NHL team panic meters: Should Avalanche, Oilers, others be worried?
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Published
2 weeks agoon
By
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Kristen Shilton, ESPN NHL reporterOct 21, 2024, 07:00 AM ET
Close- Kristen Shilton is a national NHL reporter for ESPN.
The 2024-25 NHL season is just two weeks old and already chock full of surprises.
Did we expect the Winnipeg Jets to be the last undefeated team? Or for the Calgary Flames to be steamrolling the competition? And what of the Utah Hockey Club, making expansion life look good?
It’s been an exciting run — for some. For others, not so much. There are backs against the wall, so to speak.
But it’s still early … right?
These five teams better hope so.
We’re breaking down the clubs who came into the 2024-25 campaign rife with expectations that haven’t quite lived up to the hype. What’s holding them back? And how worried should fans be about their trajectory from here?
It’s our (probably) too-early Panic Meter readings! Let’s dissect the candidates:
Stanley Cup odds: +1400
Record: 2-2-0, sixth in Metro
The problems: Granted, the Hurricanes are only four games into their season. It’s still strange to see them at only the .500 mark and ahead of just the Philadelphia Flyers and Columbus Blue Jackets in the Metro Division.
So, yes. It’s a small sample size. But Carolina has had some glaring inconsistencies, too. The Hurricanes are hurting themselves as the fourth-most penalized team in the league (averaging over five minutes per game) and that’s been a costly, momentum-crushing trend, taxing their 13th-ranked penalty kill (83.3%) while keeping top-end skaters like Sebastian Aho and Andrei Svechnikov from doing what they do best on the offensive end. Carolina’s 19th overall offensively (3.00 goals per game), and averaging the sixth-most shots (32.8), so the opportunities to challenge opponents are clearly there. It’s a matter of the Hurricanes not being their own worst enemy.
Carolina knew going into the season that a) goalie health and b) goalie performance would be a significant factor for them, and while Frederik Andersen has been good so far, his counterpart Pyotr Kochetkov has struggled. The young netminder is 1-1-0 with an .867 SV% and 3.05 GAA, compared to Andersen’s .936 SV% and 1.53 GAA. Andersen has been run aground by injuries in the past, so coach Rod Brind’Amour must be able to rely on Kotchetkov to support the veteran. That’s still a work in progress.
Another cause for concern is the roller coaster that is Carolina’s top defensive unit. Brent Burns and Jaccob Slavin were on the ice for three of four goals against in the Hurricanes’ loss to the St. Louis Blues, right after sparking Carolina to a dominant win against the Pittsburgh Penguins. Burns is nearing 40 years old, and it shows in his foot speed; carrying nearly 23 minutes per game may not be sustainable, and it will require others on Carolina’s back end to step up at some point and perhaps remove part of that pressure.
Panic meter reading: 5.5/10. Carolina has kept up in every game; it’s the little mistakes they’ve got to start cleaning up, though. Bad habits have a way of snowballing and that’s a real worry for the Hurricanes. Eliminating bad penalties and maximizing their scoring depth — it’s defenseman Shayne Gostisbehere currently leading the team in goals, with three — will give Carolina more breathing room and that should push the Hurricanes up the standings.
If anything, it feels like Carolina is still searching for its identity and given the short runway they’ve had into the season that’s not shocking. Time is always of the essence — but in this case at least it’s on the Hurricanes’ side.
Stanley Cup odds: +1200
Record: 2-4-0, seventh in Central
The problems: Colorado’s season began with an 0-4-0 mark for just the second time in franchise history (the other occurrence being 1998-99); it took overcoming a two-goal deficit against the Anaheim Ducks on Friday for the Avalanche to eventually earn their elusive first win of the year (in overtime, no less). Sunday’s 4-1 win over the San Jose Sharks — featuring a pair of goals from Ross Colton and three points by Cale Makar — is another step in the right direction. But Colorado has to prove it can produce positive results against the league’s would-be contenders too along the way here too.
The Avalanche are 32nd already in goals against per game (4.83), due in large part to atrocious goaltending. Aleksandar Georgiev is 1-3-0 with an .811 save percentage and 4.99 goals-against average through Colorado’s first five outings. Over those initial four losses, Colorado’s starter had let in a league-high 17 goals. All the goal-scoring magic Nathan MacKinnon could muster won’t make up for that sort of leaky netminding.
Special teams have been a hindrance as well. Colorado picked up where it left off in the second half of last season with an inconsistent penalty kill (29th in the league, at 68.4% through six games) that’s overshadowing their second-ranked power play (38.1%). Again, goaltending woes play a factor in those poor short-handed stats, but the Avalanche’s top penalty-killing unit (anchored by Makar and Colton) isn’t getting the job done either in front of Georgiev.
That said, the Avalanche are missing key pieces from the lineup, including Gabriel Landeskog, Jonathan Drouin, Valeri Nichushkin, Devon Toews and Artturi Lehkonen. Having their lineup impacted to that degree, with no way to replace it, and dealing with seriously sub-par goaltending is daunting task. Colorado has to be up for the challenge.
Panic meter reading: 7.5/10. The Avalanche have MacKinnon, and Makar, plus a fiery Mikko Rantanen. That’s a top-tier trio with game-changing potential (and it was MacKinnon, of course, who potted that OT winner against the Ducks to secure Colorado’s initial win). The Avalanche have been stingy defensively, sitting fourth best in shots against per game (25.5) and they’ve done well generating scoring opportunity up front, particularly from the slot.
That diminished scoring depth has contributed to why more chances aren’t going in (Colorado is 11th in goals, averaging 3.50 per game) but there’s a bright spot there as well: coach Jared Bednar said over the weekend he hopes Nichushkin, who is back skating on his own while completing a six-month suspension in Stage 3 of the NHL/NHLPA assistance program, will be able to return by Nov. 13.
What the Avalanche must hope for is that its goaltending will improve, too. Colorado claimed goaltender Kaapo Kahkonen off waivers over a week ago, and he was finally able to join the team on Saturday after dealing with immigration issues. Once he’s up to speed, there’s no doubt Colorado will insert him to take the edge off Georgiev. At the same time, Colorado has to push Georgiev into turning the corner, too. With a victory under his belt, now there’s reason for the goaltender to feel better about his own game and allow that to translate into stringing further wins together for Colorado from here.
The Avalanche don’t have cap space available to immediately address any areas of concern, so getting more out of the current roster is their only way to dig out of this early deficit.
Stanley Cup odds: +6000
Record: 2-3-0, eighth in Atlantic
The problems: The Red Wings are off to a glacial 2-3-0 start that includes a pair of victories over the league’s only winless team (Nashville). That’s not a ringing endorsement for where Detroit could be headed. This was supposed to be a season where the Red Wings finally punched their way back to the playoffs after being absent since 2015-16. Detroit came achingly close in 2023-24, falling just short of a postseason berth with a tie-breaking loss to Washington at the very end. The Red Wings might have hoped for some momentum to carry over into the new campaign, but it’s been a tough slog (other than when they’ve faced the Predators, naturally).
Detroit’s injured list has begun to fill up, with Tyler Motte and Christian Fischer suffering ailments already. But that’s no excuse. The Red Wings’ overall execution has lacked more than anything, particularly off the draw. Detroit is 27th in FOW% (46.4%) and they’ve seen momentum snatched away from goals scored directly off a poorly executed faceoff (see New York Rangers winger Reilly Smith‘s marker last week). Good teams have the details dialled in; Detroit is still getting there.
The Red Wings’ special teams are another issue. Detroit owns the second-worst penalty kill in the league (62.5%) and their power play is a mediocre (15.8%). Those areas of the game that could boost the Red Wings aren’t coming through often enough, and it’s dragging them down. The same is true with their collective team defense, a long-time concern that’s failed to improve over time. Detroit is tied for the second-most shots against per game (34.2) and even solid goaltending from both Alex Lyon (1-1-0, .938 SV%, 2.06 GAA) and Cam Talbot (1-1-0, 907 SV% and 3.31 GAA) can’t fill the void.
Panic meter reading: 6.5/10. Detroit’s early schedule has been odd, with the two outings against Nashville and two meetings already with the Rangers. Regardless, the Red Wings are showcasing too many of the same past problems to completely say they’re on track to a different outcome than seasons past. Detroit has allowed 15 total goals in those three losses. Even with the likes of Dylan Larkin (who has three goals), Andrew Copp (same) and offseason addition Vladimir Tarasenko (two goals) sparking the offense, the Red Wings need even more hands to get on the right side of these scoresheets.
It’s really whether Detroit can go all-in defensively that will likely determine their fate (again). Expecting to outscore their other troubles — at 5-on-5 or special teams — hasn’t worked before, and won’t work this season. If Detroit can buy in to what coach Derek Lalonde is preaching and keep getting capable goaltending and consistent scoring, their recipe for success could get them back in the postseason mix sooner than later.
Stanley Cup odds: +750
Record: 2-4-0, seventh in Pacific
The problems: Edmonton is not getting the goaltending it needs — and that’s affecting everything else. Stuart Skinner is 1-3-0 with an .851 SV% and 4.03 GAA. His backup Calvin Pickard is 1-1-0 with an .852 SV% and 3.28 GAA. Those are tough numbers to overcome at the best of times, but especially when Edmonton is also not generating a consistent amount of top-end offense.
Leon Draisaitl has three goals on the season and Connor McDavid has a goal and six points, but head coach Kris Knobloch has kept them together on a line with Zach Hyman (who has zero points through six games) and it doesn’t make sense to load up a single unit when the results are there often enough. The case in point: Edmonton had a disappointing 4-1 loss to the Dallas Stars on Saturday where the Oilers fell behind 3-0, and only Draisaitl’s late third period goal kept Edmonton from being shut out for the second time in six games, the first one being a 6-0 drubbing by the Winnipeg Jets in their season opener.
While Draisaitl is the Oilers’ leading scorer, he’s also been punished by Knobloch already for poorly timed penalties. And Edmonton’s special teams have been putrid as well — the power play is operating at just 6.7% (good for 30th overall) and their penalty kill is dead-last in the NHL at 55%. When you’re also averaging the fewest goals in the league (2.00) and are 27th in goals against (4.00), it’s a brutal combination.
The bottom line for Edmonton is that until their offense improves, the Oilers’ results won’t get better, either. It’s on Knobloch to make the right adjustments — at even strength and on the power play — so the Oilers can thrive.
Panic meter reading: 8/10. Listen, the Oilers have fooled us before. Last season Edmonton started 2-9-1 and turned things around so drastically they wound up in Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Final. That’s not to say history can repeat itself now, though. The Oilers’ 1-4-0 start is nothing to feel good about, and shows there are an abundance of weaknesses in Edmonton’s lineup that must be addressed.
It’s not that the Oilers aren’t getting their chances. They were the better team against Dallas in the first period on Saturday, but couldn’t capitalize. The Stars took over from there and that spelled trouble for the Oilers. If they can find ways to make the most of those opportunities going forward, it’ll be a different story.
On the plus side, Edmonton’s depth has been solid. Jeff Skinner has four points in six games, Corey Perry has been his usual feisty self and there are significant signs of life on the back end. Edmonton has time to turn things around, but Knobloch must spread his talent out and let Draisaitl and McDavid drive their own lines. The goaltending and special teams must be looked into as well obviously, but what Edmonton needs more than ever is confidence. And that comes from stringing some wins together.
Stanley Cup odds: +2000
Record: 0-5-0, eighth in Central
The problems: Fun fact: no NHL team that has started 0-5-0 has reached the postseason since 2005-06. And Nashville is exactly that, boasting (?) a franchise-worst start that took another blow in Saturday’s lopsided 5-2 loss to Detroit. Suffice to say then, the Predators face an uphill battle to make the postseason.
Nashville’s new-look lineup has fallen well short of expectations in a winless stretch to open this campaign — they are the last remaining NHL team without a point, to boot — and the issues keep stacking up.
Let’s start at the beginning. Nashville is allowing the second-most goals (4.60 per game) and scoring the fewest (2.00). And that’s while the Predators are also averaging the most shots (35.4 per game) in the league. What conclusions can be drawn? Nashville’s goaltending — and ability to actually finish on their chances — are out of whack.
Juuse Saros has looked humbly human in net for the Predators, with an 0-4-0 record, .875 SV% and 3.64 GAA. Scott Wedgewood is right behind him and absolutely no better at 0-1-0 with an .800 SV% and 4.21 GAA.
Offensively the Predators haven’t looked nearly as dominant as predicted given the additions they made in the offseason. Highly prized free agent signees Steven Stamkos and Jonathan Marchessault haven’t clicked yet in the system, and that’s slowed the Predators’ attack. Stamkos didn’t score for the first time until Saturday’s loss against Detroit, and while Marchessault has four points in five games, he hasn’t been a real difference-maker out of the gate.
Nashville appears to be lacking chemistry, and head coach Andrew Brunette is at a loss already to find combinations that click.
Panic meter reading: 9.5/10. This team is in a bad spot. There’s no way to sugarcoat being the only NHL club without a point, especially when the roster has such depth of talent. Nashville’s defensive efforts haven’t been terrible, either. The Predators have allowed the ninth fewest in shots against per game (27.4), but without the saves it doesn’t mean much to be decent enough on the back end. Roman Josi is averaging over 27 minutes per game — tied for most among defenseman with Quinn Hughes — and that’s a heavy ask of the 34-year-old.
Brunette said on Saturday the Predators’ awful opening isn’t for “lack of trying,” and that’s true. Nashville is clearly putting in effort. It’s that the Predators are making big mistakes — and there’s no coming back from those on a shift-by-shift basis if your goaltending is a mess. And the more Nashville sees pucks going in, the more players are gripping their sticks too tightly — compounding those infuriating errors.
Are there silver linings? Maybe. Filip Forsberg has been solid out of the gate — he leads the team with two goals and five points — and there is a genuinely strong leadership unit in the room headed by Ryan O’Reilly, Josi and, in time, Stamkos. The fact Nashville can at least create chances is good, too.
The only solution for Nashville? Find a way to win a game. It can be the scrappiest, ugliest, least-aesthetically pleasing victory. But what this group needs more than anything is just to know it can get the job done once — and confidence should build from there.
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Sports
‘Holy cow. What’s going on in Utah?’ Inside the Hockey Club’s plan for long-term success
Published
5 hours agoon
November 6, 2024By
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Ryan S. Clark, NHL reporterNov 6, 2024, 07:00 AM ET
Close- Ryan S. Clark is an NHL reporter for ESPN.
SALT LAKE CITY — There are two versions of Ryan Smith. There’s the public-facing 40-something billionaire tech mogul who answers questions in a way that can be direct, earnest and open to admitting he might not have the right answer … or an answer at all.
That’s the version most people see. But there’s also another version of Smith that’s unapologetically Utahn. That version comes out in the way he talks about Salt Lake City, the state of Utah and the preconceived beliefs many people have about a place that they’ve likely never visited.
While the first version of Smith is the reason the Utah Hockey Club exists, it’s the second version that is hell-bent on ensuring that the franchise is going to thrive in the most Utah way possible.
“I put everything in Utah. They said we couldn’t build tech here, and we’d have to move to the Bay Area,” Smith said. “We couldn’t get venture funding here. We couldn’t IPO a company from here. We couldn’t sell. We proved every single person wrong.
“Then I think that people started believing, ‘Holy cow. What’s going on in Utah?’ That’s incredibly gratifying when you’re fighting for a bigger cause.”
This is the mission facing the Utah Hockey Club when it comes to achieving success long term. While the UHC is a new venture, the team relocated from Arizona where they were the Coyotes. Before that, they were the original Winnipeg Jets, relocating to the desert in 1996.
The club is trying to prove that Salt Lake City and Utah as a whole can support the NHL. It’s trying to prove that it can make hockey a staple, just like the Utah Jazz have been doing in the NBA for several decades.
Perhaps the most important point the Utah Hockey Club could make is that as Salt Lake City keeps growing, so could the city’s professional sports landscape.
“Utahns especially want to show they are more than a flyover state,” said Josh Furlong, a broadcaster and the sports director for KSL. “They recognize they are not going to be Los Angeles, Seattle or New York. They want to showcase what Utah has to offer. You have a rabid fan base that will support your team. I think you have a bunch of people who want to showcase that. I don’t know if it is some type of FOMO situation where they feel like they’re not being included. But they want to be in that mix among the best places.
“You want people to feel what you see. You have this beautiful landscape, friendly people and a great atmosphere for sports culture.”
Clayton Keller: Today was a great day for Utah Hockey Club
Utah Hockey Club’s captain Clayton Keller joins “SportsCenter” to discuss what the team’s NHL debut felt like following a 5-2 win over the Blackhawks.
“Utah! Getting bigger and better. Utah! Always leading the way. New technology is here. Growing faster each year. This is the place!”
Those are lyrics from “Utah … This Is The Place.” Written in 1996, it later became the state song in 2003. At the time of the song’s creation, Utah was on the verge of announcing itself to more of the world, using sports and entertainment as a mechanism.
The Jazz reached three straight Western Conference finals from 1996 through 1998, with two NBA Finals appearances. Salt Lake City received international exposure during the 2002 Winter Olympic Games. In 2005, the University of Utah was the first school to have the No. 1 picks in both the NBA and NFL drafts in the same year, with Andrew Bogut and Alex Smith. The state’s fortune was also extended to film in 2004 when a few graduates of BYU’s film school made the coming of age cult classic “Napoleon Dynamite.”
Decades later, it appears Utah could once again be following a similar path, but with more to gain.
Utah Hockey Club president of hockey operations Chris Armstrong didn’t quote the lyrics from the state song when asked about the future. But his words resemble a similar sentiment when he mentions Utah having the nation’s No. 3 economy and the youngest state based on median age (30.7 years old).
“It’s a unique moment in time where we’re building something new from the ground up and we get to do it with everybody here,” Armstrong said. “So that is why we see a successful and thriving future. It’s only continuing to grow that outpaces most cities in North America, and we think that’s a great opportunity for a new sports franchise.”
The history of sports fandom in Utah began with major college programs BYU and the University of Utah establishing athletic programs. Smaller schools such as Southern Utah, Utah State, Utah Valley and Weber State have also built followings in various sports.
Professional sports came on the scene in 1979 when the Jazz relocated from New Orleans and eventually became one of the NBA’s most successful franchises throughout the 1980s, 1990s and early 2000s.
MLS came to the area in 2004 with Real Salt Lake, which averages 20,291 fans per game, and extends to the Utah Royals of the NWSL, a team that was revived in 2024. The Royals’ first game drew 20,370 fans which set a state record for the most fans at a women’s sporting event.
Both RSL and the Royals are owned by Smith, a BYU graduate, along with Philadelphia 76ers and New Jersey Devils managing partner David Blitzer.
In 2034, Salt Lake City will join Athens, Beijing, London, Los Angeles and Paris as one of the few cities to host multiple Olympics when the Winter Games return.
“Utah is crazy for sports,” said Eric Schulz, a senior lecturer in marketing and strategy at Utah State. “I think it will probably be the same pattern that Denver had. Denver just had the Nuggets and the Broncos for a long time. Then the Rockies came to town and then the Avalanche came to town. There’s been a lot of growth in Utah over the last 20 years with people who have come from other parts of the country. Look at Las Vegas. Who thought a hockey team in Las Vegas would do so well?”
Armstrong said the Utah Hockey Club received more than 30,000 season-ticket deposits. It’s a similar figure to that of the Seattle Kraken when they garnered more than 32,000 deposits ahead of their first season.
Armstrong also said that the franchise “feels very confident” in that it could finish this season as both a top-20 revenue team and a top-20 ticketing team in the NHL despite playing in at a basketball-first venue that has around 5,000 obstructed view seats.
“I don’t know too much about what the perception is, but I can tell you that on the ground that all you see is growth around you,” Armstrong said. “I think the culture of hockey lends itself to the community of Greater Salt Lake and of Utah. Hard-working, honest, passion, camaraderie, pride in team, pride in state. … I think that speaks to the response that we’ve received with season-ticket deposits.”
THERE WILL BE challenges along the way.
Those Jazz teams with Karl Malone and John Stockton created a generational fandom that has played a role in why the Jazz still continue to be such a massive draw.
Harnessing that fandom became an instant priority for the Utah Hockey Club. Exactly a week after the Coyotes’ last regular season game, the team was flown to Salt Lake City, where they were greeted by 12,000 fans at the Delta Center.
In the offseason, the club organized an online poll encouraging fans to vote on its future team name. In June, the SEG announced 520,000 fans had participated, before narrowing it down to six potential options.
Chris Barney, the Smith Entertainment Group’s president of revenue and commercial strategy, said the club will market to everyone. But they’re concentrating on attracting young people so that they can grow those generational fans.
Part of that plan is creating a youth hockey program. Many of the NHL’s teams playing in nontraditional markets — especially Western Conference teams — have used these programs over the past 30 years. The short-term goal is to drive new, young fans to the sport. The long-term goal is to make the youth of today the season-ticket holders of tomorrow.
What makes the Utah Hockey Club’s plan different is their connection to the Jazz. The Junior Jazz is the NBA’s largest youth basketball program, with more than 60,000 members spread across Utah, Arizona, Idaho, Montana, Nevada and Idaho.
Barney, who grew up playing in the Junior Jazz, said that the Jazz designate 1,800 tickets every home game for program participants.
“Our goal is to develop a youth hockey program in which there’s an Auston Matthews playing somewhere in the NHL [in the future] that’s a product of Salt Lake City with the infrastructure that we have built,” Barney said. “That might be one of the most important things. It’s not right in front of our face, but we have a five-year strategic plan. Developing and building it out is darn near the top.”
Barney explained that there are county recreation departments that are incubators for youth who end up playing sports in the community. With SEG already having those relationships in place through the Junior Jazz, they hope to do the same with the Utah Hockey Club when it comes time to introduce ice hockey and street hockey throughout the community.
The most recent USA Hockey membership numbers show that Utah had a combined 4,869 players between males and females. Of those 4,869 registered players, there were 3,168 who were younger than 18, while 2,073 were under 14. In 2016-17 — the final period before the Golden Knights arrived — the state of Nevada had 1,699 combined registered players. In 2023-24, there were a combined 5,560 male and female players, with 2,861 of them being 18 and younger.
“We’re all in,” Barney said. “We’re not going to dip our toe in. We’re all in.”
ANOTHER CHALLENGE IN building a fan base is that while Salt Lake City and Utah as a whole are growing, growth does not come cheap, which sets up a dichotomy that exists for many franchises in 2024.
“Utah has a ton of rising costs. Especially in real estate,” Furlong said. “There is a real pain point here with things being overpriced, and the housing market being really tough. Utahns love to get things for free or for cheap. The cheaper you make it, the better it is going to be. That said, you have someone like Ryan Smith who is trying to appeal to other people in the tech world who have limitless amounts of cash.
“The general fan wants it to be as cheap as possible because there are other factors, but tech people want to showcase this as a premier destination.”
Chris Hartweg is the publisher and CEO of the Team Marketing Report, which produces the Fan Cost Index, a model that calculates what the cost would be for a family of four to attend a sporting event.
Hartweg said recent history shows that new teams — whether they be expansion or relocation — were more expensive than the league average when they debuted. He said that the Nashville Predators (1998-99), Columbus Blue Jackets (2000-01) and Minnesota Wild (2000-01) were all within 3% above the league average ticket prices in their first season. Those are the outliers in recent NHL history.
The Atlanta Thrashers (1999-2000) were 34% above league average. The Vegas Golden Knights (2017-18) were 30% higher, while the Seattle Kraken (2021-22) were 58% higher.
“With dynamic pricing, (teams) know where all the price points are,” Hartweg said. “They know they want to move this many more season tickets if they go to this level. They know going in what’s the most that they could get before diminishing returns. That’s business. It happened in Seattle.”
Hartweg pointed out that the Kraken lowered their prices for the second season, but were able to charge a hefty premium for two main reasons that could also apply to the Utah Hockey Club: a new team, and a new venue.
Hartweg said it’s possible that UHC’s fans could be in store for a pricey first season, with the possibility of an uptick in prices once the Delta Center renovation project is completed in 2027.
Then there’s the role of the secondary market. Hartweg said the average family looking to go to a game might purchase tickets on the secondary market, and they might not know where to find the strongest deals.
Utah’s upcoming three-game home stand against the Carolina Hurricanes, the Vegas Golden Knights and the Washington Capitals offers a wide range of price points for the cheapest available ticket.
A cursory glance across numerous secondary ticketing sites shows that the composite least expensive ticket at Delta Center for the Nov. 13 game versus the Hurricanes is $37, while the least expensive ticket for the Nov. 18 game against the Capitals is $58, should fans want to watch Alexander Ovechkin continue to chase Wayne Gretzky’s all-time goals record.
It’s a contrast compared to the demand ahead of the Nov. 15 game against the Golden Knights, a perennial Stanley Cup contender that could become one of the UHC’s chief geographic rivals. Those sites list the least expensive ticket for the game on Nov. 15 against Vegas as $119.67. The composite cheapest lower-bowl tickets with an unobstructed view is $248.
“When a new team comes in, it’s Christmas Day,” Schulz said. “They can come in and buy the best seats and put in orders for blocks of a hundred and resell them on the secondary market. If they can get their hands on them, they only have to resell a quarter of the season and they already have their money back. If a team goes to the playoffs, it’s like 12 Christmases having those tickets.”
Barney said the franchise has a “multiyear strategy” when it comes to how ticketing will work for fans from various economic backgrounds.
He said that adding 6,000 unobstructed seats once the Delta Center renovation is completed will help with making the UHC more accessible. Another step is to work with community partners to ensure they’re getting UHC tickets in the hands of fans from underrepresented groups so they can also have access.
They’ll also continue to sell those obstructed view seats that Barney also called the “partial ice” seats or “single-ice seats” — in reference to the steep angles behind each goal — that will start at $19 per game.
“We want to make sure we’re being strategic about how the tickets are being distributed,” said Barney, who grew up in nearby Kaysville. “I think the move to make sure that concessions are also more affordable for people was also really important.”
Hartweg said it’s common for teams to provide more cost-effective food and drink offerings to help offset the price of a game ticket. He said there are places that offer $5 beers, but it might come with the caveat that it’s in the 700 section of the arena.
Delta Center has what’s called a “Mountain Menu” which is a fan-friendly pricing option in which a bottle of water is $2 while hot dogs, ice cream, nachos and popcorn are $3. There were also other options such as Chick-fil-A, with 30 nuggets for $30, while a chicken sandwich and waffle fries cost $16.
“It’s worth the price,” said Christian Priskos, who grew up in Salt Lake City. “We have a Tier 1 NHL team that’s in downtown Salt Lake City. It’s not only boosting the local economy with local business, local bars and local restaurants and everything you want to do. But it’s also boosting the social scene as well. People want to say ‘Salt Lake is a sleepy town.’ But, we’re not. We’re a Tier 1 city and the Utah Hockey Club is another step toward showing that.”
WHILE THE FOOD and drink prices might be new to Utah Hockey Club fans, those are the prices that Jazz fans have grown accustomed to paying over the years. And the SEG can take components of its playbook from running the Jazz to serve Utah hockey fans.
On the ice, they are boosted by a strong collection of young talent — and the ninth-best prospect pipeline. A playoff appearance in Year 1 is a real possibility.
From a fan engagement perspective, both Armstrong and Barney shared how going to the Delta Center for a Utah Hockey Club game could be a first for a number of people in the area. At present, the Jazz are in a rebuild yet have sold out for 296 consecutive games. Delta Center, which holds 18,306 fans for basketball, had more than 14,000 fans attend a preseason basketball game less than 24 hours before the first game in UHC history.
Armstrong said that element of demand coupled with how historically engaged fans across Salt Lake City and the state of Utah have been could also play a role in the Utah Hockey Club having long-term success.
“There’s a lot of Utahns who haven’t been able to experience a live sporting event in the building because the Jazz have sold out so many consecutive games,” Armstrong said. “It gives people another opportunity to be part of this world-class venue in Salt Lake they have not been able to access with the Jazz. … Now we’ve given them that new product that gives them that chance.”
Sports
College Football Playoff Anger Index: B1G love, BYU disrespect and more outrage
Published
14 hours agoon
November 6, 2024By
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David Hale, ESPN Staff WriterNov 5, 2024, 07:43 PM ET
Close- College football reporter.
- Joined ESPN in 2012.
- Graduate of the University of Delaware.
It’s a new era for the College Football Playoff, with the field growing from four to 12 this season. That means three times as many programs will gain entry, but, beginning with Tuesday’s initial playoff rankings, there’s three times as much room for outrage, too.
Under the old rules, there was a simple line of demarcation that separated the elated from the angry: Who’s in?
Now, there are so many more reasons for nitpicking the committee’s decisions, from first-round byes to hosting a home game to whether your supposedly meaningful conference has been eclipsed by teams from the Group of 5.
And if the first rankings are any indication, it’s going to be a fun year for fury. There’s little logic to be taken from the initial top 25 beyond the committee’s clear love for the Big Ten. Penn State and Indiana make the top eight despite having only one win combined over an ESPN FPI top-40 team (Penn State over Iowa). That Ohio State checks in at No. 2 ahead of Georgia is the most inexplicable decision involving Georgia since Charlie Daniels suggested the devil lost that fiddle contest. Oregon is a reasonable No. 1, but the Ducks still came within a breath of losing to Boise State. Indeed, the Big Ten’s nonconference record against the Power 4 this season is 6-8, just a tick better than the ACC and well behind the SEC’s mark of 10-6.
But this is the fun of early November rankings. The committee is still finding its footing, figuring out what to prioritize and what to ignore, what’s signal and what’s noise. And that’s where the outrage really helps. It’s certainly not signal, but it can be a really loud noise.
This week’s Anger Index:
There are only two possible explanations for BYU’s treatment in this initial ranking. The first is that the committee members are too sleepy to watch games beyond the Central time zone. The second, and frankly, less rational one, is they simply didn’t do much homework.
It’s certainly possible the committee members are so enthralled with metrics such as the FPI (where BYU ranks 28th) or SP+ (22nd) that they’ve determined the Cougars’ actual record isn’t as important. This is incredibly foolish. The FPI and SP+ certainly have their value, but they’re probabilistic metrics, designed to gauge the likelihood of future success. They’re in no way a ranking of actual results. (That’s why USC is still No. 17 in the FPI, despite Lincoln Riley spending his days wistfully scrolling through old pictures of Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray and wondering if Oklahoma might want to get back together.)
To look at actual results paints a clear picture.
BYU (No. 4) has a better strength of record than Ohio State (No. 5), has played roughly the same quality schedule as Texas and has two wins against other teams ranked in the committee’s top 25 — as many as Ohio State, Texas, Penn State, Tennessee and Indiana (all ranked ahead of the Cougars) combined.
Indiana’s rags-to-riches story is wonderful, of course, but how can the committee compare what BYU has done (wins over SMU and Kansas State) against Indiana’s 103rd-ranked strength of schedule?
And this particular snub has significant effects. The difference between No. 8 and No. 9 is a home game in the first round, of course, though as a potential conference champion, that’s a moot point. But what if BYU loses a game — perhaps the Big 12 title game? That could not only doom the Cougars from getting a first-round bye, but it could quite likely set up a scenario in which the Big 12 is shuffled outside the top four conferences entirely, passed by upstart Boise State.
What’s clear from this first round of rankings is the committee absolutely loves the Big Ten — with four teams ranked ahead of a subjectively more accomplished BYU team — and the Big 12 is going to face some serious headwinds.
There’s a great, though little watched, TV show from the 2010s called “Rectify,” about a man who escapes death row after new evidence is found, only to be constantly harassed by the same system that fraudulently locked him away for 20 years. This is basically the story of SMU.
Let’s do a quick blind résumé here.
Team A: 8-1 record, No. 13 strength of record, two wins vs. ranked opponents, loss to SP+ No. 22, .578 opponent win percentage
Team B: 7-1 record, No. 15 strength of record, two wins vs. ranked opponents, loss to SP+ No. 91, .567 opponent win percentage
OK, you probably guessed Team A is SMU. The Mustangs have wins against Louisville and Pitt — both relatively emphatic — and their lone loss came to No. 9 BYU, which came before a quarterback change and included five red zone drives that amounted to only six total points.
Team B? That’s Notre Dame. The Irish have the worst loss by far (to Northern Illinois) of any team in the top 25, beat a common opponent by the same score (though, while SMU outgained Louisville by 20 yards, the Cardinals actually outgained Notre Dame by 115) and have played one fewer game.
The difference? SMU has the stigma — of the death penalty, of the upstart program new to the Power 4, of being unworthy. Notre Dame is the big brand, and that results in being ranked three spots higher and, if the playoff were held today, getting in, while the Mustangs are left out.
There are three two-loss SEC teams ranked ahead of Ole Miss, which seems to be a perfectly reasonable consensus if you look at the AP poll, too. But are we sure that’s so reasonable?
Two stats we like to look at to measure a team’s quality are success rate (how often does a team make a play that improves its odds of winning) and explosiveness. Measure the differentials in each between offense and defense, then plot those out, and you’ll get a pretty clear look of who’s truly dominant in college football this season.
Explosive Play differential vs. Successful Play differential
Auburn & Ark make no sense
Iowa & Iowa St are twinsies!
Is Ole Miss undervalued? pic.twitter.com/h87SKCdOtr— 💫🅰️♈️🆔 (@ADavidHaleJoint) November 3, 2024
That outer band that features Penn State, Texas, Miami, Ohio State and Indiana (and notably, not Oregon, Alabama, LSU or Texas A&M)? That’s where Ole Miss lives.
The Rebels have two losses this season, each by three points, both in games they outgained the winning team. They lost to LSU on the road and, yes, somehow lost to a dismal Kentucky team. But hey, LSU lost to USC, too. It has been a weird season.
SP+ loves Ole Miss. The Rebels check in at No. 4 there, behind only Ohio State, Texas and Georgia.
The FPI agrees, ranking the Rebels fifth.
In ESPN’s game control metric, no team is better. Ole Miss has the third-best average in-game win percentage. That suggests a lot of strange twists, and bad luck was involved with its losses. These are things the committee should be evaluating when comparing like teams.
But how about this comparison?
Team A: 7-2, 23 points per game scoring margin vs. FBS, 1 loss to unranked, three wins vs. SP+ top 40
Team B: 7-2, 19 points per game scoring margin vs. FBS, 1 loss to unranked, three wins vs. SP+ top 40
Pretty similar, eh?
Of course, one of them is Ole Miss. That’s Team A this time around.
Team B is Alabama, ranked five spots higher.
Sure, this situation can be resolved quite easily this weekend with a win over Georgia, but Ole Miss starting at the back of the pack of SEC contenders seems like a miss by the committee, even if the math will change substantially before the next rankings are revealed.
Oh, thanks so much for the No. 25 nod, committee. All Army has done is win every game without trailing the entire season. Last season, when Liberty waltzed through its weakest-in-the-nation schedule, the committee had no objections to giving the Flames enough love to make a New Year’s Six bowl. But Army? At No. 25? Thirteen spots behind Boise State, the Knights’ competition for the Group of 5’s bid? Something tells us some spies from Air Force have infiltrated the committee’s room in some sort of Manchurian Candidate scenario.
Sure, the Seminoles are terrible now, and yes, the committee this season has plenty of new faces, but that doesn’t mean folks in Tallahassee have forgiven or forgotten what happened a year ago. Before the committee’s playoff snub, FSU had won 19 straight games and averaged 39 points. Since the snub, the Noles are 1-9 and haven’t scored 21 points in any game. Who’s to blame for this? Mike Norvell? The coaching staff? DJ Uiagalelei and the other struggling QBs? Well, sure. But it’s much easier to just blame the committee. Those folks killed Florida State’s playoff hopes and ended their run of success. The least they could do this year is rank them No. 25 just for fun.
Also angry: South Carolina (5-3, unranked), Vanderbilt (6-3, unranked), Georgia (7-1, No. 3), Louisville (6-3, No. 22), everyone who is not in the Big Ten.
Sports
Swinney blocked from voting over name snafu
Published
15 hours agoon
November 6, 2024By
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Associated Press
Nov 5, 2024, 01:39 PM ET
CLEMSON, S.C. — It has been a rough few days for Clemson coach Dabo Swinney. First, his 19th-ranked Tigers lost to Louisville on Saturday night, then he was told he couldn’t vote Tuesday at his polling place.
Swinney, whose given name is William, explained that the voting system had locked him out, saying a “William Swinney” had already voted last week. Swinney said it was his oldest son, Will, and not him.
“They done voted me out of the state,” Swinney said. “We’re 6-2 and 5-1 [in the Atlantic Coast Conference], man. They done shipped me off.”
Dabo Swinney had to complete a paper ballot and was told there will be a hearing Friday to resolve the issue.
“I was trying to do my best and be a good citizen and go vote,” he said. “Sometimes doing your best ain’t good enough. You have to keep going though, keep figuring it out.”
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