S&P Global Mobility released its latest round of US data on new EV registrations for November 2023, and some surprising new trends are popping up – with very modest gains by Tesla and Ford, compared to bigger moves from smaller EV players Rivian and Kia, as well as luxury EVs from Mercedes and BMW.
EV leader Tesla – which took the number-one spot for the entire year – grew registrations by 8.6% in November 2023 compared to the same month a year prior, reports Automotive News. Tesla’s new registrations were at 42,737 for a 47.7% share of the EV segment that month. In November 2022, Tesla had a 57.1% share, S&P Global said, so a modest dip.
For Ford, new EV registrations rose 21% in November 2023 to 7,787, putting it in the number-two slot overall for the year, behind Tesla, the report said.
Chevrolet EV registrations dropped 0.2% year over year to 4,172 for a 4.7% share for the month.
Tesla Model Y had 342,512 registrations from January to November 2023, seeing a 77% jump from the year prior. For the Model 3, it had 194,087 registrations for Jan.-Nov. 2023, with a 12% jump.
The Chevy Bolt had 59,371 registrations in that same time period, for a 92% increase, and Ford’s Mustang Mach-E had 34,314 registrations for a 92% increase.
All together, Cox Automotive estimates that “a record” 1.2 million EVs were sold in the country in 2023, for a 7.6% share of the light-vehicle market, up from 5.9% in 2022, Automotive News reports. For 2024, Cox says it expects the EV share to jump to 10%.
American EV maker Rivian saw 6,512 new registrations in November for a huge 146% gain compared to November 2022, with the brand capturing 7.3% of the EV segment that month.
Korea’s Kia doubled its EV registrations to 2,2278 for a 2.5% share in November. Meanwhile, sister brand Hyundai saw a gain of 3,678 for a 4.1% market share.
For the German brands, BMW also “overperformed” in the EV segment with a 42% increase in new-vehicle registrations in November to 4,046 vehicles, for a 4.5% share. Mercedes-Benz, for its part, saw a 160% rise in new-vehicle registrations in November with 3,688 vehicles, for a 4.1% share of the EV segment.
Electrek’s Take
The next few quarters should be exciting to watch, but analysts do say that anything could happen, so be prepared. The automobile industry is a slow-moving beast. Still, Germany luxury brands have been losing market share to Tesla over the past five years, but this new data suggests the tide may be changing, with higher-end EV buyers looking for other options. Also Tesla relied heavily on price cuts last year – as did other brands of course – to maintain growth, but Tesla could likely see smaller gains from that tactic this year. Ford, too, is slashing its EV production this year, which could cut into its sales, and Chevrolet is discontinuing its most popular EV, the Bolt, until 2025. So this could make more room for smaller EV players like Rivian and Kia, which have been riding a record-breaking high in new car registrations. That’s thanks to big sales from the Rivian R1S SUV and the Kia EV6.
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Powered by tech giant Huawei 5G-Advanced network, a fleet of over 100 Huaneng Ruichi all-electric autonomous haul trucks and heavy equipment assets have been deployed at the Yimin open-pit mine in Inner Mongolia.
With more than 100 units on site, China’s state-backed Huaneng Group officially deployed the world’s largest fleet of unmanned electric mining trucks at the Yimin coal plant in Inner Mongolia this past week. The autonomous trucks use the same Huawei Commercial Vehicle Autonomous Driving Cloud Service (CVADCS) powered by the ame 5G-Advanced (5G-A) network that powers its self-driving car efforts. Huawei says it’s the key to enabling the Yimin mine’s large-scale vehicle-cloud-network synergy.
Huawei is calling the achievement a “world’s first,” saying the new system has improved operator safety at Yimin while setting new benchmarks for AI and autonomous mining.
For their part, Huaneng Ruichi claims its cabin-less electric offer an industry-leading 90 metric ton rating (that’s about 100 imperial tons) and the ability operate continually in extreme cold temperatures as low as -40° (it’s the same, C or F), while delivering 20% more operational efficiency than a human-driven truck.
The Huawei-issued press release is a bit light on truck specs, but similar 90 tonne electric units claim 350 or 422 kWh LFP battery packs and up to 565 hp from their electric drive motors and some 2,300 Nm (1,700 lb-ft) of tq from 0 rpm.
Huawei executives said the Ruichi trucks reflect the company’s vision for smarter mining operations, with the potential to introduce similar technologies in markets like Africa and Latin America. The 100 asset electric fleet marks the first phase of a plan to deploy 300 autonomous trucks at the Yimin mine by 2028.
Electrek’s Take
Electric haul trucks; via Huawei.
From drilling and rigging to heavy haul solutions, companies like Huaneng Group are proving that electric equipment is more than up to the task of moving dirt and pulling stuff out of the ground. At the same time, rising demand for nickel, lithium, and phosphates combined with the natural benefits of electrification are driving the adoption of electric mining machines while a persistent operator shortage is boosting demand for autonomous tech in those machines.
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Tesla has started accepting Cybertruck trade-ins, something that wasn’t the case more than a year after deliveries of the electric pickup truck started.
We are starting to see why Tesla didn’t accept its own vehicle as a trade-in: the depreciation is insane.
The Cybertruck has been a commercial flop.
When Tesla started production and deliveries in late 2023, the vehicle was significantly more expensive and had less performance than initially announced.
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At one point, Tesla boasted having over 1 million reservations for the electric pickup truck, but only about 40,000 people ended up converting their reservations into orders.
Tesla didn’t share an explanation at the time, but we assumed that the automaker knew the Cybertruck was depreciating at an incredible rate and didn’t want to be stuck with more trucks than it was already dealing with.
Now, Tesla has started taking Cybertruck trade-ins, at least for the Foundation Series, and it is now providing estimates to Cybertruck owners (via Cybertruck Owners Club):
Tesla sold a brand-new 2024 Cybertruck AWD Foundation Series for $100,000. Now, with only 6,000 miles on the odometer, Tesla is offering $65,400 for it – 34.6% depreciation in just a year.
Pickup trucks generally lose about 20% of their value after a year and 34% after about 3-4 years.
It’s also wroth nothing that Tesla’s online “trade-in estimates” are often higher than the final offer as noted in the footnote o fhte screenshot above.
Electrek’s Take
This is already extremely high depreciation, but Tesla is actually trying to save face with estimates like this one.
As Tesla wouldn’t even accept Cybertruck trade-ins, used car dealers also slowed down their purchases as they also didn’t want to be caught with the trucks sitting on their lots for too long.
On Car Guru, the Cybertruck’s depreciation is actually closer to 45% after a year and that’s more representative of the offers owners should expect from dealers.
That’s entirely Tesla’s fault. The company created no scarcity with the Foundation Series. They built as many as people wanted. In fact, they built too many and ended having to “buff out” the Foundation Series badges on some units to sell them as regular Cybertrucks and as of last month, Tesla still had some Cybertruck Foundations Series in inventory – meaning they have been sitting around for up to 6 months.
Now, Tesla is stuck with thousands of Cybertrucks, early owners are already getting rid of their vehicles at an impressive rate, and the automaker had to slow production to a crawl.
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Australian logistics company Linfox is making big moves to electrify its heavy-duty semi fleet with the addition of thirty new Volvo FH and FM Electric semi trucks as the Swedish brand works to begin production at its Brisbane facility.
Volvo Trucks is expecting to begin full scale production of its FH and FM Electric semi trucks at the Brisbane factory in early 2026, just in time to fill the Linfox order – which happens to be the company’s largest in Australia. So far.
“We are very proud to continue our close partnership with Linfox. The order for 30 Volvo electric trucks is proof of their trust in our company and in zero-emissions transport as a viable solution here and now,” said Roger Alm, President Volvo Trucks. “Our commitment to start building electric trucks in Australia demonstrates our confidence in this technology, and means we can offer an industry-leading range of purpose-built electric trucks all around the world.”
“Linfox is excited to partner with Volvo in driving the future and leading sustainable logistics in Australia,” explains Peter Fox AM (Member of the Order of Australia), Executive Chairman of Linfox. “Further electrifying our fleet sets the standard for us and our customers and the entire industry.”
Linfox’ latest order includes 29 Volvo FH Electric and one FM Electric semi. The company currently has four electric Volvo trucks in its fleet of 195 semis, with plans to continue to electrify as ICE-powered assets reach retirement.
Electrek’s Take
Linfox Volvo semi fleet; via Volvo Trucks.
Now counting miles in operation in the tens of millions and rolling out its third generation of electric semi trucks, Volvo (and, by extension, Mack and Renault) continue to build a huge lead in the commercial trucking space. The competition, meanwhile, seems content to post pictures of its first factory while trucks that have been on order for years still haven’t reached customers.
I can’t see how they (Tesla) catch up from here.
SOURCE | IMAGES: Volvo Trucks.
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