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Nearly three-quarters of American voters say US democracy is under threat, according to exit polls.

The views, compiled by Edison Research, reflect a deep anxiety as the country waits to see who its new leader will be, following a contentious campaign.

Democracy and the economy were ranked as the most important issues, with 35% citing democracy and 31% saying the economy, followed by abortion and immigration at 14% and 11% respectively.

US election latest: First projected results in

The poll also found 73% believe democracy is in jeopardy, compared to just 25% who said it is secure. The 2020 election was followed by insurrection at the US Capitol and there has been unease about whether voters will peacefully accept whoever is chosen this year.

The exit polls also underscore the polarisation in the US, with divisions only growing starker as the campaign has worn on. Donald Trump has used increasingly dark and apocalyptic rhetoric, while Kamala Harris has warned a second Trump administration would threaten the very foundations of American democracy.

Ms Harris leads among women, while Mr Trump is more popular among male voters, the exit polls suggest. Research also shows women make up 53% of the electorate – largely unchanged from 52% in 2020.

Explained:
How and why US exit polls differ to the UK

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Trump projected to win Florida

The share of voters without a college degree – who prefer Mr Trump – is down slightly, at 57%, compared to 59% four years ago.

Voters also said they trust Ms Harris more on issues of abortion (51% to 44%) but Mr Trump is more trusted to handle immigration (52% to 46%).

Women were more than twice as likely to name abortion as a key issue compared to men (19% of women named it as a priority, compared to 8% of men).

There were less than two percentage points between the candidates on issues of crime and who would be better at handling a crisis.

White men were more likely to favour Mr Trump (59%). But exit polls found the gap for white women was closer, with 51% supporting the Republican candidate and 47% supporting Ms Harris.

Black men and women overwhelmingly supported the Democrat nominee, at 79% and 92% respectively.

And despite comments about Puerto Rico at a Trump rally, 54% of Latino men still seem to support him, according to the polls. Almost two-thirds (62%) of Latino women supported Ms Harris.

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Trump supporters vote wearing garbage bags

The battleground states

While 52 states are theoretically up for grabs, just seven key states could decide the future of the United States.

The exit polls show Ms Harris is viewed more favourably than her Republican opponent in Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina and Georgia – though her ratings remain lower than Biden’s in the 2020 exit polls.

Mr Trump is viewed as more favourable than his opponent in Nevada and Pennsylvania, while the candidates are tied in Arizona.

The preliminary exit poll results are also subject to change as more people are surveyed.

Read more:
What happens if there’s a tie?

How disinformation could lead to post-election unrest
Six ways the election could play out

No matter who wins, history will be made. Ms Harris, 60, would become the first woman, black woman and South Asian American to win the presidency.

Mr Trump, 78, would become the oldest person to be inaugurated, the only president to be impeached twice and the first former president to be criminally convicted. He would also become the first president to win non-consecutive terms in more than a century.

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New Orleans attacker acted alone and ‘no definitive link’ to Las Vegas Tesla explosion, FBI says

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New Orleans attacker acted alone and 'no definitive link' to Las Vegas Tesla explosion, FBI says

The man who drove a pick-up truck into people celebrating the New Year in New Orleans is believed to have acted alone, according to the FBI – as new information was revealed about the two improvised explosive devices (IEDs) recovered near the scene.

There is also “no definitive link” between the attack and the Cybertruck explosion in Las Vegas, said FBI deputy assistant director Christopher Raia.

Shamsud-Din Jabbar’s rented truck rammed into people in New Orleans’ famous Bourbon Street, killing 14 and injuring dozens, in the early hours of New Year’s Day.

New Orleans attack – follow latest

CCTV shows Shamsud-Din Jabbar an hour before he drove a truck down Bourbon Street, New Orleans. Pic: AP/FBI
Image:
Newly released CCTV image shows Shamsud-Din Jabbar an hour before he drove a truck down Bourbon Street, New Orleans. Pic: AP/FBI

Mr Raia called the attack “premeditated” and an “evil” act of terrorism, and said Jabbar was “100% inspired by ISIS”, also known as Islamic State.

He also said the FBI was reviewing two laptops and three phones linked to Jabbar, as well as two improvised explosive devices (IEDs) recovered near the scene of the attack.

The Federal Bureau of Investigation released this photo on Thursday, Jan. 2, 2024, in relation to the investigation into a car driving into a crowd on Bourbon Street in New Orleans. (Federal Bureau of Investigation via AP)
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Image shows an ice box used to hold an IED. Pic: FBI via AP

The two “functional” devices contained nails and were made of galvanized pipe with end caps, and taped inside two coolers, according to Sky News’ US partner NBC News, citing the FBI and two senior US law enforcement officials. Both devices had receivers for remote firing, they said.

It was not immediately clear if Jabbar tried to detonate the devices, or if they malfunctioned, the officials said.

And during a search of Jabbar’s home in Houston, investigators found remnants of bomb making.

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New Orleans attacker was lone wolf – FBI

Five videos posted in hours before attack

The 42-year-old army veteran, who was born in the US and lived in Texas, was shot dead after he crashed and opened fire on police.

The FBI said he posted five videos on his Facebook account between 1.29am and 3.02am – with the attack taking place around 3.15am.

In one, he said he planned to harm family and friends but was concerned headlines would not focus on the “war between the believers and disbelievers”.

He also joined Islamic State “before this summer” and provided a will, Mr Raia told reporters.

A black ISIS flag was attached to the back of the white Ford truck used in the attack and was pictured lying next to the vehicle.

New Orleans attack
Image:
An ISIS flag at the location where the truck crashed

Read more:
‘Quiet and smart’ veteran – what we know about suspect
Teenage girl and Princeton grad among first victims named

Authorities said Jabbar drove around police barricades on to the footpath, with witnesses describing carnage as the truck sped down the street, knocking people over.

“You just heard this squeal and the rev of the engine and this huge loud impact and then the people screaming,” said one witness, Kimberly Strickland from Alabama.

Barriers protecting pedestrians had been removed for repairs before the attack, city officials said, and were due to be replaced with a new bollard design.

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New Orleans police chief challenged by Sky’s US correspondent James Matthews

While the works were taking place, they had been replaced with white gate barriers which were managed by the New Orleans Police Department, according to the City Of New Orleans.

Among the victims named so far are an 18-year-old aspiring nurse, a single mother with a four-year-old son, and a graduate of Princeton University.

Victims of the New Orleans attack, clockwise from top left: Reggie Hunter, Martin 'Tiger' Bech, Nicole Perez and Matthew Tenedorio
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Victims, clockwise from top left: Reggie Hunter, Martin ‘Tiger’ Bech, Nicole Perez and Matthew Tenedorio

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‘I love you’ – victim’s last words to brother

What we know about Shamsud-Din Jabbar

The FBI also said CCTV showed Jabbar placing the IEDs near the scene. However, none of them went off.

The investigation is expected to look at any support or inspiration he may have drawn from IS or any of its affiliate groups.

The bureau has received more than 400 tips from members of the public and more than 1,000 agents and officers have been working on the case.

Jabbar held human resources and IT roles in the army from 2007 until 2015, and was stationed in Afghanistan for a year. He was then in the reserves until 2020.

Read more:
‘The last conversation we had – he told me he loved me’
Witnesses say carnage after attack ‘like a movie’

A friend described him as “very quiet, very reserved, smart, articulate” and said he had been raised a Christian before converting to Islam a long time ago.

Meanwhile, the Sugar Bowl college American football game went ahead on Thursday afternoon, with a moment of silence beforehand, after being postponed on Wednesday following the attack. The city will also host the Super Bowl next month.

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Half-brother of New Orleans attack suspect Shamsud-Din Jabbar says ‘this wasn’t the man I knew’

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Half-brother of New Orleans attack suspect Shamsud-Din Jabbar says 'this wasn't the man I knew'

The half-brother of the New Orleans attack suspect has said his actions were not “the man I knew”.

“This wasn’t the man I knew, this wasn’t the father, the son that I knew,” said Abdur-Rahim Jabbar whose half-brother Shamsud-Din Jabbar is suspected of committing the terrorist attack on the Bourbon Street area.

A pick-up truck struck people celebrating the New Year and Shamsud-Din was killed in a shootout with police. At least 14 people were killed and more than two dozen were injured.

The suspect’s younger half-brother Abdur-Rahim told a Texas-based TV station, owned by Sky News’s partner network NBC News: “It is a tragedy.”

“We’re all grieving about this,” he said.

Abdur-Rahim said he was thinking about those impacted by the attack.

“Our hearts and prayers and thoughts go out to those families, the victims of those families and those who were there to witness it,” he said.

More on New Orleans

The suspect was a Muslim, but his half-brother said: “This isn’t any representation of Islam or Muslims or the Muslim community.”

Shamsud-Din Jabbar, a suspect in the New Orleans attack, is seen in this picture obtained from social media, released in November 2013, in Fort Johnson (formerly Fort Polk), Louisiana, U.S., 1st Brigade Combat Team, 82nd Airborne Division via Facebook via REUTERS THIS IMAGE HAS BEEN SUPPLIED BY A THIRD PARTY. MANDATORY CREDIT. NO RESALES. NO ARCHIVES.
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Shamsud-Din Jabbar in Fort Johnson Louisiana. Pic: Reuters

The FBI said Shamsud-Din was a 42-year-old US citizen and army veteran from Texas. Talking about himself in a work video in 2020, Shamsud-Din said he was born and raised in the state.

An Islamic State (IS) flag, weapons, and what appeared to be an improvised explosive device (IED) were found in the vehicle, the FBI said.

The suspect posted five videos on social media before the rampage in support of IS, the agency added.

Read more on this story:
How the atrocity unfolded
Did New Orleans authorities fail victims?
Carnage haunts New Orleans but ‘Big Easy’ suffered before

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What do we know about the suspect?

In his first clip, Shamsud-Din said he was planning to harm his own family and friends, but was concerned headlines would not focus on the “war between the believers and disbelievers”, said Christopher Raia, deputy assistant director of the FBI’s counter-terrorism division.

Shamsud-Din also joined IS “before this summer”, and provided a will, the FBI chief said.

He was twice divorced and had children. He worked as a human resource specialist and information technology specialist, Shamsud-Din said in one of his previous videos.

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Did New Orleans authorities fail the victims of the New Year terror attack?

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Did New Orleans authorities fail the victims of the New Year terror attack?

Did the authorities fail the victims of the New Orleans terror attack? It’s barely in question, surely.

And yet, consider the response of Superintendent Anne Kirkpatrick of New Orleans police when I asked if she’d let them down by not having an appropriate security plan.

“That’s not correct, we would disagree with that.”

“It has to be a security failure?” I suggested.

Tributes for the New Orleans attack victims. Pic: Reuters
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Pic: Reuters

“We do know that people have lost their lives,” she responded. “But if you were experienced with terrorism, you would not be asking that question.”

With that, she was escorted away from gathered journalists by her media handlers.

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How much of a threat does ISIS pose?

Superintendent Kirkpatrick had been holding a short news conference at the end of Bourbon Street to herald its re-opening. It was just yards from the spot where a terrorist was able to drive through a gap in a makeshift line of obstructions and accelerate towards New Year crowds.

More on New Orleans Attack

Invoking “experience with terrorism” is something to ponder. What experience told authorities they had adequate protection against a vehicle attack?

What experience told them it was appropriate to have a car’s width gap in makeshift street barricades?

What experience told them to contradict the security protocols of major cities around the world when it comes to large public gatherings?

Read more on this story:
What we know about the suspect

Brother of attack victim reveals last words
The victims who have been named so far

A man helps prepare a makeshift memorial, following an incident in which people were killed by a man driving a truck in an attack during New Year's celebrations, in New Orleans, Louisiana, U.S., January 2, 2025. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz
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Pic: Reuters

To many, the answer shouldn’t be talk of experience – it should be, simply: “Sorry.” Notably, it has seemed to be the hardest word in a series of briefings by authorities who have bristled at the notion of security failings.

I asked Jack Bech for his view. He lost his brother Martin, or ‘Tiger’ in the Bourbon Street attack. He told Sky News he watched the final moments of his brother’s life on a FaceTime call to an emergency room as doctors tried, but failed, to save him.

It’s one heartbreaking story among dozens in this city.

Pic: Jack Bech
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Tiger Bech (left) and Jack Bech (right). Pic: Jack Bech

On security, he said: “You can’t blame them. That dude easily could have been walking through the crowd with a jacket on and a bomb strapped to his chest.”

True. But the least that might be expected is an acknowledgement of failure to stop the man who drove his weapon into the crowd because he was able to. They certainly can’t claim success.

A measure of contrition would, perhaps, help the healing in this city. Experience should tell them that, if nothing else.

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