Connect with us

Published

on

A weaker than expected easing in the pace of pay rises means real earnings growth, when inflation is taken into account, is at its highest rate in almost two and a half years, according to the latest official figures.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said average regular pay, excluding bonuses, stood at 6% in the three months to February compared with a year earlier.

In real terms, when the rate of inflation is reflected, pay growth by the same measure was 2.4% – its highest level since July 2021, the report said.

The base figure was above the 5.8% expected by economists and only down from the 6.1% sum registered the previous month.

There was no shift in the data which included bonuses on the same rolling three-month basis.

The figures, while welcome on the face of it for struggling households, could make for worrying reading at the Bank of England, which is assessing the timing for a long-awaited interest rate cut amid its battle against inflation.

It has wanted to see the pace of wage growth ease significantly for fear that high earnings risk stoking demand, and therefore prices, across the economy.

More on Uk Economy

The wider ONS figures showed a rise in the UK’s unemployment rate to 4.2% from 3.9% though the statistics body continued to place a big health warning on the number due to continuing work on making the employment data more reliable.

ONS director of economic statistics, Liz McKeown, said: “Recent trends of falling vacancy numbers and slowing earnings growth have continued this month albeit at a reduced pace.

“But with the rate of inflation also slowing, real earnings growth has increased and is now at its highest rate in nearly two and a half years.

“At the same time, we are now seeing tentative signs that the jobs market is beginning to cool, with both a fall in the headline employment rate from our survey and a drop in the total number of people on payrolls from HMRC data.”

The Bank’s medicine of interest rate hikes since December 2021 to counter inflation have inflicted higher borrowing costs on businesses and consumers alike, exacerbating the financial pain from the very cost of living crisis it is trying to eradicate.

The latest inflation figures, due on Wednesday, are also expected to show further progress towards the Bank’s goals and the prospect of a rate cut from the current 5.25% level.

Economists polled by Reuters expect the consumer prices index (CPI) measure of inflation slowed to an annual rate of 3.1% in March.

That is down from the current 3.4%.

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

The latest data does not mean that overall prices are falling but rising at a slower pace than they were. Sky’s Ed Conway has more.

Energy price shifts are widely tipped to take CPI below the Bank’s 2% target soon after but policymakers have flagged concerns that elements of inflation will push back up later in the year.

It is a reason why economists and financial markets are split over the timing for a possible rate cut.

Some still see June while others predict the Bank will wait until August as so-called upside risks, such as through oil price spikes caused by the instability in the Middle East, are monitored.

LSEG platform data showed a shift in bets away from June in the wake of the ONS data.

The Bank of England’s action to tame price growth was the major factor behind the economy slipping into recession in the second half of last year.

Data since then has shown a return to meagre growth.

Paul Dales, chief UK Economist at Capital Economics, said of the crucial pay data: “Weaker activity suggests wage growth will ease more rapidly before long.

“The more marked weakening in the labour market in February than expected suggests that wage growth will continue to slow over the next six months even though the pace of decline appears to have eased.”

Continue Reading

Business

Lloyds closes in on £120m takeover of fintech Curve

Published

on

By

Lloyds closes in on £120m takeover of fintech Curve

Britain’s biggest high street lender is closing in on a deal to buy Curve, a provider of digital wallet technology that its new owner hopes will give it an edge in the race to build smarter online payments systems.

Sky News has learnt that Lloyds Banking Group could announce the acquisition of Curve for about £120m as soon as this week.

City sources said this weekend that the terms of a transaction had been agreed, although a formal announcement could yet slip to later in the month.

Lloyds has been in talks with Curve about a takeover for some time, with Sky News revealing that discussions were taking place in July.

The financial services giant, which owns the Halifax brand and operates the biggest bank branch network in the UK, believes Curve’s digital wallet platform will be a valuable asset amid growing regulatory pressure on Apple to open its payment services to rivals.

Curve was founded by Shachar Bialick, a former Israeli special forces soldier, in 2016, and was hailed as one of Britain’s most promising fintechs.

Three years later, Mr Bialick told an interviewer: “In 10 years’ time we are going to be IPOed [listed on the public equity markets]… and hopefully worth around $50bn to $60bn.”

More from Money

The sale price may therefore be a disappointment to long-standing Curve shareholders, given that it raised £133m in its Series C funding round, which concluded in 2023.

That round included backing from Britannia, IDC Ventures, Cercano Management – the venture arm of Microsoft co-founder Paul Allen’s estate – and Outward VC.

Curve was also reported to have raised more than £40m last year, while reducing employee numbers and suspending its US expansion.

In total, the company has raised more than £200m in equity since it was founded.

Curve is being advised by KBW, part of the investment bank Stifel, on the discussions with Lloyds.

The company is chaired by the City grandee Lord Fink, who is also a shareholder in the company.

Curve has been positioned as a rival to Apple Pay in recent years, having initially launched as an app enabling consumers to combine their debit and credit cards in a single wallet.

Curve Pay is a digital wallet, which combines a person's credit and debit cards into a single wallet
Image:
Curve Pay is a digital wallet, which combines a person’s credit and debit cards into a single wallet

Lloyds is said to have identified Curve as a strategically attractive bid target as it pushes deeper into payments infrastructure under chief executive Charlie Nunn.

In March, the Financial Conduct Authority and Payment Systems Regulator began working with the Competition and Markets Authority to examine the implications of the growth of digital wallets owned by Apple and Google.

Lloyds owns stakes in a number of fintechs, including the banking-as-a-service platform Thought Machine, but has set expanding its tech capabilities as a key strategic objective.

The group employs more than 70,000 people and operates more than 700 branches across Britain.

Curve is chaired by Lord Fink, the former Man Group chief executive who has become a prolific investor in British technology start-ups.

Read more from Sky News:
Unions demand no retreat on workers’ rights
Tube strikes: Everything you need to know

When he was appointed to the role in January, he said: “Working alongside Curve as an investor, I have had a ringside seat to the company’s unassailable and well-earned rise.

“Beginning as a card which combines all your cards into one, to the all-encompassing digital wallet it has evolved into, Curve offers a transformative financial management experience to its users.

“I am proud to have been part of the journey so far, and welcome the chance to support the company through its next, very significant period of growth.”

IDC Ventures, one of the investors in Curve’s Series C funding round, said at the time of its last major fundraising: “Thanks to their unique technology… they have the capability to intercept the transaction and supercharge the customer experience, with its Double Dip Rewards, [and] eliminating nasty hidden fees.

“And they do it seamlessly, without any need for the customer to change the cards they pay with.”

News of the talks between Lloyds and Curve comes days before Rachel Reeves, the chancellor, is expected to outline plans to bolster Britain’s fintech sector by endorsing a concierge service to match start-ups with investors.

Lloyds declined to comment, while Curve has been contacted for comment.

Continue Reading

Business

Unions demand no retreat on workers’ rights after Rayner quits

Published

on

By

Unions demand no retreat on workers' rights after Rayner quits

Union leaders are demanding no eleventh-hour retreat by the government on workers’ rights now their champion Angela Rayner is no longer in the cabinet.

As delegates gather in Brighton for the TUC’s annual conference, the movement’s leadership is claiming four million people – one in eight of the UK workforce – are in “pervasive” insecure work.

And union bosses are urging the government to stand firm and reject attempts by Tories and Liberal Democrats to weaken the former deputy prime minister’s Employment Rights Bill in its final stages in parliament.

The TUC’s general secretary, Paul Nowak, has claimed Ms Rayner, who resigned on Friday over unpaid stamp duty on a seaside flat, was a victim of misogyny and was being hounded out by right-wing politicians and right-wing media.

Paul Nowak believes Angela Rayner was a victim of misogyny
Image:
Paul Nowak believes Angela Rayner was a victim of misogyny


As well as Ms Rayner leaving the government, the other minister driving the bill through parliament, Jonathan Reynolds, was demoted in Sir Keir Starmer’s cabinet reshuffle from the senior post of business secretary to chief whip.

Until last week, Ms Rayner had been expected to deliver the keynote Labour Party speech at the TUC on Tuesday, but it emerged midweek that the education secretary, Bridget Phillipson, would be the speaker.

However, in Friday’s reshuffle she lost responsibility for adult skills – a key issue for the unions – to the new work and pensions secretary Pat McFadden, who will now head a new, beefed-up super-ministry promoting growth.

More on Labour

And ironically, the TUC conference in Brighton is taking place less than two miles from the luxury seaside flat in Hove, on which Ms Rayner’s avoidance of £40,000 in stamp duty led to her resignation as deputy PM, housing secretary and Labour deputy leader.

Just before parliament’s summer recess, the House of Lords backed by 304 votes to 160 a Tory-led amendment to Ms Rayner’s bill to reduce the qualifying period for unfair dismissal claims from two years to six months, rather than from day one, as proposed by Ms Rayner.

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

The rise and fall of Angela Rayner

Third reading of the bill in the Lords was last Wednesday, the day of Ms Rayner’s Sky News confession, and the bill is now set for parliamentary ping-pong, assuming the government overturns the Lords’ amendments in the Commons.

But in a pre-conference interview with Sky News, TUC chief and Rayner supporter Mr Nowak demanded no diluting of her bill, which also includes banning zero hours contracts which exploit workers and fire and rehire.

Read more:
Despite her exit, Rayner remains a powerful force
What a moment for Shabana Mahmood
Cooper picking up the reins at a challenging time

“We are now at a crucial stage in the delivery of the Employment Rights Bill, just weeks away from Royal Assent,” said Mr Nowak. “And our clear message to the government will be to deliver the bill and deliver it in full.

“Ignore the amendments from the unelected peers, Tory and Lib Dem peers in the House of Lords, that are aimed at gutting the legislation, weakening workers’ rights.

“Stand with the British public, deliver decent employment rights. That’s important in workplaces up and down the country, but it’s important because these are proposals that are popular with the British public as well.”

Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson will be making a speech at the TUC's conference
Image:
Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson will be making a speech at the TUC’s conference

The TUC says its analysis shows low-paid jobs in occupations such as the care, leisure and service sectors account for 77% of the increase in insecure jobs since 2011.

Black and ethnic minority ethnic workers account for 70% of the explosion in insecure work, according to the TUC, and southwest England and Yorkshire and Humber are insecure work hotspots.

Mr Nowak told Sky News: “We’ve got well over a million people now on zero-hours contracts. We’ve got millions of people who don’t have sick pay from day one and 70% of the kids who live in poverty have parents who go out to work.

“The government is absolutely right to be focused on making work pay. And the Employment Rights Bill is about putting more money in the pockets of working people, giving people more security at work.

“That’s good for workers, but it’s also good for good employers as well, so they’re not undercut by the cowboys.”

Speaking to Sky News last Wednesday, shortly after Ms Rayner’s tearful confession to Sky’s political editor Beth Rigby, Mr Nowak said: “There’s a real heavy dose of misogyny when it comes to Angela.

“Angela Rayner is playing a really important role in government and I wouldn’t want to see her hounded out of an important role by right-wing politicians and the right-wing media, who frankly can’t handle the fact that a working-class woman is our deputy prime minister.”

Continue Reading

Business

Tube strikes: Full list of dates and lines affected in September walkout

Published

on

By

Tube strikes: Full list of dates and lines affected in September walkout

Londoners face almost a week of travel disruption when Underground workers go on strike next week.

There will be limited or no services for several days, and those services that are still running are expected to be busier than usual.

Members of the Rail, Maritime and Transport union (RMT) voted overwhelmingly for strike action after nine months of negotiations failed to resolve a long-running dispute over pay and conditions.

Transport for London (TfL) has offered a 3.4% pay rise which it described as “fair” but said it cannot afford to meet the RMT’s demand for a cut in the 35-hour working week.

Further talks have also failed to end in an agreement, but Nick Dent, London Underground’s director of customer operations, said it was not too late to call off the strikes before causing chaos in the capital.

Here is all you need to know.

When are strikes planned?

Strikes are planned from midnight on Sunday 7 September to 11.59pm on Thursday 11 September.

There is separate planned industrial action on 5 and 6 September, but this is not expected to cause disruption on TfL services.

The other days, however, will see delays across every underground line and the Docklands Light Railway (DLR).

Tube services will be limited for five working days next week. File pic: PA
Image:
Tube services will be limited for five working days next week. File pic: PA

What’s running – and what’s not?

Sunday 7 September:

• Disruption across the entire Tube network, with limited services running
• Those that are running will finish early, with TfL encouraging people to finish journeys by 6pm
• The DLR will be running a normal service

Monday 8 September:

Tube
• Little to no service running across the entire Tube network
• No service before 8am or after 6pm

DLR
• Full service, but stations shared with the Tube network may face disruption

Tuesday 9 September:

Tube
• Little to no service running across the entire Tube network
• No service before 8am or after 6pm

DLR
• No service on the entire network

Wednesday 9 September:

Tube
• Little to no service running across the entire Tube network
• No service before 8am or after 6pm

DLR
• Full service, but stations shared with the Tube network may face disruption

Thursday 11 September:

Tube
• Little to no service running across the entire Tube network
• No service before 8am or after 6pm

DLR
• No service on the entire network

Friday 12 September:

Tube
• No service before 8am
• Service will return to normal on all lines by late morning

DLR
• Normal service

What about the Elizabeth Line and Overground?

The Elizabeth Line, London Overground and trams will be running on strike days. London’s bus network is also expected to be running a full service.

However, TfL warns other services will be extremely busy and trains may be unable to stop at all stations or run to their normal destinations.

No strikes are planned on the Elizabeth Line, but trains will not stop at some stations. Pic: iStock
Image:
No strikes are planned on the Elizabeth Line, but trains will not stop at some stations. Pic: iStock

On Monday 8 and Wednesday 10 September, the Elizabeth line will not stop at the following stations before 7.30am and after 10.30pm:

• Liverpool Street
• Farringdon
• Tottenham Court Road

On Tuesday 9 and Thursday 11 September, trains will not stop at the same stations before 8am.

How to get around during the Tube strike

As always during industrial action, TfL urges commuters to plan ahead and allow extra time for their journeys.

To do this, use TfL’s journey planner, or apps including City Mapper.

Cycling or walking is also recommended by TfL, with Santander, Lime and Forest bikes available to hire across the capital, as well as electric scooters in some London boroughs.

TfL recommends commuters use bikes or walk round London during strikes. Pic: iStock
Image:
TfL recommends commuters use bikes or walk round London during strikes. Pic: iStock

Have any events been cancelled?

As a result of the strike, Coldplay have rescheduled the final two dates of their 10-show run at Wembley Stadium.

The band posted a statement on social media to say their Music Of The Spheres shows on 7 and 8 September have been rescheduled to 6 and 12 September respectively.

“Without a Tube service, it’s impossible to get 82,000 people to the concert and home again safely, and therefore no event licence can be granted,” the band said.

Read more from Sky News:
What are the proposals to change the congestion charge?
What you can’t say online

US singer-songwriter Post Malone has also rescheduled his two shows at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on 7th and 8th September due to the strikes.

Tickets for both shows will remain valid for the rescheduled dates on 20th and 21st September.

Events for the BBC Proms are expected to still run throughout the week at the Royal Albert Hall until the last night on 13 September.

Continue Reading

Trending