Rachel Reeves’ changes to agricultural inheritance tax could lead to food price rises and will have a “catastrophic” impact on family farms, farmers have warned.
Her announcement has been met with anger from rural communities, with celebrities such as Jeremy Clarkson saying farmers “have been shafted”, and Kirstie Allsopp saying the chancellor has “destroyed the ability [for farmers] to pass farms on to their children”.
Farmers and the Conservative shadow farming minister have told Sky News the plan, which is due to begin in April 2026, risks pushing up food prices due to uncertainty and the possibility of farms having to be sold up so less food is produced.
National Farmers’ Union (NFU) president Tom Bradshaw said the policy “will snatch away” the next generation’s ability to produce British food.
Fourth generation Warwickshire farmer Bizza Walters, 26, told Sky News she would be forced to sell some of her family farm’s 500 acres to pay the £7,500 a month she has estimated she would have to pay for 10 years if her father and uncles, who own the farm, died.
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“Our margins and costs are so tight and anything we make is reinvested, so I’d have to sell land which would not go back into food production,” she said.
“They’re going to have to come to their senses because food prices will go up because we won’t be able to produce as much food.”
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Country Land and Business Association (CLA) president Victoria Vyvyan told Sky News the government has “conflated a business asset with personal wealth” in their bid to tax the wealthy.
But she said farms are businesses and most run on tight margins with little spare cash.
She added a £1m farm would only be about 100 acres in most UK areas, “which is not a viable business proposition”.
The £1m cap could also rack up quite quickly as it is not just the value of land, but also livestock, farmhouses, sheds and machinery.
Conservative shadow farming minister Robbie Moore, who is from a farming background, said the move is “catastrophic for family farms”.
“This is effectively thievery, putting two fingers up to the farming industry,” he told Sky News as he accused the government of failing to understand how farming works.
“They’ve completely underestimated the effect this will have, it creates a lot of uncertainty in terms of how that land will be managed.
“If you want to invest in that holding to produce food, you need certainty, and what the announcement creates is uncertainty.
“It will have a direct impact on the food security agenda and food prices further down the line.
“If you’re wanting to work hard to hand farmland down to the next generation, you’re completely disincentivised to do that.”
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He reiterated what lots of farmers have been saying: that their land may be high in value, but they are struggling with cashflows, so paying tax to continue the family business may not be viable for many.
NFU president Mr Bradshaw added: “This budget not only threatens family farms but will also make producing food more expensive.
“This means more cost for farmers who simply cannot absorb it, and it will have to be borne by someone.
“Farmers are down to the bone and gristle, who is going to carry these costs?”
The government says it is still committed to supporting farmers and “the vital role they play to feed our nation”.
Speaking on Thursday, the chancellor described the changes as “fair and proportionate”.
“We needed to raise money in the budget yesterday, and we know that there are a lot of landowners who are very wealthy, some who buy land to avoid paying inheritance tax because previously there was no inheritance tax,” she said.
The Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA) has been contacted for comment.
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The pound has fallen sharply after the chancellor announced the biggest tax rises in a generation.
Over the last three days, sterling has dropped by 1.2% (in trade weighted terms) – the biggest fall in 18 months.
Between around 1.30pm and 5.30pm today, versus the dollar, it dropped from about 129.9c to the pound to about 128.6c. In the same period, against the euro, it went from 119.3c to the pound to about 118.4c.
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In addition, yields for 10-year UK bonds – the cost or interest rate charged for long-term government borrowing – have gone past 4.5% for the first time in a year.
Ed Conway, Sky News’s economics and data editor, said those yields are “pretty much halfway towards the danger zone” – a zone identified by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR).
However, he said other European bonds had risen, too. “But the UK does seem to be moving faster than most of the others,” he added.
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While cautioning that the budget is still very new, Conway said the “upshot” is that Rachel Reeves’s “room for manoeuvre” is already diminishing “because of market moves”.
Markets are reacting in “quite a violent way”, Conway said.
“It’s really unusual to see this after a budget, and that will have a bearing on how much this government will be able to afford in the future,” he added.
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‘Raising taxes was not an easy decision’
A sudden rise in the yields of 10-year UK bonds followed Liz Truss’s disastrous “mini-budget” of September 2022, which led to a surge in the cost of borrowing for ordinary consumers, while the pound slumped to a 37-year low against the dollar.
It is “certainly not like that at the moment”, Conway said.
Nonetheless, market movements will be “enough to really concern people at the Treasury”, he added, “because it suggests that a lot of traders are looking at how much money this government is borrowing, and they’re saying: ‘Hang on, maybe we’re going to charge you more’.”
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The pound has weakened and gilt yields – the cost of borrowing by the UK government – has increased in response to the budget, which saw Rachel Reeves introduce the biggest tax hike in a generation.
While Conway said it does not feel like a “crisis point”, he said the “calculus for this government” may be changing.
Jack Meaning, UK chief economist at Barclays, said market reaction was “materially different” to what happened in 2022.
Bond yields since Ms Reeves’s budget are up by about 0.3%, while in 2022 the rise was about 1.5%, he said.
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7:18
Reeves acting like ‘compulsive liar’
The conversation Barclays is having with its customers is also different to that in 2022, Mr Meaning added.
At that time, people were wondering whether a “big crisis point” had been reached.
This time, he said the focus is on comments from the OBR about a potential rise in inflation, and the potential knock-on effect as the Bank of England makes decisions on interest rates in the next few months.
The prime minister’s official spokesperson refused to talk about bond prices.
“We don’t comment on market movements,” they said.
“The chancellor has been very clear that first and foremost, this budget has been about restoring fiscal stability, and she’s outlined two new robust fiscal rules, which put public finances on a sustainable path.”