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Donald Trump can be president again without winning any more battlegrounds.

Victories for Mr Trump in the key states of Pennsylvania, Georgia and North Carolina – all three largest battlegrounds – leave him needing just four electoral college votes to be president-elect.

He can achieve this with a win in Alaska, usually safe Republican, and the one electoral vote in Maine that voted for him in the last two elections. The battleground states of Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin and Michigan are also outstanding.

Kamala Harris is yet to win a single one of the eight battleground states.

The exit poll tells a story of America’s increasing division on party lines and the biggest issues facing the country, but slightly less so in terms of demographic indicators like race and age.

Black and Latino voters look to have backed the Republicans in higher numbers than at other recent elections, while white voters and older voters – particularly women – have moved closer to the Democrats.

The results in the remaining battlegrounds, plus a handful of other states are still outstanding.

Standings in states still to be declared

Results from counties that have finished voting skew heavily towards Mr Trump, however – the vote so far has swung towards him in 90% of counties that have counted more than 95% of their votes.

So far we know of 26 counties which have flipped between parties from their 2020 result. Twenty-three of these have favoured Mr Trump. Eight of these counties had voted Democrat at every election since at least 2000.

What does the exit poll tell us?

The election found the American public in an unforgiving mood.

The exit poll, carried out by Sky’s US partner NBC News, points towards a country that is dissatisfied with its current situation, although still very much divided on what the most important issues are.

Two-thirds of people consider the condition of the nation’s economy to be not so good or poor.

A remarkable three-quarters of people told the exit poll they felt dissatisfied or angry about the way things are going in the country.

And some 60% expressed disapproval of the Supreme Court, while a similar number of people disapproved of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president.

Harris voters thought “democracy” was the most important issue behind their vote, while Trump supporters rated the economy and immigration higher. On both sides, only a few people made up their decision in the last month.

The exit poll also tells us that Mr Trump has lost support among some of his most reliable groups. Voters aged over 65 backed the Democrats this year, having favoured Mr Trump at the last two elections. He also lost support among white women and white non-college-educated people.

Harris’s polling lead was also down among some groups that had supported Biden most enthusiastically. There was a massive fall among Latino voters, but also among the youngest voters and women.

In a year in which abortion was also on the ballot in 10 states, these groups in particular were expected to be among Harris’s most solid groups of votes.

How are the abortion votes going?

As well as the election, voters in 10 states were also voting on whether there should be a right to abortion enshrined and protected in the local constitution.

Voters in New York, Maryland and Colorado have voted to establish that right.

Voters in Florida, however, narrowly failed to reach the 60% threshold required to pass the measure, although a majority of people did support the right. It was the only state that needed more than a simple majority to pass.

According to the exit poll, 92% of Democrat voters across the country believed that abortion should be legal, contrasted with 38% of Republicans.

As well as abortion, voters were also at odds with the former president on immigration – 56% of people believed that undocumented immigrants should be offered a chance to apply for legal status.

What about the Senate and the House?

The Democrats have lost control of the Senate. They had a 51/49 majority going into the elections and have lost two seats to Republicans so far, in Ohio and West Virginia.

Defending their majority would always have been difficult this year. The seats that were up were ones the party had won six years previously, at the “blue wave” midterm elections in 2018 – halfway through Trump’s first term.

The Republicans have also made one gain in the House, where they already had a majority. In the result of an electoral college tie, the House will pick the president.


The Data and Forensics team is a multi-skilled unit dedicated to providing transparent journalism from Sky News. We gather, analyse and visualise data to tell data-driven stories. We combine traditional reporting skills with advanced analysis of satellite images, social media and other open source information. Through multimedia storytelling we aim to better explain the world while also showing how our journalism is done.

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Charlie Kirk shooting suspect makes first in-person court appearance

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Charlie Kirk shooting suspect makes first in-person court appearance

The man accused of killing right-wing influencer Charlie Kirk has appeared in person at court for the first time.

Tyler Robinson, 22, from Utah, is charged with aggravated murder in relation to the shooting of Kirk on the Utah Valley University campus in Orem.

Charlie Kirk pictured in December 2024. Pic: Reuters
Image:
Charlie Kirk pictured in December 2024. Pic: Reuters

Video of the incident showed Kirk, 31, and a staunch ally of Donald Trump, reaching up with his right hand after a gunshot was heard as blood came out from the left side of his neck. He died shortly after.

Prosecutors plan to seek the death penalty.

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How the Charlie Kirk shooting unfolded

On Wednesday’s appearance at Fourth District Court in Provo, Utah, Robinson arrived in court with restraints on his wrists and ankles and wearing a dress shirt, tie and slacks.

Read more: What we can learn about suspect from charging document

According to the Associated Press, he smiled at family members sitting in the front row of the courtroom, where his mother teared up and wiped her eyes with a tissue.

More on Charlie Kirk

He made previous court appearances via video or audio feed from jail.

Pic: AP
Image:
Pic: AP

The shooting happened during Kirk’s “prove me wrong” series, which saw the father of two visit campuses and debate contentious subjects; in this case, he was discussing mass shootings.

Prosecutors say the bullet which struck Kirk’s neck “passed closely to several other individuals”, including the person questioning him as part of the event.

President Trump comforts Charlie Kirk's widow Erika at his memorial service in Arizona in September. Pic: Reuters
Image:
President Trump comforts Charlie Kirk’s widow Erika at his memorial service in Arizona in September. Pic: Reuters

A charging document about Robinson from September includes incriminating texts sent between the alleged shooter and his roommate after Kirk’s death.

Read more from Sky News:
Analysis: The real reason for Trump’s Venezuela exploits
FBI release Luigi Mangione ‘to-do list’ before alleged assassination

Judge Tony Graf also heard arguments on Wednesday about whether cameras and media should be allowed in the courtroom, with Robinson’s lawyers and the Utah County Sheriff’s Office asking for them to be banned.

Mr Kirk’s widow, Erika Kirk, has called for full transparency and said “we deserve to have cameras in there”.

The judge has already made allowances to protect Robinson’s presumption of innocence before a trial, agreeing that the case has drawn “extraordinary” public attention

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Why is the United States about to invade Venezuela?

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Why is the United States about to invade Venezuela?

👉 Follow Trump100 on your podcast app 👈 

A significant escalation in tensions between the US and Venezuela.

On Wednesday, Donald Trump announced that his military had seized an oil tanker off the coast of the South American country.

Then, a day later, the president says a land invasion is about to start.

On the podcast today, we’ll explain what’s happened, what could happen next, and answer why America is even interested in Venezuela.

Plus – Kilmar Abrego Garcia is released after months of detention, and how you can come a US citizen, for the small price of just one million dollars.

You can also watch all episodes on our YouTube channel.

Email us on trump100@sky.uk with your comments and questions.

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US won’t ‘stand by and watch sanctioned vessels’, warns White House after tanker seized off Venezuela

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US won't 'stand by and watch sanctioned vessels', warns White House after tanker seized off Venezuela

The US will not “stand by and watch sanctioned vessels sail the seas”, the White House has warned, after American forces seized an oil tanker off the coast of Venezuela.

Spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt told reporters she would not speak about future ship seizures, but said the US would continue to follow Donald Trump‘s sanction policies.

“We’re not going to stand by and watch sanctioned vessels sail the seas with black market oil, the proceeds of which will fuel narcoterrorism of rogue and illegitimate regimes around the world,” she said.

White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt briefing the media. Pic: Reuters
Image:
White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt briefing the media. Pic: Reuters

The US is gearing up to intercept more ships, six sources familiar with the matter told Reuters.

One source said several more sanctioned tankers had been identified by the US for potential seizure.

Two of the people said the US Justice Department and Homeland Security had been planning the seizures for months.

American forces were monitoring vessels in Venezuelan ports and waiting for them to sail into international waters before taking action, one source added.

More on Venezuela

It comes after a crude oil tanker, named Skipper, on Wednesday was stormed by US forces executing a seizure warrant.

The ship left Venezuela’s main oil port of Jose between 4 and 5 December after loading about 1.1 million barrels of oil, according to satellite information analysed by TankerTrackers.com and internal shipping data from Venezuelan state oil company PDVSA.

A still from a video of US forces seizing a Venezuelan oil tanker, posted by Pam Bondi. Pic: X/@AGPamBondi
Image:
A still from a video of US forces seizing a Venezuelan oil tanker, posted by Pam Bondi. Pic: X/@AGPamBondi

The real reason for Donald Trump’s Venezuela exploits


Ed Conway

Ed Conway

Economics and data editor

@EdConwaySky

Donald Trump wants you to know that there is one leading reason why he is bearing down militarily on Venezuela: drugs.

It is, he has said repeatedly, that country’s part in the production and smuggling of illegal narcotics into America that lies behind the ratcheting up of forces in the Caribbean in recent weeks. But what if there’s something else going on here too? What if this is really all about oil?

In one respect this is clearly preposterous. After all, the United States is, by a country mile, the world’s biggest oil producer. Venezuela is a comparative minnow these days, the 21st biggest producer in the world, its output having been depressed under the Chavez and then Maduro regimes. Why should America care about Venezuelan oil?

For the answer, one needs to spend a moment – strange as this will sound – contemplating the chemistry of oil…

Read more

US attorney general Pam Bondi said on X, formerly Twitter, that the ship was “used to transport sanctioned oil from Venezuela and Iran”.

“For multiple years, the oil tanker has been sanctioned by the United States due to its involvement in an illicit oil shipping network supporting foreign terrorist organisations,” she added.

Ms Leavitt said that “the United States does intend to get the oil” that was onboard the vessel.

The government in Caracas, led by President Nicolas Maduro, branded the ship’s seizure a “blatant theft” and an “act of international piracy”.

Read more:
Analysis: Is this what the beginning of a war looks like?
US-Venezuela crisis explained
Why tanker seized by US was ‘spoofing’ its location

The US has been ramping up the pressure on Mr Maduro and is reportedly considering trying to oust him. It has piled on sanctions, carried out a military build-up in the southern Caribbean, and launched attacks on suspected drug vessels from Venezuela.

Now America has issued new sanctions targeting Franqui Flores, Efrain Antonio Campo Flores, and Carlos Erik Malpica Flores – three nephews of Mr Maduro’s wife, Cilia Flores – as well as on six crude oil tankers and six shipping companies linked to them.

Skipper. Credit: TankerTrackers
Image:
Skipper. Credit: TankerTrackers

By seizing oil tankers, the US is threatening Mr Maduro’s government’s main revenue source – oil exports.

The sources said the US was focusing on what’s been called the shadow fleet – tankers transporting sanctioned oil to China, the biggest buyer of crude from Venezuela and Iran.

They said one shipper had already temporarily suspended three voyages transporting six million barrels of Venezuelan crude oil.

“The cargoes were just loaded and were about to start sailing to Asia,” a source said.

“Now the voyages are cancelled and tankers are waiting off the Venezuelan coast as it’s safer to do that.”

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