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We are just over two weeks into the NHL season. Frozen Frenzy is in the books, and in the distance is the triumphant return of best-on-best international hockey at the 4 Nations Face-off.

There’s a lot of season left, but there is enough of a sample size to identify the biggest surprise of the season for all 32 teams, presented here along with an updated set of Power Rankings.

How we rank: A panel of ESPN hockey commentators, analysts, reporters and editors sends in a 1-32 poll based on the games through Wednesday, which generates our master list here.

Note: Previous ranking for each team refers to the previous edition, published Oct. 19. Points percentages are through Thursday’s games.

Previous ranking: 2
Points percentage: 78.57%

Biggest surprise: Alexis is (still) on fire. The french word for brakes is “freins”, but it’s been all gas and no “freins” for Alexis Lafreniere, who continues to build off of his 14 points in 16 playoff games. It’s not easy being a No. 1 overall pick, where many demand you be great now. It’s been a marathon not a sprint for the Quebec native, and the improvements are tangible. You have to wonder how much Team Canada consideration he will get for February’s 4 Nations Face-off.

Next seven days: vs. ANA (Oct. 26), @ WSH (Oct. 29)


Previous ranking: 6
Points percentage: 100.00%

Biggest surprise: A perfect start. The Jets have been absolutely perfect: 7-0-0, with a plus-18 goal differential, and six players on or above a point-per-game rate out of the gates. This is the kind of dream start you remember if you fall into a slump later in the season and are still top of your division. The Central looked like a top-heavy slugfest with surprise potential before the season started, and the biggest positive surprise thus far has been Winnipeg.

Next seven days: @ CGY (Oct. 26), vs. TOR (Oct. 28), @ DET (Oct. 30)


Previous ranking: 1
Points percentage: 75.00%

Biggest surprise: Logan Stankoven‘s carry-over rookie campaign. The threshold for an NHL player to remain at “rookie” status is 25 games. Logan Stankoven played 24 last season for Dallas, which means he’s still eligible to win the Calder Trophy this season. Stankoven impressed in those 24 regular-season and 19 postseason appearances, where he averaged just over 16 minutes of ice time per game. Now, he kicked off his official rookie season with seven assists through seven games. His energetic, fearless style has earned him top-line minutes.

Next seven days: vs. CHI (Oct. 26)


Previous ranking: 12
Points percentage: 85.71%

Biggest surprise: A 5-0-2 start. The Wild are kicking off Marc-Andre Fleury‘s final NHL season off properly, as one of four teams without a regulation loss in the early going. Kirill Kaprizov has 13 points through seven games, and Mats Zuccarello has four goals. Maybe the Wild and Preds traded preseason projection vibes?

Next seven days: @ PHI (Oct. 26), @ PIT (Oct. 29)


Previous ranking: 14
Points percentage: 78.57%

Biggest surprise: Being in first place after seven games. The Flames weren’t projected to be a playoff contending team this season, but they are off to a scorching start. They torched Edmonton in the Battle of Alberta debut. Defenseman Rasmus Andersson leads the team with eight points, while Andersson, Jonathan Huberdeau and Nazem Kadri each have three goals.

Next seven days: vs. WPG (Oct. 26), @ VGK (Oct. 28), @ UTA (Oct. 30)


Previous ranking: 9
Points percentage: 57.14%

Biggest surprise: Guentzel picks up where Stamkos left off. Look, nobody is going to replace Steven Stamkos and his legacy with the Lightning and the city of Tampa. That guy is going straight to the Hall of Fame, having his number retired at Amalie Arena and getting a statue outside. We all know that. But looking at the first few games of this season, Bolts fans can’t help but get excited seeing Jake Guentzel fit right in with Brayden Point and Nikita Kucherov, scoring seven points in six games.

Next seven days: vs. WSH (Oct. 26), vs. NSH (Oct. 28), @ COL (Oct. 30)


Previous ranking: 3
Points percentage: 57.14%

Biggest surprise: Aside from a couple blips, the goaltending looks … good? Leafs fans have long desired a long-term solution as the No. 1 goalie to help lead the Leafs to the promised land. After the departure of Ilya Samsonov, Joseph Woll was thought to be the guy to get that chance — he looked terrific in the postseason when healthy. And there’s the rub: he has a history of injuries.

Enter Anthony Stolarz, who has allowed two goals or fewer in each start this season, building his case to be the No. 1 (or at the very least, 1B in a rotation). Dennis Hildeby has also looked sharp when he’s been tapped (aside from the 6-2 trouncing at the hands of the Blue Jackets). With Woll returning from injury, the prospects look good for the Leafs in the nets (though Thursday’s outing against St. Louis wasn’t great for Woll).

Next seven days: @ BOS (Oct. 26), @ WPG (Oct. 28), vs. SEA (Oct. 31)


Previous ranking: 7
Points percentage: 64.29%

Biggest surprise: Howdy Howden. Brett Howden enters his fourth season as a member of the Golden Knights on a contract year, and started very strong; with three goals through seven games, he’s well on his way to hit double digits for the first time in his career. A two-way player with a physical style, he’s earned top-six minutes on the second line alongside Tomas Hertl and Pavel Dorofeyev, providing another scoring option for a team that lost a few of them to free agency.

Next seven days: vs. OTT (Oct. 25), vs. SJ (Oct. 26), vs. CGY (Oct. 28), @ LA (Oct. 30)


Previous ranking: 5
Points percentage: 55.00%

Biggest surprise: Casey’s impressive start. Seamus Casey built himself quite a name among Devils fans, scoring three goals in eight games with the club. Head coach Sheldon Keefe has said he’s impressed with the 2022 second-round pick, but it’s important for Casey to round out his game in the AHL. With Luke Hughes and Brett Pesce returning to the lineup on Thursday, the blue line is certainly crowded long term.

Next seven days: vs. NYI (Oct. 25), vs. ANA (Oct. 27), @ VAN (Oct. 30)


Previous ranking: 23
Points percentage: 83.33%

Biggest surprise: Picking up where they left off. The Caps are 5-1 to start the season. Dylan Strome has nine points. Tom Wilson has five goals. Of course everyone is watching this team to see when Alex Ovechkin eclipses Wayne Gretzky’s career goal-scoring mark, but this team is looking to make it back to the playoffs after last season’s surprise appearance.

Next seven days: @ TB (Oct. 26), vs. NYR (Oct. 29), vs. MTL (Oct. 31)


Previous ranking: 4
Points percentage: 61.11%

Biggest (non-)surprise: Paul Maurice signs on the dotted line. One of the greatest moments in NHL history was when Paul Maurice, mid-interview with ESPN’s Emily Kaplan, is tapped on the shoulder to receive the Stanley Cup. He looks at it, talks to it, then raises it, with the biggest look of 29 years’ worth of relief you could possibly have. You win the Cup, people tend to want to keep you around, as the Panthers did in inking Maurice to a contract extension this week.

Next seven days: @ NYI (Oct. 26), @ BUF (Oct. 28)


Previous ranking: 11
Points percentage: 66.67%

Biggest surprise: A very visible Ghost Bear. Shayne Gostisbehere returned to the Hurricanes from the Red Wings this offseason, and has contributed early, including a four-game goal streak, three of which came on the power play. The Hurricanes pulled off the only comeback of two or more goals during Frozen Frenzy night, nullifying Connor McDavid‘s two goals to win it in overtime. Gostisbehere had a goal and a helper in the effort.

Next seven days: @ SEA (Oct. 26), @ VAN (Oct. 28), vs. BOS (Oct. 31)


Previous ranking: 13
Points percentage: 56.25%

Biggest surprise: They’ve been terrific in a season of firsts. You couldn’t write a better script for the opening game; immaculate vibes, first goal in franchise history scored by Dylan Guenther, who just signed a big contract, and the second goal by new captain Clayton Keller. Can the magic last all season and result in a playoff berth?

Next seven days: @ LA (Oct. 26), vs. SJ (Oct. 28), vs. CGY (Oct. 30)


Previous ranking: 16
Points percentage: 62.50%

Biggest surprise: Brandt Clarke. In last week’s power rankings focusing on fantasy pickups for each team, Clarke was the choice for Los Angeles. The 21-year-old is logging big and important minutes, particularly in Drew Doughty‘s spot on the Kings’ power play. Clarke picked up five assists through his first eight games of the season.

Next seven days: vs. UTA (Oct. 26), @ SJ (Oct. 29), vs. VGK (Oct. 30)


Previous ranking: 20
Points percentage: 66.67%

Biggest surprise: The power play. The Sens are second in the league, going 40.9% with the man advantage thus far, and tied for the league lead with nine PPG. Jake Sanderson has been dynamite with the man advantage, potting six of his seven points on the PP.

Next seven days: @ VGK (Oct. 25), @ COL (Oct. 27), vs. STL (Oct. 29)


Previous ranking: 19
Points percentage: 66.67%

Biggest surprise: Elias Pettersson‘s slow start. Pettersson has exceeded 30 goals in the last three seasons, tallying 102 points two seasons ago. So having just three assists through six games doesn’t look very good, especially when he signed a massive deal just months ago. Is he ready to turn the corner?

Next seven days: vs. PIT (Oct. 26), vs. CAR (Oct. 28), vs. NJ (Oct. 30)


Previous ranking: 8
Points percentage: 43.75%

Biggest surprise: Bench boss bellows at Brad. In the third period of Boston’s 2-1 defeat against Utah on October 19, Bruins coach Jim Montgomery was seen yelling at captain Brad Marchand on the bench following an offensive zone turnover, and also shoved the captain. Montgomery enters his third season coaching the B’s, with both postseasons resulting in losses to the Panthers, and some wonder if he’s on the hot seat.

For what it’s worth, Marchand downplayed the incident to reporters on Thursday: “It’s unfortunate how coaches are scrutinized over things like that. There’s a lack of accountability nowadays because people can’t handle the heat. You make a mistake like that, you deserve to hear about it.”

Next seven days: vs. TOR (Oct. 26), vs. PHI (Oct. 29), @ CAR (Oct. 31)


Previous ranking: 22
Points percentage: 56.25%

Biggest surprise: An offensive surge. In Seattle’s inaugural season, the team finished bottom five in goals (213). In its second, the Kraken scored a lot more, netting out in the top five (289), jumped 40 points in the standings and made the playoffs. Last season, they were back in the bottom five (214) and well outside the postseason mix. So far this season, they sit right around the middle, 13th, with 23 goals through seven games. Top-liners Jared McCann and Jordan Eberle have a combined nine of those tallies, as the team pushes to get back in the playoffs.

Next seven days: vs. CAR (Oct. 26), @ MTL (Oct. 29), @ TOR (Oct. 31)


Previous ranking: 17
Points percentage: 50.00%

Biggest surprise: The goaltending. The Avs started the season 0-4, and in all four of those games, their opponents scored five or more goals. They’ve won three straight since, averaging two goals against per game. Through five games, Alexandar Georgiev has a .810 save percentage and a 1-3 record. Justus Annunen is 2-1 with a .900 save percentage. Kaapo Kahkonen is on a conditioning assignment in the AHL, having been claimed off waivers. This team has the talent to outscore their problems on many nights (Cale Makar is on pace for 114 points), but stability between the pipes is essential if they want to be a serious contender.

Next seven days: vs. OTT (Oct. 27), vs. CHI (Oct. 28), vs. TB (Oct. 30)


Previous ranking: 24
Points percentage: 62.50%

Biggest surprise: Resilience. The Blues spoiled Macklin Celebrini’s NHL debut; the Sharks were up 4-1 going into the third before the Blues scored three unanswered goals to send it to overtime where captain Brayden Schenn called game. Every game but two so far have been one-goal games, and St. Louis has won more than they’ve lost.

Next seven days: @ MTL (Oct. 26), @ OTT (Oct. 29), @ PHI (Oct. 31)


Previous ranking: 10
Points percentage: 35.71%

Biggest surprise: The Mirror. Mirror, mirror on the wall … who’s the most underachieving team of all? So far this season it’s Edmonton, who are loathing the mention of deja vu as much as Connor McDavid despises ketchup. Time for Edmonton to [ahem] dig in and collect some wins because this team, once again, is in Cup-or-bust mode.

Next seven days: vs. PIT (Oct. 25), @ DET (Oct. 27), @ CBJ (Oct. 28), @ NSH (Oct. 31)


Previous ranking: 18
Points percentage: 50.00%

Biggest surprise: Shutout losses. Through six games, the Islanders have been shut out three times — and two of those games were 1-0 losses. The Isles have outshot opponents (in particular the Red Wings, where the shot total was 30-11) outchanced them, and Ilya Sorokin has been great in goal. The team just isn’t scoring. Anthony Duclair is injured, and nobody has more than two goals this season (Mathew Barzal has just one).

Next seven days: @ NJ (Oct. 25), vs. FLA (Oct. 26), vs. ANA (Oct. 29), @ CBJ (Oct. 30)


Previous ranking: 15
Points percentage: 43.75%

Biggest surprise: How much we love nostalgia. Years ago I went to a Bon Jovi concert. After playing a couple songs from their latest album, Jon Bon Jovi bellowed, “now we’ll play your favorites … the hits, only hits and nothing but the hits!” That sent the crowd into a frenzy. Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin aren’t on a retirement tour, but they sure are hitting lofty milestones (with Sid recently crossing 1,600 points and Geno 500 goals), and it feels as nostalgic to hockey fans as “Livin’ On A Prayer.”

Next seven days: @ EDM (Oct. 25), @ VAN (Oct. 26), vs. MIN (Oct. 29), vs. ANA (Oct. 31)


Previous ranking: 26
Points percentage: 43.75%

Biggest surprise: Ryan McLeod. Since joining the swords in the offseason from Edmonton, McLeod has seemed to fit right in, tied for second in goals on a team that is seventh in the league in scoring. Not the best start for the team in general — including two losses overseas to begin the campaign — but the young core absolutely exists here for a playoff push. McLeod provides quality depth in the middle.

Next seven days: vs. DET (Oct. 26), vs. FLA (Oct. 28)


Previous ranking: 29
Points percentage: 58.33%

Biggest surprise: Shots for everybody! Maybe this shouldn’t be a major surprise, because this has been a trend for the Ducks for the last few seasons. They topped the league two years ago at 35.8 shots allowed per game, and this season they sit behind only Montreal with 34.2. Despite that onslaught, Lukas Dostal has been solid in John Gibson‘s absence, going 2-1-1 with a .930 save percentage.

Next seven days: @ NYR (Oct. 26), @ NJ (Oct. 27), @ NYI (Oct. 29), @ PIT (Oct. 31)


Previous ranking: 27
Points percentage: 57.14%

Biggest surprise: Winning a game with 11 shots on goal. Okay, this one has a little recency bias as I’m writing this less than 24 hours after Frozen Frenzy, but it will always be bonkers to me when a team logs 11 shots and wins a game. That’s tied for fifth fewest shots in a win in NHL history. Two teams (the Sharks in 1998, Maple Leafs in 1999) needed only nine shots to get the W. Alex Lyon could have also been a pick here, because he’s on a great stretch (two goals against facing 84 shots in his last three games).

Next seven days: @ BUF (Oct. 26), vs. EDM (Oct. 27), vs. WPG (Oct. 30)


Previous ranking: 30
Points percentage: 50.00

Biggest surprise: Scoring despite injuries. Columbus is 10th in the league in scoring, with 24 goals in a 3-3-0 start. The thing is, their usual offensive contributors are injured: captain Boone Jenner could miss six months due to shoulder surgery, Dmitri Voronkov was placed on IR after a preseason game and Kent Johnston is also sidelined. But the Blue Jackets keep finding ways to score, including a 6-2 thumping of Toronto. Sean Monahan, Mathieu Olivier, Kirill Marchenko and Tegor Chinakov all have three goals through six games.

Next seven days: @ NSH (Oct. 26), vs. EDM (Oct. 28), vs. NYI (Oct. 30)


Previous ranking: 21
Points percentage: 16.67%

Biggest surprise: Cold start after hot summer of spending. The Preds have been surprising since the offseason started. They signed Steven Stamkos and Jonathan Marchessault among others, making them the second oldest team in the NHL, with an average age of 30.2. But they haven’t been scoring, which has led to struggles; they started 0-5 before breaking out in a 4-0 win over the Bruins this week.

Next seven days: @ CHI (Oct. 25), vs. CBJ (Oct. 26), @ TB (Oct. 28), vs. EDM (Oct. 31)


Previous ranking: 31
Points percentage: 35.71%

Biggest surprise: Turbo boost. Welcome back, Teuvo Teravainen. The 30-year-old began his NHL career as a Blackhawk before spending eight seasons with Carolina and now returning to Chicago. He’s tied with Seth Jones and Connor Bedard atop the Hawks’ scoring leaderboard, and is tied with captain Nick Foligno with three goals. The Teravainen-Bedard tandem has clicked early; this looks to be a great fit through the early going.

Next seven days: vs. NSH (Oct. 25), @ DAL (Oct. 26), @ COL (Oct. 28), @ SJ (Oct. 31)


Previous ranking: 28
Points percentage: 35.71%

Biggest surprise: Lane Hutson. The Habs might not be a playoff team this season, but boy are they fun to watch. It seems like every game there is a jump-out-of-your-seat kind of moment being produced by one of their dazzling young players. It may not be as much of a surprise coming from a Cole Caulfield or Nick Suzuki, but Lane Hutson has provided many of those. The analytics aren’t kind to him, but coach Martin St. Louis doesn’t seem fazed thus far. He is on the way to being a long-term defensive superstar for the Habs.

Next seven days: vs. STL (Oct. 26), @ PHI (Oct. 27), vs. SEA (Oct. 29), @ WSH (Oct. 31)


Previous ranking: 25
Points percentage: 21.43%

Biggest surprise: Matvei-ry good. Matvei Michkov has arrived, and Flyers fans are loving it — especially his team-leading seven points through seven games. He has incredible puck handling, vision and shooting, and is playing top-line minutes. All of his three goals thus far have been on the power play; imagine what he will be once he unlocks his game at 5-on-5.

Next seven days: vs. MIN (Oct. 26), vs. MTL (Oct. 27), @ BOS (Oct. 29), vs. STL (Oct. 31)


Previous ranking: 32
Points percentage: 12.50%

Biggest surprise: Penalties. The Sharks are the last winless team in the NHL — and Macklin Celebrini is out of the lineup due to injury — but one glaring stat is that the Sharks have given up six power-play opportunities in three of their last four games; Cody Ceci mentioned it after the Sharks 3-1 loss to the Ducks on Tuesday: “Maybe stay off the refs a little bit too. Maybe they’ll start to call a little more in our favor.” Taking fewer trips to the sin bin may not be a cure-all, but it’s a start.

Next seven days: @ VGK (Oct. 26), @ UTA (Oct. 28), vs. LA (Oct. 29), vs. CHI (Oct. 31)

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Ex-interpreter impersonated Ohtani 24x for cash

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Ex-interpreter impersonated Ohtani 24x for cash

Federal prosecutors recommended a 57-month prison sentence Thursday for Ippei Mizuhara, the former interpreter for Los Angeles Dodgers superstar Shohei Ohtani, and released an audio recording in which they say he impersonates Ohtani in an attempt to wire money from Ohtani’s bank account.

In a separate court filing, Mizuhara’s attorney, Michael G. Freedman, said Mizuhara has suffered from a gambling addiction since he was a teenager and asked for an 18-month sentence.

Mizuhara was fired in March 2024 after an ESPN investigation uncovered he had sent millions in wire transfers from Ohtani’s account to an illegal bookmaker. He pleaded guilty to bank fraud and filing a false tax return in June, admitting that he stole nearly $17 million from Ohtani to pay off gambling debts to an illegal bookmaker. He is scheduled to be sentenced Feb. 6.

According to the prosecutors’ filing, Mizuhara called the bank and impersonated Ohtani on approximately 24 occasions in order to wire money from Ohtani’s account. In the recording, which prosecutors said was made Feb. 2, 2022, a bank employee asked Mizuhara to identify himself.

“Who am I speaking with?” the bank employee asked in the recording, which was first obtained by The Athletic.

“Shohei Ohtani,” Mizuhara replied.

Mizuhara told the bank employee that he could not log in to online banking. “I tried to make a wire transfer a couple of days ago. They told me that’s probably the reason, they transferred me to this number,” he said.

After Mizuhara recited a six-digit code she texted him for two-factor authentication, Mizuhara told her he needed to send $200,000 for a car loan.

“What is your relationship to the payee?” the agent asked.

“He’s my friend,” Mizuhara responded.

“Have you met your friend in person?” she asked.

“Yes, many times,” Mizuhara said.

“I just ask because we haven’t been able to verify the transaction,” the agent said before asking how Mizuhara received the wire information. Mizuhara told her he received it by email but later talked about it with the recipient in person.

“Will there be any future wires to your friend?” the agent asked.

“Possibly,” Mizuhara replied.

Prosecutors said the clip had been edited to redact the names of the bank and the person receiving the wires. ESPN reported in May that Mizuhara wired some of the money to the bank account of Ryan Boyajian, an associate of bookmaker Mathew Bowyer.

Prosecutors also recommended Mizuhara pay nearly $17 million in restitution to Ohtani as well as $1.1 million to the IRS.

In his filing, Freedman wrote that Mizuhara started gambling when he was 18 and visited casinos four to five times a week. At 22, he began playing online poker and betting on sports. While working for Ohtani at the Los Angeles Angels, Mizuhara’s gambling increased because of poker games hosted by other baseball players in hotel rooms, according to the filing. ESPN previously reported that Mizuhara met Bowyer at a poker game at the team hotel in San Diego in 2021.

Mizuhara placed about 19,000 bets with Bowyer over a two-year period and accumulated over $40 million in debt. Bowyer gave Mizuhara a startup credit of $20,000, Freedman wrote.

Freedman added that Mizuhara has been attending Gamblers Anonymous meetings three times a week.

Prosecutors wrote in a separate filing, however, that a gambling addiction “cannot fully explain defendant’s conduct because defendant used the stolen funds for numerous personal expenses that had nothing to do with gambling.”

“Ultimately, the government submits, the motivating factor behind defendant’s crimes was not a gambling addiction but rather greed,” prosecutors wrote.

In a letter also submitted to U.S. District Court Judge John W. Holcomb on Thursday, Mizuhara wrote that he felt like he was on call 24/7 and had almost no time off while working for Ohtani, who he first met while working as an interpreter for the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters in Japan.

“Usually when a Japanese baseball player makes the move to the United States, they would bring over multiple staff members to take care of various tasks such as a driver, trainer, chef, off the field interpreter/support member, etc. but I was the only person Shohei brought along so naturally I had to support him on most of the above mentioned tasks,” Mizuhara wrote.

The Angels, Ohtani’s first team in the U.S., initially paid Mizuhara $85,000 before increasing his salary to $250,000 in 2022, according to the prosecutors’ filing. When he moved to the Dodgers with Ohtani in 2024, his salary grew to $500,000. Ohtani also paid Mizuhara a separate salary and gave him a Porsche Cayenne, the filing states.

In his letter, Mizuhara wrote that Ohtani paid him roughly $2,500 a month from October to January and $125 to $130 a month from February to September. Mizuhara said he struggled to make ends meet because he had to live near Ohtani in California, pay for his wife’s travel between the U.S. and Japan, and rent accommodations while traveling with Ohtani to Japan in the offseason.

“All of these extra expenses were taking a huge toll on me and I was living paycheck to paycheck, I would have to borrow money from family and friends some months to make ends meet,” Mizuhara wrote.

Mizuhara added that his wife, Naomi, also helped support Ohtani. She cooked him meals, watched his dog and helped him with broken nails he suffered while pitching.

“She truly supported both Shohei and I to the best of her abilities throughout the years and she never complained through all of this as she knew my priority was to support Shohei to the best of my ability,” Mizuhara wrote.

Naomi told the judge in a separate letter that Mizuhara is her “only family” after recently losing her parents and other family members, as well as their family dog. Unable to obtain a green card until 2023, she described becoming “emotionally unstable” and developed hearing loss and alopecia areata due to stress.

“I deeply regret not being able to support him or notice his struggles during that time,” she wrote.

At the end of his letter, Mizuhara asked for mercy from the judge and apologized to Ohtani.

“Lastly, I truly admire Shohei as a baseball player and a human being and I was committed to devote my life so Shohei can be the best version of himself on the field,” Mizuhara wrote. “I want to say I am truly sorry for violating his trust in me.”

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Questions on the NFL draft’s top-10 picks: What are the Titans’ early plans? Which teams need QBs?

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Questions on the NFL draft's top-10 picks: What are the Titans' early plans? Which teams need QBs?

There are just three more games in the 2024 NFL season, and then all eyes will turn to the offseason. And teams with top-10 picks in the 2025 draft — which begins on April 24 — will be studying the group of prospects closely and starting to make plans for their selections.

This draft class is highlighted by a battle between Miami’s Cam Ward and Colorado’s Shedeur Sanders for the QB1 spot, and it is expected to have more high-end defensive players — such as Penn State’s Abdul Carter — than we saw last April. The Tennessee Titans have the top pick for the first time since 2016 (when they traded it to the Los Angeles Rams), and they’ll control a lot of what happens in Round 1. But the rest of the top 10 offers intrigue, too.

We asked our NFL Nation reporters, who cover teams with top-10 picks, to answer one big question about the early selections. Are the Titans, Browns and Giants all leaning toward finding a new QB in the draft? Is Tom Brady going to help the Raiders in their own QB search? Will the Bears pick a defender for the first time since 2018? Let’s dive in.

Jump to a team:
TEN | CLE | NYG | NE | JAX
LV | NYJ | CAR | NO | CHI

After they hired new GM Mike Borgonzi, what do we know about the Titans’ early plans at No. 1?

Borgonzi played a significant role in the Chiefs’ decision to trade up for Patrick Mahomes in 2017, and he’ll have to strongly consider taking a quarterback here. Titans coach Brian Callahan will get a closer look at the top prospects during both the East-West Shrine and Senior Bowl weeks. He didn’t close the door on Will Levis returning next season, but it’s pretty clear the organization is still searching for a franchise QB.

“Well, we got one quarterback under contract [Levis],” Callahan said during his season-ending press conference. “The other two are free agents, and we’re in position to potentially draft a quarterback.”

Callahan has been through the No. 1 pick process before with the Bengals, who took Joe Burrow in 2020. President of football operations Chad Brinker told ESPN he’d like to have more than the two picks the Titans currently have in the top 100, though. Tennessee hasn’t said it’s open for business yet, but a trade out of the first pick could easily address the organization’s desire to add more draft picks. — Turron Davenport


Does Deshaun Watson reinjuring his right Achilles tendon mean the Browns will definitely go QB at No. 2, or are other options still in play?

The Browns were always going to search for quarterback options in free agency and the draft, even before Watson’s setback. But a quarterback at No. 2 isn’t a given.

Cleveland would have to love one of the top prospects, and general manager Andrew Berry has often preached a philosophy of sticking to his board and taking the best player available. He has also shown a propensity to trade back and accumulate additional picks, which is something he alluded to in his end-of-season news conference.

“With having the second pick in the draft, whether we select a player or use it to maximize in another way, it gives us an opportunity to really pivot if we need to,” Berry said. — Daniel Oyefusi


Are the Giants more likely to address their QB spot in the draft or free agency?

It may not be an either/or proposition. The Giants have made it their “No. 1 issue” this offseason to find their quarterback of the future, according to owner John Mara. Their plan entering this past season was to draft a quarterback if it didn’t work out with Daniel Jones. But the timing of it all following Jones’ release in November could dictate that the Giants address the position in both free agency and the draft.

Tommy DeVito will be their only quarterback under contract this offseason. They will likely need a strong contingency from free agency in March, just in case they can’t get a quarterback at the top of the draft. Remember, Mara made it clear the pressure is on to produce in 2025. — Jordan Raanan


Is this an obvious spot for one of the top offensive tackles in the class, or could the Patriots address other holes?

New coach Mike Vrabel acknowledged the offensive line as a top priority in his introductory news conference. “You look at the teams that are able to protect the quarterback and dictate the flow of the game offensively; making sure that up front we’re sound, we’re strong — whether that’s through free agency or the draft — that’s something that’s critical,” Vrabel said.

The Patriots have ranked last in the NFL in pass block win rate each of the past two seasons. But that doesn’t mean they will automatically pick an offensive tackle at No. 4. They need blue-chip players at other positions, such as receiver, defensive line and pass rusher. — Mike Reiss


What are the Jaguars’ biggest roster weaknesses headed into the offseason?

Everything has to do with pass defense. The safety play has been subpar and they likely won’t re-sign Andre Cisco. They need another cornerback opposite Tyson Campbell, and the pass rush — outside of defensive ends Josh Hines-Allen and Travon Walker — was spotty this season.

The Jaguars were last in the league in passing yards allowed per game (257.4, the third-worst mark in franchise history), picked off only six passes and gave up 23 pass plays of 30 or more yards. Hines-Allen dipped from 17.5 sacks in 2023 to eight, though Walker became the second player in franchise history to record 10 or more sacks in consecutive seasons. Moving Arik Armstead back inside may boost the interior rush, but the Jaguars need another edge rusher and to improve in coverage. — Michael DiRocco


What are you hearing on how much Tom Brady could play a role in the Raiders’ QB search?

The Raiders, who added Brady as a minority owner, need a coach and general manager before making a choice on QB1. Still, Raiders owner Mark Davis said the seven-time Super Bowl champion would indeed be involved.

“Although Tom can’t play, I think he can help us select a quarterback in the future and potentially train him as well,” Davis said in October, when Brady’s ownership stake was approved.

Of course, that brings us to the prospect with whom Brady has already been linked — Colorado’s Shedeur Sanders. In fact, it was Davis who told Sanders at a Las Vegas Aces game on Oct. 5, “Who knows, you might be home right now.” — Paul Gutierrez


Outside of quarterback, what other needs could the Jets fill with their first-round pick?

Think defense. The Jets finished 23rd in defensive EPA, which was way down from third in 2023. They will need a cornerback to pair with Sauce Gardner, assuming they lose their second option D.J. Reed in free agency. And there has been some talent drain on the once-formidable defensive line, which could use more blue-chip talent in the room other than Quinnen Williams. Edge rusher isn’t a major need, assuming defensive end Jermaine Johnson returns to form after his right Achilles tendon injury, but it would be hard to pass on an elite prospect.

The overall drafting philosophy will be shaped by the new general manager and head coach. Scheme will play an important factor in these decisions. — Rich Cimini


What do we know about whether it’s defense all the way for Carolina at No. 8?

Carolina won’t be all-in on defense with nine picks, but the top selections should be heavy on that side of the ball. General manager Dan Morgan, a former Pro Bowl linebacker, took it personally that his team ranked last in total defense (404.5 yards allowed per game) and against the run (179.8 yards allowed per game). He kept defensive coordinator Ejiro Evero, implying this was more of a personnel problem.

The offense is headed in the right direction with quarterback Bryce Young and other key players returning. So adding an edge rusher, safety help and a big run stopper will be the focus. Just don’t look for this to be a defensive sweep as it was in 2020, when Carolina became the first team in NFL history to use all of its seven draft picks on defense. It still needs an elite receiver and more depth at running back. — David Newton


With the Saints’ big needs and cap issues, is this looking like a best-player-available approach right now?

At $70.6 million over the cap in 2025 (per Roster Management System), the Saints are likely going to have to draft for need. But their biggest need is open to interpretation. They are looking for successors at defensive end and linebacker for 35-year-olds Cameron Jordan and Demario Davis, respectively. They also could use another wide receiver to slot alongside Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed, as well as permanent fixes to the offensive line.

A quarterback might be on their mind, too, depending on the wants of the Saints’ next coach. But as general manager Mickey Loomis pointed out at his end-of-season news conference, they don’t have the luxury of a top pick to do that. And Derek Carr has two years remaining on his four-year, $150 million contract. — Katherine Terrell


The Bears haven’t used a first-round pick on defense since 2018. What are the chances that streak ends in 2025?

The Bears have major needs to address in the trenches, so it’s fair to say Chicago using its first-round selection on a pass rusher is at 50%.

When asked about top defensive end Montez Sweat‘s disappointing season (5.5 sacks), general manager Ryan Poles said adding more talent is the best way to defeat the number of double-teams and chips that Sweat receives. Creating more one-on-one matchups would allow Chicago’s pass rush win rate to improve from its 37% finish in 2024, which was a slight step up from the previous season but still ranked 24th in the NFL. — Courtney Cronin

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Dodgers land another star? Jays do (or don’t) extend Vlad Jr.? Bold predictions for the rest of the MLB offseason

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Dodgers land another star? Jays do (or don't) extend Vlad Jr.? Bold predictions for the rest of the MLB offseason

With Roki Sasaki, Tanner Scott and Anthony Santander coming off the board recently, MLB free agency has entered the homestretch — but there are still plenty of big moves to come in the final month before spring training arrives.

Where will the top remaining free agents, including Pete Alonso and Alex Bregman, land? Will we see more blockbuster trades? And will the Toronto Blue Jays and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. reach an extension to avoid the star hitting free agency after the 2025 season?

We asked our MLB experts to go out on a limb and make a bold prediction for how this action-packed winter will wrap up.


Free agency

Jorge Castillo: Pete Alonso will re-sign with the New York Mets.

Alonso, a beloved homegrown star in Queens, remains a free agent. The Mets, with money to burn, could still use another right-handed-hitting slugger. A reunion seems almost too obvious. Add the fact that both sides are open to a three-year deal with opt-outs, according to a source, and it’s a matter of only believing it won’t happen when Alonso signs on the dotted line to play elsewhere.

Yes, the Mets have recently started spending money elsewhere (Jesse Winker and A.J. Minter). Yes, they could slide Mark Vientos across the diamond and give the third baseman job to Brett Baty, Ronny Mauricio or Luisangel Acuña. Yes, Alonso is a first baseman on the wrong side of 30 with defensive limitations and little value on the basepaths. But Alonso is one of the most prolific home run hitters in baseball since debuting in 2019. He has proved he can thrive in New York City. Put him behind Juan Soto, which would give him more fastballs to devour, and Alonso will remain one of the most productive power hitters in the majors for the next three seasons.

The Mets have had a great winter, but the Dodgers have created a super team with the Philadelphia Phillies, Atlanta Braves, Arizona Diamondbacks and the San Diego Padres also fighting for National League supremacy. The competition is stiff. Maybe negotiations between the two sides have burned the bridge to a deal. But it wouldn’t take much to build another one and make it happen.

David Schoenfield: Alex Bregman to … the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Why should the Dodgers stop now? If Bregman can’t find the big deal he wants, the Dodgers might be a surprise fit. Max Muncy is a free agent after 2025 and prone to strikeouts. Hyeseong Kim‘s bat projects as more of a utility infielder than a starting second baseman. Bregman can shift between second and third in 2025 and then replace Muncy in 2026. Too much money even for the Dodgers? Not really. Between Muncy, Chris Taylor, Michael Conforto and Miguel Rojas, the Dodgers have $49.5 million coming off the books after this season (and the pitching staff is set for years).

Bradford Doolittle: Bregman will sign with the Detroit Tigers.

There are lots of reasons why this makes sense, with the exception being positional fit since Detroit added another infielder in Gleyber Torres. Nevertheless, the Tigers have the payroll space to add Bregman and his positional versatility gives the team a lot of leeway in how to use him for the duration of the contract. He could start at any of the infield spots, and Detroit could move players around Torres to make a number of configurations work. Bregman would be the perfect veteran presence for a young team at the outset of a new window of winning. His history with manager A.J. Hinch gives him a comfort zone. Bregman has to end up somewhere and this makes the most sense to me.


Trades

Alden Gonzalez: The San Diego Padres will make a blockbuster deal.

It was less than four months ago that the Padres had the Dodgers on the ropes in the NL Division Series, needing only a victory at home to eliminate L.A. once more. Since then, Padres general manager A.J. Preller has watched his hated rivals not only defeat arguably the most well-rounded team he has ever assembled but win the World Series and then proceed to sign practically every player they want — including Sasaki, the Japanese phenom Preller coveted most. As for Preller himself? January is almost over, and he has yet to add to his major league roster.

There’s no chance that continues. And because the free agent class has dwindled significantly and money remains tight in San Diego, look for Preller to swing a big trade before spring training — the type we have seen from him often. Holes remain in the Padres’ rotation and throughout their lineup. Dylan Cease, Robert Suarez, Luis Arraez and Jake Cronenworth can all be had, and the guess here is that at least one of those four will go. Preller has stood pat for far too long. It won’t continue.

Jesse Rogers: The Boston Red Sox will trade for Nolan Arenado.

After exhausting attempts to sign Bregman, the Red Sox pivot to Arenado as the St. Louis Cardinals start to exhibit a bit of desperation with the season approaching. The fit in St. Louis just isn’t right anymore and everyone knows it. The Cardinals aren’t concerned with money owed to Arenado, so they’re willing to pick up a portion of it because they want quality prospects in return. Boston can deliver that.

Eric Karabell: Arenado will be traded to the Seattle Mariners.

The Cardinals have made it clear they must move on from Arenado to install Nolan Gorman at third base. We heard rumors of the Red Sox, Blue Jays and other teams interested. We haven’t heard about the Mariners, but all they have done is sign utility man Donovan Solano. The Arenado of old might never return — at the plate, at least — but the Cardinals seem so desperate, watch them handle the bulk of his contract and leave Mariners GM Jerry Dipoto with little choice. Arenado is coming off one of his worst seasons, but this Mariners lineup could use even league average hitters at this point.


Vlad Jr.’s future in Toronto

Paul Hembekides: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will turn down a $400 million extension with the Blue Jays.

Feb. 18. That is Toronto’s first full-squad workout, and more importantly, the self-imposed deadline for extension talks between Vlad Jr. and the organization.

Guerrero, who turns 26 on March 16, is entering his walk year at an opportune time — he slashed .323/.396/.544 (166 OPS+) in 2024, which propelled him to a sixth-place American League MVP finish. The Blue Jays must pay up to retain their homegrown star — they’ll offer him a $400 million extension within the next month, but he’ll reject their overtures and chase free agency instead.

Kiley McDaniel: Toronto will reach an extension with Guerrero.

It’s obviously easier to predict something won’t happen — such as Vlad Jr. looking to test the market next winter or holding out for a better offer from Toronto — than predicting a deal being struck. That said, Toronto needs to make a big move, and after Shohei Ohtani, Soto and Sasaki weren’t that move, the heat is on.

Extending Vlad Jr. is the move the Jays can make as their headline move of the offseason. The longer they wait, the more likely it is that a team with a different economic reality jumps in next winter to top what Toronto can exclusively offer now. The price is a question — I’d think to start at Rafael Devers‘ 10-year, $313.5 million extension from two years ago and adjust for inflation. Regardless, it’s an AAV the Jays can stomach — and it’s a franchise move they need to make as soon as possible.


Off-the-field drama

Buster Olney: Players will start to complain about having to play in a minor league park.

Remember how last year the quality of the uniforms suddenly became a really big deal, and we started to hear a lot from players about that? Well, at some point in the next two months, the fact that the Athletics will be playing in a minor league park is going to become a thing. Players will soon be face-to-face with the reality that they’ll be playing in Sacramento — in a park with one-third the capacity of a stadium like Tropicana Field, with an average July temperature of 95 degrees — and the commentary will begin and roll all the way through the regular season. As with the uniforms: It’ll be a disgrace.

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