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Labour is scaling back its green prosperity plan by ditching its £28bn spending pledge.

But what is the policy, and how has Sir Keir Starmer ended up U-turning on the central investment promise?

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‘First green chancellor’

In 2021, the Labour Party descended on Brighton in its droves for its first in-person conference since the COVID pandemic struck, and for Sir Keir’s first chance to deliver his big leader’s speech in front of a live audience, rather than over Zoom.

But one of the major policy announcements at the event came from his shadow chancellor, Rachel Reeves, who promised to be “Britain’s first green chancellor” with a green prosperity plan.

She pledged that if her party got into power, it would spend an extra £28bn, through government borrowing, on investment in climate-tackling technologies such as offshore wind farms and battery development, as well as more traditional measures like planting trees and building flood defences.

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Ms Reeves said the annual spend would be made every year until 2030 and would create thousands of jobs, as well as encourage more investment from the private sector and help “protect our planet for future generations”.

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Rachel Reeves made the £28bn pledge at Labour’s party conference in 2021

The ambitious pledge was widely welcomed by green campaigners and even some business leaders, but was quickly seized on by the Conservative Party as Labour being irresponsible with the economy.

‘Foolish’

Fast forward to the summer of 2023, and Ms Reeves announced Labour would be watering down its £28bn pledge.

Rather than providing a guarantee of borrowing and spending the large sum from its first year in Downing Street, it would now become a target to work towards.

The shadow chancellor blamed the fallout from Liz Truss’s short tenure in Number 10 – and her disastrous mini-budget – which took its toll on the public finances.

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She accused the Tories of “crashing the economy” as interest rates and inflation rocketed to historic highs, saying “economic stability, financial stability, always has to come first”.

But she denied it was an outright U-turn on the key policy, promising spending on green pledges would still go ahead.

“The truth is I didn’t foresee what the Conservatives would do to our economy – maybe that was foolish of me,” said Ms Reeves.

Another U-turn

As we approached 2024, the Conservatives seized on the policy and attacked Labour with it – saying it highlighted the party’s lack of fiscal responsibility and added it to a list of U-turns made by Sir Keir.

But a row also erupted within Labour itself, with some calling for the £28bn to be spent in full and others wanting the pledge to be dropped altogether as an election drew nearer.

As we entered the new year, those internal squabbles had made it on to the front pages, and shadow ministers were struggling on the airwaves to make clear whether the policy was still in place – or would remain so when voters headed to the polls.

Ms Reeves herself refused to commit to the spending target 10 times in an interview with Sky News’ political editor Beth Rigby last week.

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Reeves refuses to commit to Labour’s green pledge

Yet when shadow minister Sir Chris Bryant appeared on Sky News Breakfast days later, he insisted “we are doing it” and “it will be £28bn”.

Now, Sir Keir has confirmed the axing of the figure, telling reporters it was because the Tories had “done terrible damage to our economy” and were being “reckless” with plans to “max out on the government credit card” ahead of the next election.

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Labour ditches £28bn green pledge

The party now plans to spend £23.7bn on environmental schemes over the course of its first term in office – equivalent to just under £5bn a year.

But Labour insists its commitment to becoming a clean superpower by 2030 remains unchanged and the reduced funding will still meet existing promises made under the original green prosperity plan.

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Thiel-backed Erebor wins US approval as Silicon Valley Bank rival emerges

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Erebor’s green light from US regulators is among the most significant bank charter approvals tied to digital assets since the 2023 regional banking crisis.

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Chancellor admits tax rises and spending cuts considered for budget

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Chancellor admits tax rises and spending cuts considered for budget

Rachel Reeves has told Sky News she is looking at both tax rises and spending cuts in the budget, in her first interview since being briefed on the scale of the fiscal black hole she faces.

“Of course, we’re looking at tax and spending as well,” the chancellor said when asked how she would deal with the country’s economic challenges in her 26 November statement.

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Ms Reeves was shown the first draft of the Office for Budget Responsibility’s (OBR) report, revealing the size of the black hole she must fill next month, on Friday 3 October.

She has never previously publicly confirmed tax rises are on the cards in the budget, going out of her way to avoid mentioning tax in interviews two weeks ago.

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Chancellor pledges not to raise VAT

Cabinet ministers had previously indicated they did not expect future spending cuts would be used to ensure the chancellor met her fiscal rules.

Ms Reeves also responded to questions about whether the economy was in a “doom loop” of annual tax rises to fill annual black holes. She appeared to concede she is trapped in such a loop.

Asked if she could promise she won’t allow the economy to get stuck in a doom loop cycle, Ms Reeves replied: “Nobody wants that cycle to end more than I do.”

She said that is why she is trying to grow the economy, and only when pushed a third time did she suggest she “would not use those (doom loop) words” because the UK had the strongest growing economy in the G7 in the first half of this year.

What’s facing Reeves?

Ms Reeves is expected to have to find up to £30bn at the budget to balance the books, after a U-turn on winter fuel and welfare reforms and a big productivity downgrade by the OBR, which means Britain is expected to earn less in future than previously predicted.

Yesterday, the IMF upgraded UK growth projections by 0.1 percentage points to 1.3% of GDP this year – but also trimmed its forecast by 0.1% next year, also putting it at 1.3%.

The UK growth prospects are 0.4 percentage points worse off than the IMF’s projects last autumn. The 1.3% GDP growth would be the second-fastest in the G7, behind the US.

Last night, the chancellor arrived in Washington for the annual IMF and World Bank conference.

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The big issues facing the UK economy

‘I won’t duck challenges’

In her Sky News interview, Ms Reeves said multiple challenges meant there was a fresh need to balance the books.

“I was really clear during the general election campaign – and we discussed this many times – that I would always make sure the numbers add up,” she said.

“Challenges are being thrown our way – whether that is the geopolitical uncertainties, the conflicts around the world, the increased tariffs and barriers to trade. And now this (OBR) review is looking at how productive our economy has been in the past and then projecting that forward.”

She was clear that relaxing the fiscal rules (the main one being that from 2029-30, the government’s day-to-day spending needs to rely on taxation alone, not borrowing) was not an option, making tax rises all but inevitable.

“I won’t duck those challenges,” she said.

“Of course, we’re looking at tax and spending as well, but the numbers will always add up with me as chancellor because we saw just three years ago what happens when a government, where the Conservatives, lost control of the public finances: inflation and interest rates went through the roof.”

Pic: PA
Image:
Pic: PA

Blame it on the B word?

Ms Reeves also lay responsibility for the scale of the black hole she’s facing at Brexit, along with austerity and the mini-budget.

This could risk a confrontation with the party’s own voters – one in five (19%) Leave voters backed Labour at the last election, playing a big role in assuring the party’s landslide victory.

The chancellor said: “Austerity, Brexit, and the ongoing impact of Liz Truss’s mini-budget, all of those things have weighed heavily on the UK economy.

“Already, people thought that the UK economy would be 4% smaller because of Brexit.

“Now, of course, we are undoing some of that damage by the deal that we did with the EU earlier this year on food and farming, goods moving between us and the continent, on energy and electricity trading, on an ambitious youth mobility scheme, but there is no doubting that the impact of Brexit is severe and long-lasting.”

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