The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said Jeremy Hunt should not be planning to cut taxes any time soon.
In what will be seen as a bombshell intervention ahead of this year’s election, the Fund, widely regarded as the world’s most authoritative economic body, said its analysts had advised the UK Treasury not to cut taxes.
And, in a further blow to the chancellor, it expressed scepticism about his spending plans for the coming years, raising questions about his ability to meet his own fiscal rules.
An IMF spokesman said: “As noted in the 2023 Article IV consultation, preserving high-quality public services, and undertaking critical public investments to boost growth and achieve the net zero targets, will imply higher spending needs over the medium term than are currently reflected in the government’s budget plans.
“Accommodating these needs… will already require generating additional high-quality fiscal savings, including on the tax side.
“The IMF has recommended strengthening carbon and property taxation, eliminating loopholes in wealth and income taxation, and reforming the pensions triple lock.
“It is in this context that staff advises against further tax cuts.”
That those tax cuts are seen by the world’s leading economic authority as an imprudent move will undermine the chancellor’s case.
The chancellor said: “The IMF expect growth to strengthen over the next few years, supported by our introduction of the biggest capital investment tax reliefs anywhere in the world, alongside National Insurance cuts to improve work incentives. It is too early to know whether further reductions in tax will be affordable in the Budget, but we continue to believe that smart tax reductions can make a big difference in boosting growth.”
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