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Sir Keir Starmer has confirmed there will be tax rises in the budget to prevent a “devastating return to austerity” and rebuild public services.

In a speech in Birmingham, the prime minister also announced the £2 bus fare cap will rise to £3, while £240m will be injected into efforts to get people back to work.

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It follows weeks of speculation on how the government plans to grow the economy and close a £40bn blackhole in the nation’s finances when it delivers its first fiscal statement on Wednesday.

Giving a teaser of what is to come, Sir Keir said: “It is time to embrace the harsh light of fiscal reality.

“Stability to prevent chaos. Borrowing will drive long term growth. Tax rises to prevent austerity and rebuild public services.”

Sir Keir did not specify what tax rises would be included, but it is widely expected that employer national insurance will go up, alongside possible increases to capital gains and inheritance tax.

Ministers have been facing repeated questions about the government’s definition of “working people”, after Labour’s election manifesto pledged not to increase taxes on working people – explicitly ruling out a rise in VAT, national insurance and income tax.

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Facing down critics, the prime minister said a return to austerity would be “devastating” and “disastrous”.

“This is not 1997 when the economy was decent, but public services were on their knees.

“And it’s not 2010 where public services were strong, but the public finances were weak.

“We have to deal with both sides of that coin. These are unprecedented circumstances.”

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Sir Keir said the budget, to be delivered by Chancellor Rachel Reeves, will include funding for local services to help get people back to work.

He said the UK is “the only G7 country for whom economic inactivity is still higher than it was before COVID”.

“That’s not just bad for our economy, it’s also bad for all those who are locked out of opportunity,” he said.

“So the chancellor will announce £240m in funding to provide local services that can help people back into work.”

Clearest indication yet that tax rises are coming


Liz Bates is a political correspondent

Liz Bates

Political correspondent

@wizbates

This may be the starkest terms we’ve ever heard the prime minister speak in as Wednesday’s defining budget looms.

He repeated the refrain of “tough choices” suggesting the pain inflicted by the cuts to the winter fuel allowance was just the beginning.

This is also the clearest expression ever that tax rises are coming, with Sir Keir Starmer describing them as necessary to prevent austerity.

What was also clear was his concept of “working people” – those who are just about getting by financially, and his determination to put them first.

It was resolute and determined, but as the budget approaches it does create a political risk, as those who don’t fit into that narrow category – business owners, pensioners, and others – are left wondering how hard they are going to be hit.

Taking questions afterwards, he confirmed reports that the £2 bus fare cap will go up by 50%.

He said the previous government only funded the current limit to the end of 2024 “and therefore that is the end of the funding in relation to a £2 capped fare”.

“I do know how much this matters, particularly in rural communities where there’s heavy reliance on buses,” he said.

“And that’s why I’m able to say to you this morning that in the budget we will announce there will be a £3 cap on bus fares to the end of 2025 because I know how important it is.”

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Another tantrum from the Labour backbenches is inevitable

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Rachel Reeves hints at tax rises in autumn budget after welfare bill U-turn

In common with many parents across the country, here’s a conversation that I have with my young daughter on a semi-regular basis (bear with me, this will take on some political relevance eventually).

Me: “So it’s 15 minutes until your bedtime, you can either have a little bit of TV or do a jigsaw, not both.”

Daughter: “Ummmm, I want to watch TV.”

Me: “That’s fine, but it’s bed after that, you can’t do a jigsaw as well.”

Fast-forward 15 minutes.

Me: “Right, TV off now please, bedtime.”

(Pause)

Daughter: “I want to do a jigsaw.”

Now replace me with the government, the TV and jigsaw options with axing welfare cuts and scrapping the two-child cap, and my daughter with rebellious backbenchers.

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Rachel Reeves’s fiscal dilemma

That is the tension currently present between Downing Street and Labour MPs. And my initial ultimatum is the messaging being pumped out from the government this weekend.

In essence: you’ve had your welfare U-turn, so there’s no money left for the two-child cap to go as well.

As an aside – and before my inbox fills with angry emails lambasting me for using such a crude metaphor for policies that fundamentally alter the lives of some of the most vulnerable in society – yes, I hear you, and that’s part of my point.

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Welfare U-turn ‘has come at cost’

For many in Labour, this approach feels like the lives of their constituents are being used in a childish game of horse-trading.

So what can be done?

Well, the government could change the rules.

Altering the fiscal rules is – and will likely remain – an extremely unlikely solution. But as it happens, one of Labour’s proverbial grandparents has just popped round with a different suggestion.

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Welfare: ‘Didn’t get process right’ – PM

A wealth tax, Lord Neil Kinnock says, is the necessary outcome of the economic restrictions the party has placed on itself.

Ever the Labour storyteller, Lord Kinnock believes this would allow the government to craft a more compelling narrative about whose side this administration is on.

That could be valuable, given one of the big gripes from many backbench critics is that they still don’t really understand what this prime minister stands for – and by extension, what all these “difficult decisions” are in aid of.

The downside is whether it will actually raise much money.

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Is Corbyn an existential risk to Labour?

The super-rich may have lots of assets to take a slice from, but they also have expensive lawyers ready to find novel ways to keep their client’s cash away from the prying eyes of the state.

Or, of course, they could just leave – as many are doing already.

In the short term, the future is a bit easier to predict.

If Downing Street is indeed now saying there is no money to scrap the two-child cap (after heavy briefing in the opposite direction just weeks ago), an almighty tantrum from the backbenches is inevitable.

And as every parent knows, the more you give in, the harder it becomes to hold the line.

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UK restores diplomatic ties with Syria

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UK restores diplomatic ties with Syria

The UK has re-established diplomatic ties with Syria, David Lammy has said, as he made the first visit to the country by a British minister for 14 years.

The foreign secretary visited Damascus and met with interim president Ahmed al Sharaa, also the leader of the rebel group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), and foreign minister Asaad al Shaibani.

It marks the latest diplomatic move since Bashar al Assad’s regime was toppled by rebel groups led by HTS in December.

In a statement, Mr Lammy said a “stable Syria is in the UK’s interests” and added: “I’ve seen first-hand the remarkable progress Syrians have made in rebuilding their lives and their country.

“After over a decade of conflict, there is renewed hope for the Syrian people.

“The UK is re-establishing diplomatic relations because it is in our interests to support the new government to deliver their commitment to build a stable, more secure and prosperous future for all Syrians.”

Foreign Secretary David Lammy shakes hands with Syrian interim president Ahmed al-Sharaa in Damascus. Pic: X / @DavidLammy
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Foreign Secretary David Lammy with Syria’s interim president Ahmed al Sharaa in Damascus. Pic: X / @DavidLammy

The Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office has also announced a £94.5m support package for urgent humanitarian aid and to support the country’s long-term recovery, after a number of British sanctions against the country were lifted in April.

While HTS is still classified as a proscribed terror group, Sir Keir Starmer said last year that it could be removed from the list.

The Syrian president’s office also said on Saturday that the president and Mr Lammy discussed co-operation, as well as the latest developments in the Middle East.

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Since Assad fled Syria in December, a transitional government headed by Mr al Sharaa was announced in March and a number of western countries have restored ties.

In May, US President Donald Trump said the United States would lift long-standing sanctions on Syria and normalise relations during a speech at the US-Saudi investment conference.

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From May: Trump says US will end sanctions for Syria

He said he wanted to give the country “a chance at peace” and added: “There is a new government that will hopefully succeed.

“I say good luck, Syria. Show us something special.”

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Secret Service seizes $400M in crypto, cold wallet among world’s largest

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Secret Service seizes 0M in crypto, cold wallet among world’s largest

Secret Service seizes 0M in crypto, cold wallet among world’s largest

Secret Service quietly amasses one of the world’s largest crypto cold wallets with $400 million seized, exposing scams through blockchain sleuthing and VPN missteps.

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