Libya’s power divisions could once more fracture its oil output – as markets question for how long
Crude oil leaks from an oil pumping jack in an oil field in Russia.
Bloomberg Creative | Bloomberg Creative Photos | Getty Images
A political standoff in Libya risks once more paralyzing the north African country’s lucrative oil sector — but the frequency of its power tussles and crude disruptions have called long-term oil price support into question.
Politically fractured since the NATO-backed ousting of Moammar Gadhafi, Libya once more finds itself mired in conflict between the internationally recognized Tripoli government of Abdul Hamid Dbeibah and its eastern Benghazi-based rival administration endorsed by Libya’s highest legislative body, the House of Representatives. Hanging over them is the specter of eastern warlord Khalifa Haftar, whose allied forces safeguard and control most of the country’s oilfields.
Tensions recently spiked once more over the fate of oil revenues, as efforts by Dbeibeh to remove Central Bank Governor Sadiq al-Kabir prompted the Benghazi administration to announce the shutdown of oilfields.
Libya’s National Oil Corporation (NOC), which administers the country’s hydrocarbon resources, has yet to comment on the announced closures, but its subsidiary Waha Oil has acknowledged “protests and pressures could lead to the cessation of oil production,” according to a Google-translated statement.
Fellow subsidiary Sirte Oil cited the same reasons for having to “gradually reduce production” and urged “specialized authorities to intervene to preserve the continuity of oil production” in a Google-translated social media post.
Libyan sources who could only comment anonymously because of security concerns told CNBC that several fields have fully shut down or reduced crude production.
Prior to the latest escalation, Libya’s largest field, the 300,000 barrels-per-day El Sharara, was shut down in early August amid protests orchestrated by demonstrators from the Fezzan region. The National Oil Corporation subsequently declared force majeure — a legal provision covering a company when it fails to deliver oil supplies because of circumstances out of its control — on El Sharara’s crude exports on Aug. 7, according to a NOC note to clients.
Since then, production of Libya’s largest export crude grade Es Sider has declined, with the Dhahra field shut down, along with gradual or complete halts at the Amal, Nafoora, El Feel and Mesla fields, Libyan sources tell CNBC.
A member of the influential Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) group, Libya boasted a crude production of 1.18 million barrels per day in July, according to independent assessments cited in the August edition of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market report — and between 700,000 to 900,000 barrels per day of this volume could “likely go offline by the end of the week,” Rapidan analysts said at the start of the week, warning that supplies and exports from the majority of Libya’s hydrocarbon-rich “Oil Crescent” region “will be offline within days, with outages lasting several weeks.”
Echoing the sentiment, Andrew Bishop, global head of policy research at Signum Global Advisors, described the latest shutdowns as “the real thing,” flagging that the disruption could last for “at least a month (and possibly far longer)” amid “zero trust” between the rival parties.
But Libya’s oil production has long been a victim of ransom for capital or political advantage — and the frequency of transient disruptions have eroded some market participants’ expectations that the latest disturbance will last long term. Oil prices, which have been slumping under the auspices of anemic demand from the world’s largest crude importer China, rallied on Monday on the Libyan reports — but surrendered much of these gains in the Tuesday session.
Prices were down once more on Wednesday, with the Brent crude futures contract with October expiry trading at $78.42 per barrel at 12:57 p.m. London time, down by $1.13 cents per barrel from the previous settlement. The front-month October Nymex WTI contract was at $74.31 per barrel, lower by $1.22 per barrel from the Tuesday close price.
“Prices have not stayed elevated on the Libyan reports especially because, there’s a couple of things: the first one, I think, is because of the current disagreement on the Central Bank, the Libyan Central Bank, I think is likely to resolve soon,” Jorge Leon, senior vice president of oil market research at Rystad Energy, told CNBC Wednesday.
“We haven’t really seen … extended Libyan supply disruptions in the last two years and even more, [in the last] two and a half years, and I think this time is not going to be different. I think that both parties have incentive to resolve this as soon as possible,” he added.
Goldman Sachs analysts likewise saw the prospective Libyan disruption as short lived.
“Market participants seem sanguine,” Barclays’ Amarpreet Singh assessed in a Tuesday note, flagging that “in a way, the situation in Libya is reminiscent of the elevated geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, as in fundamentals could move in the direction opposite to the risks implied by geopolitical developments for a sustained period.”
National Grid Renewables has broken ground on its 100 MW Apple River Solar Project in Polk County, Wisconsin.
The Wisconsin solar farm, which will use US-made First Solar Series 6 Plus bifacial modules, will be constructed by The Boldt Company, creating 150 construction and service jobs. Apple River Solar will generate over $36 million in direct economic benefits over its first 20 years.
Once it comes online in late 2025, Apple River Solar will supply clean energy to Xcel Energy, which serves customers throughout the Upper Midwest. According to National Grid Renewables, the solar farm will generate enough energy to power around 26,000 homes annually. It will also offset about 129,900 metric tons of carbon dioxide emissions each year – equivalent to taking 30,900 cars off the road.
“We are excited to see this project begin as it underscores our dedication to delivering clean, reliable and affordable energy to our customers,” said Karl Hoesly, President, Xcel Energy-Wisconsin and Michigan. “This project is an important step in those goals while bringing significant economic benefits to Polk County and the local townships.”
Electrek reported in February that Xcel Energy, Minnesota’s largest utility, expects to cut more than 80% – and possibly up to 88% – of its emissions by 2030, putting it on track to hit Minnesota’s goal of net zero by 2040. It also says it’s on track to achieve its clean energy goals for all the Upper Midwest states it serves – Minnesota, Wisconsin, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Michigan.
To limit power outages and make your home more resilient, consider going solar with a battery storage system. In order to find a trusted, reliable solar installer near you that offers competitive pricing, check out EnergySage, a free service that makes it easy for you to go solar. They have hundreds of pre-vetted solar installers competing for your business, ensuring you get high-quality solutions and save 20-30% compared to going it alone. Plus, it’s free to use and you won’t get sales calls until you select an installer and you share your phone number with them.
Your personalized solar quotes are easy to compare online and you’ll get access to unbiased Energy Advisers to help you every step of the way. Get started here. –trusted affiliate link*
FTC: We use income earning auto affiliate links. More.
Tesla has announced that it will finally deliver 500 kW charging as it is about to install its long-awaited V4 Supercharger cabinets.
The rollout of Supercharger V4 has been a strange one, to say the least.
Tesla has been deploying the new charging stations for two years and calling them “Supercharger V4”, but it has only been deploying the charging stalls.
Supercharger stations are made of two main parts: the stalls, which are where the charging cable is located, and the cabinets, which are generally located further back and include all the power electronics.
For all these new “Supercharger V4”, Tesla was actually using Supercharger V3 cabinets. This has been limiting the power output of the charging stations to 250 kW – although
Today, Tesla officially announced its “V4 Cabinet”, which the automaker claims will enable of “delivering up to 500kW for cars and 1.2MW for Semi.”
Here are the main features of the V4 Cabinet as per Tesla:
- Faster charging: Supports 400V-1000V vehicle architectures, including 30% faster charging for Cybertruck. S3XY vehicles enjoy 250kW charge rates they already experience on V3 Cabinet — charging up to 200 miles in 15 minutes.
- Faster deployments: V4 Cabinet powers 8 posts, 2X the stalls per cabinet. Lower footprint and complexity = more sites coming online faster.
- Next-generation hardware: Cutting-edge power electronics designed to be the most reliable on the planet, with 3X power density enabling higher throughput with lower costs.
Tesla reports that its first sites with the new V4 Cabinets are going into permitting now. The company expects its first sites to open next year.
We recently reported about Tesla’s new Oasis Supercharger project, which includes larger solar arrays and battery packs to operate the charging station mostly off-grid.
Early in the deployment of the Supercharger network, Tesla promised to add solar arrays and batteries to all Supercharger stations, and Musk even said that most stations would be able to operate off-grid.
While Tesla did add solar and batteries to a few stations, the vast majority of them don’t have their own power system or have only minimal solar canopies.
Back in 2016, I asked Musk about this, and he said that it would now happen as Tesla had the “pieces now in place” with Supercharger V3, Powerpack V2, and SolarCity:
It took about 8 years, but it sounds like the pieces are now getting actually in place with Supercharger V4, Megapacks, and this new Oasis project.
FTC: We use income earning auto affiliate links. More.
Hyundai has a new secret weapon it’s about ready to unleash. To revamp the brand in China and counter BYD’s surge, Hyundai is launching a new AI-powered EV next year. The new model will be Hyundai’s first dedicated electric car for the world’s largest EV market.
With the help of Haomo, a Chinese autonomous startup, Hyundai will launch its first EV equipped with generative AI. It will also be its first model designed specifically for China.
A Hyundai Motor official said (via The Korea Herald) the company is “working to load the software” onto the new EV model, “which will be released in the Chinese market next year.” The spokesperson added, “The level of autonomous driving is somewhere between 2 and 2.5.”
In comparison, Tesla’s Autopilot is considered a level 2 advanced driver assistance system (ADAS) on the SAE scale (0 to 5), meaning it offers limited hands-free features.
With Autopilot, you still have to keep your eyes on the road and hands on the steering wheel, or the system will notify you and eventually disengage.
Haomo’s system, DriveGPT, unveiled last spring, takes inspiration from the OpenAI’s popular ChatGPT.
The system can continuously update in real-time to optimize decision-making by absorbing traffic data patterns. According to Haomo, DriveGPT is used in around 20 models as it looks to play a bigger role in China.
Hyundai hopes new AI-powered EV boosts sales in China
Electric vehicle sales continue surging in China. According to Rho Motion, China set another EV sales record last month with 1.2 million units sold, up 50% from October 2023.
Over 8.4 million EVs were sold in China in the first ten months of 2024, a notable 38% increase from last year.
BYD continues to dominate its home market. According to Autovista24, BYD accounted for 32.9% of all PHEV and EV (NEV) sales in China through September, with over half of the top 20 best-selling EV models.
Tesla was second with a 6.5% share of the market, but keep in mind these numbers only include plug-in models (PHEV).
Like most foreign automakers, Hyundai is struggling to keep up with the influx of low-cost electric models in China. Beijing Hyundai’s sales have been slipping since 2017. Through September, Korean automaker’s share of the Chinese market fell to just 1.2%.
Last month, Hyundai opened its first overseas digital R&D center in China to help kick off its return to the region.
According to local reports, Hyundai is partnering with other local tech companies like Thundersoft, a smart cockpit provider, and others in China to power up its next-gen EVs
With its first AI-powered EV launching next year, Hyundai hopes to turn things around in the region quickly. The new model will be one of five to launch in China through 2026.
FTC: We use income earning auto affiliate links. More.
-
Sports2 years ago‘Storybook stuff’: Inside the night Bryce Harper sent the Phillies to the World Series
-
Sports7 months agoStory injured on diving stop, exits Red Sox game
-
Sports2 years agoMLB Rank 2023: Ranking baseball’s top 100 players
-
Sports1 year agoGame 1 of WS least-watched in recorded history
-
Environment1 year agoJapan and South Korea have a lot at stake in a free and open South China Sea
-
Sports3 years ago
Team Europe easily wins 4th straight Laver Cup
-
Environment2 years agoGame-changing Lectric XPedition launched as affordable electric cargo bike
-
Business2 years agoBank of England’s extraordinary response to government policy is almost unthinkable | Ed Conway