When Sky News launched The Voters Panel 24 hours ago, there was one party who stood apart from the rest – Reform.
Our online congregation – 2019 Tory voters working out their political home in this year’s general election – seemed less sure where other, bigger parties were planting their ideological flags.
In contrast, many members of our panel knew everything about what this 2024 post-Farage update of the 2019 Brexit Party stands for: its big picture policies, its characters, its aims, its vibe.
In many ways this is remarkable. The party doesn’t have the global pulling power of Nigel Farage working full-time to support it. It does not automatically command much coverage in newspapers, radio or TV outside of GB News.
It has had a tricky time in by-elections. It hasn’t fought a general election before. And the name, Reform, would not automatically stand out on a ballot paper.
Image: Nigel Farage and Richard Tice on the campaign trail in 2019. Pic: PA
Yet, whether members of The Voters Panel found them attractive or repellent, it had clearly cut through, and for many on the panel, it represented more than just the sum of policies.
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“I think the thing that stands out about Reform for me is that they want to bring back and get Britain great,” said Alison, 65, a panel member from Lewes.
Image: Alison says Reform want to make Britain ‘great’. Pic: Sky News
At the other end of the spectrum, Joshua – who is set to switch to Labour from Tory in 2019 – said: “I hope Richard Tice and Nigel Farage go back to being fringe people with fringe ideas, which they are, and stop feeling and being made to feel by others like they are some sort of kingmakers with the best, strongest ideas in politics.
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“They are odd people with sad, angry ideas that need to go away and I hope they do to help us come to our senses and have a more normal political situation, with a better chance of solving the country’s problems.”
Image: Joshua said he wanted Richard Tice and Nigel Farage to “go back to being fringe people”. Pic: Sky News
According to the Sky News The Voters Panel, the Reform Party is the second biggest alternative destination to the Conservatives after Labour. In some polls of Tory voters, they are the most likely alternative.
The hope inside Conservative headquarters is that when warned voting Reform would put Sir Keir Starmer in Downing Street, some will peel away and back the Tories.
However, The Voters Panel showed that members had already given thought to this issue.
Electoral Dysfunction
Listen to Beth Rigby, Jess Phillips and Ruth Davidson as they unravel the spin in a new weekly podcast from Sky News
Four of the six online panel members who will, or are considering, voting Reform have already concluded that they will do so regardless of whether it puts Sir Keir in power.
Alison said: “If voting reform means that Labour becomes our next parliament, our next government, then I don’t mind that because I want the Conservatives to get a message that ordinary people like me aren’t happy with the way they have run the country, especially in the last 10 years.”
Image: Kelly favours Reform’s tax policies. Pic: Sky News
Rob, 49, from Chichester, said: “I’m absolutely aware that voting for Reform means that the Conservatives are less likely to form the next government. And it may well open the door to Labour.
“But I feel that may have to be a price worth paying if we are ever to get any real change in this country.”
Meanwhile, Kelly said that Reform would be her pick over the Tories because of the stance on tax.
Image: Kelly favours Reform’s tax policies. Pic: Sky News
“Some people might say that the Reform vote is a protest vote, but for me it isn’t,” she said. “It absolutely isn’t. It’s a legitimate vote and it’s a vote that they’ve had for [quite] a while now.
“The things that really speak out for me are lower taxes. Lower taxes in general are all going to be welcomed as long as we can afford it.
“And I’m sure that they won’t do what Conservatives have done and crash the economy again. I think lower taxes in the right areas will be really beneficial for me and my family.”
If even half of the voters that currently back Reform stick with this view, Rishi Sunak’s path to Number 10 looks even trickier.
Lucy Powell has accused Bridget Phillipson’s team of “throwing mud” and briefing against her in the Labour deputy leadership race in a special episode of Sky’s Electoral Dysfunction podcast.
With just days to go until the race is decided, Sky News’ political editor Beth Rigby spoke to the two leadership rivals about allegations of leaks, questions of party unity and their political vision.
Ms Powell told Electoral Dysfunction that through the course of the contest, she had “never leaked or briefed”.
But she said of negative stories about her in the media: “I think some of these things have also come from my opponent’s team as well. And I think they need calling out.
“We are two strong women standing in this contest. We’ve both got different things to bring to the job. I’m not going to get into the business of smearing and briefing against Bridget.
“Having us airing our dirty washing, throwing mud – both in this campaign or indeed after this if I get elected as deputy leader – that is not the game that I’m in.”
Ms Powell was responding to a “Labour source” who told the New Statesman last week:“Lucy was sacked from cabinet because she couldn’t be trusted not to brief or leak.”
Ms Powell said she had spoken directly to Ms Phillipson about allegations of briefings “a little bit”.
Image: Bridget Phillipson (l) and Lucy Powell (r) spoke to Sky News’ Beth Rigby in a special Electoral Dysfunction double-header. Pics: Reuters
Phillipson denies leaks
But asked separately if her team had briefed against Ms Powell, Ms Phillipson told Rigby: “Not to my knowledge.”
And Ms Phillipson said she had not spoken “directly” to her opponent about the claims of negative briefings, despite Ms Powell saying the pair had talked about it.
“I don’t know if there’s been any discussion between the teams,” she added.
On the race itself, the education secretary said it would be “destabilising” if Ms Powell is elected, as she is no longer in the cabinet.
“I think there is a risk that comes of airing too much disagreement in public at a time when we need to focus on taking the fight to our opponents.
“I know Lucy would reject that, but I think that is for me a key choice that members are facing.”
She added: “It’s about the principle of having that rule outside of government that risks being the problem. I think I’ll be able to get more done in government.”
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But Ms Powell, who was recently sacked by Sir Keir Starmer as leader of the Commons, said she could “provide a stronger, more independent voice”.
“The party is withering on the vine at the same time, and people have got big jobs in government to do.
“Politics is moving really, really fast. Government is very, very slow. And I think having a full-time political deputy leader right now is the political injection we need.”
The result of the contest will be announced on Saturday 25 October.
The deputy leader has the potential to be a powerful and influential figure as the link between members and the parliamentary Labour Party, and will have a key role in election campaigns. They can’t be sacked by Sir Keir as they have their own mandate.
The contest was triggered by the resignation of Angela Rayner following a row over her tax affairs. She was also the deputy prime minister but this position was filled by David Lammy in a wider cabinet reshuffle.