Connect with us

Published

on

Inflation held steady at 2.2% in August, in line with expectations and confirming that, while prices and interest rates rose like a rocket, they will return to earth like a feather.

The latest figures for the Office for National Statistics show goods prices finally falling – minus 0.9% in the year to August – but services inflation remains uncomfortably high at 5.6%.

This matters because services, a broad category that includes everything from coffee shops to corporate lawyers, make up 80% of the economy and are the primary contributor to underlying “core inflation” rising to 3.6%.

All eyes on the Bank of England

Wages are one of the key drivers of this increase and the long-held concern at the Bank of England that, once the price shocks of the energy and food inflation passed, upward pressure on pay would leave inflation “sticky”.

Hence the cautionary tone that accompanied the Bank’s 0.25 percentage point rate cut last month, the first in what is expected to be a series of steps down in the coming months.

Follow Sky News on WhatsApp
Follow Sky News on WhatsApp

Keep up with all the latest news from the UK and around the world by following Sky News

Tap here

How fast that descent should be will be at the heart of discussions today when the Monetary Policy Committee meets to make a decision that will be announced tomorrow lunchtime.

More on Inflation

The markets put the prospects of a rate cut at just 26%, with a greater chance of another cut coming at the following meeting in November. Absent further external shocks there is a determination that now rates have started to move they should go in only one direction.

Money blog: The Taylor Swift effect on inflation

Whether they cut now or later, the direction of travel is in step with other major economies.

The European Central Bank made a 0.25 percentage points cut last week and later today the US Federal Reserve will follow, the only argument there being whether it is a quarter or half-point reduction.

All these central banks are trying to pull off the same trick; to dampen the chance of inflation catching fire again, avoid unnecessary pain for consumers and businesses, and deliver a soft landing for the economy.

Continue Reading

Business

Nvidia beats expectations again in defiance of AI bubble fears

Published

on

By

Nvidia beats expectations again in defiance of AI bubble fears

The world’s most valuable company has reported another series of expectation-beating results, heading off fears of the AI bubble bursting for now.

Nvidia’s revenue reached $57bn in the three months to October, higher than Wall Street estimates and the company’s own guidance.

That’s up 62% on the same time last year, and has been described by the business as an “outstanding” quarter.

Money blog: Ryanair flights to EU banned in ‘unprecedented’ decision

A profit measure called earnings per share was also better than expected at $1.30.

It matters as Nvidia has powered the artificial intelligence (AI) boom through its computer chips, which are key parts in AI chatbots such as ChatGPT.

More on Artificial Intelligence

Nvidia has major tech companies as clients and acts as a good proxy for whether the tens of billions of dollars invested in AI is paying off.

Its chief executive, Jensen Huang, has been described as the Godfather of AI and watch parties were organised for those looking to follow the Wednesday evening announcement.

The company has been a massive beneficiary of the push to put money into AI, with its share price reaching stratospheric highs.

In October, it became the first worth $5trn (£3.83trn), about the size of the German economy, Europe’s largest, and double the UK’s benchmark stock index, the FTSE 100.

What’s been announced?

Revenue from data centres reached a record high of $51.2bn, more than £10bn higher than the three months previous.

The outlook is for continuing strong sales in the final three months of the financial year, as the company forecasts revenue will be roughly $65bn.

Read more:
Nvidia boss defends against claims of bubble by ‘Big Short’ investor
Inflation slows to 3.6%, but food costs shoot upwards

Demand for Nvidia products continues to surpass expectations, while the business is “still in the early innings” of AI transitions, its chief financial officer Colette Kress said.

Mr Huang said sales of its blackwell chips are “off the charts” and its cloud graphics processing chips (GPUs) are “sold out”.

Why it matters

Developing AI infrastructure, like the construction of data centres, has been a significant contributor to US economic growth, as measured by gross domestic product (GDP).

A faltering of AI expansion, therefore, impacts the US economy, the world’s largest, which in turn affects the UK and global economies.

Anxiety around the massive valuations tech companies have accrued, on the hope of AI revolutionising the world, is likely to be staved off by the results announcement.

A fall in these tech company valuations could have meant a drop in the value of pension pots or savings.

Just seven dominant tech companies, many of which have borrowed to invest in AI, make up more than a quarter of major US stock index, the S&P 500.

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

Could the AI bubble burst?

In the last year alone, Nvidia’s share price has risen more than 230%.

Some, including US trader Michael Burry, famous for being played by Christian Bale in the Hollywood film The Big Short, have effectively bet that Nvidia’s share price would fall.

Addressing the topic of an AI bubble, Nvidia’s founder, Mr Huang, said, “From our vantage point, we see something very different”.

What next?

Regardless of the figures released on Wednesday evening, significant market moves were anticipated, given the attention paid to the results and the significance of the company.

Nvidia shares rose as much as 4% in after-hours trading.

The results also boosted the share price of its chip-making competitors like Broadcom and Advanced Micro Devices.

For now, the AI bubble remains intact.

Continue Reading

Business

Budget 2025: Consumer confidence falls as speculation ramps up – but London mayor welcomes major rail investment

Published

on

By

Budget 2025: Consumer confidence falls as speculation ramps up - but London mayor welcomes major rail investment

Consumer confidence has tumbled amid rampant speculation about what the chancellor will announce in the budget, figures show.

The British Retail Consortium (BRC) blamed “strong hints” from the government of income tax hikes for the public’s falling expectations of how much they’ll spend over the next three months – even as Christmas beckons.

While a planned increase in income tax rates was scrapped last week, Sir Keir Starmer has refused to rule out freezing income tax thresholds – which the Conservatives argue amounts to a tax rise by stealth because it drags people into paying higher rates even if their wages increase.

BRC chief executive Helen Dickinson said months of uncertainty had “heightened public concern about their own finances and the wider economy”.

Consumer expectations for the state of the economy over the next three months have fallen significantly to minus 44, down from minus 35 in October, according to data from the BRC and Opinium.

Ms Dickinson said action was needed from Rachel Reeves to “bring down the spiralling cost burden facing retailers”, which she said would “keep price rises in check”.

Read more: Inflation eases but food costs rise

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

Is chancellor to blame for food price rises?

Signs of ‘fragile’ recovery in jobs market

In slightly more encouraging news for Ms Reeves ahead of her statement next Wednesday, new research suggests the jobs market may be on the up.

The Recruitment and Employment Confederation said the number of new job adverts last month was 754,359, up by 2.1% from September, taking the total to more than 1.6 million.

Ms Reeves’s decision to hike national insurance contributions for employers in last year’s budget was blamed for a slowdown in the market, and a rising unemployment rate.

The report said there has been an increase in adverts for medical radiographers, delivery drivers and couriers, and further education teaching professionals.

But it warned the apparent recovery was “fragile”.

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

PM challenged on budget leaks

Reeves set to back DLR extension

One man looking forward to the budget is Sir Sadiq Khan, who has welcomed reports that London’s DLR is set to be given funding for an extension.

According to the Press Association, the chancellor will back an extension to the Docklands Light Railway to Thamesmead at a cost of £1.7bn – unlocking thousands of new homes.

Thamesmead has been notoriously short of public transport links ever since it was developed in the 1960s.

Thamesmead in southeast London straddles the boroughs of Bexley and Greenwich. Pic: PA
Image:
Thamesmead in southeast London straddles the boroughs of Bexley and Greenwich. Pic: PA

The plan would see the line extended from Gallions Reach, near London City Airport, and include a new station at Beckton as well as in Thamesmead itself.

Sir Sadiq said the DLR extension “will not only transform travel in a historically under-served part of the capital but also unlock thousands of new jobs and homes, boosting the economy not just locally but nationally”.

It is also expected to unlock land for 25,000 new homes and up to 10,000 new jobs, along with almost £18bn of private investment in the area.

Continue Reading

Business

Nvidia beats expectations again in defiance of AI bubble fears

Published

on

By

Nvidia beats expectations again in defiance of AI bubble fears

The world’s most valuable company has reported another series of expectation-beating results, heading off fears of the AI bubble bursting for now.

Nvidia’s revenue reached $57bn in the three months to October, higher than Wall Street estimates and the company’s own guidance.

That’s up 62% on the same time last year, and has been described by the business as an “outstanding” quarter.

Money blog: Ryanair flights to EU banned in ‘unprecedented’ decision

A profit measure called earnings per share was also better than expected at $1.30.

It matters as Nvidia has powered the artificial intelligence (AI) boom through its computer chips, which are key parts in AI chatbots such as ChatGPT.

More on Artificial Intelligence

Nvidia has major tech companies as clients and acts as a good proxy for whether the tens of billions of dollars invested in AI is paying off.

Its chief executive, Jensen Huang, has been described as the Godfather of AI and watch parties were organised for those looking to follow the Wednesday evening announcement.

The company has been a massive beneficiary of the push to put money into AI, with its share price reaching stratospheric highs.

In October, it became the first worth $5trn (£3.83trn), about the size of the German economy, Europe’s largest, and double the UK’s benchmark stock index, the FTSE 100.

What’s been announced?

Revenue from data centres reached a record high of $51.2bn, more than £10bn higher than the three months previous.

The outlook is for continuing strong sales in the final three months of the financial year, as the company forecasts revenue will be roughly $65bn.

Read more:
Nvidia boss defends against claims of bubble by ‘Big Short’ investor
Inflation slows to 3.6%, but food costs shoot upwards

Demand for Nvidia products continues to surpass expectations, while the business is “still in the early innings” of AI transitions, its chief financial officer Colette Kress said.

Mr Huang said sales of its blackwell chips are “off the charts” and its cloud graphics processing chips (GPUs) are “sold out”.

Why it matters

Developing AI infrastructure, like the construction of data centres, has been a significant contributor to US economic growth, as measured by gross domestic product (GDP).

A faltering of AI expansion, therefore, impacts the US economy, the world’s largest, which in turn affects the UK and global economies.

Anxiety around the massive valuations tech companies have accrued, on the hope of AI revolutionising the world, is likely to be staved off by the results announcement.

A fall in these tech company valuations could have meant a drop in the value of pension pots or savings.

Just seven dominant tech companies, many of which have borrowed to invest in AI, make up more than a quarter of major US stock index, the S&P 500.

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

Could the AI bubble burst?

In the last year alone, Nvidia’s share price has risen more than 230%.

Some, including US trader Michael Burry, famous for being played by Christian Bale in the Hollywood film The Big Short, have effectively bet that Nvidia’s share price would fall.

Addressing the topic of an AI bubble, Nvidia’s founder, Mr Huang, said, “From our vantage point, we see something very different”.

What next?

Regardless of the figures released on Wednesday evening, significant market moves were anticipated, given the attention paid to the results and the significance of the company.

Nvidia shares rose as much as 4% in after-hours trading.

The results also boosted the share price of its chip-making competitors like Broadcom and Advanced Micro Devices.

For now, the AI bubble remains intact.

Continue Reading

Trending