned out to not be a finalist, was submarined by his team’s drastic midseason fall-off (though he should have received credit for side-stepping a complete collapse and earning a playoff spot).
That left last year’s winner, Vogt, whose Guardians made a stirring run to overtake the Tigers in the AL Central, as well as Wilson, skipper of the AL West champion Mariners, and Schneider, who guided the Blue Jays to the East crown. In the end, the voters were picking between the AL’s three division-winning managers.
Worst to first is always a great narrative — and perhaps the best argument in favor for Schneider after the Blue Jays rebounded from 2024’s last-place finish to win Toronto’s first division title in a decade, one that was validated with a postseason run all the way to extra innings of Game 7 of the World Series. Schneider was strong in wins versus Pythagorean-based expectation (94 wins for a win expectation of 88.5) and record in one- and two-run contests (43-30).
But Vogt beat him in both areas, and the same held true in terms of preseason expectations. Toronto beat its preseason over/under consensus by 10 wins, the fourth-best performance in the majors. Third best? Vogt, at 10.5. Vogt becomes the fourth manager to win back-to-back awards, minutes after the Murphy in the NL became the third.
Worst to first: Great story. Coming back from 15½ games back on July 8? Even better.
Here’s how my EARL leaderboard had it:
1. A.J. Hinch, Tigers (108.3 EARL)
2. John Schneider, Blue Jays (107.8, finalist)
3. Joe Espada, Astros (107.0)
4. Stephen Vogt, Guardians (105.2, finalist)
5. Dan Wilson, Mariners (103.5, finalist)
6. Matt Quatraro, Royals (101.8)
7. Mark Kotsay, Athletics (99.6)
Note: EARL is a metric that looks at how a team’s winning percentage varies from expectations generated by projections, run differential and one-run record. While attributing these measures to managerial performance is presumptive, the metric does tend to track well with the annual balloting.
Manager of the Year must-reads:
The magic chemistry of the Blue Jays clubhouse
National League Manager of the Year
Winner: Pat Murphy, Milwaukee Brewers
Final tally: Murphy 141 (27 first-place votes), Terry Francona 49 (2), Rob Thomson 32 (1), Craig Counsell 24, Clayton McCullough 22, Torey Lovullo 1, Mike Shildt 1
Doolittle’s pick: Murphy
Takeaway: The measures that feed EARL anointed Murphy pretty early in the season. Though the Brewers were a division winner in 2024, when Murphy won the award in his first full season as a big league manager, they were pegged for a .500-ish baseline entering the season. Instead, Milwaukee raced to a franchise record, a 17-win surplus against expectation that was the most in the majors. (McCullough’s Marlins were plus-15, hence his presence in the EARL leaderboard below.)
Murphy creates a fun, positive clubhouse atmosphere, keeping things light when it’s warranted, and getting heavy when it’s needed. He treats everyone the same, from the journeyman roster fill-in to franchise cornerstone Christian Yelich, not to mention everyone else in the great ecosystem of baseball that comes across his path on a daily basis. His skill set in building an upbeat culture doesn’t get enough attention — it’s an essential trait for a club that’s always iterating its roster.
One sign of a good manager is the ability to integrate rookies. Well, this season Milwaukee easily led the majors in rookie WAR, even as the Brewers chased another division crown. They played an exciting brand of offensive baseball that featured plenty of action on the basepaths and adherence to situational execution. They deployed one of the game’s top defenses. All of these things are hallmarks of a well-managed squad.
The Brewers remain perhaps baseball’s best-run franchise, a distinction that requires aptitude from the front office to the dugout, where Murphy presides. He becomes the first back-to-back NL Manager of the Year winner since Bobby Cox (2004-05), who did it with the Braves. The only other back-to-back winner was Tampa Bay’s Kevin Cash, the AL’s honoree in 2020-21. Murphy, who managed San Diego on an interim basis in 2015, is the first skipper to win in his first two full seasons.
Here’s how my EARL leaderboard had it:
1. Pat Murphy, Brewers (113.7 EARL, finalist)
2. Clayton McCullough, Marlins (106.9)
3. Oliver Marmol, Cardinals (106.1)
4. Rob Thomson, Phillies (103.9, finalist)
5. Craig Counsell, Cubs (103.4)
6. Mike Shildt, Padres (103.2)
7. Terry Francona, Reds (101.7 finalist)
Manager of the Year must-reads:
Welcome to ‘Milwaukee Community College’: How the Brewers built a $115 million juggernaut
Why Terry Francona, Bruce Bochy came back to managing in MLB

Other awards
Just a run-through of my picks, leaving aside the Comeback Player category, which is tough to attack analytically:
Executive of the Year: Matt Arnold, Milwaukee Brewers. I have a metric I use to track organizational performance. It looks at things such as the performance of acquired players, organizational records and the value produced by rookies. Arnold’s club topped the charts. Arnold won this award last year, so we’ll find out if there is an Arnold fatigue at work here. If Arnold doesn’t win, I’d lean toward Seattle’s Jerry Dipoto.
All-MLB: My All-MVP first team, courtesy of AXE:
1B: Matt Olson, Atlanta Braves
2B: Nico Hoerner, Chicago Cubs
SS: Bobby Witt Jr., Kansas City Royals
3B: Jose Ramirez, Cleveland Guardians
C: Cal Raleigh, Seattle Mariners
OF: Juan Soto, New York Mets
OF: Aaron Judge, New York Yankees
OF: Corbin Carroll, Arizona Diamondbacks
DH: Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Dodgers
LHP: Tarik Skubal, Detroit Tigers
RHP: Paul Skenes, Pittsburgh Pirates
RP: Aroldis Chapman, Boston Red Sox
Hank Aaron Award: Aaron Judge (AL, New York Yankees); Shohei Ohtani (NL, Los Angeles Dodgers)
Mariano Rivera Award: Aroldis Chapman, Boston Red Sox
Trevor Hoffman Award: Edwin Diaz, New York Mets
Gold Gloves: The winners have been announced and can be found here. My quibbles: I would have gone with Toronto’s Alejandro Kirk at AL catcher over Detroit’s Dillon Dingler. On the NL side, I’d have liked to find a spot for Washington’s Jacob Young, but the insistence on LF/CF/RF distinctions ruled that out. All in all, another pretty solid job in an awards category that used to be rife with absurdities.
Sports
Bottom 10: It’s just one loss, but BYU, come on down
Published
3 hours agoon
November 12, 2025By
admin

-
Ryan McGee
Nov 12, 2025, 07:00 AM ET
Inspirational thought of the week:
I’m riding slow in my Prius
All-leather, tinted windows, you can’t see us!
Everybody’s trying to park you can feel the tension
I’m in electric mode, can’t even hear the engine
Just then I saw a spot open up
My timing’s perfect! I’m creeping up …
But then this other dude try to steal it
Going the wrong way!
“Hey man I’ve had a long day!”
It’s getting real in the Whole Foods parking lot!
I got my skill and you know it gets sparked a lot
— “It’s Getting Real in the Whole Foods Parking Lot,” DJ Spider
Here at Bottom 10 Headquarters, located in the massive audio warehouse where Kirk Herbstreit keeps all of the recordings of the “AAAAAWWWWWW”s that people release when they see Peter the dog, we took a look at the calendar hanging on the front of our refrigerator and realized … hang on … we realized that it’s not 2008 like this calendar says … OK … here’s the new one … let’s start over.
We looked at the calendar hanging on the front of our refrigerator and realized there are only three weekends remaining in the 2025 college football season. Or, if you live in the world of #MACtion like we do, only three more weekends plus three more weeks of Tuesday and Wednesday games played between banks of plowed snow.
That means stuff is about to get real. Sure, the hoity-toity top 10 will tell you it’s all about the CFP. But around here, it’s about the BFP, the Bottom 10 Football Playoff. And once we wake up Charlie Weis and get our internet dialed back up, we too shall be shaping up a bracket that shall determine a champion. The real champion. The champion of life. Or, actually, Life. The board game. Where the gold revenge squares give you the option to “sue for damages” with the goal of hitting “retire in style” or “retire to the country to become a philosopher.”
And now it suddenly dawns on us that Brian Kelly and his lawyers must like board games.
With apologies to former Ohio back David Board, former Idaho receiver Tom Gamelin, as well as Georgia State receiver Keron Milton, Air Force lineman Brian Bradley and Steve Harvey, here are the post-Week 11 Bottom 10 rankings.

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The Minuetmen are the nation’s only remaining winless team, but the final three weeks of their #MACtion revenge reunion tour would seem to provide two solid chances to taste victory before tasting the Thanksgiving turkey, beginning with a Wednesday night Pillow Fight of the Week of the Year Mega Bowl visit from Bottom 10 Wait Lister Northern Ill-ugh-noise, which airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPNU. The ESPN Analytics Ouija board says UMass has a 21.8% chance of victory, its best shot for the rest of the season.
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During this week’s traditional post-weekend #Bottom10Lobbying deluge on social media, I heard from a Nevada grad named @mugtang who wrote: “Nevada would lose by 3 touchdowns to UMass! Rank us #1 in the bottom 10. Or would it be #136?” In related news, after reading his tweet, I went to the store, bought some Tang drink mix and drank it from a mug. With rum in it. Like the astronauts used to do.
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The Panthers lost last week at Coastal Carolina 40-27. Next, they host Marshall, which is convenient for fans of the Thundering Herd, who could just follow the Georgia State bus as it left town because it is a natural law that at any given time, half the population of West Virginia is at Myrtle Beach.
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The Niners travelled Down East to EC-Yew and lost 48-22. In their defense, they weren’t themselves because they were already testing out what it’s like to play covered in bubble wrap and rubber boat bumpers, preparing for their Week 14 trip to Georgia.
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Legend has it that after the angel Moroni showed Joseph Smith the golden plates upon which the Mormon Church was founded, he also warned Smith to make sure to heed the oft-forgotten inscription located on the scratched up backside of the plates: “BEWARE THE COVETED FIFTH SPOT LEST IT BITE YOU IN THE BEHIND IN LUBBOCK.”
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Sources tell Bottom 10 JortsCenter that BC and UMass are secretly looking to play a Bottom 10 Toilet Bowl title game on Christmas Eve morning, to be held in the parking lot of the Mass Turnpike Natick Service Plaza, sponsored by Dunkin’, D’Angelo’s sandwiches and Vinny’s Vape and Spray Tan. Go Sox.
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Hear me out. A reality show where all the college football coaches who have been fired this season meet at a Buffalo Wild Wings and watch games together. Or better yet, they do it at Mike Gundy’s ranch.
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It’s always tough when you didn’t know what you wish you’d known at one time, but it felt better because you thought you knew plenty about a time that was still to come, only to see the time still to come not be what you thought you knew and make that first thing you didn’t know at the time feel like even more of a missed unknown opportunity. See: We didn’t realize how big the Week 3 game between MTSU and Nevada was, and now the game we thought was going to be big — MTSU vs. Sam Houston State on Nov. 22 — isn’t as large as it once was. Why?
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Because of what the Beavs just did. Or, actually, what they failed to do. The Other OSU spent the first two months of the season in these rankings before departing thanks to two straight wins, over Lafayette and fellow 2Pac members Warshington State. It was like the scene in “The Dark Knight Rises” when Bruce Wayne climbed out of that underground desert prison he’d been banished to by Bane … only this time when he got to the top, Bane was waiting to step on his fingers. And who is Bane in this Batman Bottom 10 metaphor?
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(For full Bane effect, read the next lines with your hand cupped over your mouth while doing the accent of a shouting cockney actor who is constipated, while wearing a Bearkats hoodie.) “Kurious how you konkluded this kontrived eskape would be sukcessful, Kaped Krusader! Now we kome for you, Blue Raiders!”
Waiting List: Livin’ on Tulsa Time, Colora-duh State, UTEPid, Arkansaw Fightin’ Petrinos, South Alabama Redundancies, Northern Ill-ugh-noise, billable hours.
Sports
MSU hit with 3-year probation, 14 wins vacated
Published
3 hours agoon
November 12, 2025By
admin

-

Jake TrotterNov 12, 2025, 03:22 PM ET
Close- Jake Trotter is a senior writer at ESPN. Trotter covers college football. He also writes about other college sports, including men’s and women’s basketball. Trotter resides in the Cleveland area with his wife and three kids and is a fan of his hometown Oklahoma City Thunder. He covered the Cleveland Browns and NFL for ESPN for five years, moving back to college football in 2024. Previously, Trotter worked for the Middletown (Ohio) Journal, Austin American-Statesman and Oklahoman newspapers before joining ESPN in 2011. He’s a 2004 graduate of Washington and Lee University. You can reach out to Trotter at jake.trotter@espn.com and follow him on X at @Jake_Trotter.
The NCAA has placed Michigan State football on three years of probation for violations that occurred under Mel Tucker’s tenure as coach.
The violations occurred due to the participation of three ineligible players. Now, the Spartans will vacate all 14 wins from the past three seasons, a school spokesperson confirmed. That includes all five wins last season during Jonathan Smith’s first year as coach.
The three players are no longer with the program, the spokesperson said.
Michigan State will also be penalized $30,000 plus 1.5% of the football program’s budget. For the 2024 season, that budget was $58.6 million, according to figures provided by Knight Commission on Intercollegiate Athletics.
The Spartans will also face restrictions on official and unofficial visits, recruiting communications, recruiting person days, and off-campus recruiting contacts and evaluations over the probationary period.
The school released a statement saying it negotiated a resolution with the NCAA to minimize the penalties on the current team.
The NCAA handed Tucker, former Michigan State general manager Saeed Khalif and former assistant coach Brandon Jordan show-cause penalties. Tucker was given a three-year order. The NCAA said Tucker “failed to adequately monitor his program.” Khalif (six years) and Jordan (five years) were given longer penalties for knowingly providing impermissible recruiting inducements, according to the NCAA. The three cannot coach in college until their show-cause orders end.
Michigan State fired Tucker for cause in 2023 after he was accused of sexual harassment.
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