Connect with us

Published

on

The race to succeed Rishi Sunak as Tory leader could be won and lost in Birmingham over the next few days.

The “beauty contest” involving the remaining candidates at the party conference has the potential to transform one of the not-so-famous four from also-ran to front-runner.

Robert Jenrick, ahead among Conservative MPs, has the early momentum and is a slick performer. But could one of his rivals – Kemi Badenoch, James Cleverly or Tom Tugendhat – dramatically upset the odds?

It has happened before, spectacularly, when outsider David Cameron made the speech of his life at a leadership “beauty contest” in 2005 and overtook the early favourite, David Davis, to snatch victory and seize the Tory crown.

Looking ahead to Birmingham, one conference veteran has told Sky News it’ll be “shine – or crash!” and is almost salivating at the prospect of the foursome facing Tory activists under the glare of live TV cameras and the scrutiny of party grandees and power brokers.

No pressure, then, on the one lady and trio of gentlemen on parade. This is crunch time in the leadership battle: a penalty shoot-out in a long – critics claim too long – and bruising campaign.

Or to use another footballing analogy, as Sir Alex Ferguson used to say to describe buttock-clenching tension, it’s “squeaky bum time”.

👉 Click here to follow Electoral Dysfunction wherever you get your podcasts 👈

In 2005, the now Lord Cameron shone with a brilliantly delivered, upbeat speech: no notes, no lectern and a relaxed, casual stroll around the stage of Blackpool’s iconic Winter Gardens. The ovation was long and loud.

Mr Davis didn’t crash, to be fair. But in comparison, his speech, though respectable, was workmanlike. The two contrasting speeches were a turning point in the leadership campaign.

David Cameron sought to be leader of his party after the 2005 election. Pic: PA
Image:
David Cameron sought to be leader of his party after the 2005 election. Pic: PA

This time, the contest begins with a “fireside chat” and members’ questions for an hour with each candidate. On Monday, it’s Mr Tugendhat and Ms Badenoch, and on Tuesday, Mr Jenrick and Mr Cleverly.

Then Wednesday is the big day, with four “stump speeches” of 20 minutes each. This time the order is expected to be Mr Tugendhat, Mr Cleverly, Mr Jenrick and Ms Badenoch.

Recalling the 2005 conference in his memoirs, Lord Cameron wrote: “The week in Blackpool was undoubtedly one of the most exciting of my life.

“The acoustics were good, the hall was packed and the audience was close to the stage. The atmosphere and the potential were tangible.”

Surprisingly, given the reception his speech received, Lord Cameron believed it wasn’t as good as the one he made at his campaign launch a few days earlier.

“But many more people saw it,” he acknowledged, “as it was carried live on television and reprised on the evening news.”

Indeed it was.

Follow Sky News on WhatsApp
Follow Sky News on WhatsApp

Keep up with all the latest news from the UK and around the world by following Sky News

Tap here

I vividly remember reporting on the speech for Sky News and describing it as “electrifying” – a verdict Mr Cameron’s team gleefully reported in their leadership campaign newsletter the following morning.

The speech was what we later grew accustomed to. Classic Cameron, full of hope and optimism, all sunny and cheerful. It included these lines:

“I joined this party because I love my country…

“I joined this party because I believe in freedom…

“I joined this party because I believe in aspiration…

“I want people to feel good about being a Conservative again.”

Read more:
Tory rivals could get yellow card for bashing each other
Which candidate is most popular with the public?

And in words that could have been spoken by Sir Keir Starmer about changing the Labour Party, he added: “We have to change… we’ve got to change our culture so we look, feel, think and behave like a completely new organisation.”

Reflecting on the speech in his memoirs, Lord Cameron wrote: “What impressed many people was that I delivered it without notes, having memorised it as we drafted it. Watching it now, I find it rather wooden, but it worked.”

It certainly did. “Within a single day,” Lord Cameron wrote, “the polls were transformed: support for me surged from 16% to 39%, while for Davis it collapsed from 30% to 14%”.

It was a stunning turnaround. Could something like that happen this year in Birmingham?

David Davis (C) talks with supporters Donata Huggins (L) and Zoe Aylward at the annual party conference in Blackpool in northern England
Image:
David Davis saw his supporters wearing ‘it’s DD for me’ T-shirts ahead of his conference speech in 2005. Pic: Reuters

In 2005, although leadership candidates Kenneth Clarke, Liam Fox and Malcolm Rifkind were also on parade in the Winter Gardens, the contest was seen as a two-horse race, with Mr Davis – still in the Commons to this day aged 75 – out in front.

But Mr Davis wasn’t all that was out in front. Mr Cameron’s reputation as the moderniser in the race was helped by his rival parading young women supporters in tight-fitting T-shirts proclaiming “It’s DD for me”.

Headline writers called it “a storm in a DD-cup”. And nearly 20 years on, we’re unlikely to see a repeat of that sort of campaigning.

But will one of the four leadership candidates repeat Lord Cameron’s Tory conference triumph of 2005 that propelled him to the leadership?

It’s entirely possible. Don’t bet against it. But which candidate will it be?

Continue Reading

UK

Labour accused of another manifesto breach after major workers’ rights U-turn

Published

on

By

Labour accused of another manifesto breach after major workers' rights U-turn

The Labour government is facing accusations of two manifesto breaches in as many days after turning its back on a promise to protect workers from unfair dismissal from day one in a job.

A day after Rachel Reeves confirmed an extended freeze on income tax thresholds that critics said amounted to a manifesto-breaching tax hike on working people, the business secretary announced a key measure in the flagship Employment Rights Bill would be watered down.

The qualifying period for unfair dismissal is currently two years, and Labour said in their manifesto they would bring it down to one day.

But Peter Kyle announced on Thursday it would now be six months, having faced opposition from businesses.

Mr Kyle defended the change, insisting “compromise is strength”, but Tory leader Kemi Badenoch described it as “another humiliating U-turn” and a number of Labour MPs aren’t happy.

Andy McDonald, MP for Middlesbrough and Thornaby East, branded the move a “complete betrayal”, while Poole MP Neil Duncan-Jordan said the government had “capitulated”.

Former employment minister Justin Madders, who was sacked in Sir Keir Starmer’s reshuffle earlier this year, also disputed claims the move did not amount to a manifesto breach.

“It might be a compromise,” he said, “but it most definitely is a manifesto breach.”

What did the manifesto say?

The Employment Rights Bill was a cornerstone of Labour’s 2024 election manifesto, and also contains measures that would ban zero-hours contracts.

The party manifesto promised to “consult fully with businesses, workers, and civil society on how to put our plans into practice before legislation is passed”.

“This will include banning exploitative zero-hours contracts; ending fire and rehire; and introducing basic rights from day one to parental leave, sick pay, and protection from unfair dismissal,” it said.

Angela Rayner was a key driver of the bill before she left cabinet, but Peter Kyle (below) is now calling the shots. Pic: PA
Image:
Angela Rayner was a key driver of the bill before she left cabinet, but Peter Kyle (below) is now calling the shots. Pic: PA

Pic: Reuters
Image:
Pic: Reuters

How did we get here?

But the legislation – which was spearheaded by former deputy prime minister Angela Rayner – has been caught in parliamentary ping pong with the House of Lords.

Last month, some peers objected to the provisions around unfair dismissal, suggesting they would deter some businesses from hiring.

They also opposed Labour’s move to force employers to offer guaranteed hours to employees from day one, arguing zero-hour contracts suited some people.

Ministers said reducing the qualifying period for unfair dismissal turned the bill into a “workable package”.

Read more:
Budget 2025: The key points at a glance
Starmer insists Labour ‘kept to our manifesto’

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

Employment Rights Bill is ‘anti-growth blueprint’

Businesses have largely welcomed the change, but unions gave a more hostile response.

Sharon Graham, the general secretary of Unite, said the bill was now a “shell of its former self”.

“With fire and rehire and zero-hours contracts not being banned, the bill is already unrecognisable,” she said.

The TUC urged the House of Lords to allow the rest of the legislation to pass.

Paul Nowak, the general secretary, said: “The absolute priority now is to get these rights – like day one sick pay – on the statute book so that working people can start benefitting from them from next April.”

‘Strikes the right balance’

The Resolution Foundation said the change in the unfair dismissal period was a “sensible move that will speed up the delivery of improvements to working conditions and reduce the risk of firms being put off hiring”.

It said the change “strikes the right balance between strengthening worker protections and encouraging businesses to hire” and deliver “tangible improvements to working conditions”.

The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) added: “Businesses will be relieved that the government has agreed to a key amendment to the Employment Rights Bill, which can pave the way to its initial acceptance.

“This agreement keeps a qualifying period that is simple, meaningful and understood within existing legislation.

“It is crucial for businesses confidence to hire and to support employment, at the same time as protecting workers.”

Continue Reading

UK

Budget 2025: Reeves urged to ‘make the case’ for income tax freeze – as PM hits out at defenders of ‘failed’ policy

Published

on

By

Budget 2025: Reeves urged to 'make the case' for income tax freeze - as PM hits out at defenders of 'failed' policy

Rachel Reeves needs to “make the case” to voters that extending the freeze on personal income thresholds was the “fairest” way to increase taxes, Baroness Harriet Harman has said.

Speaking to Sky News political editor Beth Rigby on the Electoral Dysfunction podcast, the Labour peer said the chancellor needed to explain that her decision would “protect people’s cost of living if they’re on low incomes”.

In her budget on Wednesday, Ms Reeves extended the freeze on income tax thresholds – introduced by the Conservatives in 2021 and due to expire in 2028 – by three years.

The move – described by critics as a “stealth tax” – is estimated to raise £8bn for the exchequer in 2029-2030 by dragging some 1.7 million people into a higher tax band as their pay goes up.

Rachel Reeves, pictured the day after delivering the budget. Pic: PA
Image:
Rachel Reeves, pictured the day after delivering the budget. Pic: PA

The chancellor previously said she would not freeze thresholds as it would “hurt working people” – prompting accusations she has broken the trust of voters.

During the general election campaign, Labour promised not to increase VAT, national insurance or income tax rates.

Sir Keir Starmer has insisted there’s been no manifesto breach, but acknowledged people were being asked to “contribute” to protect public services.

He has also launched a staunch defence of the government’s decision to scrap the two-child benefit cap, with its estimated cost of around £3bn by the end of this parliament.

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

Prime minister defends budget

‘A moral failure’

The prime minister condemned the Conservative policy as a “failed social experiment” and said those who defend it stand for “a moral failure and an economic disaster”.

“The record highs of child poverty in this country aren’t just numbers on a spreadsheet – they mean millions of children are going to bed hungry, falling behind at school, and growing up believing that a better future is out of reach despite their parents doing everything right,” he said.

The two-child limit restricts child tax credit and universal credit to the first two children in most households.

The government believes lifting the limit will pull 450,000 children out of poverty, which it argues will ultimately help reduce costs by preventing knock-on issues like dependency on welfare – and help people find jobs.

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

Budget winners and losers

Speaking to Rigby, Baroness Harman said Ms Reeves now needed to convince “the woman on the doorstep” of why she’s raised taxes in the way that she has.

“I think Rachel really answered it very, very clearly when she said, ‘well, actually, we haven’t broken the manifesto because the manifesto was about rates’.

“And you remember there was a big kerfuffle before the budget about whether they would increase the rate of income tax or the rate of national insurance, and they backed off that because that would have been a breach of the manifesto.

“But she has had to increase the tax take, and she’s done it by increasing by freezing the thresholds, which she says she didn’t want to do. But she’s tried to do it with the fairest possible way, with counterbalancing support for people on low incomes.”

Read more:
Labour’s credibility might not be recoverable
Budget 2025 is a big risk for Labour’s election plans

She added: “And that is the argument that’s now got to be had with the public. The Labour members of parliament are happy about it. The markets essentially are happy about it. But she needs to make the case, and everybody in the government is going to need to make the case about it.

“This was a difficult thing to do, but it’s been done in the fairest possible way, and it’s for the good, because it will protect people’s cost of living if they’re on low incomes.”

Continue Reading

UK

Prostate cancer: NHS screening programme could come one step closer today

Published

on

By

Prostate cancer: NHS screening programme could come one step closer today

An NHS screening programme for prostate cancer could come one step closer if it’s backed today by a key committee that advises the government.

The National Screening Committee, comprised of doctors and economists, will reveal whether it now believes the benefits of screening outweigh any risks, and whether testing could be done at a reasonable cost to the NHS.

When it last looked at the evidence in 2020, it rejected calls for screening, even though prostate cancer kills 12,000 men a year.

But in recent months, there has been growing pressure for screening from high-profile public figures such as Olympian Sir Chris Hoy and former Sky News presenter Dermot Murnaghan.

Both have been diagnosed with advanced prostate cancer, yet the disease is curable if detected in its early stages.

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

Sir Chris Hoy and Dermot Murnaghan on facing cancer

Former prime minister David Cameron has also backed the campaign for screening this week after revealing he had been treated for the cancer.

The committee will decide whether new research has tipped the scales in favour of screening older men, or whether to target only those at higher risk, such as black men and those with a family history of the disease.

The case for…

Lithuania is currently the only country to screen all men aged 50-69 with a blood test for PSA, a protein released by prostate cells.

A low level is normal. But levels can rise steeply in men with cancer.

A recent study showed that regular PSA testing of men over 50 could reduce deaths by 13%.

That’s about the same survival benefit of breast screening.

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

Cameron treated for prostate cancer

…and the case against

But the PSA blood test isn’t completely reliable.

One in seven men with prostate cancer actually have a normal PSA level.

And even those with a high level may have a cancer that is so slow growing that it’s just not a threat.

That’s why the National Screening Committee has warned in the past that PSA screening could lead men to have surgery or other treatment that they don’t actually need. Treatment can result in incontinence or impotence.

But the evidence has moved on.

These days men with a high PSA should have an MRI scan of their prostate, which significantly reduces the risk of unnecessary treatment. And the treatment itself is getting safer.

But the committee may judge that the risks and benefits of screening all men in their 50s and 60s are still too finely balanced to give the go-ahead.

They may wait for results from the Transform trial, which has just been launched and will compare different screening strategies. That could take many years.

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

‘When I was diagnosed, it was too late’

Read more from Sky News:
TGI Fridays’ UK chain up for sale
U-turn over unfair dismissal policy

But campaigners are hopeful that the committee will recommend the screening of men at higher risk of prostate cancer in the meantime.

Black men have twice the risk of those from other ethnic groups.

Men whose father or brothers have had prostate cancer are two and a half times the risk.

And there is also an increased risk for men whose mother or sisters have had breast or ovarian cancer.

Roughly 1.3 million men fall into one of the risk groups.

But identifying and inviting them for screening could prove tricky. GPs don’t always note a patient’s ethnicity in their medical records, and they would usually only know about a patient’s family history if they have been told.

If the committee recommends screening in some form, it is likely to go out to a public consultation before landing on the desk of Health Secretary Wes Streeting for a final decision.

Ultimately, it is his call whether at least some men are screened for what is now the most common cancer in England.

Continue Reading

Trending