The woman who is odds-on to be the next chancellor has recently been painting a bleak picture of the state of Britain.
In her keynote Mais lecture last month, Rachel Reeves described Britain as gripped by “recurrent crises”, and a state of decline comparable to the turmoil of the 1970s.
The Conservatives, she has claimed, have left the NHS “on its knees” and pursued a “scorched earth” approach to public services by making an unfunded commitment to cut National Insurance.
But as the election nears, the scrutiny is increasing on Labour’s proposed remedies and whether they go anywhere near answering the fundamental questions they have posed.
Today, visiting the Manchester Royal Infirmary, Ms Reeves set out how Labour would fund their promises of breakfast clubs in all primary schools, hundreds of thousands more dentist appointments, and two million more NHS operations, scans and appointments a year.
They had planned to find the £2bn-a-year by scrapping non-domiciled status – in other words forcing people not permanently resident in the UK to pay tax on foreign income – until the current Chancellor Jeremy Hunt came along and nicked the policy.
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Ms Reeves told me she’d been through the costings; and found that £2.6bn over five years could be brought in through closing loopholes in the non-dom policy – although the Institute of Fiscal Studies warns that some non-doms, who currently pay £6bn a year in UK tax too, could move abroad.
Funding HMRC to hire new compliance officers and use better technology to bring in more money from tax evaders would, Labour says, yield £5bn in five years’ time. Governments, both Labour and the Coalition, have managed to close the so-called tax gap, but the exact numbers cannot be guaranteed.
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Labour HQ painted red in protest at the sale of weapons to Israel
And is this just tinkering? The OBR forecasts at the last budget show that just to maintain the current levels of day-to-day spending over five years, the next government of whatever stripe will need to find £20bn – just to stand still.
That doesn’t include capital spending on infrastructure, which would be about the same again, or any increases Labour may wish to announce.
Ms Reeves insisted to me that she has no plans to look again at the triple lock on pensions – which currently accounts for 11% of government spending and rising. Or raise personal taxes, currently at their highest for 70 years.
She insisted today’s announcements are not small change, or a drop in the ocean. With the election date uncertain, they are understandably wary of announcing more policies the Conservatives may steal.
But Labour’s dilemma is that to turn around the bleak picture they’ve painted will demand difficult choices on tax or borrowing – and we haven’t really heard what they are yet.
Despite reports in February suggesting that 2 million pro-crypto voters could decide the outcome of this week’s Australian Federal Election, crypto has barely rated a mention during the campaign.
“I think it’s a missed opportunity,” Independent Reserve founder Adrian Przelozny told Cointelegraph. “Neither side has made crypto a headline issue because they’re wary of polarizing voters or sounding too niche.”
But the good news is that after more than a decade of inaction, both the ruling Australian Labor Party (ALP) and the opposition Liberal Party are promising to enact crypto regulations developed in consultation with the industry.
In April, Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor promised to release draft crypto regulations within the first 100 days after taking office, while the Treasury itself has draft bills on “regulating digital asset platforms” and “payments system modernization” scheduled for release this quarter.
Amy-Rose Goodey, CEO of the Digital Economy Council of Australia, said that both parties “are equally invested in getting this draft legislation across the line.”
“Irrespective of who gets in, we’re in a better position than we were about a year ago.”
Pro-crypto voters have choices in the Senate, too, with the Libertarian Party issuing a 23-page Bitcoin policy in March — calling for the creation of a national Bitcoin (BTC) Reserve and the acceptance of Bitcoin as legal tender.
The minor party is fielding five Senate candidates in different states, including former Liberal MP Craig Kelly, but doesn’t currently have anyone in the Senate.
The progressive left-wing Greens party has not outlined a position on crypto, while the conservative right-wing One Nation party has campaigned against debanking and CBDCs.
The Libertarian Party’s Bitcoin Policy Whitepaper. Source: The Libertarians
More than a decade of inaction on crypto
Australia’s first parliamentary inquiry into digital assets was held back in 2014, but there’s been more than a decade of regulatory inaction since. The industry says this has led to stagnation and a brain drain of talent to jurisdictions like Singapore and the UAE.
But there has definitely been a vibe shift from the ALP recently, with Treasurer Jim Chalmers telling Cointelegraph that digital assets “represent big opportunities for our economy.”
”We want to seize these opportunities and encourage innovation at the same time as making sure Australians can use and invest in digital assets safely and securely with appropriate regulation.”
His office said exposure draft legislation would be released “in 2025” for consultation, introduced into Parliament “once that feedback has been considered” with the subsequent reforms “phased in over time to minimize disruptions to existing businesses.”
The shadow assistant treasurer, Luke Howarth, said the ALP has been slow to act because it didn’t have a blockchain policy when it was elected.
“It wasn’t until the FTX collapse that they acknowledged the need for regulation,” he told Cointelegraph. “The Albanese government initially promised it would put in place regulation by 2023 but have failed to draft legislation or give a clear time-frame for action. After three years, all that was offered to industry was a six-page placeholder document.”
He’s referring to Treasury’s March statement “on developing an innovative Australian digital asset industry.” It provides for the licensing of Digital Asset Platforms (DAPS), a framework for payment stablecoins and a review of Australia’s Enhanced Regulatory Sandbox.
While short on detail, those aims are broadly similar to the crypto regulation priorities that Howarth outlines to Cointelegraph — the big difference being that the opposition has committed to a faster time frame.
Przelozny praised the 100-day promise as “exactly the kind of urgency we need.”
If elected, the Liberal Party’s legislation is expected to take some of its cues from Senator Andrew Bragg’s private members bill in 2023 and some from the more recent work done by the Treasury.
Shadow Assistant Treasurer Luke Howarth. Source: Luke Howarth
The government steps up efforts
The Treasury has been quietly drafting legislation this year, which Goodey understands is “almost complete.”
“There’s been prioritization within Treasury, and I know that their team has almost doubled — the digital asset team — for writing that draft legislation. So, there has been an investment in that over the past six months.”
Przelozny characterizes the ALP’s approach as “cautious and methodical, but it’s been slow,” prioritizing consumer protection and risk management.
BTC Markets CEO Caroline Bowler said the election of a pro-crypto Trump administration and the UK’s draft regulations (released this week) likely forced both sides of politics to finally get serious.
”Australia has ground to make up, and I would anticipate this also being a factor in the savvy move by both parties,” she said.
Sydney is the 10th most crypto-friendly city according to a recent poll.
Stand With Crypto campaign and ASIC
The Stand With Crypto campaign is active in Australia but has been fairly low-key during the campaign, with a focus on debanking.
Coinbase managing director for APAC John O’Loghlen called on whoever wins the election to launch a “Crypto-Asset Taskforce (CATF) within the first 100 days.” This would include industry and consumer representatives to finally get crypto regulations over the line.
“If Australia doesn’t move now, we risk falling even further behind,” he told Cointelegraph.
“The next government must move beyond consultation and into legislation.”
The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) is the local equivalent of the US Securities Exchange Commission (SEC). It released its own crypto regulatory proposals in December.
Joy Lam, Binance’s head of global regulatory and APAC legal, told Cointelegraph she doesn’t expect ASIC to suddenly change direction if a new government comes in, as the SEC did.
“ASIC doesn’t make the law,” she said. “I don’t expect a complete kind of 180 because ASIC, it is independent, and it does have its own mandate, but it obviously operates within the legislative framework that the government is going to be setting.”
In February, a poll by YouGov and Swyftx found that 59% of crypto users would vote for a pro-crypto candidate in the federal election above all other issues. That equates to around 2 million Australians and would be enough to determine the outcome of the election one way.
But the similarities between the major parties on crypto regulation are much greater than the differences. Goodey said both sides of politics have genuinely engaged with the industry about its concerns and priorities.
“You can see in some of the language with their media releases that they both released in March, April this year, that they are in agreement on what the industry issues are,” she said.
Owing to Senator Bragg’s campaigning on crypto, the industry sees the Liberal Party as more enthusiastic about digital assets, but after three years in government, the ALP looks to have arrived at roughly the same place.
Recent YouGov and Resolve polls suggest the government is likely to be reelected.
While internal Liberal polling suggests an ALP minority government is a genuine possibility, the major parties would have enough votes between them to pass bipartisan crypto legislation.
Whatever happens, 2025 looks like the year Australia will finally provide the crypto industry with the certainty it needs.
“For industry, the timing is really quite critical now because obviously it’s something that has been discussed and kicked around for quite a few years,” Lam said.
The UK has joined US forces in attacking a Houthi target in Yemen for the first time since Donald Trump was re-elected.
The Ministry of Defence (MoD) confirmed the strikes took place on Tuesday as part of the government’s response to Houthi attacks on international shipping in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden.
The ministry said careful intelligence analysis identified a cluster of buildings used by the Houthis to manufacture the sort of drones used to attack ships, located 15 miles south of the capital Sanaa.
RAF Typhoon FGR4s conducted strikes on several buildings using Paveway IV precision-guided bombs.
The planes had air refuelling support from Voyager tankers.
The ministry said the strike was conducted after dark to reduce the likelihood of civilians being in the area.
All the aircraft returned safely.
Image: John Healey. Pic: Reuters
Defence Secretary John Healey said: “This government will always act in the interests of our national and economic security.
“Royal Air Force Typhoons have successfully conducted strikes against a Houthi military target in Yemen and all UK aircraft and personnel have returned safely to base.
“We conducted these strikes, supported by the US, to degrade Houthi capabilities and prevent further attacks against UK and international shipping.”
Houthis a ‘persistent threat’ to ‘freedom of navigation’
Mr Healey said Houthi activities in the Red Sea are a “persistent threat” to “freedom of navigation”.
“A 55% drop in shipping through the Red Sea has already cost billions, fuelling regional instability and risking economic security for families in the UK,” he said.
“The government is steadfast in our commitment to reinforcing global stability and protecting British working people. I am proud of the dedication and professionalism shown by the service men and women involved in this operation.”
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The group began launching attacks on shipping routes in November 2023 saying they were in solidarity with Palestinians over Israel’s war with Hamas in Gaza.
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Six mayors are being elected in England, with most of the mayoralties last contested in 2021.
These include four combined authority mayors , otherwise known as metro mayors, as well as two city mayors.
Two of the mayors will take up new positions in the Hull and East Yorkshire, and Greater Lincolnshire combined authorities. The other mayoralties were all last contested in 2021.
Metro mayors
• Cambridgeshire and Peterborough • Greater Lincolnshire • Hull and East Yorkshire • West of England
City mayors
• Doncaster • North Tyneside
Polls closed on Thursday night. Greater Lincolnshire, West of England, and Doncaster are counting results overnight while the other areas will report results on Friday.
The map below shows which mayoral candidates have won in their area by political party.
All of these mayoralties will be elected under a first-past-the-post electoral system, which is also used for Westminster parliamentary elections.
See below for more detailed breakdowns of results for each race.
Metro mayors
There are four metro mayors being elected in combined authorities. These mayors are elected by voters from several different areas and counting will take place at local council level. Tables will be updated as each local area reports its result.
Cambridgeshire and Peterborough
First established in 2017, the combined authority covers six areas. These are Peterborough, Fenland, Huntingdonshire, East Cambridgeshire, South Cambridgeshire, and Cambridge local council areas.
Labour won the mayoralty from the Conservatives when it was last contested in 2021.
Greater Lincolnshire
This is a new mayoralty, being elected for the first time in 2025.
The combined authority covers nine areas. These are North Lincolnshire, North East Lincolnshire, Boston, Lincoln, East Lindsey, West Lindsey, North Kesteven, South Kesteven, and South Holland local council areas.
Hull and East Yorkshire
This is a new mayoralty, being elected for the first time in 2025.
The combined authority area covers both Hull City and East Riding of Yorkshire local council areas.
West of England
The combined authority covers three areas: Bristol City, South Gloucestershire, and Bath and North East Somerset local council areas. The authority was established in 2017.
Labour won the mayoralty from the Conservatives when it was last contested in 2021.
City mayors
There are two city mayors being elected, one for Doncaster and one for North Tyneside.
Labour’s Ros Jones has been the Mayor of Doncaster since 2013, and is running for re-election this year.
The mayor of North Tyneside has been held by Labour since 2013, though incumbent Nora Redfearn is not standing for re-election this year.