Darren has been a keen follower of sport his entire life, developing a strong love of rugby league, cricket, baseball and just about any competitive event involving an Australian athlete. Darren’s editorial journey included stops at AOL|7, Wide World of Sports and Sportsfan.
Here we are, spring has completely sprung, the air is warm and thick with the scent of the Flemington roses. The first Tuesday in November has arrived, which means it is time to run the Melbourne Cup around the famous 3200 metres.
We have all the details you need to pick a winner in the big one.
TAB fixed odds correct as of 8pm AEDT, 3rd November, 2024 (please visit tab.com.au for the latest).
1. VAUBAN (FR) – TAB Odds:
$6 Form: 11x0x24312 Career Win%: 40 Place%: 75
First start for a new trainer after having a seven-week spell. Quick out of a good barrier so it should be well clear of any early trouble. Last won two starts back in York. Could be one of the contenders.
2. BUCKAROO (GB) – TAB Odds:
$6.50 Form: 5356×81122 Career Win%: 23 Place%: 55
Finished strongly to take second place in the Caulfield Cup on a soft track. Has had two wins from five starts this preparation and with the magic man Joao Moreira aboard will be among the chances.
3. CIRCLE OF FIRE (GB) – TAB Odds:
$41 Form: 3x4411x890 Career Win%: 23 Place%: 54
Jumps from an awkward barrier having struggled so far this preparation. Ran 10th in the Caulfield Cup last start, but will appreciate the extra distance here. Won’t be carrying my money, so that’s one advantage it has.
4. WARP SPEED (JPN) – TAB Odds:
$26 Form: x414x325x0 Career Win%: 17 Place%: 48
Was well beaten in the Caulfield Cup last start after a six-month spell. Will be better for that run, prefers the ground dry and has a nice draw for this. Would need to turn things around to win.
5. KOVALICA (NZ) – TAB Odds:
$21 Form: 95365×3426 Career Win%: 25 Place%: 50
Eased back to finish 6th last start in the Cox Plate. Has proven ability over the longer distance, so the step up will suit. One to consider for your exotics as a place finish would not surprise.
6. SHARP ‘N’ SMART (NZ) – TAB Odds:
$61 Form: x3669x0203 Career Win%: 27 Place%: 59
Showed great improvement to finish third in the Moonee Valley Gold Cup over 2500m last start. Will need to improve again if it is to have any chance here.
7. JUST FINE (IRE) – TAB Odds:
$51 Form: 0x85x05010 Career Win%: 28 Place%: 40
Was up the front early in the Moonee Valley Gold Cup last start over 2500m, but faded badly to finish last. Could be one of the front runners again here, but unlikely to be collecting any trophies.
8 LAND LEGEND (FR) – TAB Odds:
$17 Form: 755x1x0613 Career Win%: 23 Place%: 46
Ran on well to finish third in the Caulfield Cup last start, after winning at Randwick the run before aver 2400m. Will appreciate the wide open spaces of Flemington and the extra distance and a win here wouldn’t surprise.
9. ABSURDE (FR) – TAB Odds:
$9 Form: 1x7F41x41x Career Win%: 29 Place%: 67
First run for a new trainer after a lengthy spell. Ran well in last year’s Melbourne Cup and has had a similar preparation this time.
Finished fifth in the Bendigo Cup last start, five lengths behind Sea King. Before that he was well back at the finish of the Caulfield Cup. One for the Newcastle fans, let’s hope it finishes closer to the front of the pack.
12. OKITA SOUSHI (IRE) – TAB Odds:
$14 Form: 13x00x8021 Career Win%: 28 Place%: 61
Won the Moonee Valley Gold Cup over 2500m last start. Should race on the speed and is among the main chances. Jockey Jamie Kah is returning to her best form.
13. ONESMOOTHOPERATOR (USA) – TAB Odds:
$8 Form: 42882×1741 Career Win%: 13 Place%: 55
Won the Geelong Cup last start, which has always proven to be a strong indicator for this race. With one of the world’s top jockeys in Craig Williams on board, I’ll be having a bit of my hard earned on it. One for the Sade fans.
14. ZARDOZI – TAB Odds:
$15 Form: 132×665245 Career Win%: 32 Place%: 53
Short back-up of three days after finishing fifth in the Empire Rose over 1600m on Derby Day. Before that he ran on well for fourth in the Caulfield Cup. Has won twice previously at Flemington and carries the flag for Godolphin this year.
15. SEA KING (GB) – TAB Odds:
$9.50 Form: 4x110136x1 Career Win%: 35 Place%: 50
In its last start, first up after a spell, it won the Bendigo Cup over 2400m. In form and could be a genuine threat if he can rattle on over the 3200m. One naval helicopter fans.
16. VALIANT KING (GB) – TAB Odds:
$126 Form: 212256×009 Career Win%: 9 Place%: 45
Has struggled so far this preparation, finishing ninth in the Caulfield Cup last start. He has a nasty barrier for the Cup and is unlikely to trouble the better horses. One for all the old Chrysler fans out there.
17. FANCY MAN (IRE) – TAB Odds:
$126 Form: x58610x536 Career Win%: 19 Place%: 52
Finished 10 lengths behind the winner of the Caulfield Cup last start on a soft track. Won’t be far away in the run and has the speed to overcome a bad barrier. But I don’t fancy his chances.
18. INTERPRETATION (IRE) – TAB Odds:
$21 Form: 916×000862 Career Win%:17 Place%: 35
Ran second in the Geelong Cup last start over 2400m. Has been hitting the line nicely in recent starts and could be ready to spring a surprise in this.
Finished four lengths off the pace in the Moonee Valley Gold Cup last start. Has won twice in a 21-race career and will be a real shot of picking up that last place prize in the office sweep.
20. MOSTLY CLOUDY (IRE) – TAB Odds:
$81 Form: x23622x440 Career Win%: 24 Place%: 52
Did nothing to impress last start at Flemington finishing second last over 2520m. Has had a 31-day spell and will be wearing the blinkers again. One for fans of Melbourne’s weather.
21. POSITIVITY (NZ) – TAB Odds:
$126 Form: 81291×2178 Career Win%: 33 Place%: 50
Faded to finish eighth last start in the Moonee Valley Gold Cup and won at Caulfield three runs back. Wide barrier is a concern as is its ability to run the 3200m.
22. SAINT GEORGE (GB) – TAB Odds:
$23 Form: 31123×8495 Career Win%: 20 Place%: 50
Ran on strongly to finish midfield last start in the Moonee Valley Gold Cup over 2500m. Not without hope over the extra distance. One for the Dragons fans, and hopefully not as disappointing.
23. THE MAP – TAB Odds:
$51 Form: 12211×9056 Career Win%: 28 Place%: 47
Loves Flemington although has struggled for form of late. Last start it finished sixth in the Geelong Cup over 2400m. Should handle the distance but lacks the class to win this. One for the Dora the Explorer fans.
Finished fourth in the St Leger over 2600m at Randwick last start. Has had four wins in a career of 30 starts, and none of those were in recent memory. Could battle Manzoice for the last place prize in the office sweep.
Week 11 in college football allows us to look forward to some exciting conference games.
Saturday will feature a must-see SEC matchup between No. 11 Alabama and No. 15 LSU. With College Football Playoff implications on the line in the last full month of the regular season, what does each team need to capitalize on to take home the win?
No. 3 Georgia will visit No. 16 Ole Miss in a matchup that is expected to keep college football fans locked in. Both teams have dominant defenses, which could end up being the stars of the show Saturday. With the Rebels not having a victory over a ranked opponent this season, a win over Georgia should keep their CFP hopes alive.
Our college football experts preview big games and share quotes of the week ahead of the Week 11 slate.
The jump from good to great in the SEC can be as taxing as shooting par at your run-of-the-mill country club course and then doing it at Augusta National.
It doesn’t happen overnight, and yet, when Lane Kiffin came to Ole Miss, he said he didn’t come to be good. He came to be great. Here’s his best chance yet to make good on that promise when Georgia rolls into Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in a game Ole Miss desperately needs to win to stay in the College Football Playoff conversation.
“We screwed two games up earlier in the year [a 29-26 overtime loss at LSU and 20-17 home loss to Kentucky], and when you do that, you put yourself in situations,” Kiffin said. “So I don’t talk about playoffs normally and championships and all that because I think it really doesn’t matter. It’s about how you prepare and how you play.
“But I told our players, you know … because they hear it all the time, that you still have that stuff [championships and the playoff] alive. And in my opinion, anybody that’s going to win it, it’s going to have to go through Georgia at some point. They’re the premier program in college football.”
The Rebels (7-2, 3-2) have reached heights under Kiffin that haven’t been broached in Oxford in decades, but what they haven’t done is consistently beat the best teams on their schedule. They don’t have any wins over nationally ranked teams this season, which makes this Georgia game so important in the eyes of the playoff committee, and Kiffin is 7-9 against nationally ranked foes since coming to Ole Miss in 2020. Two of those wins came last season against LSU and Penn State, as Ole Miss won 11 games for the first time in school history.
“We’ve kind of put ourselves in a playoff situation for two games in a row now,” said Kiffin, whose team rebounded from the LSU loss with double-digit wins over Oklahoma and Arkansas. “So this would be the third one in a row that we need to win to keep pace.”
The third — and most challenging.
Georgia (7-1, 5-1) hasn’t lost to anybody not named Alabama since the 2020 COVID-19 season when the Bulldogs were beaten by Florida. Georgia is healthier on defense now with top pass rushers Jalon Walker and Mykel Williams back, and in the Rebels’ two losses this season, they gave up 10 sacks.
One of Kiffin’s priorities in mining the transfer portal this offseason was to get bigger and more physical, especially on defense. Ole Miss was punished physically a year ago by Georgia in a 52-17 loss that saw the Bulldogs pile up 611 total yards.
The Rebels have had their struggles on offense this season against SEC competition, which has been surprising. They exploded a week ago in a 63-31 win over Arkansas, but had not scored more than 27 points in an SEC game in their previous four outings. They won’t be 100% on offense against Georgia. Leading rusher Henry Parrish Jr. is out after getting injured last week, and top receiver Tre Harris has been banged up for several weeks with a lower body injury and missed the Arkansas game.
The backbone for Ole Miss has been its defense. The Rebels lead the country with 41 sacks and are one of two SEC teams (along with Tennessee) to rank in the top 10 nationally in scoring defense (13.2 points) and yards per play allowed (4.41).
A key storyline in this game will be what kind of pressure Ole Miss can put on Georgia quarterback Carson Beck, who has been prone to interceptions with an SEC-high 11, all in the past five games. In six SEC contests, Georgia is next to last in the league in yards per rush (3.31), and the Bulldogs have thrown it an SEC-high 232 times in that span.
That’s probably the formula for the Rebels if they’re going to break through and capture their first top-five win under Kiffin, smothering the Bulldogs’ ground game, pressuring Beck and forcing him to throw it 40-plus times. — Chris Low
What changes were made leading to Indiana’s success this season?
The biggest change obviously came at the top with coach Curt Cignetti, but Indiana also made necessary investments that allowed Cignetti to compile a roster built to win immediately.
Cignetti brought over a strong collection of James Madison transfers, including standouts like defensive linemen Mikail Kamara and James Carpenter, wide receiver Elijah Sarratt and linebacker Aiden Fisher. He also added experienced players like quarterback Kurtis Rourke, a two-time All-MAC performer at Ohio with 33 career starts. Other than the offensive line, where multiple sophomores start alongside veterans Mike Katic and Trey Wedig, Indiana’s offense is filled with senior starters. The defense has a few sophomores in the back end but features a seasoned front seven with Carpenter, Kamara, Fisher, linebacker Jailin Walker and others.
“All those guys have been multiple-year starters at their prior schools, and they’re older guys,” Cignetti told me earlier this season. “So they’ve seen it all at this point. They’re used to achieving.”
Indiana’s name, image and likeness operation was a source of angst for Tom Allen, Cignetti’s predecessor, who said shortly before his firing, “If you’re not in the [NIL] game, and you’re not on the train, you’re going to get left out and run over.” Like other Power 4 schools making coaching changes, Indiana improved its ability to compete for impact transfers.
“You put yourself in position for success,” Indiana athletic director Scott Dolson told me. “From our end, that wasn’t just a one-time thing. You need to continue to invest and put the resources in and be super smart about that, where we can absolutely affect the trajectory of the program.” — Adam Rittenberg
What does each team need to capitalize on to win?
Alabama: Without question, Alabama must get off to a much faster start on the road against the Tigers than it did in its past two trips — both losses. Especially with a playoff berth hanging in the balance. In a 40-35 loss to Vanderbilt in early October, Alabama trailed 23-7 before clawing its way back into the game. At Tennessee two weeks later, Alabama trailed 14-10 at halftime before losing 24-17. Alabama coach Kalen DeBoer said this week they will try to set up practices so his squad is able to get off to a fast start, and the performances in the past two road games are not from a lack of effort. “You just can’t dig yourself a hole, especially giving the opponent momentum in an environment like we’re going to see at LSU. So it’s critical. We preach it every day.” — Andrea Adelson
LSU: The Tigers have to find a way to finish games. LSU had an entire open date to think about what happened the last time out, a 38-23 loss to Texas A&M in which it blew a 17-7 halftime lead after the Aggies switched to a running quarterback and it could not stop them. Even in its opening loss to USC, the Tigers had a 17-13 lead going into the fourth quarter before losing. The good news for LSU is that it will be far more prepared for Jalen Milroe than Aggies backup Marcel Reed. The bad news for LSU is Milroe is perfectly capable of taking off and running — note his 374-yard passing, 117-yard rushing and four-touchdown day in a win over Georgia earlier this year. — Adelson
Quotes of the week
“I think Jaxson Dart‘s playing as probably one of the best quarterbacks in the country in explosive plays,” Georgia coach Kirby Smart said of Dart, who broke Archie Manning’s school record for total offense with 562 yards in the 63-31 win over Arkansas and also threw six touchdown passes. “A lot of respect for how he competes. The guy runs extremely physical, like an SEC running back. … You can tell he’s got a fiery, competitive attitude, just like his coach does, just like Lane does.”
“I like where we’re at. Unfortunately, we have less wiggle room and our backs are to the wall. We’re going to fight each and every day, bite, scratch and claw like you’ve never seen and that continues this week.” — Alabama coach Kalen DeBoer
“Every week presents its own new set of circumstances and so there’s a lot of that going on this week. I’m aware of it. But to get kind of caught up on that and lose your focus would be the kiss of death.” — Indiana coach Curt Cignetti
“It’s a lot of fun. I’ve obviously had a lot of memories there as a player and as a coach and now as the head coach at BYU. Personally, I probably have a different perspective than a lot of other people.” — BYU coach Kalani Sitake on going to play at Utah.
Texas wide receiver Johntay Cook II, a once highly touted recruit, is no longer with the program.
Texas coach Steve Sarkisian confirmed Cook is moving on during a video conference Thursday, calling it a mutual decision.
“We have nothing but respect for he and his family,” Sarkisian said. “We wish him the best of luck in his future endeavors.”
Cook was the No. 26 overall player in the ESPN 300 for 2023.
The sophomore from DeSoto, Texas, had eight catches for 137 yards and two touchdowns this season for the Longhorns, who debuted at No. 5 in the initial College Football Playoff rankings.
The 6-foot, 185-pound Cook ranked sixth among Longhorns wide receivers in targets this season while playing behind starters Isaiah Bond, Matthew Golden and DeAndre Moore Jr. and has caught just one pass since Texas entered SEC play.
Underclassmen players cannot enter the NCAA transfer portal until Dec. 9.
Billy Napier will continue to coach Florida, according to athletic director Scott Stricklin, who put to rest rampant speculation about the embattled coach’s future with the Gators.
In a letter Thursday, Stricklin stressed the need for a “disciplined, stable approach” and asked Florida fans to “continue standing behind Billy and his dedicated team while we work together to build a championship program.”
Napier, in his third season at Florida, is 15-18 with the Gators. After a 41-17 season-opening loss to Miami, he faced increased scrutiny over his job performance — scrutiny that mounted after a 33-20 loss to Texas A&M two weeks later.
Stricklin, however, has been unwavering in his support of Napier, who has repeatedly said he needs time to get the Gator program headed in the right direction.
Back-to-back wins over Mississippi State and UCF helped quell fan discontent, but performances in close losses to No. 7 Tennessee and No. 3 Georgia — Florida held leads in both games — showed progress.
“As we’ve seen these past several weeks, the young men on this team represent what it means to be a Gator,” Stricklin wrote. “Their resolve, effort and execution are evident in their performance and growth each week — building a foundation that promises greater success next season and beyond.”
Stricklin added that he is “confident that Billy will meet the challenges and opportunities ahead.”
The Gators are 4-4 overall this season, including 2-3 in SEC play. They visit No. 5 Texas on Saturday before closing their regular season home for LSU, home for Ole Miss and at rival Florida State.
Much of the progress Stricklin cites has to do with the way Florida’s freshmen and sophomores have played of late.
After veteran quarterback Graham Mertz was lost for the season against Tennessee, freshman DJ Lagway took over as the full-time starter and has played well — leading a 48-20 victory over Kentucky and giving the Gators the lead against Georgia until he left the game with a hamstring injury.
Lagway had been splitting time with Mertz, but his ability to make plays as a dual-threat quarterback has opened up the possibilities for the Florida offense. Lagway is considered questionable for Saturday’s game at Texas.
Freshman running back Jadan Baugh has impressed, too, with 323 yards and five touchdowns.
Sources told ESPN’s Pete Thamel that 70% of Florida’s name, image and likeness money is tied to freshmen and sophomores, and there is a sense that losing Napier would also mean losing Lagway, who chose the Gators to play for Napier.
In an interview with ESPN earlier this season, Lagway’s high school coach, Trent Miller, said Napier “did a great job of getting DJ to commit early to help the process of building that brand with recruits and everybody else around him.”
The buyout for Napier alone would have been more than $26 million, which would have been the second biggest in college football history, behind Texas A&M’s $76 million for Jimbo Fisher last year.
Sources indicated the cost of transitioning from Napier and staff and buying out an incoming coach was estimated internally at $40 million.
There are other factors at play as well. Interim president Kent Fuchs, who returned after Ben Sasse stepped down, hired Napier and Stricklin and wants to see them succeed.