The beautiful thing about making that kind of declarative statement about the 2023-24 MVP race? This might be the most “no wrong answers” Hart Trophy debate in recent memory.
Does Colorado Avalanche center Nathan MacKinnon have an MVP case after a season of establishing career benchmarks and multiple point-per-game streaks and wowing us with his full-throttle skating? Absolutely.
Does Toronto Maple Leafs star Auston Matthews have a case after posting the highest single-season goal total since 1992-93 and leading the team with his 200-foot game? Absolutely.
Does Edmonton Oilers star Connor McDavid have a case after becoming only the fourth player in NHL history to tally 100 assists in a season, and resurrecting his team after a disastrous start? Absolutely.
A member of the Professional Hockey Writers Association could cast a vote for any of these players and it would be viewed as reasonable, no matter how much social media shaming arrives from the other candidates’ constituencies. Again, there aren’t any real “wrong answers” this season in the MVP race.
But Nikita Kucherov is the most correct one.
KUCHEROV ENTERS THE final game of the Lightning’s season at home against the Maple Leafs with 142 points in 80 games, putting him in position to win the Art Ross Trophy as the league’s top point producer for the second time. His previous win was in 2018-19 with 128 points, the same season he won his first and only Hart Trophy.
Among the players on that particular Lightning team: J.T. Miller, Yanni Gourde, Ryan McDonagh, Ondrej Palat, Alex Killorn and Tyler Johnson. Through trades, cap constraints and the expansion draft, the Lightning lost much of that stellar supporting cast — the backbone of Stanley Cup wins in 2020 and 2021. This Lightning squad had by far the shallowest depth of any under coach Jon Cooper. It got even shallower when defenseman Mikhail Sergachev went out with a broken leg after 34 games.
Their depth was always reliable in previous seasons. So was goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy. The Vezina Trophy winner was out until Nov. 24 after a microdiscectomy to address a lumbar disk herniation. He hasn’t been himself all season since returning, posting a .900 save percentage and a very uncharacteristic negative-10.84 goals saved above expected, per Stathletes.
All of this is to say that the Lightning would be tabulating their draft lottery odds right now were it not for Kucherov. He is the reason they’re a playoff team.
That’s not hyperbole. That’s quantifiable:
Kucherov leads the NHL in percentage of team goals (50.35) in which he has a point through 80 games. MacKinnon was second (46.46%) and McDavid third (45.67%). Kucherov is attempting to become the seventh player in NHL history to factor into over 50% of his team’s goals in a season, joining McDavid, Wayne Gretzky, Mario Lemieux and Bobby Orr.
Kucherov is one assist away from joining that same elite company in another category: 100 assists in a single season. Sure, McDavid reached 100 first on Monday night, which took some of the shine off the accomplishment, but Kucherov has done it as a winger, which is a first. Kucherov now holds the NHL record for most assists in a single season by a winger, breaking the previous mark of 87 he shared with Jaromir Jagr.
As of Monday, Kucherov had the largest gap between a team’s leading and second-leading scorers. He’s 53 points ahead of center Brayden Point. The second-biggest gap is between the Rangers’ Panarin and Vincent Trocheck (43 points) and the third-biggest is between the Bruins’ Pastrnak and Brad Marchand (42 points). This metric has been used by voters in previous Hart races to illustrate “value.” Think of it this way: If the scoring canyon between Kucherov and Point were that of an individual player, it would be the equivalent to a Tyler Toffoli, Michael Bunting or Martin Necas entering Tuesday night’s games.
Kucherov has had one of the most remarkable road scoring seasons in NHL history. Kucherov went scoreless in only three of the Lightning’s 20 road wins. His 75 points on the road leads all NHL scorers, and is 15 points clear of second-place Panarin. Kucherov’s 54 assists on the road are the highest total since Gretzky’s 57 in 1990-91. He’s just two shy of McDavid’s mark of 77 last season, when the Oilers star won the Hart Trophy.
DESPITE THESE NUMBERS, I’m cognizant of the knocks on Kucherov’s candidacy.
Some are legit: The Athletic’s Dom Luszczyszyn has called out Kucherov’s five-on-five play in relation to that of his MVP-worthy peers, and wrote that “his biggest issue at five-on-five [is] his defensive ability,” especially when compared to someone like Matthews.
But it was also noted by Luszczyszyn that Kucherov plays on the most porous defensive team among the candidates, too. While plus/minus should never be used in a serious discussion of hockey stats, it can offer a general snapshot of a player or team. In 80 games, Kucherov is a plus-10, second on the Lightning behind Victor Hedman (plus-18).
Tampa Bay has only four players better than a plus-5. The Avalanche have 10. The Leafs have 15.
Other criticisms are … less legit. I’ve heard that Matthews flirting with 70 goals is more impressive than hitting 100 assists because there are “secondary assists” but not “secondary goals.” It’s a fair point, but it doesn’t really apply to Kucherov or McDavid: over 60% of their assists are primary. Also, they don’t make the scoring rules, at last check.
Then there’s the empty-net points argument.
Did you know Kucherov set an NHL record this season? Through 80 games, Kucherov has tallied 14 points with his opponents’ net empty. That’s the highest total of empty-net points in a single season in NHL history.
Some have used this as a cudgel against Kucherov’s point totals, claiming empty-net points are inferior. But all it tells me is that despite Kucherov’s alleged defensive deficiencies, Cooper feels comfortable enough to have him out on the ice when the net is empty and the opponent is desperate. And that Kucherov has helped the Lightning close out a good share of games.
(To be honest, I had a Pavlovian response of disgust when I heard that “empty netters” argument. I still remember when it was used to take Washington Capitals star Alex Ovechkin down a notch, before the hockey world decided en masse that it was OK because it boosted his numbers in the Gretzky record chase. At least that’s my theory.)
Of course, when discussing Kucherov’s critics, we have to address the surly elephant in the room: The impression that he left at this year’s All-Star Game in Toronto.
You may recall Kucherov getting boos from the fans and jeers from the media for dogging his way through a stickhandling event at the skills competition. Kucherov hasn’t always been a teddy bear with the media or a saint on the ice. Kyle Okposo, one of the most universally liked players in the NHL, called Kucherov “a terrific player, but he’s dirty as well,” which is as close to a scathing critique as you’ll get from Kyle Okposo.
I hope none of this factors into the Hart Trophy voting. It’s not a popularity contest. Or at least it shouldn’t be.
SO KUCHEROV DESERVES to win MVP. I’m not convinced he will win MVP.
MacKinnon had 77% of the first-place votes in ESPN’s NHL Awards Watch for April, the final canvassing of actual voters before the ballots are cast. Even if some of that support wavers as other players reach statistical milestones, it probably won’t be enough to erode his lead.
There’s also an argument for MacKinnon that can’t be made for MVP aspirants like Kucherov, Matthews or McDavid: The Avalanche star has never won the MVP before. So it’s “his turn,” especially in the eyes of some voters who feel he should have won in 2017-18, when Taylor Hall‘s late-season heroics for the New Jersey Devils earned him the Hart.
Simplistic as that might sound, the notion of “spreading the wealth” does factor into awards voting. There has been only one player to win the Hart Trophy in consecutive seasons during this century: Ovechkin from 2007-08 to 2008-09, scoring 121 goals over those two seasons.
If the voters decide MacKinnon deserves his Hart Trophy, that’s fine. Same for Matthews or McDavid or Panarin or Pastrnak or Quinn Hughes or Josi or Hellebuyck. I wish I could spit fire and vitriol about one of these players being counterfeit or an abhorrent choice — maybe if one of them finished a point outside the playoffs, I’d get there.
But like I said, it’s a tribute to their performances and where the game is today that there are only right answers this season.
Mine is Kucherov, for the reasons stated here. It’s a special season from a special player, and the Lightning wouldn’t be anywhere near the Stanley Cup playoffs without him.
Captain Adam Lowry‘s goal at 16:10 of the second overtime closed out the series and advanced the Jets to face the Dallas Stars beginning Wednesday in Winnipeg. But overtime doesn’t happen without forward Cole Perfetti‘s goal with three seconds remaining in regulation, which established an NHL record.
Perfetti’s goal at 59:57 was the latest game-tying goal in a Game 7, topping the record set by Vancouver Canucks winger Matt Cooke (59:54) in the 2004 conference quarterfinals against Calgary. The Flames won the series in overtime. Perfetti also tied Washington’s Dale Hunter (1993) and Carolina’s Eric Staal (2006) for the second-latest game-tying goal in NHL playoff history. Cooke’s goal with two seconds left in a conference semifinal for Minnesota in 2003 is still the fastest.
“I fanned on the first [shot], so I thought I’m not going to let that happen again. If we could get the goalie moving just a little bit, we might be able to create something,” Ehlers said of his pass.
“Sometimes, for whatever reason, if you look at the home teams in this series, the puck luck was incredible,” St. Louis Blues coach Jim Montgomery said.
Winnipeg didn’t have much luck to start the game. Jordan Kyrou gave the Blues a 1-0 lead just 1:10 into the game, as lackluster defense from Connor led to a 2-on-1 down low. Defenseman Colton Parayko found Kyrou for his third goal of the postseason. The Blues scored in the first period of every game of the series.
Goaltender Connor Hellebuyck allowed a questionable goal 6:16 later, as Mathieu Joseph wristed one past him from the top of the circle for a 2-0 lead. Hellebuyck finished the series with an .830 save percentage and a 3.85 goals-against average.
Winnipeg was 2-25 all time in the playoffs when trailing by multiple goals at any point in the game.
To make matters worse, defenseman Josh Morrissey left the game just four shifts into the first period because of an apparent shoulder injury. That meant Winnipeg played the majority of Game 7 without its top defenseman and second-leading scorer, as center Mark Scheifele missed Games 6 and 7 because of an upper-body injury suffered in Game 5.
This is the same scenario the Dallas Stars faced in winning Game 7 of their series against Colorado, playing without defenseman Miro Heiskanen and winger Jason Robertson. Winnipeg coach Scott Arniel said he cited Dallas’s late-game comeback against Colorado on Saturday night to give the Jets hope for a rally.
The Jets chipped away at the lead in the second period on Perfetti’s power-play goal, but St. Louis’ fourth line — one of its best in this series — got it back with Radek Faksa‘s goal with 35 seconds left in the period.
“We obviously didn’t get the start that we wanted today,” Ehlers said. “They got another one at the end of the second period. But there was belief in this group. Nobody was hanging their heads. We looked at each other and said we’re not done playing hockey yet. It was special.”
Entering Sunday night, teams with a multigoal lead in the third period of a Game 7 were 119-4. Things were looking good for the Blues — until they weren’t.
Winnipeg pulled Hellebuyck with 3:14 left, leading to Vlad Namestnikov scoring with 1:56 left in regulation. Perfetti then scored with three seconds left.
The teams were scoreless in the first overtime, with Binnington (11 saves) busier than Hellebuyck (4 saves) in the opening extra session. Then, Lowery ended the series with his deflection of Neal Pionk‘s shot at 16:10 of the second overtime.
Lowry was born in St. Louis. His father, Adam Lowry, played five seasons with the Blues during his 19-year NHL career.
The Jets mobbed Lowry in celebration. For Hellebuyck, there was also a palpable sense of relief.
He’s considered the best goaltender in the world, expected to collect his third Vezina Trophy as the NHL’s top netminder this season, giving him back-to-back Vezina wins. But Hellebuyck had been a playoff disappointment in the Jets’ first-round losses in 2023 and 2024, both in five games. He was disastrous against the Blues, especially on the road: getting pulled in three straight road games with a .758 save percentage and a 7.24 goals-against average.
The last time he was across the ice from Binnington in overtime was the championship game of the 4 Nations Face-Off in February, when Binnington was brilliant in leading Canada to victory over Hellebuyck and the U.S.
This time, Hellebuyck was saving the day until his team could win the game in double overtime. He made 13 saves in the final three periods.
“Amazing. Absolutely amazing,” said Arniel, who won his first playoff series as an NHL head coach. “I’ve seen a lot of hockey games. I’ve been around a lot of hockey games. Man, it was thrilling.”
FORT WORTH, Texas — Reigning NASCAR Cup champion Joey Logano overcame a lot to get his first victory this season.
It came a week after Team Penske teammate Austin Cindric‘s win at Talladega, where Logano had a fifth-place finish that became 39th after a postrace inspection found an issue with the spoiler on his No. 22 Ford. There was also Logano’s expletive-laden rant on the radio toward his teammate in the middle of that race that the two smoothed out during the week. Oh, and he started 27th at Texas after a bad qualifying effort on the 1½-mile track.
But Logano surged ahead on the restart in overtime Sunday to win in the 11th race this year. He led only seven of the 271 laps, four more than scheduled.
“After what happened last week, to be able to rebound and come right back, it’s a total ’22’ way of doing things. So proud of the team,” Logano said.
On the final restart after the 12th caution, Logano was on the inside of his other teammate, Ryan Blaney. But Logano pulled away on the backstretch and stayed easily in front for the final 1½ laps, while Ross Chastain then passed Blaney to finish second ahead of him.
“Just slowly, methodically,” Logano said of his progression to the front. “Just kept grinding, a couple here and a couple there and eventually get a win here.”
Logano got his 37th career victory, getting the lead for the first time on Lap 264. He went low to complete a pass of Michael McDowell.
“I mean, there’s always a story next week, right?” Logano said. “So I told my wife last week before we left, I said, ‘Watch me go win this one.’ It’s just how we do stuff.”
On a caution with 47 laps left, McDowell took only two tires and moved up 15 spots to second. He ended up leading 19 laps, but got loose a few laps after getting passed by Logano and crashed to bring out the caution that sent the race to overtime. He finished 26th.
“We were giving it everything we had there to try to keep track position,” McDowell said. “Joey got a run there, and I tried to block it. I went as far as I think you could probably go. When Blaney slid in front of me, it just took the air off of it and I just lost the back of it. I still had the fight in me, but I probably should have conceded at that point.”
Odds and Ends
William Byron, Kyle Larson, Denny Hamlin and Chase Elliott remained the top four in season points. … Elliott left Texas last spring with his first victory after 42 races and 18 months without one. He hasn’t won since, and now has another long winless drought — this one 38 races and nearly 13 months after finishing 16th. … A crew member for Christopher Bell crawled in through the passenger side of the No. 20 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota and was fully in the car to reconnect an air hose to the driver’s helmet during a caution in the second stage. It took two stops during that caution, and twice climbing into the car, to resolve the issue.
Fiery end to Hamlin streak
Hamlin had finished on the lead lap in 21 consecutive races, but a fiery finish on Lap 75 ended that streak that had matched the eighth longest in NASCAR history. He was the first car out of the race.
After the No. 11 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota lost power, something blew up when Hamlin recycled the engine. Flames were coming from under the car and it was engulfed in smoke when it rolled to a stop on the inside of the track, and Hamlin climbed out unharmed.
Youngest pole sitter
Carson Hocevar, the 22-year-old driver who is McDowell’s teammate with Spire Motorsports, was the youngest pole sitter in Texas. He led only the first 22 laps of the race, losing it while pitting during the first caution. He finished 24th after a late accident.
Stage cautions
Both in-race stages finished under caution. Cindric won Stage 1 after Hamlin’s issues, and Kyle Larson took the second after a yellow flag came out because of debris on the track after the right rear tire on Chris Buescher‘s car came apart.
Larson got his 68th overall stage win and his sixth at Texas, with both marks being records. He has won a stage in each of the past five Cup races at Texas, starting in his 2021 win there.
Kristen Shilton is a national NHL reporter for ESPN.
Winnipeg forward Mark Scheifele did not play in Game 7 of the Jets’ first-round Stanley Cup playoff series against the St. Louis Blues on Sunday due to an undisclosed injury, coach Scott Arniel said.
Arniel ruled out Scheifele following the team’s morning skate. He was hurt in Game 5 — playing only 8:05 in the first period before exiting — and then did not travel with the Jets to St. Louis for Game 6. Arniel previously had said Scheifele was a game-time decision for Game 7.
Scheifele, 32, skated in a track suit Saturday, and Arniel told reporters the veteran was feeling better than he had the day before. Scheifele, however, was not able to participate in the Jets’ on-ice session by Sunday, quickly indicating he would not be available for the game.
Winnipeg held a 2-0 lead in the series over St. Louis before the Blues stormed back with a pair of wins to tie it, 2-2. The home team has won each game in the best-of-seven series so far.
The Jets’ challenge in closing out St. Louis only increases without Scheifele. Winnipeg already has been dealing with the uneven play of goaltender Connor Hellebuyck, a significant storyline in the series to date. Hellebuyck was pulled in all three of his starts at St. Louis while giving up a combined 16 goals on 66 shots (.758 SV%). In Game 6, Hellebuyck allowed four goals in only 5 minutes, 23 seconds of the second period.
Hellebuyck was Winnipeg’s backbone during the regular season, earning a Hart Trophy and Vezina Trophy nomination for his impeccable year (.925 SV%, 2.00 GAA).