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The US added a record-setting 32.4 gigawatts (GW) of solar capacity in 2023, according to a new report, but 2024 will bring challenges to the industry.

March 5, 2024: That’s a 37% increase from the previous record set in 2021 and a 51% increase from 2022.

It’s the first time in 80 years that a renewable electricity source has accounted for over half of annual capacity additions to the grid. 

According to the US Solar Market Insight 2023 Year-in-Review released today by the Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA) and Wood Mackenzie, solar accounts for 53% of all new electric generating capacity added to the grid last year. This marks the first time in 80 years that a renewable electricity source has accounted for over 50% of annual capacity additions. 

Every solar market segment saw year-over-year growth in 2023, bringing total installed solar capacity in the US to 177 GW. The utility-scale sector alone added 22.5 GW of new capacity, while nearly 800,000 Americans added solar to their homes. 

SEIA president and CEO Abigail Ross Hopper said:

The Inflation Reduction Act is supercharging solar deployment and having a material impact on our economy, helping America’s solar module manufacturing base grow 89% in 2023.

We must protect and optimize the policies that are driving these investments and creating jobs, and the stakes in the upcoming election couldn’t be higher.

December 6, 2023: The SEIA and Wood Mackenzie released their report, “US Solar Market Insight Q4 2023,” in which they report that third-quarter (Q3) additions of new solar totaled 6.5 gigawatts (GW) – a 35% year-over-year increase – as federal clean energy policies begin to take hold.

California and Texas led the US for new solar installations in Q3, and Indiana ranked third with 663 megawatts (MW) of new capacity as several large utility-scale projects came online. Fourteen states and Puerto Rico installed more than 100 MW of new solar capacity in Q3. 

While economic challenges are beginning to impact the solar and storage industry, solar is still expected to be the largest source of generating capacity on the US grid by 2050.

SEIA president and CEO Abigail Ross Hopper said:

Solar remains the fastest-growing energy source in the United States, and despite a difficult economic environment, this growth is expected to continue for years to come.

To maintain this forecasted growth, we must modernize regulations and reduce bureaucratic roadblocks to make it easier for clean energy companies to invest capital and create jobs.

The residential solar segment installed a record 210,000 systems in Q3. However, the California Public Utilities Commission’s disastrous decision to gut the state’s rooftop solar incentives –resulting in an 80% drop in installations – and elevated US interest rates are expected to lead to a brief decline next year before growth resumes in 2025.

Elevated financing costs, transformer shortages, and interconnection bottlenecks are also impacting the utility-scale segment, which saw its lowest level of new contracts signed in a quarter since 2018.

However, improvements in the module supply chain have led to a record 12 GW of utility-scale deployment in the first nine months of 2023.

Solar accounts for 48% of all new electric generating capacity in the first three quarters of 2023, bringing total installed solar capacity in the US to 161 GW across 4.7 million installations. By 2028, US solar capacity is expected to reach 377 GW – enough to power more than 65 million homes.

Michelle Davis, head of solar research at Wood Mackenzie and lead author of the report, said:

The US solar industry is on a strong growth trajectory, with expectations of 55% growth this year and 10% growth in 2024.  

Growth is expected to be slower starting in 2026 as various challenges like interconnection constraints become more acute. It’s critical that the industry continue to innovate to maximize the value that solar brings to an increasingly complex grid.

Interconnection reform, regulatory modernization, and increasing storage attachment rates will be key tools.

Electrek’s Take

Solar breaking capacity records in 2023 doesn’t surprise me – thank you, Inflation Reduction Act – but it certainly makes me happy to hear it from the SEIA. The solar industry is still going to grow in 2024, just not as quickly as it did last year.

There are a lot of moving parts in this revolutionary transition to clean energy, and next year, the industry and its supply chain is going to have to recalibrate on some important stuff.

There’s nothing it can do about the interest rates, and I don’t know how California is going to sort out its mess. But there are innovative startups coming up with better ways to calibrate the power on the grid, and those ideas are being launched commercially. As Davis says, interconnection reform and regulation improvements are needed to help ease the clean energy bottlenecks. Hopefully those bottleneck issues will be improved by government sooner rather than later.

Read more: Here’s what the US needs to do right now to upgrade the grid

Photo: A worker watches the sunrise by US Department of Energy is licensed under CC-CC0 1.0


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Oregon law seeks to ban many street-legal electric bicycles from bike lanes

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Oregon law seeks to ban many street-legal electric bicycles from bike lanes

A new bill submitted to the Oregon Legislative Assembly seeks to ban street-legal Class 3 electric bicycles from bike lanes in the state.

Class 3 electric bicycles include those that can reach motor-assisted speeds of up to 28 mph (45 km/h), whereas Class 1 and 2 electric bicycles can only reach 20 mph (32 km/h) under motor assist.

Under Senate Bill 471, the proposed legislation would make it an offense if a rider “operates a moped or a Class 3 electric assisted bicycle upon a sidewalk, a bicycle path or a bicycle lane.” Under Oregon law, traditional pedal bicycles can be legally operated on sidewalks unless restricted by a local ordinance, but e-bikes are already banned from operating on sidewalks.

Thus, the proposed legislation is effectively a ban on electric bikes capable of speeds exceeding 20 mph from being used in bike lanes. Instead, such bikes would only be permitted for use on public roadways.

tern quick haul
E-bikes like this Tern Quick Haul could be banned in Oregon bike lanes under proposed new legislation

In addition, Section 2 of the bill seeks to remove key protections for cyclists operating such 20+ mph electric bikes in bike lanes. Under current law, a motorist can be cited for failing to yield right of way to a cyclist in a bike lane when the motorist crosses over the bike lane, such as when crossing into a driveway, parking lot, etc.

The proposed legislation would remove the requirement for motorists to yield the right of way to cyclists on Class 3 e-bikes in bike lanes.

It should be noted that drivers cannot visually distinguish a Class 3 e-bike from other classes of e-bikes being ridden in a bike lane because the difference is performance-based.

Electrek’s Take

Sure, I support this law, as long as we can apply the logic equally. If the logic goes that Class 3 (28 mph maximum) e-bikes have the ability to be ridden faster than much of the traffic flow in a bike lane and thus should be banned in such bike lanes, then we might as well just ban cars capable of highway speeds from being operated on city streets. “Can your car go faster than 40 mph? Sorry, you know the rules. Keep that thing off city streets.”

It makes sense, right? Same logic. If it *can* go faster, it shouldn’t be allowed to operate there at all.

I mean, if a 60 lb e-bike that has the potential to go 8 mph faster than another e-bike is such a menace to public health and safety, then oh lordy what must we think of 5,000 lb vehicles that can easily exceed 120 mph with just a two-inch deviation of a distracted driver’s big toe? Surely we’ll be kicking those out of cities any day now, right? Right, guys? Guys…?

Ok, let’s get serious now. This law is awful and the legislators that conjured it up should be put on a 21 mph bicycle and forced to spend a couple minutes riding with their handlebar inches from 40+ mph cars to truly understand what real danger is. Then let’s hear them try to tell us how it’s a Class 3 e-bike that is the true danger.

I’m not trying to say that we should completely ignore that sometimes people get hit by an e-bike. It happens. It has even been lethal on exceedingly rare occasions. But you know what happens on regular occasions? Cyclists and pedestrians getting hit and killed by cars. So instead of spending legislative effort trying to push e-bikes back out onto roads, maybe we should expend some effort keeping car fenders off of cyclists’ bodies. Or invest in more bike lanes. Or increase enforcement of traffic violations for all road users. Or increase awareness education for drivers and riders alike. There are so many good answers, but none of them can be found in this bill.

rayvolt exxite XS electric bike ride commute

via: KMTR

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U.S. sanctions on Russia hit oil freight rates

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U.S. sanctions on Russia hit oil freight rates

Aerial view of a ship at sea.

Suriyapong Thongsawang | Moment | Getty Images

Oil-linked shipping costs rallied after last week’s announcement of tighter U.S. sanctions to drain Russia’s war coffers, in a move that poses significant threats to Moscow’s maritime distribution chains.  

On Jan. 10, the U.S. Treasury Department announced fresh measures to deplete Russia’s energy revenues, including sanctions against key producers Gazprom Neft and Surgutneftegas, along with 183 vessels that were “largely oil tankers that are part of the shadow fleet as well as oil tankers owned by Russia-based fleet operators.”

The Treasury added that several of the designated tankers had transported both Russian and Iranian oil, and further extended sanctions to Russia-based maritime insurance providers Ingosstrakh Insurance Company and AlfaStrakhovanie Group.

This is set to deliver a critical blow to Russia, which has been forced to reroute its crude and oil product supplies to Asia-Pacific, after these volumes were banned by European and G7 sanctions, which came in effect in December 2022 and February 2023, respectively.

Already, around 890 unique tankers loaded Russian oil — comprising both crude and oil products — in the past six months, analytics firm Vortexa told CNBC on Jan. 7, with 107 of these ships — or 12% of the total — being subject to vessel-specific sanctions at the time.

The figures do not factor in the Jan. 10 announcement. On Wednesday, the Paris-based International Energy Agency assessed that around 160 out of the 183 blocked tankers had moved over 1.6 million barrels per day of Russian oil last year, accounting for 22% of Russian seaborne exports over the period.

The latest U.S. measures are also set to tighten the number of vessels available for the commission of non-Russian parties, pushing up shipping costs for other tankers. Since the Jan. 10 announcement, the effect of the bans has spilled into freight derivatives, with the volume of traded Forward Freight Agreement (FFA) contracts — which can allow traders to hedge against volatility in fluctuating freight rates – jumping to 11,412 on Jan. 10, and topping 7,900 and 6,700 on Jan. 13 and Jan. 14, respectively, according to data from the Baltic Exchange. The figures compare with 2,987 and 1,683 contracts traded daily on average in the months of November and December, respectively.

Rates for supertankers crossing from the Middle East Gulf to Asia-Pacific — a bellwether route for the oil industry — picked up by more than 40% between Jan. 9 and Jan. 14, according to pricing data from Argus Media.

As a result, the sanctions “could significantly disrupt Russian oil supply and distribution chains,” the IEA warned, noting that Russian exports will “take a hit from the shadow tanker fleet reduction” and the “elimination of shipping insurance, the bridling of dominant traders of Russian oil and designation of key handling companies in consumer markets.”

The agency nevertheless fell short of factoring the latest U.S. steps into its Russian supply forecasts, while noting that crude exports from the Eastern European country – a key member of the OPEC+ alliance – fell by 250,000 barrels per day month-on-month to 4.6 million barrels per day in December.

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Polestar expects profits in 2025 with 5 GT launch, confirms Polestar 7 will be an entry level compact SUV

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Polestar expects profits in 2025 with 5 GT launch, confirms Polestar 7 will be an entry level compact SUV

Swedish and Chinese EV automaker Polestar has shared an updated business strategy, looking to 2025 and beyond as its next chapter in growth. Per the release detailed below, Polestar is expecting increased sales volume, especially as its long-promised Polestar 5 GT is set to launch this year. Additionally, the automaker confirmed its Polestar 7 model will be a compact SUV and its most affordable BEV to date.

Polestar remains a growing name in the EV segment, and more and more people are becoming aware of the Geely-owned brand as it brings more models to market. Its two most recent were the Polestar 3 SUV and 4 crossover, built in the US and China, respectively. According to Polestar, those two models have gained “strong product momentum,” accounting for 56% of orders in Q4 2024.

Polestar looks to ride that wave into 2025 and add to its impetus with the launch of the Polestar 5, a sports sedan based on the automaker’s Precept concept EV that is targeting up to 884 hp and will attempt to compete against some of the big boys, like the Tesla Model S and Porsche Taycan.

While it won’t be part of Polestar’s 2025 launches, the automaker’s executives have divulged some new details about a new model called the Polestar 7, which was teased back in April 2024.

Polestar 7
Source: Polestar

Polestar 7 to replace the 2 as its entry-level model

According to a release published on its investor page, Polestar expects a fruitful 2025 that will set the town for its revamped business strategy through at least 2027. Per the automaker, it is targeting compound annual retail sales volume growth of 30-35% over the next three years and positive adjusted EBITDA in 2025. Furthermore, Polestar executives expect positive free cash flow after investments in 2027. Polestar CEO Michael Lohscheller elaborated:

With Scandinavian design, performance and a premium brand, Polestar has successfully positioned itself in the global automotive market. We have three outstanding cars on the road and a growing, passionate customer base.We are building on the strong Polestar brand with design and performance at its core.

But significant changes are needed to make this well-respected progressive brand a successful and viable business. We are speeding up our retail expansion and commercial transformation, whilst adjusting our future model line-up and significantly reducing our cost base. Both in terms of volumes and financials, we expect 2025 to be the strongest year in Polestar’s history.

Part of Polestar’s success in 2025 will depend on the start of sales of the Polestar 5, the automaker’s first model to sit atop an 800V platform. According to the company, that launch is expected in the second half of this year. Until then, Polestar will continue to push sales of its current lineup, which consists of the Polestar 2, 3, and 4.

While the Polestar 2 will be remembered as the BEV that put the brand on the map, its days are unfortunately numbered. Previous Polestar CEO Thomas Ingenlath said the company intends to phase out the 2 sedans around 2027, and its successor will be a new model called the Polestar 7.

We hadn’t heard much about the Polestar 7 since then, but the company confirmed today that it will arrive as a premium compact SUV. Additionally, we’ve learned the Polestar 7 will be the brand’s first model built in Europe. With production footprints in China, South Korea, and the US, Europe is a natural next step in expansion, especially for an affordable, compact SUV the Polestar 7 promises to be, because that is such a popular segment in the EU.

The Polestar 7 will also represent a new design strategy for the automaker. From that launch onward, it will “gradually move from a multi-platform approach to one single architecture, reducing complexity, costs, and investments.”

While we’ve learned what style of BEV the Polestar 7 will be, we don’t know much else at this point. With the expectation that we won’t see anything come to market until 2027 at the earliest, our immediate focus will remain on the upcoming launch of the Polestar 5 in 2025, followed by the Polestar 6 roadster convertible in 2026.

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